Welcome to Hertz Global Holdings Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Call. Currently, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Following management's commentary, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. I would like to remind you that this morning's call is being recorded by the company. I would now like to turn the call over to our host, Johann Rawlinson, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. By now, you should have our earnings press release and associated financial information. We've also provided slides to accompany our conference call, which can be accessed on our website. I want to remind you that certain statements made on this call contain forward-looking information. Forward-looking statements are not a guarantee of performance, and by their nature, are subject to inherent uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially. Any forward-looking information relayed on this call speaks only as of today's date, and the company undertakes no obligation to update that information to reflect changed circumstances. Additional information concerning these statements is contained in our earnings press release and in the Risk Factors and Forward-Looking Statements section of our 2022 Form 10-K and our second quarter 2023 Form 10-Q filed with the SEC. These documents are also available on the Investor Relations section of the Hertz website. Today, we'll use certain non-GAAP financial measures, which are reconciled with GAAP numbers in our earnings press release available on our website. We believe that these non-GAAP measures provide additional information about our operations, allowing better evaluation of our profitability and performance. Unless otherwise noted, our discussion today focuses on our global business. On the call this morning, we have Stephen Scherr, our Chief Executive Officer, and Alex Brooks, our Chief Financial Officer. I'll now turn the call over to Stephen.

Thank you, Johann. Good morning, and thank you all for joining us on this second quarter earnings call. Before turning to our Q2 results, let me first acknowledge the appointment of Alex Brooks to the position of Chief Financial Officer, having served as our interim CFO for the past several months. Given her talents, I look forward to a continued partnership with Alex as we execute on the priorities of Hertz, and I congratulate Alex on her permanent appointment. With that, let me address our second quarter results, which reflect another impressive performance by the team and a successful start to the key summer season. Our results for the second quarter were strong, reflecting the ongoing strength of our business, continued high demand for our services, and lower fleet carrying costs. Revenue was $2.4 billion, up 19% sequentially, and adjusted corporate EBITDA was $347 million. Our results were the product of higher transaction days and a stable rate environment that remains well above pre-pandemic levels, and we believe no longer reflects a momentary surge of travel, but a more stable baseline of demand growth being witnessed across the travel industry. Our results also reflect our fleet being deployed at very elevated utilization throughout the quarter as we captured customer demand across multiple channels and continued to opportunistically harvest available gains on the sale of vehicles, consistent with our ROA-driven strategy. Volume across our business in the quarter was up 18% sequentially and 12% versus Q2 of last year. Demand was strong in the US, Canada, and Europe, as each of leisure, corporate and Rideshare, continue to demonstrate momentum, with international travel benefiting both our US and European businesses. Our sequential growth in transaction days in the US outpaced TSA airport traffic and other indicators of broader growth in travel, and…

Thank you, Stephen, and good morning, everyone. As Stephen noted, we had a strong second quarter that reflected continued positive momentum and demand for our services. Revenue was up in both the Americas and international segments, and totaled $2.4 billion, an increase of 19% sequentially. Both volume and rate met our expectations for the quarter as we laid out on our last call, with volume up 18% and rate up 1% versus Q1. International inbound volume continued to improve and was at 78% of 2019 levels for the quarter. We also experienced growth in Rideshare rental volumes, which were 69% above Q2 2022. We expect our Rideshare margins to be accretive as the business benefits from longer length of keep and reduced direct cost, notwithstanding lower RPU days. We believe that progress here will demonstrate that revenue per unit for RPU, when coupled with lower direct operating costs, is a better measure of margin creation than is RPD, and a better reflection of our focus on ROA. Adjusted corporate EBITDA was $347 million in the second quarter, a margin of 14%. Growth in global travel and Rideshare were large contributors, with continued strength in leisure. Americas and international generated impressive margins of 16% and 23%, respectively, while maintaining a tight fleet. In terms of fleet, we held an average in Q2 of 560,000 vehicles, which was managed to be inside the demand curve as demonstrated by utilization of 82% for the quarter, thereby enabling us to hold rate and generate healthy returns. Depreciation per unit for Q2 was $195 and was below the range we laid out on our last call, primarily due to an increase in the number of fully depreciated vehicles in our fleet, as well as favorable fleet mix. Turning to our operating costs. As Stephen noted,…

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Chris Woronka of Deutsche Bank.

