Doug Pferdehirt
Analyst · Piper Sandler.
Ian, thank you. That's a very interesting question. First of all, four quarters does make a trend, although I would caution not just to extrapolate, and I'll explain why here in just a second. Prior to explaining that, I'll comment on the latter part of the question. I know when I look at this Opportunity List, look, there's a couple, let's be candid, that have been on this list for quite some time, that have not yet moved to project FID. But the vast majority that are on this list are relatively new, if you will, within the recent quarter. So I wouldn't think of it as a -- I don't know, I think you said as bottled up kind of projects coming through the pipeline. Certainly not when I think back to the comment I made and when we look at our frontend activity, which, again, is somewhat a reflection of the pre-opportunity, Subsea Opportunity List, right, things that may not yet be on the Subsea Opportunity List. And speaking of things that may not yet be on the Subsea Opportunity List, I think it's also important to remember for our company, all of that integrated direct awards never show up on the Subsea Opportunity List. Obviously, it would be a huge competitive disadvantage for me to give that information freely to the market. So again, like this quarter, when we have 1.1 billion in inbound and not really a name specific project in a press release, we had the vessel charters, but not necessarily a project. That's a strong foundation that we built. But again, that comes through this proprietary set of opportunities that isn't on the Subsea Opportunity List. Now all the way back to the beginning of your question, and the reason I said I’d just be a little bit cautious, you've seen press releases or you -- maybe not press releases, but you've seen news articles and there's certain market intelligence out there around a couple of the Búzios projects that are likely to be FID’ed in the coming quarters, potentially other projects that you may have heard about in the North Sea. So I could see quite a few of these, because once they're awarded, then we take them off of the Subsea Opportunity List. Are there other projects to backfill? Absolutely, as I indicated earlier, but I just wouldn't want to leave the impression that one could just extrapolate quarter-over-quarter-over-quarter of growth, even though we have experienced that for the past four quarters. I'm just being very conservative, and saying if in a particular quarter, two or three or four of these were awarded, that could be several billion coming off the list, and maybe being replaced by more than several billion but not necessarily in the same quarter.