Kendall J. Powell
Analyst · Deutsche Bank.
Well, let me -- Eric, let me take a shot at it, because I think it is complicated and a little bit confusing, and I'll give you my take on it and then I suspect that Don will want to jump in. We look at both weight, literally gross weight pounds, which is I think a common industry measure. Obviously, we also focus on units. And units are what we produce in our plants, and they are what consumers buy, and they're what retailers sell. So I think you have to keep in mind both measures. As you look at our portfolio this year and the way it's performed -- and I apologize for going through this in a little bit of detail, but it might be worthwhile just to sort of run it down for you. Cereal, up 3% or 4%, that one's fine. Grain, way, way up. Everything is working -- our Pillsbury division, everything's working pretty well there and good baseline on those core products and our -- several of our core businesses in the Meals Division. So soup, for instance, baselines and distribution, as we were just commenting, quite strong there. Old El Paso, quite strong. In the Meals Division, it's really the heavier products, which are our canned vegetable and our frozen vegetable products, that are seeing bigger declines. And they're seeing those declines because those products saw the highest inflation or very high inflation relative to the rest of our business. And so high inflation logically corresponds to a bit tougher volume picture, and these happen to be heavy products. So I think it's a very logical link of inflation leading to differential elasticity on the volume in products that just happen to be heavy. It's a very similar case in Baking, where those products, flour, cake mix, primarily wheat based and grain based and as a result, those products had differentially higher inflation and slightly bigger volume declines. By the way, very much expected by us, given the work that we do around elasticity. They also happen to be heavy products. And then yogurt, with the issues that we've talked about there, yogurt is a heavier product. So higher inflation leading to higher pricing for a couple of the segments and leading to bigger declines in products that happen to be heavier. So hopefully, that is somewhat helpful. I think our, obviously, consumers and our retail partners are focused on unit sales. And there, we commented that those are down 2%, and what I would say there is that is very, very much in line with what we modeled and what we expected. And so we're pretty much -- Eric, we're pretty much where we thought we would be given the level of inflation and the level of pricing that we took at the beginning of the year. Don, would you add anything to that?