Peter R. Huntsman
Analyst · Vertical Research Partners. Your line is now live
Well, thank you very much Kevin. I look at the splitter that we're building in Geismar Louisiana to be something almost akin to an acquisition. We have a very similar splitter in Europe, we have one in Asia. With the completion of this facility in the Americas, we're going to be very well positioned by producing crude MDI, splitting capacity, and downstream. I don't see a lot of large CAPEX projects. So, if you were to give me $150 million right now and say go spend it internally, I I think I'd be rather hard pressed at the present time. I don't see a lot of large scale projects like that and frankly I'm not a big believer in that. It seems that as you build virtually anything in the last decade in the U.S. Gulf Coast, costs just continuously are going up and I've never been a big proponent that this industry needs more capacity of just about any product. I think that we need greater diversity of technology and the ability to perhaps specialize the products we're producing. But frankly, I don't see this company going headlong into spending a lot of CAPEX around building new capacities around the world. So, as I look at that threshold because of the risks of higher costs and uncertainty about making commitments today as to where markets will be two, three, four years down the road when you complete such projects, I think that they warrant a much higher IRR in general than M&A does, where you know what you're getting upon closing, and you have a good outline of synergies, technologies, globalization, and you can have a plan of action on day one. That's rather difficult to do when you're planning a new MDI plant that won't be coming into the market for upwards of four, five, six years. So, I think that we're going to be certainly leaning more towards M&A opportunities, and again I emphasize that on a cautionary note as I did in my script, and I would also say that we want to make sure that whilst -- particularly while we're in what I would consider to be a rather challenging economic conditions, we need to make sure we retain the strong balance sheet. We've got plenty of capital to continue to pay a competitive dividend, and we are very committed to share buyback program when the share price is at appropriate levels.