Earnings Labs

Golden Entertainment, Inc. (GDEN)

Q4 2018 Earnings Call· Thu, Mar 14, 2019

$28.62

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Golden Entertainment Fourth Quarter 2018 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode, a question-and-answer session will follow the formal remarks. Please note, that this call is being recorded today March 14, 2019. Now, I would like to turn the conference over to Joe Jaffoni, Investor Relations. Sir, please go ahead, sir.

Joe Jaffoni

Management

Thank you very much, Kelsey, and good afternoon, everyone. By now, everyone should have access to the fourth quarter 2018 earnings release, which can be found on the company’s website at www.goldenent.com, under the Investors section. Before we begin our formal remarks, we need to remind everyone that today’s discussion will include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements, which are usually identified by the use of words such as will, expect, believe, anticipate, should or other similar phrases, are not guarantees of future performance. These statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our corporate working statements, and therefore, you should exercise caution in interpreting and relying on them. We refer you to the risk factors in our recent SEC filings, including our most recent Form 10-K as updated by our subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10-Q for a more detailed discussion of the risks that could impact our future operating results and financial condition and other forward-looking statements. During today’s call, we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures, which management uses and believes are useful in evaluating the company’s operating performance. These measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for our financial results prepared in accordance with GAAP. A reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure is available in our fourth quarter 2018 earnings release. Golden also provided a supplementary information accompanying the earnings release, pro forma income statements for the fourth quarter and full-year period ended December 31, 2017 for Golden and American Entertainment. On the call today is Blake Sartini, the company’s Founder, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Charles Protell, the Company’s Chief Strategy Officer and Chief Financial Officer. Charles will review the quarterly results, Blake will review recent strategic and operating initiatives, and after that we’ll open the call to the questions. With that, it’s my pleasure to turn the call over to Charles Protell. Charles?

Charles Protell

Management

Thanks, Joe. Fourth quarter, total revenues were $210.1 million, up 2.5% versus the prior year on a combined basis at American Casinos. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was up 1.9% to $34.4 million on a combined basis, compared with $33.8 million in the prior year. As we review the segments I will provide comments around challenges in some of our businesses in Q4 and the steps we are taking to improve future results. For our Nevada Casinos, fourth quarter revenue is $107.9 million, up 0.9% from the prior year on a same-property basis, while adjusted EBITDA increased 1.1% to $31.1 million. With the ongoing construction at the property, The Strat’s EBITDA was down roughly 2% for the quarter. We expect a minimal construction disruption and as we move through our renovations we intend to keep a phased approach of all aspects of the project to mitigate significant future disruption of our construction. Blake will speak further on our capital investment plan at The Strat, which is focused on enhancing our ability to access casino players and midweek group business. Conversely, in the fourth quarter, our s Arizona’s Charlie’s local properties generated a 6% increase in EBITDA, as we continued to manage the cost structure of these two properties, which allowed us to overcome the increasingly competitive environment. Outside of Las Vegas, our Aquarius property has maintained EBITDA in Laughlin where the market experienced some decline in visitation towards the end of the year, as well as tight local employment. With our two new casinos in the market we are focused on integrating these assets and realizing identified cost synergies across our three Laughlin properties. In Pahrump, our three casinos generated a 10% improvement in EBITDA for the quarter, and we are pleased with their performance in that market. At our…

