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Ferroglobe PLC (GSM)

Q4 2012 Earnings Call· Tue, Aug 21, 2012

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Globe Specialty Metals scheduled Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2012 Earnings Investor Call for August 21, 2012. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will follow at that time. (Operator Instructions). As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Mr. Malcolm Appelbaum, Chief Financial Officer and Mr. Jeff Bradley, Chief Executive Officer. I would like to turn the call over to Mr. Appelbaum. Please begin.

Malcolm Appelbaum

Chief Financial Officer

Good morning. I am going to read a brief statement and then hand it over to our CEO, Jeff Bradley. Statements made by management during this conference call that are forward-looking statements are based on current expectations. Risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements can be found in Globe's most recent SEC filings and the exhibit to those filings. Jeff?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

Good morning. Thank you for joining us on the call this morning. I'm pleased to report that our fiscal 2012 was a record year for earnings. Net income for the year was $54.6 million and EBITDA was $129.1 million. For the fourth quarter on a comparable basis net income increased 4%, and EBITDA was up 10% to $32.5 million versus Q3. These improvements coupled with our outlook for the future led our board of directors to approve a 25% increase in the annual dividend to $0.25 a share from $0.20 a share last year. This is the third consecutive year of dividend increases since our IPO on NASDAQ in 2009. We continued in the quarter our unending focus on driving out cost from our business. This quarter we saw the positive impact of our many cost reduction initiatives. Costs were down from the last quarter in almost every one of our plants by an aggregate amount of more than $4 million and we also had a significant reduction in working capital as we focused on inventory turns and other such working capital metrics. In the last quarter, on June 13th, we acquired a 51% interest in Quebec Silicon LP. The total net cash break was $34 million, which is approximately a third of the cost to build a new plant with much less risk and in much less time. Although the plant and its operations require a certain improvements, this facility is one of the most modern silicon plants in the western world and the only silicon metal producer in Canada. With this acquisition, Globe is now the only merchant silicon producer in North America. We have identified numerous opportunities to improve the operation and we will implement them over the next six to nine months. We selected one of…

Malcolm Appelbaum

Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Jeff. We have a few financial related slides, which you'll view automatically if you are listening to the call through our website. Just click on the maximize button on the bottom of the window to expand the slide to full screen, otherwise the slides are posted in the events and presentation section of our website www.glbsm.com. EBITDA on a comparable basis for the fourth quarter increased 10% over the third quarter, primarily due to higher shipments and reduced cash production cost partially offset by an expected modest reduction in average selling prices. Silicon metal shipments increased 17% in the fourth quarter for a total of 5,100 metric tons over the third quarter with approximately half of the increase coming from the timing of customer shipments and half from the newly purchased Quebec Silicon. Silicon based alloy shipments increased 2% in the quarter. As expected, silicon metal average selling prices declined 5% or $0.07 per pound in the quarter, partially due to lower production costs for Alloy joint venture which sells material at cost to Dow Corning, and partially due to lower selling prices on our indexed contracts. Silicon based alloy pricing declined less than 1% in the quarter. Cash cost of production per ton declined by 3% in the quarter as a result of efficiencies from Alden coal and the realization of our cost reduction initiatives. Reported EBITDA totaled $28.7 million in the quarter which was a $300,000 increase from the third quarter. Adding back the impact of transaction related expenses, EBITDA on a comparable basis was $32.5 million for increase of $3.1 million or 10% from the third quarter. Sales from the fourth quarter increased 11% from the third quarter as shipments increased 10% or almost 6,000 metric tons and the average selling price declined 2%. Our…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions). The first question comes from Ian Zaffino of Oppenheimer & Company. Please proceed.

Ian Zaffino

Analyst · Oppenheimer & Company. Please proceed

Great. Thank you very much. I know in the past, as there was a lot of uncertainty in Europe, I mean Europe continue to decline. You saw lot of supply being diverted away from Europe and into the U.S. market, which typically doesn't happen. Have you started to see that reverse yet? And I know you talked about an increase in demand, but you're also seen some of that supply that was diverted into the U.S. go back into their traditional home of Europe as the European uncertainty seems to have kind of waned a little bit as the euro has stopped falling?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

Ian, this is Jeff. I can't point to a specific incident, but as you said all we can do is point to. We're seeing signs of demand improving and we saw signs in the chemical industry and the aluminum industry, so at the end of the day the positive thing to report is overall it looks like things are starting to improve a little bit.

Ian Zaffino

Analyst · Oppenheimer & Company. Please proceed

Okay, and what about in your discussion with the customers, what's their confidence level today compared to even a month or two ago?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

Again, I can’t point to a specific incident but the only thing we can point to is the inflow of orders, and where the order book is now and it's positive, Ian.

