Earnings Labs

Global Indemnity Group, LLC (GBLI)

Q1 2023 Earnings Call· Sun, May 14, 2023

$27.39

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Hello. Thank you for standing by. My name is Jeremy, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the GBLI First Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to Stephen Ries. You may begin.

Stephen Ries

Analyst

Thank you, Jeremy. Today’s conference call is being recorded. GBLI’s remarks may contain forward-looking statements. Some of the forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking words including about limitation, beliefs, expectations or estimates. We caution you that such forward-looking statements should not be regarded as a representation by us that the future plans, estimates or expectations contemplated by us will, in fact, be achieved. Please refer to our annual report on Form 10-K and our other filings met with the SEC for a description of the business environment in which we operate, and the important factors that may materially affect our results. Global Indemnity Group LLC is not under any obligation and expressly disclaims any such obligation to update or alter its forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to Mr. Jay Brown, Chief Executive Officer of Global Indemnity.

Jay Brown

Analyst

Thank you, Steve. Good morning, and thank you, everyone, for taking the time this morning to join us for our quarterly results call. Before I turn it over to our Chief Financial Officer, Tom McGeehan, who will provide a detailed explanation of our first quarter financial results, I would like to briefly reiterate the background on the pivotal changes that have been implemented to position GBLI going forward. It’s been 6 months since I joined the company as CEO. And although a lot has transpired during that time period, it has really been a continuation of a process that began in 2021 to alter the composition of our company to improve the returns for our shareholders. In 2021, we were successful in selling the renewal rights to our manufactured home and dwelling business, and significantly reduced the amount of our property brokerage unit. This was followed in 2022 by the sale of the renewal rights to our farm, branch and stable business, and at year-end, the sale of the American Reliable legal entity. As previously reported, these exits contributed $43 million to the bottom line and freed up a substantial amount of capital. Also at year-end 2022, we made the decision to exit our involvement in the four wholesale brokerage operations we had established earlier that year and eliminated all of the staff associated with those operations. In addition, we significantly reduced our appetite for retrocession reinsurance business. As Tom will explain in a few minutes that although overall reported business written is down consistent with our plan resulting from these decisions, we are seeing double-digit growth tracking our long-term objectives in most of our Commercial Specialty operations. As a result of exiting businesses that comprise close to half of our top line premium written only 2 years ago, it…

Tom McGeehan

Analyst

Thank you, Jay. Net income for the first quarter of 2023 was $2.5 million and adjusted operating income, which excludes realized losses and results of exited lines, was $3.4 million. Book value per share increased from $44.87 at December 31, 2022, to $45.68 at March 31, 2023. Much of this increase is due to appreciation value of the fixed income portfolio and share repurchases. As Jay noted, during the first quarter, 250,000 shares were acquired. Share buybacks during the first quarter of 2023 increased book value per share by $0.35. Since the share repurchase program was initiated in the fourth quarter of 2022, the company has repurchased 1,357,000 shares from third parties for an aggregate amount of $34 million. This amount includes 200,000 purchased in April 2023.As a result of these share repurchase transactions, book value per share increased $1.69 per share. As Jay noted, an additional $26 million is still available for repurchases under the current $60 million share repurchase program. I will now discuss some of the key drivers of net income starting with investment performance. Investment income almost doubled in the first quarter of 2023 compared to the first quarter of 2022. Investment income was $12 million in ‘23 compared to $6.6 million in 2022. Income from alternative investments, which is included in the $12 million in last year’s number, was $0.5 million in both the first quarter of 2023 and the first quarter of 2022. The increase in investment income is due to higher book yields. Book yield on the portfolio increased from 2.3% at March 31, 2022 to 3.6% at March 31, 2023. At March 31, 2023, the duration of the fixed income portfolio was 1.5 years. Now in comparison of the March numbers to December 31, 2022, at December 31, 2022, book yield was…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Tom Kerr. Tom, please go ahead.

Tom Kerr

Analyst

Good morning guys. A couple of quick ones here. On the exited lines business, does that run off completely in 2023, or are there still stragglers throughout the end of the year and maybe even into next year?

