Earnings Labs

Geron Corporation (GERN)

Q2 2023 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 3, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to the Geron Corporation Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call. I am Aron Feingold, Geron's Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. I'm joined today by several members of Geron's management team: Dr. John Scarlett, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Olivia Bloom, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Dr. Faye Feller, Executive Vice President and Chief Medical Officer; Anil Kapur, Executive Vice President of Corporate Strategy and Chief Commercial Officer; Dr Andrew Grethlein, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. Before we begin, please note that, during the course of this presentation and question-and-answer session, we will be making forward-looking statements regarding future events, performance, plans, expectations and other projections including those relating to the therapeutic potential and potential regulatory approval of imetelstat, anticipated clinical and commercial events and related time lines, the sufficiency of Geron's financial resources and other statements that are not historical facts. Actual events or results could differ materially. Therefore, I refer you to the discussion under the heading Risk Factors in Geron's quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2023, which identifies important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. Geron undertakes no duty or obligation to update our forward-looking statements. With that, I will turn the call over to Chip. Chip?

John Scarlett

Management

Thanks, Aaron. Good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. Geron's most recent quarter was punctuated by important achievements, which support our evolution from a late stage clinical development company toward one with future substantial commercial capabilities. Foremost among these achievements was the submission in mid-June of a New Drug Application for imetelstat in lower risk MDS. This was the first NDA ever submitted for telomerase inhibitor and reflects our team's dedication, commitment and focus on groundbreaking and innovative drug development over many years. Other important milestones included presentations at both ASCO and EHA new data and analyses from the IMerge Phase 3 lower risk MDS trial. These data contributed to the evidence for compelling imetelstat efficacy profile, including durable continuous transfusion independence, as well as substantial increases in serum hemoglobin; broad responses across MDS subtypes, including ring sideroblast positive and negative patients, as well as in high transfusion burdened patients were also reported. Further, the presentations reflected strong evidence for potential disease modifying activity, as well as patient reported outcomes of improved fatigue in imetelstat treated patients. Faye will comment in more detail on these clinical data updates later on this call. Collectively, these data distinguish imetelstat from other treatments for patients with lower risk MDS that are available commercially, or that are in development today. Based on our market research, including perspectives gained from both academic and community hematologists, we believe the broad hematology community considers imetelstat an important potential treatment option for patients with lower risk MDS. Our market insights show that imetelstat is positioned to become a new standard of care in lower risk MDS, particularly for difficult to treat subgroups who have very limited options today. As a result, we believe the total addressable market in lower risk MDS for imetelstat is approximately $3.5 billion…

Faye Feller

Management

Thank you, Chip. And good afternoon to everyone on the call. As Chip mentioned, we are thrilled to have submitted our imetelstat new drug application in June 2023 for the treatment of transfusion dependent anemia in adult patients with low to intermediate-1 risk MDS who have failed to respond or have lost response to or ineligible for erythropoiesis-stimulating agent, or ESA. As permitted under imetelstat's fast track designation, we have requested that the FDA grant priority review of the NDA. We expect FDA will communicate potential acceptance of the NDA within 60 days of submission. That is sometime in mid-August and reveal the PDUFA date for such a review. Under a priority review scenario, we would expect potential NDA approval timing in the first quarter of next year. Under standard review, we would expect potential approval timing in the second quarter of 2024. To expand imetelstat's potential reach outside of the US, we remain on track to submit a marketing authorization application in the European Union for lower risk MDS in the fourth quarter of 2023. As we await potential commercialization in the US, we initiated an expanded access program, or EAP, in June 2023. This is a program that enables us to make imetelstat available to clinicians and patients prior to FDA approval. Treatment of low risk MDS patients in this program is based on a protocol approved by FDA, which requires each treating physician to apply for access for their patient. We have heard physicians in both academic and community settings express the need for new treatment options for their lower risk MDS patients, and we are pleased to be able to offer this expanded access program to the low risk MDS community. Patients treated with imetelstat in the expanded access program are expected to ultimately be transitioned…

