Earnings Labs

StealthGas Inc. (GASS)

Q2 2019 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 22, 2019

$9.68

+0.10%

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Transcript

Michael Jolliffe

Management

Well, good morning, everyone, and welcome to our Second Quarter 2019 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. I'm Michael Jolliffe, the Board Chairman of StealthGas and joining me on the call is our CEO, Harry Vafias; and our Finance Officer, Fenia Sakellaris, who will later on discuss our financial performance. Before we commence our presentation, I would like to remind you that we will be discussing forward-looking statements, which reflect current views with respect to future events and financial performance. At this stage, if you could all take a moment to read our disclaimer on Slide 2 of the presentation. Risks are further disclosed in StealthGas filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. I would also like to point out that all amounts quoted, unless otherwise clarified, are implicitly stated in U.S. dollars. Slide 3 summarizes the key highlights of the second quarter of the year that we released today. Indeed, this second quarter was not what we anticipated, especially giving our promising performance in the first quarter of 2019. Unfortunately, this quarter was not the typical seasonal factors but rather the continued worry about the U.S.-China trade war that deprived us from better results. We faced a very soft Asian market, mostly affecting the trade of petchems in spite of our satisfactory operational utilization in excess of 95% and lack of time chartering opportunities in the East undermining direct revenue, thus resulting in close to breakeven results. Regardless of the difficult market we faced, we managed to increase our period coverage to close to 80% for the remainder of the year, but most importantly, we continued our growth and expansion strategy. We concluded two deals with which we entered into two new LPG subsegments. Firstly, we acquired from a third party a new 11,000 cbm pressurized vessel with delivery in…

Fenia Sakellaris

Management

Thank you, Mr. Jolliffe, and good morning to everyone. I will continue the presentation focusing on our financial performance for the second quarter of 2019. As mentioned throughout our call, adverse sentiment around the U.S.-China trade war still affects the Asian market, therefore revenue generated in the second quarter of the year was less than expected. Spot market in the east was soft and as charters were reluctant in fixing new charters, we operated spot an average six vessels in the east. Let us move on to Slide 7 where we see the income statement for the second quarter of 2019 against the same period of the previous year. Voyage revenues came at $34.1 million, marking a $9.3 million decrease compared to the same period of last year. This reduction in revenue was expected following our strategic decision taken in 2018 to divest mostly all the LPG vessels that led to the net reduction of our average owned fleet by 10 vessels. Setting aside the fleet deduction, what we noticed this quarter is a rise of our average daily revenues coming from time charter and a rather large reduction of our average daily revenues stemming from the spot market. Voyage costs amounted to $4.1 million, making a $0.2 million decrease comparing to Q2 2018. This decrease in voyage expenses is attributed to a 5.1 quarter-on-quarter reduction of spot days in absolute number. We need to note, however, that as a percentage of calendar days in Q2 2019, our presence in the spot market was higher compared to the same period of last year and was close to 20%. Net revenues that is revenues after deducting voyage costs came at about $30 million. Running cost at $11.8 million marked about 21% decrease compared to Q2 2018. This decrease in cost was…

Harry Vafias

Management

Let us proceed now with Slide 11. Global LPG trade looks promising, as going forward trading volumes are expected to increase. In the second quarter of 2019, however, we witnessed a slowdown in the Asian market, particularly in the trade of petrochemicals, and the main reason behind this was that the spot market was hit by the continued uncertainty around the U.S.-China trade war. As long as Chinese receivers are holding back from buying petchem products, the product prices has been negatively affected and arbitrage opportunities for traders become fewer and more difficult to utilize. In essence, the U.S.-China trade war has altered the trade partners in Asia, and although a segment of shortfall trade has been unaffected the opposite happened due to the adverse market sentiment that negatively impacts trading decisions. Regardless of the difficult quarter faced in Asia, the broader LPG market shows a rather optimistic future. China will further expand its PDH capacity, both for the remainder of 2019 and 2020. In addition the market continues to wait for the start-up of the PETRONAS and Saudi Aramco rapid project in Malaysia, which will have significant volumes of petchems for export. Finally, looking at the North African region, new LPG products are expected to add around 1.5 million tons of capacity over the next five years, showing new opportunities continuously open up for us. On Slide 12, we see that during Q2 2019, our rates for small LPGs remained flat with the exception of the 3,500 cubic meter pressurized ships in the east, where we witnessed close to $200 per day reduction. Looking at Europe, the second quarter of 2019 was quite balanced. The only point of concern in terms of the European market is the possibility of ships being relocated from the east, an event that might…

