Welcome to the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Harmonic Earnings Conference Call. My name is Litzi and I will be your operator for today's call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Please note that this conference is being recorded. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I will now turn the call over to David Hanover, Investor Relations. David, you may begin.

Thank you, operator. Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for Harmonic's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023 Financial Results Conference Call. With me today are Patrick Harshman, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Walter Jankovic, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I'd like to point out that in addition to the audio portion of the webcast we've also provided slides for the webcast, which you may view by going to our webcast on our Investor Relations website. Now turning to slide two. During this call, we will provide projections and other forward-looking statements regarding future events or future financial performance of the company. Such statements are only current expectations and actual events or results may differ materially. We refer you to documents Harmonic filed with the SEC including our most recent 10-Q and 10-K reports and the forward-looking statements section of today's preliminary results press release. These documents identify important risk factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in our projections or forward-looking statements. And please note that unless otherwise indicated, the financial metrics we provide you on this call are determined on a non-GAAP basis. These metrics, together with corresponding GAAP numbers and a reconciliation to GAAP are contained in today's press release, which we have posted on our website and filed with the SEC on Form 8-K. We will also discuss historical financial and other statistical information regarding our business and operation, and some of this information is included in the press release, the remainder of this information will be available on a recorded version of this call or on our website. And now I'll turn the call over to our CEO, Patrick Harshman. Patrick?

Well, thanks, David, and welcome, everyone, to our fourth quarter call. Today, we reported our fourth quarter and full year results wrapping up 2023 with another quarter of solid performance including record total company revenue driven by continuing strong demand for our market-leading broadband and video streaming solutions. Key highlights for the quarter included record broadband revenue demonstrating our Broadband business remains firmly on track for sustained multi-year growth, record Video SaaS revenue, exceeding $50 million for the year, powered by growing sports streaming success, and execution of a new $160 million credit facility, enhancing our financial flexibility. We also delivered strong new bookings during the quarter with a book-to-bill of 1.2 and in 2023 with over $653 million of backlog and deferred revenue and positioning us well for 2024 and the coming years. Moving now to our Broadband segment, we delivered segment revenue of $115.2 million, up 52% sequentially and 20% year-over-year. The number of global customers deploying our solution reached 108 million, up 19% year-over-year with corresponding 26.3 million DOCSIS cable modems now served worldwide, approximately 15% of cable modems deployed globally, again highlighting the substantial DOCSIS growth opportunity still in front of us. We had several new customer wins during the fourth quarter, including a new Top 10 North American operator for whom we made initial shipments. Our pipeline of new customers remained strong, mostly by the expanding breadth and depth of our competitive advantages. An important area of expanding competitive differentiation for Harmonic is DOCSIS 4.0. Our software core has seamlessly accommodated the new standard as have our Remote PHY edge device designs. We're successfully powering several early DOCSIS 4.0 deployments launched late in the year and we are uniquely positioned as the go-to-partner for any operator planning a DOCSIS 4.0 launch or skilled deployment in…

Thanks, Patrick, and thank you all for joining us today. Before I discuss our quarterly results as well as our outlook, I'd like to remind everyone that the financial results I'll be referring to are provided on a non-GAAP basis. As David mentioned earlier, our Q4 press release and earnings presentation includes reconciliations of the non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP that are discussed on this call. Both of these are available on our website. Our fourth quarter results were consistent with our expectations and above the midpoint of our guidance range on the top as well as the bottom line. Additionally, we exceeded the midpoint of revenue guidance in both Broadband and Video. Before reviewing our Q4 2023 financials in detail, I'll call out the highlights here on slide seven. For the quarter, we reported revenue of $167.1 million, which was an all-time company record and included record broadband revenue of $115.2 million. We also reported EPS of $0.13, bookings of $196.5 million, a strong book-to-bill of 1.2, and near-record backlog and deferred revenue of $653.2 million. In a few moments I will provide detailed Q1 and full year 2024 guidance, prior to that, I'd like to highlight a few key points regarding our guidance. For our Broadband business, we expect full year 2024 revenue to increase 24% year-over-year at the midpoint of our guidance. Based on the momentum we expect to see in the second half of 2024, we anticipate 2025 Broadband revenue growth to accelerate on a year-over-year basis. As Patrick mentioned earlier, we are well-positioned with our leading technologies, strong backlog, and our customer success to drive continued multi-year growth. With regards to Video, we are guiding conservatively for FY'24 due to the ongoing strategic review. Turning to slide eight. Total Q4 revenue was up nearly 2%…

