Richard J. Kramer
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Itay, no, it's a good question. And I think, the best way to start the answer to the question is just looking at the first quarter performance. With 8% volumes down, we had segment operating income $292 million and I think it's reflective of a lot of the benefit to the actions that we've taken in our business overtime around structural costs and capacity, as well as building in some of the benefits of the business model that we're building. And ultimately, that's what give us the confidence that we'll be able to hit the targets that we have. If we look at it, things like the Union City savings, we mentioned in the call, we're going to get that $80 million as we go ahead. We look at our business model around the combination of innovating, bringing new products to market, putting those products in the right targeted market segments again, being very choiceful about where we're going to play in our business to drive the price mix as we move ahead and then, driving continual operational efficiencies in our business to be able to make more of the right tires that we have and that we need to deliver to our customers, that's what's driving the price mix as we move ahead. And you see that probably best in our North American business, where we've had, what I would say, a very good quarter in terms of doubling our earnings there. In terms of headwinds, as you look at it, I think if we go back to what we said when we met in New York about a year ago, 2 of the key elements that we said we had -- we really were looking to help us get to that target was about a 3% of 5% volume growth. Last year, we were about flat. This year, we just say about minus 2%, you've heard us say. So that's a bit of a headwind. And also, we saw a benefit from pension coming in when we laid this out about a year ago. Clearly, now we have a little bit more headwinds from pension. But as we look at that, those are things that we're going to have to work through. And again, I would say Q1 is evidence that our business model now is one that allows us to have confidence that we could hit those targets. And frankly, our goal is certainly to deliver on those targets but build this business beyond that and drive ourselves to our destination of creating sustainable value for this business over time and being profitable throughout the cycles.