Laurence Sellyn
Analyst · Paradigm Capital
Good morning. This morning, we reported our fifth consecutive quarter of record quarterly results. In addition, we substantially increased our earnings guidance for the full fiscal year in spite of significantly higher cotton cost in the second half of the fiscal year compared to the first six months. Sales for the second quarter were $383 million, up 17.3% from $327 million in the second quarter last year. EPS before restructuring charges was $0.53, a record for the second quarter of our fiscal year and up 29% from $0.41 per share in the second quarter of fiscal 2010. The growth in sales revenues was primarily due to the impact of higher net selling prices for activewear, which increased by close to 20% as a result of successive selling price increases and lower promotional activity. In addition, unit sales volumes for activewear and underwear increased by 6% in spite of continuing low finished goods inventory and capacity constraints, which prevented the company from maximizing its market share and fully servicing distributor demand to replenish inventories. Although we were able to sequentially increase our market share to approximately 63% compared to approximately 58% in the first quarter, according to the CREST report, replenishment of Gildan inventories in the distributor channel was lower than in the second quarter of fiscal 2010. At the end of the quarter our share of distributor inventory was 52% compared to our market share of 63%, and we currently continue to have a significant open order position. We continue to achieve good growth in international and other screenprint markets, despite of our low inventory levels and capacity constraints. Sales of socks were down by 24% due to lower retailer inventory replenishment, the discontinuation of a large uneconomic sock program in the third quarter of fiscal 2010 and a lower valued more basic product mix. In the third quarter last year, we completed the rationalization of unprofitable sock programs that we had acquired from Kentucky Derby and Prewett and are now positioned to build from our base of private label and branded Gildan sock programs. Our new Gildan branded sock programs are selling through strongly to consumers. We expect to have a strong back-to-school season this year and to be able to service demand from our retail customers. Sales of activewear and underwear to retailers increased by over 50% compared to the second quarter of fiscal 2010. Selling price increases averaging approximately 5% were implemented in the quarter in the retail market and further increases are being implemented in the second half of the fiscal year. Gross margins were slightly higher than the second quarter of last year at 28.1% versus 27.8% a year ago. The increase in activewear selling prices offset the impact of higher cotton, energy and other purchase input costs, start-up manufacturing inefficiencies, which impacted margins for socks and underwear and more favorable activewear product mix due to a higher proportion of basic T-shirts and a higher proportion of sales of the regulars. SG&A expenses in the second quarter included a $3.7 million loss on the sale of our former corporate aircraft, which was recently replaced by an operating lease for a new aircraft. Excluding this item, SG&A expenses increased by 13.7% from the second quarter of last year and were 11.5% of sales compared to 11.8% of sales a year ago. The increase in dollar SG&A expenses over fiscal 2010 was primarily due to the ramp-up of the new retail distribution center, expenses for retail advertising, our year-to-date adjustment to performance driven variable compensation and the impact of the higher valued Canadian dollar on corporate administrative expenses. Results for the second quarter reflected income tax recoveries of $5 million, of which approximately 1/2 related to the first quarter. The tax recoveries are due to recognition of the tax benefits of year-to-date losses from U.S. legal entities, which are being recognized as a result of our projected future earnings in these entities, which are expected to enable us to fully utilize the losses. We've increased our guidance for sales revenues for the full fiscal year from approximately $1.6 billion to $1.8 billion. Gross margins for the full year are now projected to be in the range of 25.5% compared to our previous forecast of approximately 25%. The increase in projected sales revenues in gross margins is due to the acquisition of Gold Toe Moretz, which was completed on April 15, 2011, and a further increase in activewear selling prices in the U.S. screenprint market averaging approximately 7.5%, which was announced in March. The end-year impact of the March selling price increase, combined with a further selling price increases for retail products, more than offset the additional negative impact of further increases in cotton costs compared to our previous guidance. The balance of our cotton cost for consumption in the second half of the fiscal year has now been fixed and full year cotton costs are now projected to be approximately $1.15 per pound. Our updated guidance does not include any possible further increase in selling prices in the screenprint market. Selling price increases implemented to date in the screenprint channel