Anil Kapur

Management

Thank you, Faye. And good afternoon, everyone. We are very pleased with the status of our commercial readiness activities and are on track to achieve launch readiness by early 2024. Faye has already described several significant efforts that support a potential imetelstat launch, including important regulatory progress, as well as unprecedented IMerge data presented at medical meetings, which deeply support imetelstat's value proposition messaging. In particular, the PRO data reporting improvement in fatigue with imetelstat is an important differentiator and will be a critical element for payer interactions. This quarter, we also advanced critical work by obtaining significant insights from our market research efforts based on the latest lower risk MDS data presented at ASCO and EHA by Geron and competitors. For a full review of this market research, we refer you to the investor event webcast that Faye mentioned earlier. For purposes of today's call, I will highlight key takeaways from that market research presentation. First, in alignment with informal feedback on the grounds at ASCO and EHA, our latest market research from practicing academic and community hematologists across US and key European markets confirmed that our IMerge Phase 3 data has been received favorably, particularly the compelling PI rates across subgroups, reduction in transfusion burden, hemoglobin rises, meaningful durability of response, balanced with a predictable adverse event profile with manageable cytopenias. Second, continued hematologist feedback supports the imetelstat opportunity across ESA, relapsed refractory, RS negative and RS positive subtypes, as well as high transfusion burden patients. Third, these hematologists indicated that imetelstat is likely to become a new standard of care in post ESA experienced and luspatercept-experienced frontline patients or second line lower risk MDS patients, as well as an important new option for frontline ESA ineligible patients who serum EPO level is greater than 500. All of these insights are instrumental to our understanding of imetelstat's potential place in the market and our engagement strategy with physicians. With that, I'll turn the call over to Olivia for a full financial update. Olivia?

Olivia Bloom

Management

Thanks, Anil. And thanks to everyone on the call for joining us today. Please refer to the press release we issued this afternoon, which is available on our website for detailed financial results. As expected, operating expenses were higher for the three and six months ended June 30, 2023 compared to the prior periods. The increase in R&D expenses for the three and six month periods of 2023 compared to the same period in 2022 primarily reflect higher clinical trial costs for increased activity for both Phase 3 trials and the Phase 1 trial in frontline MF, increased personnel related costs for additional headcount, higher consulting costs to support regulatory submissions, and greater imetelstat manufacturing costs in preparation for potential commercialization in the first half of 2024 in low risk MDS. The increase in general and administrative expenses for the three and six months ended June 30, 2023 compared to the same period in 2022 primarily reflect higher personnel related expenses for additional headcount and increased costs for new commercial preparatory activities. We continue to expect non-GAAP total operating expenses of up to $210 million for the full year of 2023. This financial guidance may be revised in the future upon notification from the FDA of the potential approval timing for imetelstat in low risk MDS. Turning to our financial resources. As of June 30, 2023, we had approximately $400.2 million in cash and marketable securities. This balance includes approximately $17.8 million in proceeds from warrant exercises that we received in the second quarter of 2023. In the first half of 2023, in total, we have received approximately $77.6 million in warrant proceeds, which leaves approximately $32 million in potential future war proceeds remaining to be exercised. Based on our current operating plans and our expectations regarding the timing of the submission and potential acceptance and approval of our NDA by the FDA for imetelstat in low risk MDS and the subsequent potential US commercial launch in the first half of 2024, as well as the revised guidance on timing of the interim and final analysis for IMpactMF, we believe that our existing financial resources and estimated revenues will be sufficient to fund our projected operating requirements through the end of the third quarter of 2025. If projected exercise proceeds of approximately $32 million from remaining outstanding warrants are added to our current financial resources and estimated revenues, then we believe such aggregated financial resources will be sufficient to fund our projected operating requirements through the end of 2025. With that, I will now hand the call back to Chip for closing remarks. Chip?

John Scarlett

Management

Thanks, Olivia. I'd like to close by reiterating what an exciting time this is for Geron, for imetelstat and for the MDS community. Based on our unprecedented Phase 3 data in low risk MDS and an outpouring of enthusiasm from the medical community, we believe that imetelstat could transform the standard of care in lower risk MDS. We're also very proud to be pioneering the first study in myelofibrosis with overall survival as a primary endpoint. We believe that a potentially disease modifying treatment that improves survival could be transformational for these patients who have failed JAK inhibitors and have limited other options. As a result, we'll stay the course with this Phase 3 trial, especially given its immense potential for value creation for patients and shareholders alike. Finally, we look forward to the expected momentum in the months to come as we continue to execute on our commercial readiness plan, and ultimately, to a potential US launch event of imetelstat in the first half of 2024. So, operator with that, let's open the call to Q&A.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And we do have our first person in the queue. Kalpit Patel, please go ahead.

