Rhodri Harries
Analyst · Scotiabank. Your line is open.
No. If you look at Q1, we have called out that it would be down low-single digits. And I gave some color in the script, right? We talked about POS effectively being mixed. But I think really the story behind POS is POS is in good shape, good shape for us across the activewear category. If you look and that's the most important category for us. And if you look across the Board, POS is performing reasonably well as you think about the macro backdrop. So I would say we are comfortable with what we're seeing there. There are some spots, some pockets of weakness where it's a little bit more variable, but I would say it's holding up. But as we go into Q1, what we do see is effectively, we do expect restocking on the distributor side. We're going into season, so we expect to see restocking. But because of the strength of what we saw in Q4, where normally we would expect destock in Q4 and we've called that out, we were expecting that. But what happened was we shipped to POS. We shipped in line with POS in Q4. And effectively as a result of that, we didn't see the -- I would say the destock in Q4. And so what we expect are lower levels of replenishment in Q1. So the restock won't be as large as you might normally expect in the first quarter. So the impact of that in total basically meant that we will see a little bit weaker start to the year, but I would say as we go forward, we do see strength as we move into Q2, Q3, Q4, and that's all on the back of our very strong competitive positioning. What we're seeing with market share gains, what we're seeing in these key categories, ring spun, fleece, all the drivers of the business. I mean, there are many, I would say, drivers of the business as we think about '24 in total, right? So we've got those product categories that we're doing very well on. We've got product innovation coming through, which I called out we're very excited about. You'll see that on the basic side, we've got new product styles that are effectively rolling through, which will drive our business in national accounts. In international, we've got new retail programs in activewear, in underwear, in hosiery. We're doing well on the hosiery side with some of our -- very well actually with some of our customers. We've got -- we're excited about what's going on with Comfort Colors, American Apparel, and we've got strong product availabilities. If you look across the Board at all of the different areas of the business, even though you've got the macro backdrop to deal with, we feel we're well positioned as we move through the year and you'll see that as we move through the quarters.