are estimated to pass through cotton cost increases up to approximately $1.50 per pound, which is lower than our projected cotton cost of approximately $1.60per pound in the fourth quarter of the fiscal year. Based on these assumptions and projected SG&A of approximately 11.5% of sales, we're now projecting EPS, before restructuring charges, of $2 to $2.10 for fiscal 2011. Full year EPS includes approximately $0.07 accretion due to the acquisition of Gold Toe Moretz. EPS in the third fiscal quarter are projected to be approximately $0.70 per share, up approximately 30% from the third quarter of fiscal 2010. And projected net sales revenues are close to $550 million. Results for the third quarter will be negatively impacted by a significant increase in cotton costs to approximately $1.25 per pound versus approximately $0.85 per pound in the second quarter. However, EPS is projected to increase sequentially from the second quarter due to higher seasonal sales volumes, the full benefits of previously announced selling price increases, more favorable activewear product mix, more favorable manufacturing efficiencies and the non-recurrence of the loss on the sale of the aircraft. Percentage gross margins are projected to decline slightly from fiscal 2010 due to the impact of higher cotton costs. We are projecting a small income tax recovery in both the third and fourth quarters. Our EPS guidance assumes the continuation of current overall economic conditions and the current volatility in cotton prices have not significantly changed our current outlook for industry selling prices and demand. We used $62 million of cash in the second quarter due to seasonal increases in receivables compared to the first quarter, rebuilding of activewear inventory, increased inventory of socks and underwear for back-to-school programs, approximately $35 million to finance the higher cost of inventories, future inflation in the cost of cotton and other purchase cost inputs. Approximately $40 million for capital expenditures, including the ramp-up of Rio Nance IV, the construction of the building for Rio Nance V and the expansion and automation of the Eden North Carolina screenprint distribution center and for the payment of our first quarterly dividend in March. We ended the second quarter with cash and cash equivalents of approximately $175 million. Subsequent to the quarter end, we utilized approximately $100 million of our surplus cash to partially fund the acquisition of Gold Toe Moretz, with the $250 million balance of the $350 million purchase price of the acquisition being financed by drawing down on our $400 million revolving bank credit facility. We're currently considering the option of increasing our bank revolver in order to continue to have flexibility to finance further acquisition opportunities. The management teams of both Gold Toe Moretz and Gildan are very excited about the potential growth opportunities that we see from combining the different and complementary strengths of the two companies. We view the acquisition as an important step in the strategic development of our company. The economics of the acquisition, which were discussed in our recent conference call to announce the acquisition, both the IRRs and EPS accretion are based on Gold Toe Moretz's stand-alone EBITDA and the cost synergies from the consolidation of certain activity. However, the real upside from the acquisition is the opportunity to drive significant top line organic sales growth, which was not included in our base case assumptions used to economically justify the acquisition. The combined company is well positioned for strong growth due to our multibrand positioning, which is well diversified in all U.S. retail channels for apparel, mass-market, national chains, dollar stores, department stores, wholesale clubs and sporting goods retailers. Opportunities to capitalize in the combined strength of the two company include: firstly, development of some of Gold Toe Moretz's company-owned brands and brand extension in the mass-market based on leveraging Gildan's global low-cost manufacturing; secondly, further development of Gold Toe Moretz's licensing relationship with Under Armour and New Balance; and thirdly, leveraging Gold Toe Moretz's core competencies and brand management to further enhance the development of the Gildan brand for retail, which is already beginning to gain traction We continue to have a strong balance sheet and unused debt capacity, which will enable us to continue to pursue complementary acquisitions as one of the elements of our ongoing growth strategy. We intend to be disciplined about focusing on acquisitions, which meet our criteria to manage acquisition risks and achieve attractive returns on capital. Acquisition targets should complement our organic growth strategy, be easily integrated into Gildan, not be turnaround situations and meet our financial criteria for risk-adjusted return on capital, EPS accretion and conservative debt leverage. Finally, our strategy to maximize returns on capital for our shareholder also includes quarterly dividend, which we initiated in the first quarter. We're also pleased to announce today a dividend of $.075 per share for the second quarter, which will be payable on June 17 to shareholders of record on May 25, 2011.