Kalpit Patel

Analyst

Congrats on the NDA submission. So, maybe starting with one question for Anil. For low risk MDS, assuming that we get approval here in the near future, what early launch metrics do you believe will be important to showcase and highlight the initial stages of launch?

Anil Kapur

Management

I think, for us, it's really important that we have full coverage across reimbursement policies for both academic and community center. That's really critical for a new drug at the time of launch. And it's our expectation that we are going to broadly inform the market and make sure that the policies reimbursement blocks, things that are really critical for new drugs get addressed well. We are also going to measure uptake across both academic and community channels for physicians and the type of patients that are on imetelstat. And since these will be early days, we will obviously continue to monitor for durability of response and questions that may come up around reimbursement and ensuring broadest possible access in the very early days of launch. And from a supply chain perspective, making sure that the drug to specialty distributors is going to patients properly. We also will have our patient hub activated. And so, this is to ensure seamless distribution of the drug and widest access for the patients. So those would be the first few things that we'll focus on.

Kalpit Patel

Analyst

For the IMpactMF study, just curious, is the enrollment rate being impacted because of any potential competition from other clinical studies? And can you maybe add additional clinical trial sites to streamline the enrollment there? Or is that not an option?

Faye Feller

Management

Despite the fact that these patients have a high unmet need for alternative JAK inhibitor therapies, there are indeed, as you mentioned, a number of other ongoing clinical trials in this space. And it's not so much the competition for patients necessarily for these trials, it's more the resources and the staffing. Given that myelofibrosis is an orphan and rare disease, there's limited research staff that can be devoted to studies. So I think that is part of the delay in enrollment. Regardless, we continue to believe in the study and the likelihood of a positive readout and the potential for the study to change the course of MF treatment.

Kalpit Patel

Analyst

One last question on the competitive landscape for myelofibrosis here. We're anticipating data for the combo from MorphoSys in the second half in frontline myelofibrosis. Assuming that this study hits its endpoint, does that in any sense impact your development strategy in myelofibrosis in [indiscernible]?

Faye Feller

Management

Sure. It doesn't change the current status of our Phase 3 study looking, which is looking at patients who have failed JAK inhibitor and are not eligible for JAK inhibitor. So patients, whether they were treated on a clinical trial or as part of standard of care in the community will still be eligible for the IMpactMF trial. And I think regardless of the readout for MorphoSys, it's still an unmet need for patients after they fail JAK inhibitor.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Robert Driscoll.

Sam Ravina

Analyst

This is Sam on for Robert today. I'm just wondering how you might be able to address any doctor concerns or apprehension around the temporary cytopenias associated with imetelstat treatment ahead of commercialization or if there are any other potential gating factors to broad uptake that you're working to address.

Anil Kapur

Management

Let me start first, Robert, and I'll ask Faye to jump in as well. So we have shared the full safety profile of our drugs with the imel study results with a broad set of physicians, both community, academic, across both US and key European markets. The feedback we have received multiple times over the last few years has been that the focus from physicians remains on the timing of cytopenias, the resolution data and most specifically on the clinical consequences, especially bleeding infections and hospitalizations. And they have also compared the imetelstat arm to the placebo arm in the trial. Overall, we see very similar conclusions for both academic and community doctors. And we expect that the AE profile, as per them, is not a barrier at the time of launch. All cite very extensive experiences with managing in key toxicities in this setting, especially given long term familiarity with HMAs. They also state that they will obviously manage their first patients as they build clinical experience with the drug more closely. So our expectation is, given the very high efficacy results, the clear mechanistic rationale for why these cytopenias occur, the fact they're predictable and the fact there are few clinical consequences, it should be really good. And it could be our medical affairs teams, our entire teams, and we will continue to focus on education and the linkage to the mechanism of action, so they have a clear understanding of what to expect for imetelstat patients and ensure success. Faye. if you would like to add anything clinically from your side.