Malcolm Appelbaum

Chief Financial Officer

Ian, we're also seeing that in Argentina with its shipments into steel mills Europe as well with the little bit more lead time visibility a little bit higher pricing, but it's still small incremental improvements.

Ian Zaffino

Analyst · Oppenheimer & Company. Please proceed

Right, but in a positive direction?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

Yes.

Ian Zaffino

Analyst · Oppenheimer & Company. Please proceed

Okay. All right. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Martin Engler of Jefferies & Company. Please proceed.

Martin Engler

Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed

Good morning everyone. Just wanted to see if there is any change to your time table and EBITDA guidance for both, Alden and Becancour there?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

No. There is no change. Alden is performing as expected. We were very pleased with the results both of how much coal we can get out of the ground, the progress we are making with third-party sales and as we indicated in our remarks with the cost reductions and efficiencies we’ve been able to achieve by using that Alden coal in our furnaces, so Alden is performing as expected and we’re very, very pleased and continue to get more and more coal out of the ground and actually reducing our cost of extracting that coal. Quebec Silicon is operating initially as expected. As Jeff indicated, we need made some initial improvements very quickly at the facility and we continue to firm up those improvements and reduce cost there as well, so we’re very pleased with both of those acquisitions and expect them to perform according to plan.

Martin Engler

Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed

Good, and you had noted that you're seeing maybe some incremental improvement with end-user demand, when you look into the second half of calendar '12 here, do you have any expectations as far as what the impact would be on volumes for the company?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

Well, no. As you know for the most part we are sold out. We still had some capacity available for the fourth quarter and the end of the year and it's just a matter of taking these increases and putting them into the order book.

Martin Engler

Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed

Okay. One last question. Looking into the contracts for 2013, do you expect any meaningful shift between what you'd be doing as contract versus spot business when you head into next year?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

It's too early right now. We’re in August and we typically start talking to negotiating with the customer base, specifically in silicon metal, September, October, November and one into the end of the year.

Martin Engler

Analyst · Jefferies & Company. Please proceed

Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Ian Corydon of B. Riley & Company. Please proceed.

Ian Corydon

Analyst · B. Riley & Company. Please proceed

Thank you. It looks like on the silicon alloy side at least commodity ferrosilicon silicon prices declined through the June quarter. Can you talk about what we can expect for pricing for your silicon alloy book in the September quarter versus the June quarter?

Malcolm Appelbaum

Chief Financial Officer

We don't expect, at least sitting here today with the index prices where they are to see a meaningful decline. As we mentioned, silicon based alloys quarter-over-quarter into our Q4 decreased by only 1%, so as you know we do a lot of specialty grade where we can command a premium, so there may be a decrease but it will not be a substantial decrease like the very minimal decrease we saw in the fourth quarter.

Ian Corydon

Analyst · B. Riley & Company. Please proceed

That's great. Then on Alden, it sounds like you are making good progress there. I think the first, or one of the hurdles you set was to get to 100,000 tons of external sales. When do you expect to hit that on a run rate basis?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

Where they are currently and we would look to increase that going forward from two initiatives one as you know, Ian, getting more coal out of the ground and we have been successful at doing that by opening up that mine that had been closed long ago by the seller, because they didn't have the right capital equipment and we've brought in the equipment from CAD, although it's the underground mining, but it took longer than expected to arrive, we reopened the mine and are getting good production out of it and the second are sales initiatives and we are traveling in the world selling test quantities of coal to other silicon producers and they are testing our coal and we have to imagine they're achieving the same results that we are as we reported to you today the significant improvement in efficiency from using the coal.

Ian Corydon

Analyst · B. Riley & Company. Please proceed

Great. Then if you can comment on prices for Alden coal, that would be helpful?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

We talked about the alternatives, particularly coal from Columbia, the only other significant source to low ash coal, plant in the U.S. being in the range of 300 plus dollars a ton. We believe based on the quality of the Alden coal and the results we have achieved with it that we should command similar pricing. We won’t disclose exactly the sales price to the third parties, but we are looking for significant increases over the $170 a ton that we had talked about that the seller had been selling us Alden coal for in the past.

Ian Corydon

Analyst · B. Riley & Company. Please proceed

Okay. Refresh my memory. Do you still have contracts that are priced at those lower levels or have those run off?

Malcolm Appelbaum

Chief Financial Officer

For the Alden coal those have run off.

Ian Corydon

Analyst · B. Riley & Company. Please proceed

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions). The next question is from Richard Garchitorena of Credit Suisse. Please proceed.