Hey good, good morning, everyone. Appreciate all the color so far and congratulations to Alex on the permanent appointment.

Thank you.

Sure. So, as we look to 2024, and if we, I guess kind of assume that demand stays relatively constant, maybe pricing is similar to 2023, and then you talked about initiatives around Dollar Thrifty and maybe there's a longer tail to the European recovery and further growth in Rideshare, I guess, do you think it's possible that year-over-year EBITDA would be positive next year?

Thanks for the question, Chris. Appreciate it. The short answer is yes, we do see opportunity for growth into 2024. And I would sort of put our confidence on a number of different sort of factors. First of all, we're seeing no abatement in baseline fundamentals. That is, demand for our product is there. You saw demand grow at 18%, 19%, and we're seeing that and expecting that to continue. And I would say that demand is both in our core rack business, but equally, we will experience increasing demand opportunity in Europe, in Rideshare, and in Dollar, and I'll come back to those. I would also say as a general matter, that the demand function I think is also going to come from continued opportunity in the rack business. So, international inbound travel, which is a very positive force for us, has added about call it 60% of where it was pre-pandemic, and we have yet to see kind of the full-throated benefit, if you will, of what comes from Asia. If you look at business travel, there have been various analyses done by third parties that point to business travel back at about 60% of pre-pandemic, returning to about 95% in the next two years. So, baseline demand fundamentals in the core rack business, along with incremental demand that is still not yet present, and then demand across the various sort of growth components of the business. On rate, and as we said, we expect that rate over the balance of this year to improve in terms of its year-over-year comparison. So, Q2, year-over-year rate was down 7%. I would venture to say that Q2, as we suggested, was a bit of an anomaly last year in that you had excessively high demand coming out of COVID, and…

Okay, thanks, Stephen. Super helpful. And then I did have a follow-up, which maybe we can drill down on where you are on EVs a little bit. And I know you mentioned earlier that you might change your pivot a little bit in terms of what you're in-fleeting, when and where, and maybe just a view of the economics of that business so far, where you're at on in-fleeting, the kind of puts and takes you're seeing from pricing changes at the OEMs on EVs, and just again, kind of the economics of how that impacts the business in 2024 and beyond in terms of RPD difference and margin difference with DOE and things like that. Thanks.

Sure. Okay. So, EVs are now 11%, 12% of our overall fleet. It still skews to a dominant presence of Tesla in the fleet, but I think we're encouraged that we are now taking delivery on the first EVs out of GM as part of the 175,000 that we agreed to purchase over the next five years. They are all coming at more attractive price points than where we thought they would originally. That only benefits the economics in terms of the margin to be had and the returns to be had on these cars. I would also say that as we take in more general Motors EVs, one, it mitigates the sort of single supplier risk just in terms of recall and operations. But equally, I think we're encouraged at working more aggressively with GM by virtue of their parts supply, their network and the like, because I think that the ability on those cars at various price points to sort of see parts more readily available at lower price points, is an important element in the overall economics of running the EV platform. From a straightway maintenance point of view, EVs are still what they promised to be, which is lower maintenance, obviously subject to sort of tires and brakes. And I think we're quite encouraged at the longer length of keep that we'll be able to have, flattening the depreciation curve, buying more EVs at lower price points than where we bought them in the past. And I think we find ourselves in a really interesting opportunity, particularly as cities are requiring Rideshare companies like Uber and Lyft to be 100% electric by 2030, only kind of six years or more from where we are, and we become the viable path for that to happen. And so, again, having lower price points on EVs, longer length of keep, lower depreciating sort of components, and having sort of an embedded base of demand for them in the context of Rideshare, is just another added component of why we think the economics and the first mover edge is there. And again, none of this relies on what I had mentioned in our prepared remarks, which is that the whole undertaking around EVs puts us in a position longer term to think about fleet management, to think about autonomous vehicles and the like, again, all of that as an add-on to sort of the baseline business that we're putting EVs to.

Okay. very helpful. Thanks, Stephen.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Ian Zaffino of Oppenheimer & Company.