Thanks, Walter. In summary, as Walter just said, Harmonic delivered another strong quarter, capping a year of solid financial and operational execution despite industry-wide challenges. The company continues to be exceptionally well-positioned for sustained growth and create greater value for our shareholders. We remain focused and confident in our ability to execute, and we appreciate your confidence in us. With that let's now open up the call for some questions.

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Simon Leopold of Raymond James. Please go ahead, Simon.

Great. Thank you very much for taking the question. I'm just sort of trying to figure out a little bit more of what's going on within this Broadband segment in that when I sort of couple your first quarter revenue guidance with the full year, it would appear that the second quarter or back half of the year really expand dramatically from this first quarter, and I'm trying to get an understanding of what you're assuming for that to happen, and I'll be explicit you may not be in your answer but we recall last earnings period Charter talked about delaying some of its upgrades by perhaps six months and we know Comcast has started deploying DOCSIS 4.0, but some of your language in the prepared remarks sounded like you were making references to some slower aspects of the 4.0. So I'm just trying to discern what the real driver is and what the pattern might be through the year. Thank you.

Hi, Simon. I'll start that and then ask Patrick to jump in as well. Let me first start by identifying how our guidance is set up and address those two points that you've brought up. Definitely, from a Q1 standpoint you see where our guidance is, the expectation is we return to growth -- year-on-year growth in the second half, so Q3, Q4. What is giving us confidence in terms of providing that full-year guidance is predicated on two things. One is based on our backlog and contracts that we have with our customers, but more importantly, with regards to the recent conversations that we've been having with key customers in terms of their deployment plans in 2024 and so the guidance reflects the information, the latest information that we have by working with our customers to identify the technology transitions when they expect to ramp and that's reflected in the guidance. In regards to the two technologies specifically, definitely, there is customers ramping up and moving over to 4.0 and that's going to take some deployment time as Patrick mentioned earlier, and with regards to our other customer that's ramping up, I mentioned the alignment with regards to the plans and the deployment plans that that customer has. Patrick, would you like to add?

No, I think you've covered it, but I'll ask you Simon if that's clear. If you have any more specific follow-up.

Actually, I've got a different follow-up and this is just much more of the sort of broader topic in that, you highlighted sort of the 15% coverage to date, we know Comcast has been working at its own initiative for about four years, that's backwards looking. If you were to sort of take a look at what's in front of you and your pipeline, can you give us sort of your thinking of how many years this cycle should last for you?

Well, I think it is a tough question, Simon, but I mean -- a top level answer is certainly another four to five years. You've kind of got some cross currents. On one hand, we are customers the market have learned a lot, so the deployment pace today can and should be much faster than it was when this whole initiative started four years ago. On the other hand, as we all have seen, some customers are just inclined for a variety of reasons to move more slowly, particularly in regards to getting the programs up and running. So you've got both of those things kind of ongoing somewhat offsetting themselves. So in summary, I expect the pace going forward to be slightly faster than the pace that we've seen to date, but not dramatically so, and I think that sets us up for four, five, six plus strong years of investments and opportunity in this area.

Great. Thank you for taking the questions.

Thanks, Simon.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ryan Koontz of Needham and Company. Please go ahead, Ryan.

Thanks for the question. I wonder if we could just step back also and talk about your North America Tier 1s? Obviously, we're familiar with Comcast and your win at Charter, but without naming names, can you refresh us on where we are with the other North America Tier 1s that you have wins with maybe without naming names, but talking about them in generality?