Tom McGeehan

Analyst

I am sorry, could you just – I had trouble hearing the first part of your question, Tom.

Tom Kerr

Analyst

Just on the exited lines of businesses, does that run off completely in 2023, or will there still be a little bit of a runoff left premium throughout the rest of the year?

Tom McGeehan

Analyst

Yes. There will be a little bit left but not much. As I have said, the – right now, the net written premium, which is the main driver of earned premium in the income statement was only $1.4 million in the first quarter. So, as we go through this year, as I noted on our previous earnings call, we are not expecting very much net written premium at all in 2023. So, there is still going to be some earned as some of the unearned premium that we have related to our farm business runs off. That’s going to earn between now and August. After that, earned premium should be very minimal.

Operator

Operator

Okay. Our next question comes from the line of Jeff Bronchick. Jeff, please go ahead.

Jeff Bronchick

Analyst

Good morning to all.

Tom McGeehan

Analyst

Good morning.

Jeff Bronchick

Analyst

I was surprised. How are you Jay? So, I guess – it’s a general question, Jay. So, I mean obviously, your predecessors came in with a mission to sort of build something to grow. And for whatever reasons, that was decided not to be the plan. And you are coming in and sort of taking the opposite tack, cutting expenses and things that produce near-term results, which – nothing wrong with that, but arguably 3 years to 5 years, what do we have. And so my question to you is, what do you think your mission is aside from the first 18 months, how do you see this and what happens after?

Jay Brown

Analyst

It’s always a difficult question to say what’s going to happen 5 years out. I think when I look from where I kind of started six months ago, the initial goal was to position the company as quickly as profitable – quickly as possible on its profitable base that we knew historically had generated good returns. And then corresponding to that because of actions taken over the previous 2 years where we significantly reduced the amount of premium, I had to make a corresponding cut in expenses to make it right-sized back to the kind of business we wanted to write. I think the Main Street business is a forever business. It’s been here. I have been in this business for 40-plus years. Main Street business has been a core component of almost any major property casualty companies business during that time period. We think we are very good at that. We have got a long track record of good results. It’s been confused somewhat if you look over our 20-year history with different things we have tried along the way, including what we tried in 2022. And I think what we have now decided to do is concentrate on those – that segment of the market where we do believe we have a good competitive advantage and where we can be successful. And we have got 350, 375-so agents that we work with, and we have built up a good relationship with over that time period. There is – growth is great, and we like to grow. We want to grow, hopefully, 10% to 12% per year on a regular basis. But growth without profits is not going to lead to any value for our shareholders. And so I think that’s what we have tried to do is just…

Operator

Operator

Alright. Our next question comes from the line of Anthony Mottolese. Anthony, please go ahead.

Anthony Mottolese

Analyst

Hi. Good morning. Just a quick follow-up on the Q1 results, was there any reserve development seen in the quarter, favorable or adverse? And also, it would be helpful if you could quantify any cat losses in the quarter as well?

Tom McGeehan

Analyst

Yes. Sure. Hang on just one second. So, cat losses in our – I will start with cat losses. In our continuing lines were $3.3 million. And in our discontinued, we do have some unearned premium that’s running off $2.1 million. So, in total, $5.5 million rounding up. That’s the cat loss answer. And in terms of prior year development on a net basis, it was zero. We did a little bit of strengthening in our GL reserves in our continuing line businesses. But we had a corresponding offset where we have had some good property development in our exited lines. Net-net, it was zero. So, we are not seeing anything that’s causing us any real concern in the first quarter on our prior year development.

Operator

Operator

Alright. Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of David Schiff. David, please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Thank you. Hi there. Jay, I was delighted to see you become CEO, and I like your strategy. Just one question here just about the investments, at least at year-end, you all had about – and obviously, it was a great call, clearly, market call of getting out of stock, shortening your maturities last year. But of course, one has to wonder given the strength of your balance sheet, very strong, if and as a long-term strategy to not own any common stocks, maybe you could comment on that. The other thing, just to comment on, you do have about – at year end, it was 23%, 24% in BBB bonds. And I was just wondering if there was any thought of reducing that and putting some into stocks, although obviously, your own stock is arguably the cheapest thing out there. But anyway, just any thoughts on those things, I am curious?

