Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to Grupo Financiero Galicia Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. This conference is being recorded, and the replay will be available at the company's website at gfgsa.com. [Operator Instructions] Some of the statements made during this conference call will be forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the U.S. federal securities laws and are subject to risks and uncertainty that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed. Investors should be aware of events related to the macroeconomic scenario, the financial industry and other factors that could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in the respective forward-looking statements. Now I will turn the conference over to Mr. Pablo Firvida, Head of Investor Relations. You may begin your conference.

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. I will make a short introduction, and then Gonzalo Fernández Covaro, our CFO, will have some words. Latest figures indicate that Argentina's economy grew by 4.4% on average during 2025 and the primary surplus stood at 1.4% of GDP with an overall fiscal result of 0.2% of GDP. The National Consumer Price Index recorded a 7.9% increase during the fourth quarter of 2025. Inflation for the year stood at 31.5%, significantly decelerating from the 117.8% recorded in 2024 and reaching its lowest level in 8 years. However, monthly inflation accelerated during the second half of the year and displayed a 2.8% increase in December after having reached lows of 1.5% in May and 1.6% in June. In January 2026, monthly inflation rose to 2.9%, while the year-on-year rate accelerated to 32.4%. On the monetary side, the Central Bank expanded the monetary base by ARS 0.7 trillion in the fourth quarter and by ARS 13.2 trillion over the year, bringing the year-on-year increase to 44.5% as of the end of 2025. In December 2025, the exchange rate averaged ARS 1,448 per dollar, reflecting a 29.5% year-on-year depreciation. As of January 1, 2026, both the floor and the ceiling of the exchange rate band began to adjust monthly in line with the latest available monthly inflation data. In December 2025, the average rate on peso-denominated private sector time deposits for up to 59 days stood at 26.6%, 6.4 percentage points below the December 2024 average. Private sector deposits in pesos averaged ARS 104.1 trillion in December, increasing by 10.6% during the quarter and 40.1% in the last 12 months. Time deposits rose 4.3% during the quarter and 44.8% in the year. Peso-denominated transactional deposits increased 18.3% during the fourth quarter and 35.2% in year-over-year terms. Private sector…

Thank you, Pablo. Hi, everyone. Well, looking ahead, I mean, we believe Argentina is entering in a phase of stability, more predictable policy framework and renewal potential for great growth. As normalization continues and structural reforms advance, the banking system is expected to play a central role in supporting investment, productive activity and the long-term economic development. So we see a positive trends for the future for the country. Talking about 2026 specifically, we see inflation a bit higher than our first estimation, now at 23% and GDP growing at 3.7%. We're keeping our projections of 25% loan growth for the year, but we see slower pace at the first half and accelerating in the second half, that could put some pressure to our revenues. As we said in prior calls, we expect NPLs in the bank to have their peak in March '26. So during March to be -- to with the peak, but the cost of risk, we are seeing that we already had the peak in the fourth quarter of 2025, and we started to see credit losses charges to the P&L to decrease in the first quarter of 2026 in the bank. In Naranja X, same trend, but with some slower pace, but also same trend. We expect to have the benefit of the restructuring made last year after the HSBC acquisition and to continue to improve our efficiency ratios and to capture those positive effects during 2026. We are keeping our ROE guidance for 2026 in the low-double-digit range, I would say, between 10% and 11% going from low to high during the year. And regarding dividend payments, we are proposing a payment of ARS 190 billion, which ARS 40 billion are subject to Central Bank approval as usual. So with that, I mean, we are open for questions.

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Mr. Brian Flores with Citi.

Gonzalo, Pablo. Gonzalo, just a quick follow-up on the 2026 guidance. So basically, you're maintaining around 25% real year-over-year growth in deposits should be a bit lower. I think the last notion you provided was around 20%. So I just wanted to confirm if these ranges are still value.

Yes, we said deposit between 15% and 20%, but close to not material changes, I would say.

