David Maher
Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is now open. Please go ahead
Yes, Matt, so I'll start with rounds of play, right. Really strong year in the U.S. given all the inputs, whether it's new golfers capacity, et cetera. Our general approach, and this wouldn't differ given particularly we're coming off a record year, would be to think about rounds as being flat and then mother nature does what she does and that pushes you up or down. But the golfer supply, the participation rates are healthy. So we've been doing this for a long, long time. In my time here we generally think of rounds as flat and then that informs our planning process. Again, when we get good weather we'll see upward ticks, when we get poor weather we'll see it go downwards. But I will point to just the inputs that inform our thinking, and I made a couple of these comments in my prepared remarks around the golfer supply and the golfer base. So generally a healthy golfer base that is the starting point to our thinking. In terms of Rest of World, the trends are similar, the dedicated golfer behavior is similar, but macroeconomic conditions have not been as robust. They were softer in '23 and '24, and we expect similar conditions in '25. That said, we are planning for growth outside the U.S. in our business. So part of that's new products, part of that share, et cetera. So high level, we like what we see from a golfer perspective. We like what we see from a participation perspective. There's always an element of caution baked into our planning, whether it's U.S. and tariffs and inflation or ex-U.S., particularly in Japan and Korea. And the final area I look at is what does the market look like. Certainly the Greengrass Channel globally is very healthy. Our retail partners, off course, are healthy as well. And inventories are in very much a normal place for this time of year. And we were asked - we've been asked over the last couple of weeks about January sell through. And my key takeaways from January sell through, which was generally positive, was that pricing held up pretty well. And what you sometimes see in January is you see some real price pressure as retailers and OEMs sometimes clear the decks to prepare for new product launches. We didn't see that in January. So Matt, threw a lot at you there, but some review. Golfers still in pretty good shape. The macroeconomic pressures as well as I do. We feel better about the U.S. than we do in Japan and Korea. That's not different from the last couple of years. And again, our retailers are in a generally healthy spot. So I think the summation of all that is our guide. And we're projecting growth in segments and growth in all regions, albeit a little faster pace than the U.S.