Faye Feller

Management

I completely agree and echo with what Anil said, and the feedback that we hear really is from hematologists. They are comfortable at managing cytopenias and understanding them and knowing what measures to take in order to support their patients. Once we explain the timing, the reversibility and, most importantly, the lack of prolonged cytopenias and lack of severe infections or severe bleeding, once there's an understanding to that, it helps to allay any possible concerns. But mostly in the hands of hematologists, they feel quite comfortable managing these cytopenias. And also in the upcoming months, as Anil mentioned, we'll have training from our medical affairs team and also more insight into cytopenias in further presentations or complications.

Sam Ravina

Analyst

One last one here, just kind of wondering if there are any key differences between the value proposition for imetelstat in the US versus the EU just based on the current treatment paradigms for each region?

Anil Kapur

Management

Let me take that question, Robert, with EU first. As you can imagine, the most important thing in Europe is to establish broad based reimbursement. Each of the countries is very different. And what's really encouraging about imetelstat and low risk MDS is our efficacy datasets are all showing the data that payers have repeatedly asked for. This includes PRO data, it includes 24-week PR data, which they have insisted that they would really like to see. And that is very positive news for us because the durability of PR and PRO value proposition is very strong. So our goal there is to establish pricing in all the key markets in sequence, and I think we'll be favorably received within Europe. In US, again, the goal here is, we have a concentrated set of our position universe. And our aim here is to make sure that imetelstat is launched really well and these physicians have first experience success. In terms of commercial value, obviously, as you know, it's pricing dependent. So the US market is commercially more dollar value higher than the European market. But the adoption and the need for imetelstat comes out pretty equally across both US and Europe.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Corinne Jenkins.

Corinne Jenkins

Analyst

Maybe a couple from me. On the EAP, what can you share regarding kind of the initial demand you're seeing for that program and where are the pockets of that demand coming from and how are you managing through that program ahead of the launch?

Faye Feller

Management

The expanded access protocol was recently opened and approved and really is a bridge for – a mechanism for patients who receive imetelstat prior to approval and commercialization. The way that the EAP protocol is structured is that the patient care providers and physicians place a request on an individual patient basis for enrollment into the protocol, and then it's very similar to any other type of clinical trial protocols. So it's still early on in our opening of it and we don't yet have a sense of the kinetics of the enrollment.

Corinne Jenkins

Analyst

Maybe separately, I think I saw in the press release, you expect the growth in terms of employees to be up to about 160 by the end of the year, at that point how much additional hiring you'll need to do to be prepared for the launch?

Olivia Bloom

Management

This is Olivia. So that total does not include the sales force that is going to need to be hired for launch because the timing of that hiring is going to be dependent on the PDUFA date. And then I'll hand the microphone over to Anil to talk about the size of the sales force and what's going to be necessary.

Anil Kapur

Management

As we have previously guided, Corrine, on that answer, sales force field expansion will be very PDUFA aligned. And our expectation is national competitors coverage. And as we previously said, we expect our commercial organization to be somewhere in the 100 to 120 full time people, including sales and the commercial team supporting us across medical affairs, as well as the commercial side of it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Gil Blum.

Gil Blum

Analyst

Maybe a simple one first. So we expect news on some FDA feedback soon in August. Will we know also about an advisory committee at that point or did that take a little longer?

John Scarlett

Management

I'll take that one, Gil. Ordinarily wouldn't know about an advisory committee either plus or minus at that time. Agencies usually are very focused on an acceptance of the NDA for review. In their lingo, the filing of the NDA. That's the one thing that we can count on. We would next expect to hear possibly by the end of the month of August, something further about the actual PDUFA date, assuming that it's accepted, which would give an indication of whether it was a priority or standard review. If and when there would be an advisory committee meeting and ODAC, quite uncertain when that would be announced or requested or posted. It can come quite late in the review cycle. It can come a little bit earlier, but there's no specific timing for that, and I don't think we would have any feel for that right now.

Gil Blum

Analyst

Maybe a bit of a broader question, a clinical one. Is there any understanding regarding the non-responders in low risk MDS? Is this just because the primary disease is too far longer? What are your insights on patients who seem to not respond?

