Earnings Labs

Independent Bank Corporation (IBCP)

Q3 2017 Earnings Call· Sat, Oct 28, 2017

$33.33

-2.49%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to the Independent Bank Corporation Third Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions]. After today's presentation there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions]. Please note that this event is being recorded. I will now like the turn the conference over to Mr. Brad Kessel. Please go ahead sir.

William Bradford Kessel

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

Good morning, thank you for joining Independent Bank Corporation's conference call and webcast to discuss the company's 2017 third quarter results. I am Brad Kessel, President and Chief Executive Officer and joining me is Rob Shuster, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin today's call it is my responsibility to direct you to the cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements. This is slide 2 in our presentation. If anyone does not already have a copy of the press release issued by Independent today you can access it at the company's website www.independentbank.com. The agenda for today's call will include prepared remarks followed by a question-and-answer session and then closing remarks. To follow on I will begin with slide 5 of our presentation. Today we reported third quarter 2017 net income of $6.9 million or $0.32 per diluted share versus net income of $6.4 million or $0.30 per diluted share in the prior year period. This represents a year-over-year increase in our quarterly net income and diluted earnings per share of 7.6% and 6.7% respectively. Excluding the after tax of $0.02 per diluted share charge related to a decline in price of our capitalized mortgage servicing rates, our third quarter results were very much in line with our expectations. Our efforts to grow our earning to grow both our earning asset base as well as improved mix from securities to higher yielding loans produced net interest income growth of $2.9 million or 14.6% over the year ago quarter and a 6 basis point increase in NIM for the quarter. For the quarter we recorded loan net recoveries of $300,000 and a provision for loan losses of $0.6 million compared to a provision credit of $200,000 for the year ago quarter. Well non-interest income up $10.3 million was a little…

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

Thanks Brad and good morning everyone. I am starting at page 12 of our presentation. Brad discussed the increase in our net interest income during his remarks so I will focus on our net interest margin. As Brad indicated our tax equivalent net interest margin moved up to 3.66% during the third quarter of 2017 which is up 15 basis points from the year ago quarter and up 6 basis points from the second quarter of 2017. I will have some more detailed comments on this topic in a moment. Average interest earning assets were $2.52 billion in the third quarter of 2017 compared to $2.29 billion in the year ago quarter and $2.42 billion in the second quarter of 2017. Page 13 contains a more detailed analysis of the linked quarter increase in net interest income. There is a lot of data on this slide but I will summarize a few key points. Interest income and fees on loans increased by $1.882 million on a sequential quarterly basis due primarily to an increase in average balance of $129 million and very importantly an increase in the average yield on loans to 4.55% in the third quarter of 2017 from 4.49% in the second quarter of 2017. We provide details on the various loan portfolios on this slide. You will note that interest income on payment plan receivables declined by $327,000 in the third quarter compared to the second quarter of 2017 due to the sale of this business in May of 2017. One more day in the third quarter increased net interest income by approximately $125,000 compared to the second quarter of 2017. And finally the average cost of interest bearing liabilities moved up by 8 basis points on a sequential quarterly basis due primarily to growth in brokered…

William Bradford Kessel

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

Thanks Rob. In summary we are pleased to report continued solid performance for the third quarter of 2017 with growth in earnings and earnings per share, growth in loans and core deposits, and excellent asset quality metrics. As we look ahead we continue to be focused on driving high performance with a balance sheet growth and strength, quality earnings, per share value, and strong profitability levels. We continue to build on the momentum generated the last few years. At this point we would now like to open up the call for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. The first question comes from Matthew Forgotson with Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead.

Matthew Forgotson

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

Hi, good morning gentlemen.

William Bradford Kessel

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

Good morning.

Matthew Forgotson

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

I was wondering, hoping we could start level with a strategic question, I guess by my math mortgage is now 43% alone, it is up from 33% one year ago. Wondering if you could talk about the optimal level for mortgage as a percentage of loans and I guess beyond that if you have a bright line or a ceiling for this segment?