And then something that caught our attention here is that we saw a strong maybe revision of the growth strategy, right? Because you were growing very fast in the first 3 quarters and you slowed down significantly in the last quarter. Just wanted to check if you have changed your focus on growth, if we should see maybe Galicia losing a bit of market share in 2026 as this asset quality is digested? Or do you think you will defend and keep it steady during 2026?

No. I mean our goal is to keep market share and also increase it -- try to increase it. But I would say that maybe at a slower pace, as I said before, in the first half and accelerating in the second half. I mean, in the last quarter, yes, I mean, you saw mainly a slower pace in the consumer lending. We still in the same scenario in the first quarter. But until we see that it is the right time to accelerate again, that will be, we assume later in the quarters. But in the whole year, we expect really to defend market share and to grow market share. In terms of commercial, we have lending, we have been seeing some lower demand from customers. But there, as you know, our NPLs in the commercial portfolio in the wholesale portfolio are okay. But we are working with our customers and trying to accelerate commercial lending where we see also a lot of opportunities. But to summarize the answer, the idea is to continue protecting defending market share. And -- but as we said, we see lower growth in the first half, I would say, and higher growth in the second half of the year.

If I may, just a very quick follow-up. So in terms of potential catalysts, do you think the recovery could come more from the macro filtering to the micro, or do you think regulatory -- this is more on the regulatory side than on the economic side?

I would say that the macro should start accelerating impacting the micro. That's something that we haven't seen maybe last year a lot. But we are expecting that the macro -- I mean, I think it's a combination. We, of course, expect the macro to start accelerating the micro at some point, and we believe that the government should take measures to do that because it's what country needs. From regulatory side, I mean, we don't know what will happen. So we are not betting on changes on the regulatory side. Of course, at some point, they may come, but that's something that we cannot manage. So we are not betting on that one.

Our next question comes from Tito Labarta with Goldman Sachs.

My question, you mentioned already provisioning levels should begin to come down in 1Q, although this quarter was a bit higher than expected, and we're still seeing that deterioration in asset quality. I guess how quickly can it come down? And what does give you that comfort that you maintain the loan growth guidance, but that credit quality should improve sufficiently to be able to grow at a faster pace in the second half of the year? Is there anything that you need to see? Or do you think it's just getting through the cycle another quarter or 2 and things should get better? Or any other -- any risk to that?

I mean, of course, that's something that we are assessing and monitoring. Anyway, still 25% is lower than the pace that we have been coming in the last year. So it's a deceleration from what we were coming -- so it's not that we keeping the growth of the prior years. But I mean, it's -- we think that is part of the cycle, as you said. We are starting, of course, to focus in different scores and different segments and that's where we're focusing so far our growth, and that's starting to show. Of course, it's lower than what we were happening in the first half of last year. But we believe that 2 things. First, the cycle is going -- is passing. And also, as I said to Brian before, we believe that the -- at some point, the economy, the current economy -- the growth in the economy should start impacting the micro, and we should start seeing activity to rebound in different sectors. And we should see not in every sector, but we, of course, are monitoring niches of customers and groups of customers where we will focus. So we believe that, that should come. Of course, that if the economy doesn't impact the micro and we don't see growth impacting the activity, well, of course, that would be more difficult. But we expect that, that should happen, and that's where we are seeing the growth -- that's why we are maintaining the growth.

Okay. No, that's helpful. And just on the cost of risk because it was a little bit elevated, you compared to the last quarter, and you said it should, I guess, beginning to improve already in 1Q. But how -- can you get back to the low-double-digits, high-single-digits maybe by the end of the year? Just sort of what kind of magnitude of improvement should we expect from here on the cost of risk?

Cost of risk, we are seeing to end the year 8%, I would say, for the 12 months of the year of 2026. The last quarter was -- I am talking about the bank. Last quarter was 12.5%. So we are expecting that -- and the year was like 10%, 10.5% this year -- sorry, 2025 full-year, 12.5% in the last quarter, which is the highest, and we expect to end '26 in 8%, that would be the projection we are managing, and we started to see that in the -- we made some updates of our models, the variables, as you know, you need to do every year. In the fourth quarter, that contributed also in the growth of the charges. So that's done, and we don't expect -- we expect that our next update that we need to be making by the end of this year won't be increasing charges. So that also explains the peak on the last quarter.