Sure, Ryan. We've -- I think we've previously stated that actually out of the top five, we've received some kind of order or some level of business with the top three. And as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, we won another Top 10 just this past quarter. So our coverage is not 100% but is now over 50% and each of those customers is moving forward with different set of priorities, different paces. To-date, frankly, out of the two biggest names, I think the pace has been a little bit slower than we would have expected if you roll the clock back to a year or two ago, but we see growing signs of that improving. One of the things that's kept some folks on the sideline, as you know, has been a question about DOCSIS 4 and different variants of that technology and the success that we're seeing rolling that out, I think is being very well received by the market both existing customers, we're trying to figure out exactly how to move forward, as well as prospective customers who are kind of waiting for the right stepping off point. So the momentum is strong. The position is strong. There are a couple of additional accounts to win and there's a lot of really good work ahead of us and plans actively being worked with customers have yet to really start scaling in earnest.

Okay, that's super helpful, Patrick, thank you. And maybe double-clicking on your comment there around and DOCSIS 4, and I know in your prepared remarks you mentioned the amplifier supply and these sort of things, can you unpack that a little bit for us there in terms of your assumptions that go into your DOCSIS 4 migration in terms of dependence on other things that you can't control, be they Broadcom ships whatever [indiscernible] programs

Yeah, so, right, so I appreciate the question and we were trying to illuminate that a little bit more. Indeed, for a customer to turn on an end-to-end DOCSIS 4 system other things need to be in place, a DOCSIS 4 modem and most architectures some kind of DOCSIS 4 amplifier, et cetera. However, the important thing to understand is that our new DOCSIS 4.0 technology can be run in a DOCSIS 3.1 mode. So if you're a customer and you've got to deploy, I'll make it up, Akron, Ohio, you may not be ready with the modem and the RF amplifiers, but you made nonetheless choose to buy DOCSIS 4 capable nodes now rather than regrettable spend DOCSIS 3.1 limited nodes if that makes sense. So we're seeing some rethinking by customers and we're definitely not seeing in all cases purchasing or in planning and deployment of our DOCSIS 4.0 capable technology being in any way limited by the broader ecosystem. And so that kind of brings us full circle to one large customer has decided to really pivot almost fully what they're deploying with us to the DOCSIS 4.0 Version. I think that's great. It takes advantage of our new technology and really further strengthens our position. In the short-term, as you can see from our guidance as we just discussed with Simon, this does mean we've kind of got a little bit funny shape to the curve, a slower first half followed by what we think is going to be a very aggressive second half and -- but net-net it doesn't diminish the total opportunity and it certainly does not put us on the sidelines waiting for any other third-party product or elements of the solution. Is that clear or helpful?

That's great. One quick follow-up there. Yes, that's perfect, Patrick, thank you. And with regards to your DOCSIS 4, is any of this second half load -- is it more dependent on your customer's demand or is it your own supply chain holding things up there in terms of the second half weight on broadband?

Specifically regarding DOCSIS 4, it's more about our customers. I mean, that being said, it's a good question. I mean, the fact is, we could not ship DOCSIS 4.0 in infinite quantities today even if we wanted to. So frankly, we're all in a kind of a ramp-up of the supply chain, of the deployment experience, and maturation, et cetera. So everything is converging, but I think if you have to point to something that could be a limiting factor, it's more on the demand side. We feel quite good about where we are with the technology and that we're going to be in good shape to supply quite heavy demand in the second half. In fact, as you've heard from Walter, that is our plan.

Great. Thank you so much.

Thanks.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Steven Frankel of Rosenblatt. Please go ahead, Steven.

Good afternoon. Patrick, let's talk about the other set of customers. There were a large number of customers entering SCTE that hadn't really figured out their deployment plans kind of where are we with those, and how big a percentage of that group is likely in the 4.0 camp, and so they're going to be back half weighted as well?