William Bradford Kessel

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

Very good Matthew, that's an excellent question. And just sort of going back for a minute, a few years ago we had two out of our three portfolios were in a growth mode, the commercial portfolio and the consumer. And in fact the mortgage portfolio while we did a lot of mortgage funding, it was really flat-end in runoff. And so several years back we made a commitment to be in the mortgage business. We invested in a new mortgage origination platform encompassed by Elli Mae. And then following that a year ago we did some recruiting and really built out the mortgage line of business for us. And with that we've now seen -- we've reversed that trend and we've had very strong mortgage production. And as I put in my prepared remarks, the mix has been a little different than we originally anticipated. It's been more portfolio than saleable. Now, so it's working like we want it. In fact maybe a little better. Now to your question in terms of sort of what's the optimum amount and what do we -- for the mortgage portfolio. We're very cognizant of not putting all our eggs into one basket and so when we talk internally we sort of believe that the commercial portfolio is sort of a gauge or a soft cap for us. And so we're watching very closely how the mortgage category tracks relative to commercial. So that's sort of one point and then secondly how do you sort of manage to that and we are not just shutting down the operation when you get to that. And something we have talked about internally as doing some bulk sales so we can continue to produce but those originations turn around and sell. So, hopefully that sort of gives you a flavor of where we've been, where we're at, and sort of where we see it going and Rob I will let you jump in with anything additional.

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

I guess the takeaway is we've we don't want mortgage loans moving by any significant amount about where commercial loans are. So that as Brad said kind of gives you an idea of where we see that capping now. And the strategies to kind of keep those things in line again would be the consideration of some bulk sales and in addition we've made some programmatic changes. I mentioned in my comments that we expect to see the saleable component move up a bit and that largely reflect some of the programmatic changes we've made to try and change the mix a little bit more for saleable.

Matthew Forgotson

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

That's great color, thank you. I guess Rob to your comment on your asset sensitivity, can you give us the snapshot at 9:30 where you were in an up 100 basis point environment?

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

Yes, in an up 100 basis point we're still moving up about 1.4% and up 200 basis point we're moving up about 1.5%. The one other comment I made that I think is significant when we compare and this is on a static balance sheet off of September 30 so it doesn't reflect future growth or things we may do regarding for example extending durations on liabilities that type of thing. But the other comment I make when I compare it to where we were a year ago the base scenario is up against the December 31 level by almost 17%. So we've grown the base net interest income by 17% and we've kept the balance sheet still slightly asset sensitive yet again the expectation is plus 1.4% in 100 and plus 1.5% at 200. And finally I would add because as you can appreciate there's a lot of assumptions that go into those forecasts but I would say generally that what we've seen for actual changes in rates in the deposit portfolio as compared to the betas we use in our forecast seem that the actual changes in the market have been more modest than what we're using in our model on the deposit betas. Now whether that holds going forward or not, hard to predict but at least that would be the comment I would say on what's occurred thus far in 2017.

Matthew Forgotson

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

I guess lastly from me then I will hop back in the queue, just as we look into 2018, trying to get a feel for the loan growth, I guess if you're on track to do 25% plus a year is it growing off of the 25% growth rate is quite challenging I'd imagine, are you signaling that we revert to a more natural rate of growth in 2018 and if so what might that be?

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

I think you're spot on and I think what we wouldn't vision is more high single-digit maybe approaching the 10% level as we move through 2018. So if you're starting around 2 billion that gives you some idea of where we would anticipate going as we move to 2018. And again I think the components will still be that the mortgage volume is going to be the highest. But we're going to see that that portfolio we're going to again be limiting the growth there either through as I mentioned earlier programmatic changes or potentially through bulk sales of the portfolio product. So that's where we're going to get that regulation and growth rather than necessarily as Brad mentioned earlier we don't want to slow down production but we just want to get that mix changed so we keep the balance sheet or the loan portfolio comprised as we would like between the commercial, the mortgage, and the consumer.

Matthew Forgotson

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

Thanks for taking my questions.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Kevin Reevey from D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.

Kevin Reevey

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead

Good morning gentlemen.

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead

Good morning.

Kevin Reevey

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead

So just to follow up on not Matt's first question surrounding the NIM and given the fact that it sounds like you're a little -- you've become a little more asset sensitive plus it sounds like you are not seeing the deposit costs in your markets rise as much as it's safe to say that we should expect to see the NIM perform pretty similarly as we saw in the third quarter?

