George C. Zoley
Analyst · SunTrust.
Well, with regard to Prop 47, as we understand, the implications of that proposition, it could have an impact at the state level of between 3,000 and 4,000 beds, we are told. Eventually, as individual prisoners have to petition the court to reclassify their offenses, and which will take many months, if not years, and we don't know how that will shake out. But it doesn't seem to be a material significance to their population levels when placed against their internal growth rate, just from the demographics of the growth of their population as the state. And the -- a lot of the people that may be affected are in the county jails that we're not involved in. We're only involved in the state facilities and again, at that level, it's only -- we believe, estimated at 3,000 to 4,000 people over a very long period of time. So it doesn't have any material impact to our occupancy census as to our 4 facilities. We have, presently, approximately 2,400 beds in-state for the California Department of Corrections & Rehabilitation. And we hold a higher level of security in those facilities. They're normally levels 2s and 3s out of the 1, 2, 3, 4 grading system for security levels. The Prop 14 -- Prop 47 is really dealing with people who eventually become level 1s, and we don't hold those type of prisoners. And just turning to the national scene. I think the biggest potential impact could again be in the area of immigration reform and the discussion, which will include an analysis of what it will take to better secure the border as we've all recently seen, that there's still the ability for numerous people to be able to cross the border illegally and enter the United States. And part of the populations that came across are, obviously, these families and we've now established 1 facility for that purpose. There may be a need for several more, as a specialty kind of housing facility. And then there's, of course, the criminal alien population and that will still need to be housed in these [ph] facilities and maybe an expansion of that capacity as we move forward.