Yeah, that's right, Steve. It's an excellent question and an excellent point. Look, there is not -- certainly domestically, there is not a significant cable operator who is not contemplating DOCSIS 4.0 for at least part of their strategy. And so it's part of the dialog with everyone and it's part of the dynamic for better or worse. And again, what we're talking about here is not the scale of the opportunity, in fact, DOCSIS 4.0 expands the opportunity from our perspective, but it does have certain implications on the timing for all the reasons we've just discussed. And indeed, while -- I'd say the typical, let's say, mid-sized operator is still probably has 3.1 more central to their near-term plans, understanding and figuring out their 4.0 strategy, particularly for their most competitive areas is mission-critical for them and it's very much core to the planning discussions with us and to the anticipated scaling. Indeed, as you said, pushing things a little bit more back half this year.

Okay. And then, on the Fiber business, maybe a little more color on the progress you're making with new opportunities in the pure fiber area.

Well, I mean, for us it's all new opportunity, Steve. I mean, as I mentioned, we've won quite a bit of business with some significant existing cable accounts, but actually very often within those accounts, it's a different team. This could be a team dealing with business services, services to MDUs, as well as the groups who are expanding the footprint, the so called edge-out activity acquiring new homes passed. So we're making good progress there. We've had a couple of very significant design wins. Last year was actually quite a good year from a particularly new order input point of view. One of the things we discovered, particularly internationally though is that there was a couple of holes in the product line. For instance, we focused on 10G initially and there's a number of accounts that are really also looking for complementary one-gig solution still, legacy solution. So we've added some capabilities around that, really I think bullet-proofing our offering and giving us a more complete end-to-end solution for domestic and international operators, and this is looking at both cable as well as new, let's say, traditional telecom or fiber first operators. And we're also excited about the progress we're making there with those new non-cable accounts against several good wins late last year and a pretty strong pipeline, and actually it's going after those accounts, that's one of the key areas of focus for us in terms of scaling up our go-to-market capability.

And would you remind us how many fiber-first customers you have today?

I don't think we've quoted that and I think that's not a metric we want to get into, but it's more than just several. How about that, Steve?

Okay, great. Thank you.

Okay, thanks.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of George Notter of Jefferies. Your question, please, George.

Hi, guys, thanks very much. Hey, if I go back to last quarter, I think there was a conversation about customers carrying excess inventory, I guess I was thinking about it more in the context of Comcast, but could you give us a sense for what that looks like? Did that inventory get burned off here in Q4 or is that still something that's kind of lingering going forward?

No, in terms of what we talked about last year, George, in terms of orders that got pushed out, those orders were fulfilled in Q4 that was part of the impact you would see there on inventory, for example, the reduction in inventory. So we were holding inventory that was ready to go a couple of quarters ago and we've now flushed that out in Q4.

Got it. Okay. And then also what about inventory that is in the possession of your customers. Is there a comment on that as well?

No specific comment, George, in terms of having direct access to see exactly what's in their pipeline in terms of let it be 3.1 nodes or 4.0 is just getting started. So there's very little inventory in the pipeline because that's just getting started now.

Got it. Okay. So, is that part of the narrative here that as you see customers transition from 3.1 to 4.0, your business trends are softer now because they're adjusting inventories or is it in fact that it's a different skew then that they're buying as they deploy 4.0 or how do I think about kind of how the customers approaching their own inventories of your products as they go through this transition? Thanks.

Yes, certainly, George. Well, as Patrick mentioned earlier, with regards to deployment around 4.0 nodes and their backward compatibility in terms of ability to put those notes in place in the network and not regret putting a 3.1 and having to go back in short order and upgrade to a 4.0 node. So I think we're seeing a level of planning around that as customers look at how they're going to leverage our 4.0 nodes that have that backward compatibility. So I think that's a big driver in terms of the technology transition, specifically to 4.0.

Got it. For you, is that a different SKU that you're selling into a customer like Comcast?

Certainly, 4.0 is a different SKU than 3.1.

Yeah, George, it's a different hardware design, it's a different core trip, it's a different RF design to support the DOCSIS 4 capabilities, so for the edge devices it is a different hardware design and it's also additional incremental capability functionality on the software -- the core software piece.

Got it. Right. And, I guess, so the question I'm asking is, is that a source of the softness that you see here in the first part of the year? Customers depleting any remaining inventory of 3.1 nodes in advance of cutting over to 4.0?

