Rajiv Prasad
Analyst · Northland Securities
Thank you, Andrea, and good morning, everyone. Third quarter performance showed further signs of the company's recovery. Most importantly, we are beginning to see stronger bookings convert to production and shipments. At the same time, our pricing, sourcing and cost actions are helping us manage challenging cost environment. I'll first discuss demand and fourth quarter outlook, then I'll explain the structural actions we are taking to improve our competitive position, cost structure and cash generation. Industry conditions have continued to improve from 2025, although demand varies by region and customer application. Deferred fleet replacement needs are converting into new equipment purchases. Customer acceptance of our value and standard product offerings continue to grow. As noted, third quarter bookings remained well above the cyclical low. Backlog held steady as production approximated shipment during the quarter. Together, they give us a solid base of demand as we increase production. Our product investments are a key reason for this momentum. They are broadening the portion of the market we can address. As customer demand shifted, recently introduced lighter intensity lower-priced products helped offset lower sales of higher value standard and premium counterbalance trucks. These expanded product offerings are not simply substitute for our previous models. They extend our reach into applications and price points where we historically had less coverage. They also help us win new customers and create opportunities to increase manufacturing scale over time. Looking ahead, we expect our value and standard offerings to continue supporting volume growth, profitability and market share gains. This includes the 1 to 3.5 ton, the 4 to 9-ton and the big truck product lines. Our objective is to match product capability and total cost of ownership more precisely to each application. We're also using modular and scalable product solutions, which reduce complexity across engineering, sourcing and manufacturing. Building on this momentum, we expect fourth quarter bookings to exceed both the fourth quarter of 2025 and the third quarter of 2026. This is supported by improving industry conditions, anticipated market share gains and broader customer acceptance of our expanded product portfolio. However, inflation, tariffs, geopolitical uncertainty and increased competition remain important variables. Strong booking activity is expected to translate into meaningfully higher production and shipment volumes in the fourth quarter. Higher shipments are expected to drive sequential revenue growth. Increased production should also improve manufacturing absorption and operating efficiency. This is the key operating lever in our fourth quarter outlook. More volume moving through our plants expected to improve the utilization of our people and facilities and better absorb fixed manufacturing costs. Converting bookings into shipment is our priority. That is not automatic. During the third quarter, customer delivery schedules and production transition slowed expected conversion. These transitions were associated with tariff mitigation and sourcing initiatives that could continue to affect shipment timing. Our teams are focused on sequencing production, managing component availability and coordinating deliveries. We're also closely managing delivery dates and product mix. This will help us convert the backlog efficiently, on schedule and without compromising customer service. Based on these factors, we expect gross profit and gross margin to improve sequentially primarily due to higher production and shipment volumes, improved manufacturing efficiencies and the benefits of pricing, sourcing and cost reduction actions. These benefits are expected to be partially offset by elevated tariff-related costs, inflation and competitive pricing, particularly in South America and Europe. Operating results for the fourth quarter are expected to include anticipated implementation costs associated with the new programs I will discuss shortly. Excluding these costs, the same drivers expected to improve gross profit are expected to support stronger operating performance. As a result, adjusted net income is expected to be above the third quarter and return to positive levels. Alongside the expected fourth quarter earnings improvement, we remain focused on cash generation and working capital discipline. Our inventory and working capital progress provides a strong foundation as production and shipment increase. Priority is to have the right inventory to convert backlog into revenue while managing working capital. Looking to 2027, we expect demand and production levels to remain healthy. This is supported by gradually strengthening market conditions and our growth initiatives. It should drive volume and revenue growth. However, we expect operating profit improvements to be more gradual than the recovery in demand and production. The reasons are continued cost pressure, a competitive pricing environment and the time required for strategic growth initiatives to mature. Our previously announced 2024 U.S. manufacturing footprint optimization projects remain on track to deliver increased operational benefit in 2027. These benefits are expected to help offset ongoing cost increases and support underlying product margins. They're not expected to translate fully into incremental margin expansion. Our 2025 restructuring program is progressing as planned, and we expect to realize the full benefit of $40 million to $45 million of savings by year-end 2026. Together with the completed Nuvera realignment, which delivered $15 million of savings in 2025, these programs have lowered our structural breakeven point. This progress gives us a stronger base. It has also allowed us to identify additional opportunities to strengthen our business and improve our operation. These opportunities are driven by the market. The types and volumes of lift trucks customers demand have changed significantly. Customers want a broader mix of value, standard and premium solutions with competitive lead times and strong route-to-market coverage. Regulatory requirements, tariffs, inflation and shifting regional demand adds