Thank you very much. Very good color. Can you maybe touch upon Manheim? Residuals have been pretty volatile recently. How are you now thinking about that impact as you manage the business going forward? Thanks.

Hey Ian, it's Alex. I'll take that question. Yes, you're right, we have seen decreases in the Manheim Rental Index published over the last few weeks, about a 4% decline for the month of June. And we've seen diminished pricing in the spot market. But when you think about that Manheim Rental Index, I think it's important to put it in the context of where we started the year. So, it's pretty much a round trip on that in terms of where we started January. And even compared to the beginning of Q1, we increased and then came back down in the last month of the quarter. So, just to put that in perspective. In terms of how we think about managing residual risk in the business, I mean, as you know, driving to a profitable disposition of the vehicle as it exits our fleet is a important component of return on asset and how we manage the return on asset. So, in a declining residual environment, it's more important than ever that we divert volume away from auctions and a baseline wholesale price to more profitable channels. This includes dealer direct, and right now we have more of our volume going through our dealer direct channel than we do at auction. And we also really feel like our differentiator is our retail channel and our car sales operations. So, our car sales operations includes our partnership with Carvana, and we're yielding much better returns than what we would otherwise realize by disposing of these vehicles through auction. Our Carvana volume is growing and contributes to us in a meaningful way. So, that being said, in the current residual environment, we're even more focused on disciplined fleet management and managing our fleet size within the demand curve. And as we mentioned in our prepared remarks, we are going to reduce our fleet size towards the end of the year, so it stands modestly higher than where we started the year. And this is a function of managing to the downside risk, understanding that if demand indicators more end, we can pivot quickly to the upside and manage that through spot market purchases. So, with that context and as we look forward to Q3, as I mentioned, we're expecting net depreciation of $275 to $300 per unit, and this is a view on the gains that we expect to realize in car sales given the current residual environment, as well as the impact of the current spot market on the forward, in other words, on the forward of the fleet in terms of how long our holding period and future dispositions at future dates.

Okay, thanks. That's really good color. And I guess just from listening to the prepared comments that you made, it seems like you guys or the business is performing, or the outlook is better than expected, or at least what you thought initially. There seems to be a nice growth component here. You're talking about a lot of free cash flow coming in in the second half of the year. So, how are we thinking about buybacks here? And I know you bought back about 6 million shares this past quarter, but what should we really be expecting, and how are you now thinking about kind of the value of your stock and the purchase of shares just given your seemingly improved outlook? Thanks.

Well, I think, look, obviously we generate appreciably more cash flow in the back half of the year. The back half would be the point in the year to sort of give consideration to sort of a take up in share repurchase. But our strategy has always been looking at fleet and non-fleet CapEx, and then looking at share repurchase as an option. We have considerable capacity under our existing authorization to do that. We'll continue to sort of look at where value sits in the stock. We share obviously a rather bullish view on what the forward looks like. And so, the opportunity will present itself in the second half, and you should think of us as a continued buyer of stock as we move through the back half of the year.

Okay, thank you very much.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of John Healy of Northcoast Research.

Thank you. I hate to try to get in the weeds on this, but I just kind of wanted to spend a little time on the depreciation line for the quarter. Obviously, a nice benefit Q2 over Q1. Your fleet went up say 40,000 cars, and I can imagine those cars are coming in at higher depreciation than previous. So, I was just trying to kind of back into the gain that you had this quarter on the fleet disposition. And I don't know, my guess is it's probably $125 million or so. So, if the used car market was softer in Q2 that we can see that versus Q1, you had that big gain. Why would you not have another big gain in Q3? Is it just the age of the cars you're moving through? I'm just trying to understand kind of why the snap from 280 down to 198 and then back to 280 again.

Yes, sure, John. This is Alex. You're right. So, for Q2, we had about $110 million gains on car sales in the quarter. And as we look ahead to Q3, we've got - we obviously have a dynamic fleet. Our fleet consists of different vehicles, different ages. And as we look ahead, there's some fleet mix impact there in terms of what we expect to see. And again, we're managing also I think to a residual environment in which we see some downside risk versus some upside risk. So, in thinking about that forward depreciation rate of 275 to 300, we've tried to incorporate to the best of our knowledge what we see happening in terms of fleet plan dynamics, as well as our view on the spot market and the market in which those car sales will happen.