Our next question comes from Pedro Offenhenden with Latin Securities.

I wanted to ask on cost. Should we expect some restructuring or acquisition or integration costs throughout the year or the one-offs are largely behind that?

One-offs are largely behind, as you said. We continue, of course, looking for the right size of the organization and trying to make our organization more efficient. So we may see some things here and there, but nothing material or that will be treated as one-off as last year. So from now on, everything we do is part of our normal operations. So we won't have any big impact like the ones we had last year.

And do you have some target on efficiency or administrative expenses growth for the year?

I mean we expect to see -- I mean, a reduction of around 10% to 11% year-over-year, excluding the one-off of last year. Nevertheless, if you consider the one-off of last year, the reduction will be higher. But excluding the one-off in the expense line of last year, we see a reduction of around 10% to 11% year-over-year, and we see efficiency a bit below 40% for the year.

Our next question comes from Yuri Fernandes with JPMorgan.

No, very briefly on margins. If you can help us understand a little bit the trajectory because I guess the risk-adjusted message is clear, right? This was likely the peak and NPLs still could deteriorate a little bit in the first quarter, but the cost of risk is lower. But I'd like to understand the margins because if your cost of risk improves, maybe we could see better risk-adjusted NIMs this year. So maybe just asking, could we see more stable or not? Like what is the view given the mix shift towards commercial lending? And then my second question is regarding -- I think like there are 2 big debates in Argentina, right? One is the ROE recovery -- and the second one is growth, right? Like when growth will pick up, like could we see more than 20% real growth or not? How confident you are on those 2? Like if you were to pick just one for 2026, are you more comfortable that ROEs, they should recover to more normalized level? Or are you more comfortable with growth?

Okay. Let's go. I think the first question was NIMs. I mean we see -- as you know, the last 4 quarter, we saw December NIMs recuperating. Remember that October, November were still recovering from the higher -- the spike in interest rates of the elections period. We see the first -- for the year, we see around 16.5% the margins for the bank. Total margin for the bank 16.4%, maybe starting a bit higher around 17%, 18% and ending in 16% during the year. But on average for the year, with the mix we are expecting, we see margins around 16.4% for the year. I mean talking about growth and ROEs, I mean, I would say that we are, I would say, determined to protect our share in the market. So we are focusing a lot in -- I mean, it's difficult to answer which are -- with the ones are more sure in an economy that is still recovering and that we still depend on the economy evolution for the growth, of course, I mean, we need the economy to grows as expected and that the macro impacts the micro as we were saying before, and that families should salaries in real terms starts to recovering, which we expect that to happen, but it's something that we depend -- so it cannot be guaranteed. So I would say that our guidance is -- we maintain the guidance because we believe we can achieve both. But of course, we depend on the -- how the economy evolves and not having any surprise like we have, for example, last year in the third quarter with the interest rate spike or stuff like that. I would say that still, it depend on inflation. Remember that inflation accounting for Argentine banks is…

If I may, just on the growth, just to touch on deposits. I think the guidance is 15% to 20%, right? Can you break down dollar and pesos on this? And I don't know like we have another tax kind of flexibilization, right? Like the dollar under the mattress kind of the date. Can this be helpful for deposits to grow this year? So just checking if funding could be another part of the equation for growth.

Yes. I mean regarding the dollar deposit growth, we may see something with this change in the legislation. We don't expect to be as high as the prior effect that we had with the Tax Amnesty that we have between last year and the year before, but some effect it may have. Remember that today, our dollar deposits are almost half of our deposits. Our goal, of course, is to get more profits out of the dollar. So we are seeing how to get more margins on those. I mean, trying to increase the dollar lending. But as you know, we have some restrictions in terms of who we can lend, but that's something that we are focusing a lot because it's increased. I don't know, Pablo, if you remember the growth divided by dollar deposits and peso deposits?

