J. Esplin
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Thanks, Peter. Let's turn to Slide 9. We've shown a quarterly year-over-year sales volume chart for the last few quarters now. We think it's a good measure of underlying demand as it compensates for seasonal fluctuations. We've made some adjustments to remove the effects of tolling, by-products and certain businesses that are no longer a part of our business portfolio. We've also added line showing our actual pounds sold and our 2007 pounds sold by quarter, which is a good proxy for normalized demand. Our volumes for the first quarter increased 7% compared to the first quarter 2009, which was down 15%, compared to the first quarter of 2008. By implication, doing the math suggests our volumes are down a net 8% relative to the first quarter of 2008. Adjusting for the effects of the planned maintenance at our Port Neches, Texas facility, our first quarter volumes improved 19% compared to the prior year and 5% compared to the fourth quarter. We are encouraged by this trend and expect that it will continue in the second quarter. However, as you look at our actual pounds sold relative to our 2007 pounds, we still have a gap to close of approximately 4%. Slide 10. In the first quarter of 2010, our adjusted EBITDA increased to $123 million from $57 million in the prior year. The primary reason for the year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA was a significant increase in volumes. We saw some positive benefits in margins as average selling prices increased more than direct costs, which are primarily our raw material costs. Of course, the production disruption at our Port Neches, Texas facility that Peter has already discussed, created a negative impact of $51 million in the first quarter of this year. It is worth mentioning that starting this quarter, we reclassified the impact of LIFO inventory accounting gains and losses into Corporate and Other and conformed prior-period results to this presentation. This reclassification has no impact on total adjusted EBITDA. However, we believe it provides greater transparency to the underlying operating results of our Performance Products division. The year-over-year change in LIFO-inventory valuation expense for the first quarter of 2010 reduced adjusted EBITDA by approximately $30 million and is captured in the call entitled Other within this chart. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2009, our first quarter 2010 adjusted EBITDA decreased by $50 million, primarily as a result of the $51 million production disruption at our Port Neches, Texas facility. We are encouraged by the sequential improvement in volume. Average selling prices increased more than direct costs, which include our raw material costs, expanding margins within the quarter. We expect our long-term effective tax rate to be approximately 30% to 35%. However, for 2010, our adjusted income tax rate could be as high as 100%. This unusual tax rate, caused by valuation allowances in countries like the U.K. and Switzerland, has no impact on cash taxes, which is expected to be approximately 20% over the next few years. Because of this, we believe earnings per share for 2010 will be volatile. That's predictable and less meaningful than adjusted EBITDA. Turning to Slide 11. Our year-over-year sales revenue for the first quarter increased 25% as a result of improved recovery in global demand and higher average selling prices. Sales recovery continues to be most dramatic in the Asia-Pacific region, which represents 24% of our sales, with the year-over-year increase of 54%, and other regions reporting solid improvements within the range of 14% to 21%. We saw double-digit increases in revenues across all our segments as average selling prices increased 12% in local currency terms and another 4% due to the effects of foreign currency. On a quarter-over-quarter basis, all of our divisions saw an increase in sales revenue with the exception of Polyurethanes. Polyurethanes were negatively impacted by the production disruptions in Texas. The good news is that our average selling prices increased 10% in local currency terms, partially offset by 2% negative impact from currency as the U.S. dollar strengthened against major European currencies. Slide 12. During the first quarter of 2010, we saw the value of our primary working capital components increase as a result of increased selling prices reflected in accounts receivable and finished inventory, as well as the absorption of higher raw material costs. As a result, we saw a use of cash of $57 million in the first quarter. The inventory chart on the right shows that, although, total inventory values increased 5% from the fourth quarter to the first quarter, we were able to maintain our tight discipline over underlying pounds, which actually decreased 1% over the same period. Beginning January 1, 2010, as a result of changes in accounting guidelines, outstanding borrowings related to our accounts receivable programs are accounted on balance sheet, which has the effect of increasing debt by $254 million. There is no cash impact from this change. The previous periods haven't been adjusted for our GAAP financial statements. Here in Slide 12, we have adjusted prior periods to reflect these changes for purposes of calculating changes in working capital. Slide 13. At the end of the quarter, we had approximately $1.1 billion of cash and approximately $400 million of unused borrowing capacity, summing to a total of $1.5 billion of liquidity on hand. This amount is more than adequate to provide operating flexibility and strategic growth for the company. In connection with our ongoing insurance claim related to the April 29, 2006, Port Arthur, Texas fire, we have received partial insurance proceeds to date of $365 million. We remain in finding arbitration with the insurers. While we continue to respond through requests of the arbitration panel based on preliminary rulings to date, the current maximum amount of any remaining recovery is approximately $170 million. Any additional recoveries will be used to prepay secured debt. We've been pretty active over the past several months, attending to our capital structure. In January, we repurchased all of our outstanding 7% convertible notes due 2018 for approximately $382 million. These notes were convertible into approximately 32.8 million shares. The repurchase of these notes resulted in a loss on early extinguishment of debt of $146 million. We refinanced approximately $350 million our senior subordinated notes due to 2013 and pushed the maturity date to 2020. With the cross-currency swap we executed simultaneous with the bond, our effective euro yield is 8.4% on the note. We also amended our existing bank credit facilities to, among other things, extend the maturity from 2010 to 2014 and reduce the revolving credit facility capacity from $650 million to $300 million. We currently have $225 million committed under the credit facility. We have no cash borrowings outstanding under this facility and expect to use it primarily to facilitate the issuance of letters of credit and bank guarantees. In addition, on April 26, we've prepaid $164 million of outstanding term loans as a result of excess cash flow requirements under the credit agreement. I'll now turn the time back over to Peter for some concluding remarks.