Okay, that makes sense. And then just on your 500 million …

Hey, John, it's Stephen. Just before we move off that, so let's talk about the different channels that we have, okay? The wholesale market is a spot market, right? Now, it is as you see in the Manheim Rental Index, down quite considerably over the latter part of June into July, all consistent with the comments that Alex made earlier about it being a round trip on the year. As we look to use kind of what I would describe as more proprietary channels, the likes of Carvana or for that matter, our own retail network, there's a longer sale period there than there is in the spot market. And so, right now, for example, those proprietary channels can yield $2,000 to $3,000 more per car than what we see in the wholesale market, okay, but they require a 30- or 40-day sort of process to get through. And so, what you're seeing in the reflection, as Alex said, is a realization of where the wholesale market is trading, the time to be able to sort of sell the cars that we have with a very clear view that we are bringing fleet down off of the early Q3 peak as we get back down into the back or the end of the year. And so, that's just to give you a bit of a flavor for it. I would say also in the context of Q2, there's obviously a rise in zero debt cars that we're holding because they have greater utility to us in the context of the business that we're growing around Dollar, for example, or in TNC. So, these are the dynamics around depreciation. It is not the sort of here's a given output. Instead, it is an output of a series of actions that we take, which include choice of car we buy, choice of car we keep, length of keep, what we sell, whether we advance the sale, what cars we advance in the context of those that carry elevated equity, and equally, the ability to sort of capture an equal or better price around a car that may have a lower depreciation sort of feature than not.

No, that's helpful. And wanted to bring up Carvana there. I mean, clearly that company's gone through a lot over the last 18 months or so, and appears to be maybe on the other side of things to some degree. Is the relationship that you guys entered into with them kind of still structured the same way? Are they as excited about being in this business with you guys as they had been? Just kind of curious, like if we could get some visibility on kind of where that stands, then the durability of it because to me that probably is a big part of the 2024 changeover and distribution of how you get out of fleet.

Yes. I would say the commercial relationship with Carvana is better now than it's been. You may remember that when they first ran into challenges with creditors and the like, they had pivoted on their own business model to move away from smaller, more bespoke providers or dealers of cars to larger scale operations, of which Hertz is clearly one. So, we've seen growth in volume that we can put through Carvana, a very engaged partner with us in the context of car sales. And so, I would say that things have improved in the context of where we are. By the way, I should also say, John, that just back to the Manheim question, there is spot risk when you look at it. What I would say to you though is that there's some interesting dynamics about the used car market, which I think we're looking at and considering to put ourselves marginally more optimistic about it, which is that structurally speaking, the used car market is now into a point of being short used cars that are attractive to rental car companies, namely off lease. If you think about it, the supply that would come or start right now into the used car market would've gone on lease three years ago. They didn't go on lease because they weren't manufactured because we were in the throes of COVID. So, we're entering a period of structural shortage in terms of supply of attractive cars. That should have some upward lift, if not stability, to sort of where the Manheim Rental Index is. Now, corresponding negative view on it, of course would be that interest rates are higher. So, borrowing on the part of the consumer puts them in a more reluctant sort of position. But I think we shouldn't lose sight of the structural element there. I don't mean to make a pattern of the last two weeks, but the last two weeks have shown more stability than what we saw in, as Alex put it, a 4% decline over latter part of June into early July.

Okay, great. Thank you so much. And Alex, congrats on the promotion.

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Stephanie Moore of Jefferies.

Hi, good morning. I think you gave a little bit of color of the trends that you were seeing in July, but maybe if we could just flush that out a little bit. If you could just touch on the demand trends you've seen in July and how that's compared to maybe normal seasonality. And at the same time, if you could discuss what you're seeing from a competitive standpoint through this kind of busy peak season as well, that might be helpful. Thank you.