So, it's part of the story. I don't think it's the whole story, but for one customer in particular, George, it's a big part of the story. Yeah, if you're gearing up for 4.0, you're not only just right sizing your inventory, you're actually bleeding your legacy inventory down hard, right? We have another significant customer that for their own reasons is just the natural curve of their ramp-up is still, I'd say, ramping up moderately through the first half and kind of hitting the knee of the curve sometime in Q2 and really getting to a much heavier pace of deployment in Q3 and Q4. That's a customer who is relatively newer to deployment and that's consistent with what we've seen in the past with other customers who are in their, let's say, first year of major rollout. So we've got two separate things working at the same time and coincidentally both following the same kind of lighter first half, stronger second half curve kind of multiplying the effect. Did that makes sense?

That helps. Thank you, guys, very much.

Thank you.

Thanks, George.

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Tim Savageaux of Northland. Please go ahead, Tim.

Thanks, and good afternoon. The question is on kind of the nature of your initial ramp with Charter I guess and what you might expect going forward. And I guess I want to come at that from a couple of directions, first, you saw weaker gross margins in Q4, do we infer that that's hardware-heavy initial mix or some kind of stocking or there is a relationship there at all remembering that you had a big upfront software license with Comcast at that initial deployment? And then relative to and assuming that most of the charter revenue is -- vast majority is Broadband and really wasn't much in any of anything last quarter, how would you relate that ramp to what you saw historically with Comcast? And I can remember times when you were at similar levels and on up to doing $50 million, $60 million a quarter, probably on the Broadband side. So when you talk about that second half ramp, should we think about those types of metrics to try and define what you mean with Charter in particular?

Hey, Tim, it's Walter. So we're not going to specifically talk about any particular customer's ramp, but I think there's a couple of things there that you passed that we'll address. First of all, in regards to the margins for Q4 in Broadband specifically. So as we highlighted in our opening remarks, we had a significant higher mix of nodes go out in the Q4 time period, more than we had anticipated going into the quarter. Part of that was other customers who came in with orders that they wanted fulfilled in the quarter and so we prioritized that, and so when we look at our mix of business, heavy mix of nodes in Q4 and that drove down the Broadband margin compared to what we've seen historically. Second point that I will highlight here in terms of how to think about the margin profile as we move forward, across the customer base as we look at customers in terms of moving forward, customers acquire the nodes, they acquire licenses, software licenses to enable those nodes once those get put into the network and so as we've highlighted before, quarter-to-quarter the margins will fluctuate depending on the mix over a longer period of time, such as a year, you average those puts and takes and you'll see more of a normalized mix of the COS coupled with the nodes that are going out in broadband. So I addressed a couple of your questions, Tim, is there -- maybe there's something I missed from the ones that you listed out here? Did I address them?

Yeah, I think so. As a follow-up question, you mentioned the prospects for an accelerating growth rate in '25 as new customers kind of get ramped up, can you offer any kind of commentary because you mentioned over a year gross margins are normalized you're guiding into the high 40s, let's say, 47 something like that. As the business scales, if we're looking at '25 is 50% on the table from a gross margin perspective or do you expect to hardware mix to be heavy enough that this range is a reasonable range to expect where we are currently? Thanks.

That's a good question. Tim, the way I would look at FY'24, it's a transitional year with regards to a lot of nodes that are going out into the networks as we look forward beyond 2024, I would say, that the mix will likely be slightly improved in terms of the mix of our cOS as compared to our hardware. But as you can imagine, there are many factors and some of the ones that Patrick highlighted earlier with regards to our focus around fiber as well that has an impact in terms of the overall margins for the business.

Okay. Thanks very much.

Okay. Thanks, Tim.

Thank you. I would now like to turn the conference back over to Patrick Harshman for closing remarks. Sir?

Okay. Well, thank you again for joining us today. We're pleased with our strong quarter and we're excited about the opportunities ahead of us and we're determined to execute in 2024, 2025, and beyond. We appreciate your support. We're confident in our ability to execute and we look forward to continuing to be in close dialog with you as we go forward. Thanks again, everyone. Have a good day.

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.