It was -- basically, we concentrated in the peso one around 20%. Dollars is more sensitive to political environment, this type of legislation, as you said. And as we are not really making a good profit on dollar deposits we really don't pay that much attention in a way. We forecast more the peso financing and funding more than the dollar one that perhaps is also -- we cannot manage it as much as the peso funding. The peso was 20%, the dollar, I think it was something like 15%, but they take it as a bulk number.

Our next question comes from Mario Estrella with Itau.

Well, I guess you already answered with the evolution for the next quarters. I believe well, the next quarter is going to be relatively better than 2025, going from lower ROE to higher as we move towards the end of the year, right? And I understood that the drivers for that, of course, is going to be less pressure on the cost of risk side. But because, I mean, the full quarter results, I mean, in terms of NII, I believe they weren't that bad, I would say. So my question is, I mean, with the inflation trend that we've seen, the first quarter was more inflationary than expected. I mean, what are the downside risk that you see for your guidance if inflation keeps surprising in the upside right? Taking into account that monetary correction loss that the fourth quarter was actually higher than in the third one, right? So that kind of shows you the potential downside risk that we can see from much inflation -- for more inflation, right?

Yes. I mean the downside, of course, as you just mentioned, is more inflation that, of course, affects our balance sheet. So that could be -- if inflation is higher than expected, that could be a downside. And I would say that we are focusing all our efforts in improving the cost of risk. As you can see easily from our results, margins are okay. I mean costs are okay. I mean, efficiency, but of course, that the thing that is putting some sticks in the wheel for profitability is the cost of risk. So that's main focus we have. So I mean -- and that, of course, is for the good and for the bad. I mean we have a lot of room for improvement there. But also if the improvement is lower than we will see an improvement. I mean that we cannot guarantee anything, but my point is we are seeing the improvement. I would say that the risk could be that the improvement is at a slower pace than expected, and that could impact results, not getting the improvements in as fast as we expect during the year. I would say that could be a downward risk that we're facing. We -- so far, January, we came what we are expecting. But of course, the year is long, and we depend on a lot of things on how economy evolves, et cetera, et cetera, that I mentioned before. So on the other hand, top line is important. I mean even though margins are still healthy, we depend, of course, in growth and growing the top line. And of course, that if we don't see the demand of lending because the economy has any deceleration or whatever, well, that could also -- I would say that both -- those 2 could be downward risks. It's not our base case. We are not -- we are expecting that the economy should help on that. But of course, those 2 are downward risk. In the cost side, I think we are okay. We have done a good job in restructuring. As you know, last year, more than 2,000 people from the HSBC acquisition. Of course, we continue to look for more alternatives to continue to improve efficiency. So we continue in that work to always find and adjust the rightsizing of the organization. But I think those are more predictable or manageable by us. The other 2 top line and NPLs, of cost of risk. In our base case, those should come as expected. But of course, if we have different evolution of the economy and also as we were discussing before, how the macro impacts in the micro, we need to start seeing the economic activity in more sectors moves faster. Well, that could be a downward risk, of course.

I understood that the ROE evolution for this year will be something around high-single-digits. And then 2027 something around 15%, right? I mean, based on improvement in asset quality, right? Is that right?

Yes, yes. This year, we're saying low-double-digits or high single is close. So you're right? But the idea is between 10% and 11% this year and next year, around 15% or above and to stabilize those in 2028 without inflation accounting. But what you are in the spot of what you just described, yes.

Our next question comes from Bruno Kenji with UBS.

It would be a follow-up regarding the recovery that you expected for results next -- this year. When we look to Naranja X and lower ROE levels that we saw in those fourth quarter results, should the recovery on the metrics such as NPL and cost of risk be on the same pace of the bank or it could have a little delay in terms of the recovery? And if that and also reflects on the ROEs, do you think that there might be a lower acceleration of loans considering the portfolio of Naranja X for the first half and then an opportunity to have a quicker recovery in second quarter if the economies have some space for personal loans and retail when we compare to the bank?