Sure. Well, I would say that the trend in July that I took note of in the prepared remarks was looking at rate in July as being in or around 5% or slightly better relative to where we were in Q2 and July being higher than June, kind of on a month-over-month sequential basis. Typically, in Q2 to Q3, you would see a 10% uptick in rate, and you would see a more modest 5% uptick in volume. I think that we are forecasting here perhaps an inverse of the two, which is, we are expecting and are experiencing materially better volume than what is otherwise seasonal, maybe breaking with the seasonal sort of nature of it all. And we're seeing rate sort of continue higher, but again, off of a higher base, right, than where we otherwise would've been. And as I mentioned, equally looking away just from the sequential quarter-on-quarter, if you look at year-over-year, Q2 was 7% lower year-over-year. We envision Q3 to be lower than it was last year, but lower than that, meaning down, call it, 5%-ish relative to where it was, and improving throughout the year as there's a better comparable set moving away from kind of the extremity of what was Q2 of 2022. But I think overall, very strong demand, of which we're going to find other channels to feed it even more and continued strength in price, again, in a very stable rate environment relative to what we otherwise might have seen or cynically thought would come, again with a slightly looser availability of cars and so forth.

Great. Absolutely. No, that's helpful. And then maybe switching gears on the expense management side, I think you called out clearly continuing to place a lot of focus on whether it's SG&A or direct costs. And I think you highlighted that there were some duplicative costs right now as you kind of migrate into the cloud, migrate further into the cloud. Could you maybe quantify what you're seeing or the impact that was there on the quarter?

Well, I would say - without putting precise numbers to it, I would simply tell you that there's a material amount of expense that we incur in the course of a transition from operating two data centers to where we will ultimately be for the end of next year into 2025, up into the cloud with various instances on a global basis. We will shed ourselves of a meaningful number of outside consultants and other service providers that have for probably the better part of two decades, stood up older platforms that sit in physical data center. And so, the savings we will get is not just simply the kind of more conventional savings that comes with simply being in the cloud. It is the ability to move away from a reliance on third-party providers. Now, we're not there yet in its entirety because this is a gradual sort of move where, as I've mentioned, finance for example, is up in the cloud. There are other elements or platforms that will be migrated in due course, and as we do that, we're reducing down our reliance on third parties. Obviously, there's the cost of the cloud. There's cost of our own employees, but this will be quite a material number in the context of what we will realize as it bleeds forward in through the latter part of 2024.

Great. And then lastly for me, I was hoping you could maybe give a little bit of an update on the Hertz and Uber partnership in Europe that was launched earlier this year, particularly with EVs and the availability that you're providing for Uber drivers in certain European cities. So, any difference in outcomes or learnings or anything thus far comparing to the European market and maybe the US market? Just curious what you've seen thus far.

Sure. Well, first of all, it's early days in Europe to draw the comparison, but our venture is starting off in London and Amsterdam and will next be in France. And these are areas where there's a very professional cadre of drivers that drive, that are licensed, that are required to take and pass certain exams and so forth. What that will bring to us, I suspect, is a more uniform professional group of drivers on which we can rely kind of more readily on risks that we take in terms of risk of collision and so forth. I would say that in certain of the European jurisdictions, the insurance and the risk bearing relative to what it is in the US, will shift, meaning we can put risk on third parties, whether it's obligatory insurance programs or otherwise. And so, the economics all in, if you will, so put aside rate and volume as the key components, but the ancillary costs of collision damage, salvage, all keyed off of quality of driver and equally kind of insurance and risk-bearing, I think could possibly be better in Europe than it would be in the US, although the US business will be larger for us for a while, but I think the European business holds sort of considerable promise.

Great. Thank you so much.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Christopher Stathoulopoulos of Susquehanna International Group.

Good morning, everyone, and Alex, congrats on the promotion. Thank you. So, Stephen, a lot of good detail here and here in your prepared remarks as it relates to demand and some of the Q&A, but if we look at the airlines here for a minute, and I mention the airlines given the correlation to rental volumes, domestically here, we are seeing some signs of slowing, but perhaps bigger declines in pricing and concerns on some elevated inventory here in North America. Long haul travel, as you said, and with what the airlines are seeing, is very stronger. So, given that in your global footprint, I was wondering if you could perhaps put a little bit more sort of a nuanced view here with respect to how you're seeing demand here domestically, if you're able to parse that out regionally, west coast on the coasts, and of course, your thoughts with how you see what looks to be a lot of pent-up demand, but certainly the last segment to recover with respect to travel playing out into the back half. Thank you.

