Craig Menear
Analyst · Citi
Thanks, Frank, and good morning, everyone. Comps for the quarter came in slightly below our expectations. While we anticipated tough comparisons in the first quarter, most of the miss to expectations was related to weak performance in our indoor and outdoor garden categories, particularly in the northern division. This is a result of the winter that wouldn't end. You can see the impact of weather in our transaction count, which was down 1.9% year-over-year in the first quarter. On the positive side, total company average ticket was up 1.5% or $0.81 to $53.35 for the first quarter, driven for the most part by strength in nonseasonal and non-commodity categories. Before we get into the department results, let me comment on the request from vendors for price increases. On our last earnings call, I'd mentioned that we were seeing an elevated number of these requests due to increasing raw material costs. These requests continued throughout the first quarter. However, we are starting to see the number of requests flatten out. We review each of these requests on an individual basis and our portfolio strategy drives our go-to-market actions, as it has in the past. Though we were pleased with the results in our core businesses, during the quarter, we saw strength across many of our key categories with electrical, kitchens, tools, plumbing, paint and flooring posting positive comps. Hardware also outperformed the company's average comp for the quarter. And excluding outdoor categories, we would have exceeded our sales plan for the quarter. We are seeing ongoing trend of maintenance and repair categories performing well. Categories that drove positive growth related to maintenance and repair include pipe and fittings, light bulbs, appliance parts, cleaning and plumbing repair. Simple decor categories also continued to perform well. We saw positive comps across all hard surface categories and flooring as well as organization, interior paint and faucets. Our customers responded to our pipeline of innovative products. Strong sales of both our EcoSmart and Philips LED light bulbs drove the LED subclass of light bulbs to over 500% growth year-over-year. Additionally, we have seen success from products like our new line of Milwaukee Red Lithium portable power tools, powered by the leading lithium technology available. And our strong performance in Power Tool Accessories during the quarter was driven by new innovative products such as Milwaukee's Shockwave Impact Bits and the Diablo Carbide-tipped Recip [Reciprocating] Blades. We have yet to see a full recovery with the Pro customer or large discretionary projects. However, we are seeing customers respond to value. We saw double-digit positive comps in almost every component of our Kitchen business during the first quarter. And we believe this is a result of exceptional offerings combined with store execution. While the overall market for kitchen remodels is still depressed, we are taking share in a tough environment due to our great value proposition. Additionally, we saw excellent results from our Husky line of soft-sided tool storage and our exclusive line of USG lightweight drywall, both examples of value at higher-end price points. Finally, we are completing the rollout of our KILZ PRO-X, our new line of Pro paint, and we're looking forward to driving the business with our Pro customers through this product introduction. As I mentioned, our Seasonal business was under significant pressure in the first quarter. We are encouraged, however, by the performance of this business where we had more typical weather conditions. For example, in our southern division, we saw mid-single-digit positive comps in outdoor garden led by Chemicals, Landscape, Seed and Live Goods. The Southern division also posted positive comps in indoor garden led by strong performances in patio and portable outdoor power. Our success in patio is a result of great design and price point combinations in our Martha Stewart line, as well as effective interconnected retail. In addition to purchasing in-stock patio sets in our stores, customers are taking advantage of our expanded assortment online and free shipping for orders over $249. Based on independent third party tracking of consumer activity, we gained unit share in 9 out of 13 departments during the first quarter, including Lumber, Building Materials, flooring, paint, plumbing, electrical, Millwork, outdoor garden and kitchens. From a commodity standpoint, we lapped significant commodity inflation in the first quarter on a year-over-year basis. Recall that commodity inflation positively impacted U.S. comp sales by approximately 100 basis points in the first quarter of 2010. The impact to U.S. comp sales from lumber in the first quarter of 2011 was a negative 24 basis points. This was offset by inflation in copper during the quarter so the net impact of our first quarter U.S. comp from commodity pricing was flat. When weather delays the start of the spring selling season like we've seen in the north this year, we typically experience larger spike sales. In preparations for these spikes, we chose to keep our stores fully stocked with seasonal inventory, a decision that had a negative impact on inventory turns year-over-year. As we look to the second quarter, we expect to sell through the seasonal product profitably as spring breaks in the remainder of the U.S. Looking ahead, we continue to believe that transaction improvements will lead to growth in the first half of the year and improvement in average ticket will be more sustaining in the back half of the year. We're well-positioned to drive sales in the second quarter. And as the consumer faces headwinds from increased fuel, food and clothing prices, we are sharpening our focus on value and targeting key products every household uses. Innovation also plays a big role for us in driving sales. As spring finally reaches the entire country, we are happy to offer new lithium-ion power tools for the yard from Ryobi, including the cordless string trimmer and hedge trimmer that take advantage of the new Ryobi One+ 24-volt platform, providing more powerful performance. We are also excited about Allure Ultra vinyl flooring, exclusive to The Home Depot. This is easy to install click-lock flooring that is waterproof and includes a lifetime residential and 10-year commercial warranties. Finally, in the first quarter, we introduced ArmorGuard decking and we've seen great results in the southeast. ArmorGuard offers an easy to clean, mold and mildew resistant surface with a 20-year stain and fade warranty not available with traditional composite decks. We're expecting this product to take off in the second quarter as more of our customers look to upgrade their outdoor spaces. We're seeing a strong start to May and we're excited about the products we have to offer our customers in the coming months. And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to Carol.