Michael Jolliffe

Management

Thank you, Harry. Due to market uncertainty resulting from the U.S.-China trade war, the pressurized market in Asia presented a relatively tough second quarter for ship owners. Charter is in the region where we are reluctant to conclude or renew period contracts, thus forcing vessels to operate in the spot market at low rates. This is the main reason that our revenue generation was less than expected in spite of favorable operational utilization of close to 95% and an increase in daily revenue from our vessels on time charter contracts. This quarter we had close to one fifth of our fleet operating in the spot market, the majority of which were in the Asian region. Our vessels operating in the spot market during the second quarter of 2019 generated in total almost $1.5 million less time charter equivalent revenue than in the first quarter of the year. From a strategic standpoint, we have been active, with StealthGas moving to enter for the first time the 11,000 cubic meter pressurized LPG segment. In addition through our joint venture arrangement, we moved to entering a second new LPG subsegment as we recently acquired a 38,000 cubic meter fully refrigerated vessel. Relying on the technical and management expertise gained as leaders in this small LPG market, StealthGas is further expanding its presence in the broader LPG space, thus enhancing and diversifying its revenue stream. Another important move is that we have actively commenced our stock repurchase program having bought more than 170,000 shares to-date supporting our stock and thereby our investors. We believe that the Asian market will soon correct itself. Our company has a very strong balance sheet and diversified fleet, a free cash base that exceeds $65 million and a debt-to-asset ratio of less than 40%. Therefore, we feel optimistic for the future as market conditions improve. We have now reached the end of our presentation, and we would like to open the floor for your questions. So operator, please open the floor. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And your first question is coming from the line of Randy Giveans from Jefferies. Randy Giveans your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Randy Giveans

Analyst

Hi gentlemen, how are you?

Harry Vafias

Management

Hi, Randy. Hope you had a good summer?

Randy Giveans

Analyst

Yes. So far so good. Thank you. So few questions for me. First, looks like utilization fell to about 95.2%, little below our expectation of 96%. So now that we’re more than halfway through the third quarter, where do you expect utilization to be this quarter? And then do you expect further kind of seasonal improvement in 4Q 2019?

Harry Vafias

Management

If you tell me what Trump will do, I will be very glad to answer the question.

Randy Giveans

Analyst

Okay. Well, how is the first half of 3Q then?

Harry Vafias

Management

Yes. I think that for Q3, we would estimate same to be on the conservative side, and obviously, we're optimistic for Q4. But as I said, we would expect that these trade wars and sanctions on different countries that are big in LPG would have been eliminated by now. This hasn't happened. So yes, we feel Q3 would be the same as Q2, and we are confident for a better Q4.

Randy Giveans

Analyst

Perfect. Okay. And then looking at the two vessels, recently purchased by the joint venture, what was the reason for entering kind of two new asset classes as opposed to growing in the 3,500 to 7,000 cubic meter asset classes you already operate in.

Harry Vafias

Management

Yes. Just to correct you, Randy, one ship was brought by the JV, the other one was brought by StealthGas on its own.

Randy Giveans

Analyst

Okay, yes, with that. So two new asset classes, right?