Richard Garchitorena

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please proceed

Thanks. Good morning.

Jeff Bradley

CEO

Good morning, Richard.

Richard Garchitorena

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please proceed

First question, just on Quebec Silicon. Did you include one-month or one-and-a-half month of production in Q4?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

Half-a-month, Richard, approximately.

Richard Garchitorena

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please proceed

Okay. Great, so the drop in the realized in the quarter was I guess a mix of spot declining as well as the lower priced legacy contracts from Quebec Silicon?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

Yes. That had an effect, but not a significant effect because it was only half-a-month. It was the reduced indexes, and therefore our index based contracts were down. It was a bit of spot and then it was a good news of lower production cost their alloy joint venture which lowered our sales price to Dow Corning because we sell to them as you know at fully loaded cost.

Richard Garchitorena

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please proceed

Okay. I guess going forward, we should see a bit of an impact from the lower price tons from Quebec Silicon?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

That's true. Not a dramatic impact, but there will be a small impact. Yes.

Richard Garchitorena

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please proceed

Okay. Great. Then on Alden. Can you tell us how much EBITDA Alden generated during the quarter?

Malcolm Appelbaum

Chief Financial Officer

We don't break out Alden. Ultimately, we may very well do that. Break it out as a separate segment as it gets larger and larger. We can tell you that it was nicely positive and that we are on our plan for it, but we are not breaking it out at this moment.

Richard Garchitorena

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please proceed

Okay. In terms of how positive income statement is, is that through the revenue line or is it revenue and costs or?

Malcolm Appelbaum

Chief Financial Officer

Today, as you know we are using most of the Alden coal ourselves and selling a small amount, we talked about this 100,000 ton run rate to third-parties. That third-party sale does flow through revenue and cost of sales. The rest of it that we use ourselves is flowing just through cost of goods sold as an input in our production process.

Richard Garchitorena

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please proceed

Okay. Great. Then a last question. Just back to the Becancour impact. The cost savings that you saw this quarter most of that you said is spread out among all the plants, so should we expect to see more cost savings going forward as more of the tonnage comes from Becancour?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

Yes. Richard, we continue to drive cost savings throughout the company. I can't specifically tell you what they are going to be this quarter, but as I always say to the people here, we are not taking our foot off the gas, and yes we still have upside to drive cost out of the Becancour plant and we've identified initiatives around the company to drive additional cost out.

Richard Garchitorena

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please proceed

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from Phil Gibbs of KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed.

Phil Gibbs

Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed

Good morning, Jeff and Mal. How are you?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

Good morning.

Phil Gibbs

Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed

Good quarter, guys. Question on the solar market. Just update on what you are seeing there?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

I mean, overall I think we touched on, on the last call, when you look out at the solar market in and by itself the outlook is very good. As we look back over the past couple of years whether it's two, three, four, five years, you look back at the estimates and all those estimates have been weak and when we look at the estimates going forward, the estimates are that there will be more installed solar power this year than last year and more next year than this year, and the number continues to grow, so we're very optimistic about solar. The price of poly, I don't know exactly where it is today, but the price of poly is low versus where it's been. Year ago at this time, it was probably $50. Today, we hear numbers close to $20, but we need to be clear. Low priced poly is good for Globe. Why? Because low priced poly means solar is less expensive and you can't make poly without silicon metal, so we like low cost poly because it's just going to drive the solar market even more.

Phil Gibbs

Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed

Okay. I had been looking at the 10-Q, and I just found something with regards to your Iceland JV. Just had a question regarding the contract terms and the maximum penalty that you may be forced to pay for opting out of the plant construction?

Malcolm Appelbaum

Chief Financial Officer

No. As you know, we're not pursuing the Iceland venture and we wrote off the prepaid expenses that relate to it this quarter in Q4. That was about $1.3 million pre-tax, and the penalty did not reach the phase of development where there are penalties due to any of the contractors or the power suppliers, or power transmission or any of the other vendors, so we're able to work on the project in a way that our risk was really minimal and the extent of it was these prepaid expenses that we wrote off.

Phil Gibbs

Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed

Okay, so from going forward is there a breakup fee, or is everything pretty much settled at this point?

Malcolm Appelbaum

Chief Financial Officer

This should be it.

Phil Gibbs

Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed

Okay. Thanks a lot, guys.

Operator

Operator

I am showing no further questions in the queue. I would like to turn the conference back to Mr. Jeff Bradley, CEO for any further remarks?

Jeff Bradley

CEO

I would just like to again thank everybody for joining us on this call and we look forward to talking to you in a couple more months. Thank you very much. Bye.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today's program. This does conclude the conference and you may all disconnect. Everyone have a great day.