Carol Tomé: Thank you, Craig, and hello, everyone. In the first quarter, sales were $16.8 billion, down 0.2% from last year. Comps for same-store sales were negative 0.6% for the quarter with positive comps of 3.6% in February, positive 1.1% in March and negative 3.9% in April. Comps for U.S. stores were negative 0.7% for the quarter with U.S. comps of positive 2.8% in February, positive 1.2% in March and negative 4% in April. As we've discussed, April same-store sales were negatively impacted by tough year-over-year comparisons and unseasonably cold weather. We've seen a return to positive comps in May in line with our expectations. In the first quarter, our gross margin was 34.6%, an increase of 28 basis points from last year, of which 24 basis points was driven by our U.S. business and 4 basis points was driven by our Canadian business. In the U.S., our gross margin expansion was attributable to the following factors: first, 14 basis points of gross margin expansion, was due to a lower penetration of lower margin seasonal categories namely garden and lumber; second, 5 basis points of our gross margin expansion was due to fewer deferred financing programs; and finally, the remaining 5 basis points of margin expansion reflects benefits arising from our portfolio strategy and our supply chain transformation. Operating expenses as a percent of sales decreased by 43 basis points to 26.2%. While we have some expense pressure in certain areas, total operating expenses were $83 million less than last year in 4 main expense categories: payroll, management bonus, advertising and depreciation. A year-over-year reduction in payroll and bonus expense was principally a reflection of the sales environment this year versus last year. Lower advertising expense this year reflects our decision to push more advertising spend into the second quarter of 2011 to align our advertising spending with our top-selling months. Finally, lower depreciation expense was a function of a change in penetration of our fixed asset classes. Based on our first quarter results, we now expect expenses to grow at approximately 60% of our sales growth rate for the year. Interest and other expense for the first quarter totaled $139 million, flat to last year when you adjust for the charge we took last year related to the revaluation of our HD Supply loan guarantee. Our income tax provision rate was 36.7% in the first quarter. For the year, we expect our effective tax rate to be approximately 37%. Earnings per share for the first quarter were $0.50, up 16.3% from last year. On an adjusted basis, earnings per share increased 11.1% compared to last year's adjusted earnings per share of $0.45. Moving to our operational metrics. During the first quarter, we opened 2 new stores and, as previously announced, closed 5 stores for an ending store count of 2,245. At the end of the first quarter, selling square footage was 235 million. Reflecting the sales environment, total sales per square foot for the first quarter were $287, down 0.3% year-over-year. Now turning to the balance sheet. At the end of the quarter, inventory was $11.7 billion, up $215 million from last year. Inventory turns were 3.9x, down slightly from 4.1x a year ago. For fiscal 2011, we anticipate a small improvement in inventory turnover. We ended the quarter with $42.8 billion in assets, including $1.8 billion in cash. This is an increase of approximately $1.3 billion in cash from the end of fiscal 2010. During the first quarter, we issued $2 billion of senior notes. We used the proceeds to refinance $1 billion of debt that came due in March and to repurchase $1 billion of outstanding shares through an accelerated share repurchase program. Including open market purchases, we repurchased a total of $1.3 billion or 29.4 million shares of outstanding stock in the first quarter. This share count is an initial calculation. The final number of shares repurchased will be determined upon the completion of the accelerated share repurchase program in the second quarter. We ended the quarter with approximately $10.7 billion of outstanding long-term debt, of which the earliest maturity is $1.3 billion coming due in December 2013. Computed on the average of beginning and ending long-term debt in equity for the trailing 4 quarters, return on invested capital was 13%, 150 basis points higher than the first quarter of fiscal 2010. As Frank and Craig mentioned, we fell a bit short of our internal sales plan in the first quarter, due primarily to weather. Sales were also reflective of U.S. GDP growth, which, for the quarter, came in under FOMC estimates. As we look to the balance of the year, we continue to believe our sales growth will be closely correlated to U.S. GDP growth. 2011 U.S. GDP growth expectations were recently reduced to approximately 3%, but it was only a slight modification. As a result, we still project that we will grow our sales by approximately 2.5% this year. Now if GDP growth expectations were to slow down considerably, we would need to rework this projection. From an earnings per share perspective, remember that we guide off of GAAP. Based on our first quarter results, and including a $0.02 benefit from the $1 billion accelerated share repurchase program, we now project fiscal 2011 earnings per share from continuing operations to increase approximately 11.4% to $2.24. In our earnings per share guidance, we are not including the impact of any additional share repurchases outside of those executed in the first quarter. But it is our intent to use excess cash to repurchase shares throughout the remainder of fiscal 2011. So we thank you for your participation in today's call. And Yvonne, we are now ready for questions.