Faye Feller

Management

So you're asking about patients who probably don't achieve TI. A lot of those patients, though they may not achieve 100% transfusion independence, they may have reductions in transfusion burden. They may have increases in hemoglobin, improvement in symptoms or other quite possibly like intangible benefits or benefits that were not routinely assessed on the study. So we continue to look into that. And we continue to look into if there are any predictors of patients who will achieve TI in terms of mutation or pathology, or anything like that. And I have not yet seen anything notable distinguishing patients who achieve TI from those who don't.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Julie [ph].

Unidentified Participant

Analyst

[Technical Difficulty] Stifel. I just have a one quick question regarding IMpactMF. So with the 40%, if I remember correctly, with 40% of patients enrolled in this study now, can you guys maybe talk a little bit about how – so basically, whether the early event rate that you have observed to date is in line with your expectation? And also, can you give us a little bit of cover on maybe the efforts or anything that you're doing to expedite enrollment in IMpactMF.

Faye Feller

Management

Regarding the event rates, given that this is a blinded study, although the patients know which arm they're randomized to, we are blinded to the data and to what patients are taking when we look at the analysis as a whole. So we cannot comment on the event rate until basically either the interim or the final analysis when the study is unblinded. But just to say also that the 40% enrollment, to contrast that with 35% of the enrolled patients having died is when the interim is triggered. And then to your second question about efforts to expedite or to boost enrollment, we had ongoing efforts since end of last year, early this year, which included site visits and investigator engagements, and additional resourcing to encourage enrollment and boost enrollment. We continue to receive enthusiastic feedback from MF investigators for the study and for enrolling patients in the study. And we hope that the efforts that we've put in to date will continue to bear fruit, and we'll see that that helps and maintains our enrollment.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our next question comes from Joel Beatty.

Joel Beatty

Analyst

Just wanted to follow up on the previous question on IMpactMF. With the guidance now being for interim readout in first half of 2025, is that timing driven solely by the enrollment rate? Or does it also take into consideration the event rate on a blended basis?

Faye Feller

Management

It takes into account the current enrollment rate. And what we've seen in enrollment now that the study's been open for some time, we have a better or more of a sense now for the pace of enrollment. But the event rate is based on the initial [indiscernible] assumptions built into the study. At this time, we haven't recalibrated [indiscernible].

Joel Beatty

Analyst

Now that ASCO has passed, can you discuss what you see as the opportunity to capture market share in RS negative patients, which is, as I understand it, the majority of the market and also where luspatercept showed a negative trend on the primary endpoint.

Anil Kapur

Management

I think the data is very clear. What we are seeing in terms of sequencing post-ASCO and EHA dates on all the data that came out at low risk MDS, in RS negative patients, the strong preference for physician remains imetelstat, especially in patients who are previously ESA treated and that is pretty overwhelming, both from US perspective, as well as from European perspective. So that's very consistent. And I think that is in line with what we know previously from the phase study. And also, obviously, from the [indiscernible] in the frontline setting. So we feel that imetelstat is likely to become the standard of care in RS negative patients, especially the ESA treated patient population, which will be the vast majority, and that is irrespective of transfusion burden. So that is good for patients. And it is a validation for the data that came out from [indiscernible].

Joel Beatty

Analyst

One last question. Operating expenses looked up a bit from about $40 million in Q1 to about $52 million now in Q2. Can you help put that increase into context and give a sense of what the trajectory in expenses might look like over the next quarter or two?

Olivia Bloom

Management

As I mentioned, we're still maintaining our overall annual guidance of up to $210 million of non-GAAP expense. And as I think I've said on previous calls that I did anticipate the getting toward the second half of the year the ramp in expenses, not only as the more intensified commercial prep efforts, but also as we are manufacturing commercial grade inventory, getting ready for launch as well. And so, that's where you're seeing the increase happening here in the second quarter in comparison to the first quarter, is there were increased expenses related to manufacturing costs, as well as, I would say, increased costs for consulting expenses as we have submitted all of the regulatory filings related to the NDA and then now are in the heart of getting everything ready for the MAA filing here in the fourth quarter of 2023.

Operator

Operator

Okay. And there are no further questions. So at this time, I'd like to turn it back over to Aron Feingold.

Aron Feingold

Analyst

Thank you so much for joining us today. We appreciate you taking the time to listen and participate and look forward to keeping you updated on our progress.

Operator

Operator

That concludes today's call. You may disconnect.