Michael Miller
Analyst · Zelman & Associates.
Yes. I would say that as it relates to the third quarter, our single-family same branch growth of less than minus 3% is very consistent with what we talked about in the second quarter that starts were down 17% in the second quarter and that we thought that there would be somewhat of a soft patch that would be offset by growth, particularly in multifamily, which is why same branch sales grew almost 2% during the quarter.
As it relates to to the fourth quarter and volumes going forward, again, I think it really comes down to how quickly can builders get to us the houses ready for us to start doing our installed work. And we know that volume is coming, and we're preparing for that volume. But we can't control the other trades that come before us. And as Jeff mentioned earlier, in terms of the framers and the masons, mean it takes them more time to size up than us. The ability for the industry to flex up is that it's not at all constrained by our ability to flex up as a company. We've proven that time and time again. It's really the other trades that come before us that are the governor on our ability to get after that demand, if you will.
As Jeff said earlier to one of the other questions, I mean, can we see the industry "size up high single, maybe even 10%?" We think that, that's possible given kind of where we are right now. We're not coming off the same low basis that we were coming off of in, say, '10 and the '11, but we definitely think that, that's possible, but it's going to take time, and it doesn't happen overnight. And to a large extent, the order growth that we've seen is really surprising order growth that we've seen has almost happened overnight, right?
So the whole industry is recovering, and I'm not talking about just the insulation industry, I mean, the construction industry is recovering from kind of almost near shutdowns, particularly from a supply perspective, in March and April, then trying to size back up and kind of restart the engine. I mean there are plenty of builders that are having problems just getting permits so that they can start construction.
So it really is the disruption that was caused by COVID. And again, I talked about the 17% decline in starts in the second quarter, combined with everybody trying to size back up again and get products to get that done from manufacturers that had draw down -- or brought down inventories because they had stock manufacturing. So it's definitely sort of an unprecedented situation that we're in. And I think everybody is working hard to try and meet the demand, but it's going to take time. But when you think '21 to be a very solid year.