Stephen Joseph James Letwin
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets
It's Steve, Dan. That's a theoretical response, and let me tell you why. I spent a week down in Suriname about 10 days ago and met with the government. And one of the things that we're pushing pretty hard there is the extension of our current mineral agreement well beyond where we currently exist. So we're looking at acquiring concessions through the UJV that we formed that we believe will be much more attractive economically than we currently have in the mineral agreement. So we're looking at it -- we're looking at concessions that would have softer rock and potentially higher grade. And there are a number -- without extrapolating too much here and naming the concessions, which we hope to do within the next 1 or 2 weeks, it makes it very, very difficult to respond to where Rosebel was going to eventually go. What we're hoping, with the power agreement that we have employed, is that we're going to be able to assimilate and move in these concessions fairly rapidly. Craig has a team on the ground that should be able to drill it up over the next 1 or 2 years, which would have, in our view, potentially a very positive impact on the economics of Rosebel. If you just left the current mineral agreement, and we move to 80% hard rock over the next 3 or 4 years, that, obviously, isn't attractive for us, and moving ahead with the expansion is not in the cards. What could potentially happen is that if we're able to, again, acquire these concessions, we actually might be able to incorporate a lot more softer rock than we have originally planned and reduce the amount of capital we have to -- we thought we had to spend to process what we thought would be harder rocks. So there are a number of variables here, there are a number of scenarios that we're working on. Rosebel continues to perform. We had that hiccup in the fourth quarter, which surprised us. We have experts down there right now looking at how we can basically reduce the variation on that grade going forward. We are seeing positive results from that, but right now, Rosebel's a work in progress, and I can tell you the government is very, very keen on working with us, simply because it affects them just as much as it affects us. So news at 11, that's a long response, but I remain very, very confident and very encouraged that we're going to be able to bring some concessions into the current mineral agreement that are going to be very attractive for our shareholders.