Blake Sartini

Management

Thank you Charles. I’s like to now share with you the progress we are making towards positioning the company for future growth and our capital plan going forward with The Strat. As we look at the economic environment in Nevada and Las Vegas in particular, population is at an all time high and continuing to grow rapidly as people from all over the country move to Nevada for better quality of life and lower cost of living. Visitations at Las Vegas is near record levels and the appeal of Las Vegas as a place to visit only gets stronger in future. With over 85% of our total revenue coming from Nevada mostly from wholly owned Southern Nevada casino resorts these trends supporting future economic growth can only serve the benefit of Golden Entertainments future. For our wholly owned casino portfolio, the biggest concentration of revenue and EBITDA comes from The Strat and our three Laughlin properties and market leading Aquarius and now the neighboring Edgewater and Colorado Belle. These assets will be our focus on making meaningful improvements to drive the company's performance. Starting with The Strat we continue to believe that a thoughtful focus and disciplined reinvestment approach is necessary to realize the full value of its strong worldwide visitation, expensive footprint, iconic attractions and enhanced food and beverage, and other amenities. The Strat’s room product, restaurants, Tower attractions and entertainment are all being touched in our renovations in order to be relevant as new city-wide traffic drivers open, including the expansion of the Las Vegas Convention Center, a few blocks a few blocks from the property. From 2018 we renovated 311 elevated rooms, which are currently generating a $20 ADR premium over our base rate. We repressed our signature award-winning top of the world restaurant and the Tower…

Operator

Operator

Certainly. [Operator Instructions]. Thank you. And our first question comes from the line of David Katz with Jefferies. Your line is open.

David Katz

Analyst

Can you talk about the degree to which, I think when we went back a quarter or so, the dynamics on the Strip among the larger players were related or a driver to your ability to drive serve at The Strat. If we were to just look at the property and its performance and a portion, some of the construction disruption, as well as just the overall dynamics in the Strip where other operators may or may not have a good stringer performance and how that impacts you, that would be helpful.

Blake Sartini

Management

Well, if I understand the question, I think in specific to Q4, I think that dynamic is a proper comparison. Q4 to segue for just a minute, many of our assets performed significantly above Q4 of the prior year. I think the story for us at The Strat specific to your question, was -- there was ongoing construction, but the demand for the property in terms of rooms in that fourth quarter was -- did not meet our expectations and therein I think lies the delta that you're talking about and I do believe that throughout the course of the year, the self strip properties were driving a lot of the occupancy trends at the Stratosphere. I think, Q4 in particular, was specific to us year-over-year, in that we did not experience in the prior year the same downturn that the self strip properties experienced as a result of the event on October 1. So our comps were not the same, let's say, for the fourth quarter. I don't know if that answers your question. And if not, you can let me know after I answer --

David Katz

Analyst

No, I mean, it does. And just with respect to, Charles, if you could -- when I look at the capital allocation philosophy and just take a holistic view of it, there is a lot going on in there. And if you could just give us an updated perspective on how you're linking those choices at this point between investing and M&A, investing in The Strat, delevering, returning to share repurchases, you can rank order those or just update us on your philosophy, that would be helpful.

Charles Protell

Management

Yes, I think maybe starting with the last, first. M&A is taking a back seat from us from a priority standpoint, certainly for the first half of this year, other than if we see opportunistic tuck-in acquisitions on the distributed side, which is really part of our business plan, certainly Nevada and Montana as we go forward. If you think about the number one priority on capital, clearly as Blake outlined, it is investment in the Stratosphere, certainly for the front half of this year. In addition to that, we have six new taverns that are slated to open in the first six months of this year. So investing in our own portfolio is the priority for the next six months. As we get into the back half of the year, I think that gives us a chance to take a look at where we are from a performance perspective, where we are in terms of achieving the goals we've set in terms of hitting the capital allocation within the Stratosphere and in other areas and then we could really evaluate how we think about the other two prongs of returning capital to our stakeholders in terms of leverage reduction and share buybacks. That said, clearly I think in the fourth quarter, if you look at where -- we were acquiring shares in the market, we saw that as an opportunity versus the valuation presented to us and we are not wed to our priorities that I've just outlined based on the market conditions at the time.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions]. And our next question comes from the line of Chad Beynon with Macquarie. Your line is open.

Chad Beynon

Analyst · Macquarie. Your line is open.

Charles, you mentioned in your prepared remarks that if we take the simple math of 2018 EBITDA, add on the more now projected EBITDA or I guess TTM EBITDA, we derive at roughly $3.50 of free cash flow of 95 -- I think what we calculate to be roughly $95 million of free cash flow. So, understanding that you're not giving guidance for 2019 outside of the six new taverns which would be a positive, slightly better terms on the chain stores, which I think should improve margins and be a positive, those will be offset by potentially some disruption from Strat renovations, is there anything else kind of in that algorithm that we should be aware of just when we think about 2019?