Sure. Great. So, just as a baseline, okay, it's important to realize that we ran in Q2 at an 82% utilization, and we are signaling to you that we will take that even higher in the context of our fleet. And that's not price-driven, as I said. That's fleet-driven. So, we calibrate the fleet, and we'll take it down to sort of maintain very high levels of utilization, so as to maintain price and the like. I raise that because across the whole of the business, all geographies are contributing to an elevated level of view. Let me start domestic. I'll just decompose it as in your question. Domestically, we continue to see strength across all of our regions. I would say the regions behave on a seasonal basis, so quite strong in the northeast in the summer. We'll be quite strong and we'll see bookings in through the winter in the southern climbs like Florida and Arizona. I would say that the West is picking up, and this factors into inbound travel, which is Asian inbound travel has been kind of the last of the three, meaning, European travel back strong, Latin American travel back strong. Asian travel was late, but we're seeing more and more travel, particularly among Japanese and Korean tourists into the California markets and also into Hawaii. I would say an interesting twist is that we're seeing Chinese tourists not in the United States by virtue of visa issues, but rather in our European markets, in places like Paris and elsewhere. And so, growing that. On the European side, we're seeing certainly this summer a considerably elevated level of Americans that are traveling to Europe. Obviously, the places that you know like the southern part of France into Spain and into Italy, the business has been really quite strong and strong and demand at a moment where we have made very material changes to our cost base in certain parts and certain countries of Europe, France in particular. And so, the margin throw-off of that business is quite enticing. And so, what we see in this is quite strong, but I would point out, we're not done, meaning, we're not yet back to where international inbound was. I think the airlines would tell you that they would redeploy capacity as in if they had it to feed that. We would like that because this international inbound business going both ways is very attractive to us. It carries very high rate, very high pickup in VAS, very attractive margins. And so, we'd like to see and expect to see that continue.

Great color. Thank you. A follow-up. So, in your prepared remarks, you touched on what is your view of or how you approach fleet management and what is certainly, I would say, a different approach today. If you could expand on that a little bit more. That's just about how every conversation with investors for me at least starts off is how has fleet management changed for Hertz? How does Stephen think about managing the fleet through a cycle today versus how it used to be done. Okay. Thank you.

Sure. Thanks a lot. Look, the core of the strategy, as we've said on all the calls in which I've been a participant, is that ROA drives this, okay? And we're targeting a marginal ROA on fleet at 15% to 20% in terms of what the ROA ought to be on the cars that we hold. We're dynamic all the time, okay, which is why depreciation and fleet size could move and will move depending on where demand is, but you're always looking to optimize your return. By the way, that may be as it was in various portions of last year, selling the car over renting the car. But as prices have come off, the rental proposition has obviously become more attractive at a very stable base rate that we are at. So, yes, it is down year-over-year, but I think it's explainable in the context of where we're coming from and now sitting sequentially at what we view to be a relatively stable rate environment that sustains adequate and attractive marginal returns on our assets. If you think about fleet, okay, and you think about utilization and fleet being the key component of what drives utilization, not taking price down to beef up against a static fleet number, we started we started off the year at kind of 475,000 to 500,000 cars. We surged into the summer, challenging ourselves to ensure that what we were getting at appropriate levels of utilization was adequate return. And as Alex pointed out, we will be back down to something that's slightly higher than where we began the year, again, in the context of being mindful of where demand sits, maintaining better than 82% utilization on the fleet, maintaining high ROA on the cars, and all the while serving a diverse set…

Great. That's great color. Thank you. Thank you. This concludes today's Q&A session. I would now like to hand the call over to Stephen Scherr, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

Thank you all for your participation today. Before we close the call, I want to thank the more than 20,000 employees of Hertz for their continued service and their attention to our customers, particularly as we're in the busy summer season. We look forward to sharing further updates with you on our next call. And with that, I'll send it back to the operator.

This concludes the Hertz Global Holdings second quarter 2023 earnings conference call. Thank you for your participation.