Jay Brown

Analyst

Sure. One is, I do believe, the investment portfolio for a company of our type, definitely should have a stock component over time. And I think the trick is – I think the easier call is to play defense which is what we did beginning in 2022 and ‘22. The harder call is deciding when to go back in. I could tell you that’s not today. But I expect before the year unfolds, as things stabilize in the markets, and we begin to get a sense where the Fed is going to stop and where inflation kind of targets out, I think then the ability to assess the type of risk we want to take in the stock market or in the bond market makes sense. And that includes stretching back out on duration at the appropriate time because we are very short of our normal duration target of what we would use for our company at this time – at this point in time. As you correctly said, the easiest decision we have in terms of deploying capital is to buyback our own shares at these prices. And I am going to let Tom comment about the composition of our current portfolio.

Tom McGeehan

Analyst

Yes. No. It’s – right now, we have a fair amount in treasuries, over $300 million. We also have about a third of the portfolio is in floating rate investments. The corporates that we are in and the BBB and some of the other asset classes that are there, we are very comfortable with what we are holding, and they were purchased to generate good returns. And building on your question on redeployment into common stock, over Global Indemnity’s history, and it depends when, but we have been in and out of not only common stocks, but other asset classes that we thought at the time would provide a really good return to our shareholders. So, common stocks is the main one, but there have been times in our history where we invested in other asset classes such as bank loans, but there is times to be in those, and there were times to be out of it. And the time we got out of it last year was in January. I think we made a really good call at that point. There was a lot of market volatility. And the other thing it allowed us to do is we use the proceeds to pay off all of our remaining third-party debt. So, at this point in time, Global Indemnity has no third-party debt on its balance sheet. So again, we will continue to look at it. At the right time, we will make the right decisions to – or what we believe are the right decisions to jump back in.

Operator

Operator

Alright. Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Tom Kerr. Tom, please go ahead.

Tom Kerr

Analyst

A couple of follow-ups. Following up on the strategy question from a few callers ago, whoever that was – would you consider adding lines of business in the tuck-in acquisitions or the use of capital still just to be focused on your own shares?

Jay Brown

Analyst

I think once we get the base record established, again, where we have a consistent reported results. I think we will continue to look at adding different things. I think we got in front of ourselves in terms of – in 2022 of trying to add four new lines that were going to be significant long-term contributors. But the cost of scaling those up at our size was just not something that could be accomplished. None of the lines that we exited, I should be clear, did we have any discomfort with the loss ratios. All of the business that we wrote during that time period is something that at this point in time looks fine. It was just a question of the expense base necessary in the systems, technology that would be necessary to play in those spots. And I think if we – if and when we choose to either add new lines or acquire something, again, it will be something that will have to be consistent with the size of the company and our record at that point in time. Global has a history of a number of acquisitions over its history, most of which have been good, not all. We are not – we don’t have a perfect track record. And when we look back in hindsight, that’s one of the things that you have to understand is if you are going to take those risks, you have got to be careful to get them right. And they are not always going to turn out right. And I think we have recovered quickly from American Reliable, which cost us little bit of money along the way, and we were able to get out of it at a return that essentially negated our initial entry cost. And so we – even in that case, where it wasn’t a great acquisition we did fine. But I think the history of the company suggests that we are not afraid to take step into something at the appropriate time when we have both the financial resources and the ability to feel comfortable with it.

Tom Kerr

Analyst

Alright. Sounds good. Thanks for the color on that. A couple of quick financial questions. On the corporate expense line, I think you said $2 million was restructuring of the $6.4 million. Does that mean the sort of the quarterly run rate for corporate expenses is around the $4 million per quarter is what we can expect?

Jay Brown

Analyst

Yes.

Tom Kerr

Analyst

Okay.

Operator

Operator

Okay. And I see no further questions at this time. This concludes today’s conference call. You may all disconnect.