Charles Protell

Management

Look, Chad, I mean, I think we obviously -- Blake outlined a lot of initiatives. You mentioned some of them, we've talked about the economics, one card system that we're putting into place. We obviously have our own expectations and plan. As you said, we're not giving guidance. The purpose is that math, I was outlined, if you're ready to take the business as it sits right now today, that discretionary free cash yield per share relative to where we are trading at, it's probably the best in the space at this point. So, that was really the point to out. I think that there is puts and takes as we get through the year. And you said the trade up for some of those, maybe some of the ongoing disruption at The Strat, but regardless of that we still feel that the cash flow generation coming out of this business, again, relative to our shares out and the yields is very attractive.

Chad Beynon

Analyst · Macquarie. Your line is open.

Okay, thank you. And we agree. On the Marnell gaming results, as you kind of take that under your wing here, were they wildly different than when you originally announced the acquisition. I know some of the numbers had -- at the close of the books had to be finalized, but just as we think about revenues and EBITDA, did anything change dramatically from when you last reported them?

Charles Protell

Management

For Marnell?

Chad Beynon

Analyst · Macquarie. Your line is open.

Yes.

Charles Protell

Management

So, I'd say that, look, our expectation for the year for Marnell is still that we'd approximate roughly where we closed on an LTM basis, plus the $4 million in synergies that we've talked about in the past and earnings those synergies over the next two years.

Chad Beynon

Analyst · Macquarie. Your line is open.

Okay, great. And then my final question, Blake, just as you think about the returns, some of the details have been tweaked on The Strat, but are you still targeting a 15% plus return on the overall project?

Blake Sartini

Management

I will say, Chad, I would say that's fair. I would say it's the gestation of all of these investments as I've outlined really culminates in 2021. I think when we get the full slate of the amenities together in this property along with a concerted marketing campaign, which really we're not doing it all right now is I think we are very positive on achieving the results that we've outlined in the past regarding return on that investment.

Charles Protell

Management

And Chad, not to get into the details of it too much. But if you think about our room nights sold within that asset, it's roughly 800,000 on an annual basis. We have almost 1.3 million visitors that come to the Tower and those two experiences on the best we can tell are not linked. So there is a very small percentage our casino guests that overlap that. So you think about $2 million touch points a year, what we're trying to do with this investment is generate another $20 out each of those touch points with investment we're making and if you think about that as the margins that we're achieving, that is where we're getting to our returns. So we've obviously looked at that there every investment we're making in the rooms, we're looking at that through every investment we are making the F&B outlets, but we've got to get to the end point of that project in order to get to that full return profile.

Blake Sartini

Management

I think lastly, Chad, I think maybe helpful to summarize, the thesis of the investment overall is really -- not real complicated, right. We want to invest in the rooms and amenities on a focused and targeted basis, while minimizing disruption and those investments are really meant to keep our guests in the resort longer spending more as a result of us providing more retail points, entertainment options and an overall experience, which competes effectively for out of town guests at Nevada. And I will say just as a snippet here, of the venues that we have completed and are operating fully, we are realizing good returns from it. So that's giving us whether that's the Top of the World restaurant or the 108 restaurant we just opened, meaning floor 108 or The Strat Cafe, we are realizing nice returns on those investments that have been completed. That also is a bit -- it's a bit challenge with the continued construction going on, but there are -- there are highlights with those investments that have been completed and the second part of the thesis, as Charles said, is drawing more wallet share from the 1.2 million people currently visiting the Tower who are not saying at the property. And I think, at the end of this, we're comfortable with realized returns that we've spoken about as Charles has just outlined.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back to Mr. Sartini for closing remarks.

Blake Sartini

Management

Thank you, operator, and thanks to everyone for joining us today. We look forward to updating everyone on our continued progress when we report our 2019 first quarter results.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This concludes the program and you may all disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.