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead

A couple comments Kevin one is, when I went over the asset sensitivity we're still asset sensitive but a little less than where we were a year ago. So still asset sensitive but a bit less than where we were a year ago. Secondarily in terms of the net interest margin I would still anticipate that creeping up a bit for a couple reasons, one is it's the continued mix shift with a little less in lower yielding investment securities, a little bit more in higher yielding loans. And then secondly we anticipate at least maybe in the last month of this year a bump up in the federal funds rate and perhaps at least one next year. So those would be generally positive for us as well. So the combination of that remixing of earning assets and some potential for higher short-term rates we think would push the margin up a bit as we move forward.

Kevin Reevey

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead

That's great and then moving along the two hiring of talent are you pretty much done on that front or should we expect to see a couple more additions going into the fourth quarter?

William Bradford Kessel

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead

Well, so hiring talent I would say mortgage side we built that out to how we want it. Now is there some tweaking that's going on there, yes in our business and actually mortgage commercial we're constantly recruiting. So, what I would say from an FTE standpoint we are where we want to be. Over on the commercial side we continue to look today we have approximately 25 relationship managers and we'd like to add to that group a little bit here. So that should be a little bit of a larger group hopefully in 2018, Kevin.

Kevin Reevey

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead

Great, thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Scott Beury with Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead.

Scott Beury

Analyst · Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead

Hey, good morning guys.

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead

Good morning Scott.

Scott Beury

Analyst · Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead

So I guess as we look at kind of the growth trajectory I know it was discussed in some of the previous questions but looking at what you've seen so far this year other than the addition of some of the mortgage lenders that you're obviously portfolio a little more than you set out to when you hired those guys, outside of that though what would you say is the biggest driver behind this growth that you're seeing so far this year, I mean is it share you're seeing, is it the activity in Grand Rapids and the Southeast markets?

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead

Yeah, I think it's clearly share and it's moving into some more urban markets. So -- and I think there's a -- we have in the slide deck there's a slide on the regional market so, page 8 you could see in the portfolio loan total you've got 72 million in Ohio. So that's we opened up loan production offices in Columbus, Ohio and outside of Akron, Ohio and those offices are very strong producing offices with a lot of very good loan officers and support staff that we brought aboard. So there because we weren't in those markets at all we're capturing quite a bit more market share both saleable and portfolio. And then in addition we expanded in Southeast Michigan as Brad mentioned, we expanded our office in Troy, we opened up in Ann Arbor, Brighton, Dearborn, and Grosse Pointe. So again you're adding people and location and we're capturing more market share there. So, in Grand Rapids probably not as big of a change here. We had a pretty good footprint here and we've added a bit but we haven’t physically added here. And then there are certain other markets we added up in Traverse City for example. So it's really the addition of people and offices that have allowed us to capture more market share and that's been the primary driver. And as Brad said that's pretty much we anticipated doing that. It's probably been a little bit stronger than what we anticipated. And so it's been something that's been we feel very beneficial. The growth and net interest income has been fueled to a very strong degree by the mortgage portfolio but also by the consumer portfolio and the commercial portfolio too.

Scott Beury

Analyst · Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead

Rob thank you, that's great color. That kind of ties in to something else I was curious about, when you look at some of these other, these newer locations, some of the new LPO's do you have any idea kind of longer-term how you think about those newer markets, whether that has the capacity to become a full service branch and if so what does that timeline look like for let's say something like Columbus for example?

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead

Yeah, well I would say this, I would say where we've opened the new loan offices are very good indications of where we see the growth. And so as an example Brighton we do have a commercial lender there in addition to our mortgage people. So, I would say we're going to continue to grow the originations through that process, we are working hard on cross selling and growing the underlying deposit base. So we are not starting from scratch. And longer-term we would like some of these to be full service branches. And I would say the other piece, it gets us in these markets, we learn them, we find out who the talented people are. And so, regarding Ohio I'm not going to say no, it won't be a full service branch but I would probably imagine that some of these Michigan sites will probably be ahead of the Columbus site.

Scott Beury

Analyst · Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead

Great, great, now that's very helpful. Hardest part to kind of model I think for all of us but looking at kind of the way the provision line is trended, obviously you are releasing a lot of reserves through 2015 and 2016, and now you've stated that you expect a positive provision expense. But I guess just do you have anything that you could say in terms of that could help us get a feel for what the reserve build is going to look like assuming that 10% organic growth rate, is it necessarily need to build -- and where the credit stands now?

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead

Yeah I think it was certainly build in terms of dollars.