Yes. I would say that we are seeing improvements in NPLs at Naranja X, albeit at a slower pace than the bank. Nevertheless, that what we are seeing, but still expect also improving during the year. And the scenario -- the growth scenario is similar to the bank. We are seeing also higher growth in the second half. As you know, we still are stabilizing the portfolio in Naranja, which is, of course, 100% consumer, so we don't have a commercial portfolio to go there. But we are growing, of course, selectively growing, but at a slower pace during the first months of the year, and we expect us in the bank to regain as we stabilize the portfolio, regain the growth, the faster growth. We will grow, of course, but the faster growth closer to the midterm of the year or something like that.

Our next question is from Santiago Petri with Franklin Templeton.

Can you help us understand in which segments are you expecting to grow this year, this 20%, 25%? Is it commercial, consumer? And within commercial, which sectors do you see that you can lend to?

I mean we are growing -- I mean, I would say that we were growing in the first half. Today, the mix is more 45% consumer, 55% companies in the toll in the bank, our mix. I would say the first half, we are focusing a bit more in commercial. So maybe by the end of the year, we will maybe 60%-40%. So this year, we may see more growth in the commercial and the consumer. But of course, we are growing -- we are going to grow both portfolio, but more towards the commercial portfolio, mainly because in the first half, we are -- as well, we are lending at a higher pace than in the consumer side, as I said before. In the commercial portfolio, of course, we are picking segments, I mean, that are less affected or not affected by the change in the economics or the imports opening and everything we know that it is suffering. We are strong and we are focusing a lot in the agribusiness. As you know, we are one of the main banks in that sector, and we continue to do that and our expectations in this year to continue strongly there. We are also lending in the oil and gas sector, not just the big loans, but because that's local bank doesn't have the balance sheet, but also all the supply chain and all the value chain in oil and gas. In mining, we are also making deals with supply chain in that sector. We see -- we also see the automotive industry doing okay. So we are also focusing on that and part of the value chain. So we have different -- we divided our wholesale operations in verticals. We have oil and gas, we have automotive, we have agribusiness, and we are going through all the value chains. We see commerce, retail commerce that at some point, some sectors not doing that good. So we are not growing in those ones. But we are doing a very good and deep analysis in which sectors we believe that are going to be the winners in these changes that the economy is doing or at least in this transition. And the sectors I mentioned are ones that we see growth and there are others like technologicals and a lot of SMEs that do services, provide services that we see them strong that we are also helping them in the growth path. So we see room for growth in the commercial portfolio. Of course, that, as you know, there are sectors that are not doing good, and we have them very clear, and we are not growing those ones.

A follow-up, if I may. There are some conversations or I don't know how to name it, about the possibility of banks expanding their U.S. dollar lending to non-U.S. dollar revenue-generating entities. Is this something that you see with, are you comfortable with this change in regulation?

I mean, two things. Regulation could change then we'll see if we apply or we use it or not. I mean, I would say that for us, that would be on a very cautious way. We don't believe that going massive in lending dollars to non-dollar producer will be something safe. So of course, that will be more focused in the Commercial side, the Wholesale side. And if we have big local companies that are very strong or international, but big companies that even though they are not dollar producer, we see that they could -- they are a devaluation or whatever, well, that would be on a case-by-case basis. But we are not seeing anything massive that we will start lending massively if the regulation change massively to non-dollar producers. So my answer would be, we will evaluate it cautiously and do it on a case-by-case basis, but nothing massive. At least is what we are seeing now with this year, with the -- how the economy is evolving in the future, if Argentine start being more dollarized or how the dollar start being more important in the daily trading, well, we may change our mind. But so far, our first reaction is that if this happen, we will do it on a selective basis and cautiously basis.

The question and answer session is over. We would like to hand the floor back to Pablo Firvida for the company's final remarks.

Okay. Thank you, everybody, for attending this call. As always, we are available if you have any further questions. Good morning and good afternoon. Bye-bye.

Grupo Financiero Galicia conference is now closed. We thank you for your participation and wish you a nice day.