Operator
Operator
Good day, and welcome to the Gold Fields Q3 2011 Results. [Operator Instructions] Please also note that this conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to Willie Jacobsz. Please go ahead, sir.
Gold Fields Limited (GFI)
Q3 2011 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 10, 2011
$43.17
—
Same-Day
+3.19%
1 Week
-4.34%
1 Month
-11.12%
vs S&P
-10.10%
Operator
Operator
Good day, and welcome to the Gold Fields Q3 2011 Results. [Operator Instructions] Please also note that this conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to Willie Jacobsz. Please go ahead, sir.
Willie Jacobsz
Analyst
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you very much for joining us for the results teleconference for our quarter 3 results. Nick Holland is going to give a brief introduction to the results, after which we're going to open it up for questions. I'll now hand it over to Nick.
Nicholas John Holland
Analyst
Thank you very much, Willie. With me today, I've got Paul Schmidt, Chief Financial Officer. I've also got Zakira Amra, Head of Investor Relations; Willie, you've already heard from; and then also Michael Fleischer, our General Counsel, is with us today. Let me briefly highlight some of the key features of the quarterly results, after which we'll be prepared to take any of your questions. The group delivered a strong performance in quarter 3 reporting quarterly earnings of $293 million. That's a record quarter for Gold Fields and significantly higher than $186 million recorded in the previous quarter, the June quarter. Group attributable production was up 3% to 900,000 ounces for the September quarter. That's in line with guidance supported by the acquisitions in minorities in Ghana and Peru, which we concluded at the end of the previous quarter, and the 900,000 ounces and 3% increase was also achieved despite a 5-day wage related industrial action in South Africa at the early part of the quarter. The international regions within Gold Fields contributed 52% or 472,000 ounces of the group attributable gold equivalent production and 63% to the group operating results. It's particularly interesting that the international portfolio of Gold Fields has increased over the last 3.5 years from 1.3 million ounces of production to 2 million ounces of production, and net production has come in at lower costs than the rest of the group and has had a positive impact on our overall cost. There was a 14% increase in the realized gold price for the quarter, which resulted in an 11% increase in revenue to 1.6 billion per quarter. Our business process reengineering initiatives across the globe continue to deliver, demonstrating sound cost control and improved efficiencies across the group. Total rand denominated spend for the September quarter…
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from John Bridges of JP Morgan. John D. Bridges - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division: I was intrigued to hear you're making progress with the PGM project. I wondered if you'd give us a bit more detail on that. That sounds very interesting. What sort of cost structure do you expect from it? And the way you spoke about the steps, but if you could give us a bit more detail on how you expect that to go forward, I would really appreciate it.
Nicholas John Holland
Analyst
Sure. John, what we are going to be doing is we're going to be doing some additional drilling on some of the other deposits. If you can recall, we've said that the 12 million ounces that we have is made up of the series of different pits across the ore body, including the SK Reef’s as well as the ones I just mentioned. And we're going to look at what is the best level of production for the projects in terms of annual volume, what's the best mix. And then we're going to look at the associated cost structures, taking them into account. We've done some initial indications just looking at the Konttijarvi and Ahmavaara ore bodies, which are fairly well understood, and some broad indications are that this project would be around about the median of the overall PGM cost curve. And of course, given the 40% of the metals here are PGMs and having worked in the PGM industry myself, PGM positioning is always a very important cost positioning. So we've done some broad numbers, which obviously, will firm up as we get into the next phase. But this project looks like it could be placed around the middle of the cost curve, which is important, of course, to consider taking this to the next stage. So the next stage is we're going to be drilling some of the other satellite deposits, getting more in information. We've got some information but not enough. And then we'll be running a series of iterations and then coming up with what we think is the best outcome for the ore body. In other words, we'll also look at what the annual tonnage is likely to be for this particular project. And looking at how we can optimize strip ratios, how can we optimize mix, grade and feed into the plant and of course, the hydromet autoclave system, which the concentrate feed will feed into. So that's going to be the focus of the work, John, over the next 6 to 12 months. And I believe, we'll then be in a better position to decide what to do. I'm not fixated whether we build this ourselves, we can look at all sorts of different options. Do we partner with somebody else? Do we sell it? Do we spin it off? All of these options can be considered once we've optimize all of the different options, and we'll take that view later. But right now, we're sitting with something that frankly, I don't think anyone has attributed any value in any of these. I think our job is to see how we can valorize this project in whatever way. John D. Bridges - JP Morgan Chase & Co, Research Division: Presumably, you've looked at the economics of platinum and palladium, and I'd be interested in your view particularly on palladium as the sort of independent arbiter of the industry being outside at present.