Scott Beury

Analyst · Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead

Oh, yes, yes. [Multiple Speakers]

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead

Yeah, I mean it is at 1.11%. I mean I could see it drifting a little bit lower from that and part of the reason is for example when we model out and we have for consumer credits whether it's installment loans or whether it's mortgage loans we have a migration model we utilize using FICO scores and then model in the probability of default and the loss given default given the collateral position. I could tell you that the expected loss content and portfolio loan originations is well less than 1.11% for mortgage loans and consumer loans. Similarly it's less than 1.11% for commercial loans. So those new credits you're adding are coming in at that lower allowance levels. Now we've done some things to try and say well, hey, things are really great right now but looking long term you know there's going to be a change in cycle. So for example we have added a component in our ALLL that relates to commercial real estate because we're saying hey, there are some trends out there whether it's in multifamily or whether it's in retail that we think longer term there could be a little bit more risk. So we're going to add some more here. We've added more in our subjective reserve because it's very difficult to capture everything when you're just looking at current loss content because it's been so good. I mean we have had net recoveries so far this year. We've had very little in new loan defaults. We have had very low early stage delinquencies. So we're trying to do a few things to kind of make sure we're looking forward enough. So I guess when I summarize all of that the dollars are going to go up, the percent may drift down a bit but not a whole bunch. So that's kind of the summary I would say to walk away with on the ALLL.

Scott Beury

Analyst · Boenning & Scattergood. Please go ahead

That is perfect, that's very helpful. Yeah that is what I was looking for. Yeah, that's all I have for now and nice quarter guys, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Damon DelMonte with KBW. Please go ahead.

Damon DelMonte

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead

Hey, good morning guys, how is it going today.

William Bradford Kessel

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead

Very good Damon. Thank you.

Damon DelMonte

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead

Good to hear. To my first question, the organic growth has been phenomenal obviously, a lot of good discussion and color on that during this call. Have you guys given much thought to using M&A as a means to support growth or do you feel that the opportunities through the organic channels are just more than adequate for you guys to meet your business plan and there's really no need to look at M&A?

William Bradford Kessel

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead

Well Damon, that is a great question and you know, quarter-after-quarter, year-after-year we talk about capital and our priorities with capital. And starting with organic loan growth consistent solid dividend, share repurchase where it makes sense. And we also talk about M&A where it makes sense for and/or is complimentary to the organic loan growth and capital usage. So I wouldn't rule out independent growing in that matter but it's not our primary matter and now I would say this, when -- I feel very good about Independent and in our performance and as opportunities come along we try to position ourselves so that people are learning about us for the very first time. So, and Rob do you have anything to add.

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead

Yeah, the only thing I would say is Damon, I don't think there's any need for M&A for us to feel like we have enough levers to continue to grow earnings at a good clip. I think we still have a runway to do that and so it's not something we're dependent on if an opportunity came up that was very compelling. And I think anyone in our -- in the public company world at our size would probably want to take a look at it particularly as Brad said if it's a great fit strategically and in our footprint.

Damon DelMonte

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead

Got you, okay. That is helpful. And then I had jumped on the call late and I'm not sure if you had covered this but in this quarter's margin I know some of the commentary we're talking about is that you kind of expect the margin to go higher in the next quarter just given some dynamics and the components of the margin. But of that 3.66% this quarter is there anything in there that you would back out to get to like a starting point for the margin or is that solid number?

Robert N. Shuster

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead

Yeah, I mean we have on, it is on page 13 of the slide deck, probably the only thing that was kind of something that you could never predict is what the impact is of interest recoveries and there they were up a bit versus the second quarter. So it did add a couple of basis points to yield. So I mean that's the one piece I mean but say next quarter it could be even higher. I mean you just don't know on the interest recoveries but absent that there is really nothing in the 3.66% that you back out or that was unusual. I mean the fourth quarter is going to have the same number of days so we're not going to have any impact by a difference in days and again the only other piece like I said that changes from quarter-to-quarter by any significant degree is those interest recoveries.

Damon DelMonte

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead

Okay, perfect. Okay, everything else has been asked and answered already, thank you very much.

William Bradford Kessel

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead

Thanks Damon.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Brad Kessel for any closing remarks. Thanks.

William Bradford Kessel

Analyst · Sandler O'Neill. Please go ahead

I would like to thank each of you for your interest in Independent Bank Corporation and for joining us on today's call. We wish everybody a great day.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect. Thank you.