Harry Vafias

Management

It's quite simple. On the 11,000, I think it's a no-brainer. When you are the leader of the pressurized market and you have ships, all across the spectrum, you cannot not have the latest version of the pressurized ship. We see a tendency for charters when they can to use larger ships for economy – the economies of scale reasons. We found a great asset at a good price from an excellent yard, as you know Japan is the best for this kind of ships, and we decided to buy it. And in any case, it won't be with us. Soon it will come in about 18 months; that's the reason for that. For the larger ship, the 38,000, because as you know, these ships suffered a lot in the last two years, the prices were depressed and so now it was – we think an opportunity to buy a cheap quality asset with great upside potential because again, as you know, the bigger the ship, the bigger the upside potential. On top of that, we're sharing the risk because we are buying it 50-50 with our partner, and therefore, the equity contribution and risk from StealthGas side isn't that big.

Randy Giveans

Analyst

Okay. I guess that's a good segue here. So it seems like your preference for uses of cash is second-hand acquisition to either on your own accord or with the joint venture. With that, how did you decide on the 600,000 repurchases during the quarter? And should we expect a greater degree of repurchases in the third quarter, fourth quarter as earnings improve?

Harry Vafias

Management

We didn't decide on this, Randy. As you know, we're limited in how many shares we can buy every day. We are also limited by the closed periods as, again, you know. The share volume, as I'm sure you know, is not that huge. So it's not a decision, it's how much we were able basically to buy.

Randy Giveans

Analyst

Okay. [indiscernible] block, there are some other opportunities but…

Harry Vafias

Management

Yes, yes, but with the normal – sorry, with the normal day-to-day buying, this is where we go to. The Board has decided to continue the buying since we're trading at such a big discount to NAV.

Randy Giveans

Analyst

That's fair. All right, last question for me. You mentioned the six recently completed time charters at higher rates. Can you quantify this? Is this 5%, 10%, 30% higher? And then specifically what's the new rate for the Clean Thrasher, the products tanker?

Harry Vafias

Management

We haven't announced that, Randy, so as you can understand, we cannot say those things. As I said, this is very encouraging that the – in a quarter where the spot market was relatively weak and weaker than expected, we were able to secure six new contracts at improved rates. As you can understand, without giving numbers, those ships anyway don't fluctuate that much. So even if you get a 5% or 10% increase is quite a significant increase. On the tanker, again, as I'm sure you're following other companies, the product tanker period rates have been relatively steady over the last one year. This has been a very big jump on period rates on crude tankers, but not the same on product tankers. So we didn't get a bad rate but we didn't get an out-of-the-world rate. The interesting thing is that our single crude carrier is coming open in the end of Q1, beginning of Q2. So there, hopefully, we'll be able to take advantage of the new quite strong period rates and secure some nice income on that ship.

Randy Giveans

Analyst

Yes, thanks for the time.

Harry Vafias

Management

Thank you, Randy.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question is coming from the line of [Nick Sefton from Linenhall] [ph].

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hi, thanks for taking my question. What level of demand do you think the rapid refinery will create when it comes online? Kind of, roughly how many ships do you think it will kind of require to serve and what type of ships?

Harry Vafias

Management

That's a quite difficult answer – difficult question, especially when this is quite far off. It would be quite risky of myself trying to quantify a number of ships. I mean, the market, it has quite a big development, big change in LPG exports, but giving number of ships that early I think would be a bit unprofessional from my side.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, Do you – just in terms of how these things generally work, would you expect that to create demand for your pressurized ships or for semi-refs or both?

Harry Vafias

Management

Good question, Nick. As you know well, for us, it doesn't really matter if the demand is direct or indirect. As you know well, in a lot of terminals that we do not go, the product is carried inter-continentally by the big ships and then we are needed at the last leg of the transportation where we go to major hubs, take parcels of these big cargoes that were carried by the big ships and then transport them locally into smaller ports where the big ships cannot go.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, thank you.

Harry Vafias

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

We have no further questions at this time. [Operator Instructions] There are no further questions at this time. Speakers, please continue.

Harry Vafias

Management

We would like to thank you for joining us at our conference call today and for your interest and trust in our company, and we look forward to having you with us again at our next call for our third quarter results in November. Thank you very much.