Nicholas John Holland
Analyst
Well, certainly, the fundamentals for palladium have improved quite significantly. And that's given us the encouragement to do the test work. We've embarked upon a year of work. We've essentially replicated an entire hydromet process facility with a front-end concentrate. It's almost like a mini system of what the real thing would be like, and it's taking us a lot of time and effort to do so. And the palladium prices have given us the incentive to do that. So I'm reasonably encouraged about what we're seeing today. And if I look at the South African cost curve, John, at these sort of prices, it's very evident if you look at what's happening in South Africa that the type of industry in this country is not making much money. Now if you have to look at the NCE comparative for the platinum industry in South Africa, at these sort of prices, the guys are not making that much money. So I think there is potential for the cost levels in South Africa, which are going to rise even more as we see further electricity price increases, further wage increases. That's going to act as a catalyst for PGM prices. And we're sitting with a project in a country with more benign cost inflation and we could be a beneficiary of that into the future.
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Gentlemen, it appears we have no further questions. Would you like to make some closing comments?
Nicholas John Holland
Analyst
I just want to doublecheck because last time we did the conference call, afterwards when we didn't get a lot of questions, we got some calls from people who were trying to press their buttons to alert your attention to a question. We just want to try and doublecheck that people aren't trying to get through to ask questions.
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] I see, we now have 2 further questions. In the queue, the first comes from Adrian Hammond [ph] of KD Securities.
Unknown Analyst -
Analyst
You've indicated that you'll be targeting 5 million ounces by 2015 either in production or in development. Could you please indicate what the ramp up to this profile will look like over the next 4 years?
Nicholas John Holland
Analyst
Well, we've indicated that we are going to be in development or production. I can't give you categorically today what that split's going to look like, but I believe that we'll have Chucapaca and Damang in development. I think there's a very good chance that we'll have Yanfolila in the development and potentially APP. Far Southeast, I think it's going to take longer. It's going to be in particularly just spending on the mining men that we deploy. It's going to take quite a long time. But in terms of who's going to be in production, I think there's a reasonable prospect that Chucapaca and Damang could be in production. They may provide between them around about 500,000 ounces attributable production to the group. Of course, we got the South Deep project that's ramping up, which -- some of which might be replacement but certainly some of which is likely to be growth. So we haven't quite got a definitive schedule for you today as to what that's going to look like because of these projects are graduating up the curve. But we believe that we'll have the 5 million ounces either in development, in other words, bricks-and-mortar level, or we'll have them in production. And that's why we've decided to state it that way. In terms of actual production levels, we're going to give more thought to that and try and give you better resolution over the next months.
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from of Yana Merier [ph] of Bloomberg.
Unknown Analyst -
Analyst
Nick, I just want to doublecheck something, the platinum/palladium project you were talking about earlier, that's the Arctic Platinum project in Finland, right?
Nicholas John Holland
Analyst
Yes, that's the one in Finland.
Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Howard Flinker of Flinker & Company.
Howard Flinker - Flinker and Company
Analyst
Could you please give us an update if there are on any political changes in South Africa?
Nicholas John Holland
Analyst
Political changes in terms of what specifically, Howard?
Howard Flinker - Flinker and Company
Analyst
Any regulatory or legislative developments making it a little easier to do business there?
Nicholas John Holland
Analyst
No, there hasn't been anything specific that we'd like to mention. The mining charter was revised around about a year ago, and that's still in force today. There's no real changes there. I've got Michael with me here, our General Counsel. Michael, I think you want to answer Howard's question?
Unknown Executive
Analyst
No, I wouldn't say that there's been anything material. I mean the other legislative change was that we got a new company's act on the first of May, last year -- this year, sorry, and which has made probably company law a little more in line with the rest of the world. So I think that was a good change. But other than that, there haven't been any material changes that I can think of offhand that impacts on us in any material way.
Howard Flinker - Flinker and Company
Analyst
Were there any specific -- general changes in the AMC or not?
Unknown Executive
Analyst
Any specific changes in the AMC. Look, I think there have been some ministers. President Zuma has announced some ministers that were subject of various investigations have been removed from office. You might have seen the Commissioner of Police was suspended pending an investigation into some leases that have been entered into where it was suspected that he may have been a related party.
Howard Flinker - Flinker and Company
Analyst
May have been.
Unknown Executive
Analyst
Well, that's still an ongoing investigation.
Howard Flinker - Flinker and Company
Analyst
Yes, of course. Of course.
Unknown Executive
Analyst
But other than that, nothing material that I can think.
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] We appear to have no one in the queue. Therefore, gentlemen, if you would like to make some closing comments.
Nicholas John Holland
Analyst
Thank you very much, Donald. Well, thank you everyone for attending the call today. And we look forward to talking to you again in a quarter's time. And don't forget the Analyst Day in New York and in Johannesburg, on the 5th of December in Johannesburg and the 7th of December in New York. And we hope to see as many of you as we can face-to-face and look forward to interacting with you there. With that, I'm going to say goodbye and look forward to talking to you again in the future. Thank you.
Operator
Operator
Thank you very much, sir. On behalf of Gold Fields, that concludes this conference. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect your lines.