to these changes. To compete, we need a cost structure that performs across the cycle with a more selective use of capital and resources. We are continuing to adapt to the market and build a more focused and flexible operating model. In the fourth quarter of 2026, we launched a major set of projects to strengthen our cost structure, capital efficiency and long-term competitiveness. Our modular scalable products have created new product opportunities and production efficiencies. Together with our previously announced restructuring plans, they provide the foundation for these projects. The projects should improve operations and better align our business with evolving market and regulatory requirements, including changes in the types and volumes of lift truck customers' demand. The projects are focused on 5 key areas. First, we are reshaping the product portfolio and route to market; second, we are reducing manufacturing complexity and costs, including plant consolidation; third, we are consolidating supporting facilities and activities; fourth, we are simplifying the organizational structure; and fifth, we are reducing capital intensity. These 5 areas work together. A more focused portfolio reduces complexity across engineering, sourcing and manufacturing. A simpler organization and footprint improves execution. Lower capital intensity helps convert more of our earnings improvements into cash. We are targeting at least $100 million of annual cost reduction at maturity, which is anticipated in 2029. These savings come from direct cost reduction and from mitigating future expense associated with higher volumes and inflation. This is important because it allows us to grow volumes while keeping our cost structure under control. The target is measured against 2026 results and is in addition to the benefits from our earlier program. These savings will build over time rather than arrive all at once. We expect some benefits to start in 2027 and the full run rate to be reached in 2029. The pace will depend on the timing of implementation, so we are sequencing the projects to capture benefits as quickly and as responsibly as we can. Achieving these savings requires investment upfront. Implementation costs are currently estimated at no less than $50 million over the duration of the program. These costs may include severance, impairment charges, contract terminations and other exit-related costs. Some costs will come ahead of savings while others will be recognized as incurred. We continue to pursue opportunities to mitigate these costs. The first set of action to sharpen our focus on strengthening our core Lift Truck business, improving execution and directing resources to the areas where we see the greatest opportunity to create long-term strategic and financial value are the following difficult but necessary decisions. We are pausing the electric terminal tractor program globally and discontinuing our effort to establish big truck production in Greenville, North Carolina, in the United States. We'll continue to serve the U.S. market through our existing big truck manufacturing operations. Effective immediately, we're also discontinuing the development and production of hydrogen-related solutions, including the hybrid electric charging platform and associated fuel cell technology and engines. At the same time, we will continue to invest in and accelerate our lithium-ion battery and charger solutions where we believe we can deliver greater value to our customers, dealers and business. We'll implement the remaining projects in stages through 2029. Some are underway. Others remain subject to final planning, legal and regulatory requirements, consultation obligations and customary approvals. As a result, the scope, timing and financial effect of individual actions may change. We will update you as material plans, savings and implementation costs are finalized. Beyond cost saving and cost mitigations, these programs are designed to strengthen cash generation to preserve cash amid a slower-than-anticipated recovery. We expect 2026 capital expenditures of $50 million to $60 million. We plan to limit 2027 capital expenditure to $40 million to $50 million. Over time, a simpler portfolio, less manufacturing complexity and lower capital intensity should also reduce working capital requirements. This supports our continued target of working capital at approximately 15% of revenue. Importantly, the cost programs are just one part of our broader company strategy. Our focus is on strengthening the core business, serving customers more effectively and expanding our market reach. We are concentrating resources on product platforms, market segments and commercial capabilities with the strongest strategic and financial potential. This includes modular scalable lift truck solutions for lighter intensity and standard applications together with broader sales coverage across the addressable market. The cost programs support that strategy by reducing complexity and creating a more efficient operating model. Alongside disciplined capital allocation and working capital management, these actions should support strong financial performance and business growth. Our objective is not simply to operate at a lower cost. It is to emerge as a stronger, more focused company, better positioned to pursue the opportunities with the greatest long-term impact. Our long-term priorities remain consistent. We are focused on converting bookings momentum into shipment so that stronger demand translates into revenue growth. As production increases, improved manufacturing efficiency should help us earn more from that growth. Our modular product platforms and broader market coverage expand the opportunities we can serve, while simpler operations and our cost reduction initiatives should strengthen profitability. We will support this progress by managing tariff exposure and maintaining discipline in working capital and capital allocation. That discipline is important to improve cash generation while preserving flexibility to support future growth. Together, these efforts support our objectives of 7% operating profit over the business cycle. With that, I'll pass the call over to Al for closing remarks before we open the lines for questions.