Earnings Labs

Ichor Holdings, Ltd. (ICHR)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 8, 2022

$65.70

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Ichor's Fourth Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will be given at that time. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call is being recorded. I would now like to introduce your host for today's conference, Claire McAdams, Investor Relations for Ichor. Please go ahead.

Claire McAdams

Analyst

Thanks, Shumali. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining today's fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 conference call. As you read our earnings press release and as you listen to this conference call, please recognize that both contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control and which could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. These risks and uncertainties include those spelled out in our earnings press release, those described in our annual report on Form 10-K for fiscal 2020 and those described in subsequent filings with the SEC. You should consider all forward-looking statements in light of those and other risks and uncertainties. Additionally, we will be providing certain non-GAAP financial measures during this conference call. Our earnings press release and the financial supplement posted to our IR website, each provide a reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most comparable GAAP financial measures. On the call with me today are Jeff Andreson, our CEO; and Larry Sparks, our CFO. Jeff will begin with an update on our business and a review of our results and outlook, and then Larry will provide additional details of our fourth quarter results and first quarter guidance. After their prepared remarks, we will open the line for questions. I'll now turn over the call to Jeff Andreson. Jeff?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst

Thank you, Claire, and welcome to our Q4 earnings call. Q4 revenues were $287 million, up 9% from Q3 and just below the midpoint of guidance. While the acquisition of IMG added $7 million of incremental revenue in the quarter, the supply chain challenges the industry has been facing progressively worsened in Q4, not only for component supply, but also the additional labor constraints brought by the Omicron COVID variant, which we had not predicted when we provided Q4 guidance. Despite these challenges, it was a strong end to 2021 with gross margin improvement to 17.1% in Q4. For the full-year, we achieved a record $1.1 billion in sales and $3.37 in earnings per share. We increased gross margin by 210 basis points year-over-year and grew net income by 65% on a revenue growth of 20%. You have probably heard on many earnings calls at this point the incredibly robust business environment we are seeing in the wafer fab equipment industry. To support unprecedented levels of customer demand, we increased revenues by 47% in 2020 and another 20% in 2021 to levels now 77% higher than we reported in 2019. Expectations for continued industry growth in 2022 have recently increased from sequential annual growth of about 10% a quarter ago to now high-teens percentages or $100 billion. At the same time, the challenges in the supply chain have not only continued, but they have worsened in many ways, shifting from freight and logistics issues initially to factory shutdowns affecting us mid-year, to the labor impact stemming from Omicron, to increasing component supply challenges, particularly electronic components as well as shortages of materials, which certainly affected the fourth quarter and we expect will be a factor through at least the first half of this year. Nonetheless, we along with the rest…

Larry Sparks

Analyst

Thanks, Jeff. First, I would like to remind you that the P&L metrics discussed today are non-GAAP measures. These measures exclude the impact of share-based compensation expense, amortization of acquired intangible assets, non-recurring charges and discrete tax items and adjustments. There is a very helpful schedule summarizing our GAAP and non-GAAP financial results, including the individual line items for non-GAAP operating expenses, such as R&D and SG&A, in the Investors section of our website for reference during this conference call. Fourth quarter revenues were $287 million, up 9% from Q3 and 17% higher than Q4 of 2020. First year revenues totaled a record $1.1 billion. Given the challenging operating environment, we are pleased with our gross margin and profitability performance. Q4 gross margin of 17.1% was up 40 basis points from Q3 and benefited from the addition of IMG during the last month of the quarter, along with continued cost reduction programs. Full-year gross margin increased to 16.7%, up 210 basis points from 2020. COVID-related impacts on our gross margin continue to be around 50 basis points and are expected to persist for the foreseeable future. Q4 operating expenses were $18.6 million compared to our guidance of $17.5 million, reflecting approximately $1 million added from the partial quarter of IMG operations. Operating margin of 10.7% increased 20 basis points from Q3 and for the full-year, operating margin was also 10.7%, up 240 basis points from 2020. Interest expense for Q4 was just under $1.5 million, essentially flat to Q3 as a result of our new debt terms with a lower overall interest rate on the increase in borrowings to fund the IMG acquisition. Our tax rate for the quarter was 10%, and the full-year tax rate was 11.5%. We reported earnings per share of $0.90 for Q4 at the mid-point…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Tom Diffely with D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Thomas Diffely

Analyst

Yes. Thank you and good afternoon. First, Larry, a question on the guidance. The range, $0.80 to $1.04, is that strictly just the operating leverage overhead absorption? Or is there other factors that go into that earnings level based on that revenue level?

Larry Sparks

Analyst

Well, the biggest piece, Tom, is the IMG will be in for a full quarter, so that drives some of the improvement. The others, we will get a little bit of volume leverage, but I'd say that the majority of the change is from IMG full quarter.

Thomas Diffely

Analyst

I guess I was talking more about 30% range from the low end of earnings to the high end of range versus a much smaller revenue percentage change for delta.

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst

Yes. From the mid-point to the top, you'll see a little bit of leverage. But again, where most of that flex up is – we're pretty kind of CapEx-light here. So you get some, but you don't get tons of it. So most of it is just the incremental revenue that will flow through at kind of relatively the same flow through rates that we've had in the past.

Thomas Diffely

Analyst

Okay. Thanks, Jeff. When I look at the IMG acquisition, curious, does that create – or does that bring with it some extra capacity you can use for your core business? Or is it just too different a business to have it help out the core business going forward, and that will be its own kind of growth driver very separate going forward?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst

Yes. They do have some incremental capacity that can be utilized for certain portions of the machining that we do. And so they can do some of the steps of the components that we machine, and we've already started that process. That will take a little while to move things in two to three months. The other thing they do is they have a portion of the businesses is in e-beam welding, which we also outsource. So we can in-source into that capacity that they have as well, and so we're working on that as well. And those are part of the kind of the cost reductions and synergies that we've seen as we did the acquisition.

Thomas Diffely

Analyst

Okay. And can you just remind us what the percentage of recurring business there in the percentage of non-semi business?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst

Yes. They have some exposure to, I'll call it, service parts and services, primarily around kind of their welding operation, where they do welding for customers that supply the parts. And so I want to say, kind of off the top of my head, it's probably a third or so.

Thomas Diffely

Analyst

Okay. And final question. When you look at the increased expenses rate, especially on the shipping, what kind of an impact has that had on your model? And do you think some of these shipping expenses are more of a permanent increase versus a temporary increase?

Larry Sparks

Analyst

Well, I think it's been – I'd say today, it's a good – the bulk of the COVID impact is really around shipping. It's been – we've probably seen, if you look at pre-COVID to now a 50% increase in the kind of freight costs, which we've offset by some operational activities that – initiatives like shipping from Malaysia to Singapore with our own trucks, that sort of thing. But I think in general, right now, we don't see a lot of significant improvement in the environment. I think it looks, at least for the first half of this year, that we're going to be facing the same issues. And we'll continue to try to look for creative ways to mitigate some of that, but right now, we don't see a lot of change in the business.

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst

Yes. I think, Tom, I think until supply increases for air freight, particularly, it will be with us for a while. But I think that people are getting creative on how they attack the air freight. And so we've done some of that too with consolidating and partnering with others to try and minimize the effect on us. So...

Thomas Diffely

Analyst

Okay. Well, thank you both for your time today.

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst

Thanks, Tom.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Patrick Ho with Stifel. Please proceed with your question.

Patrick Ho

Analyst · Stifel. Please proceed with your question.

Thank you very much. Jeff, I know there's been a lot of moving parts on the supply chain, the COVID-related costs and the workforce reductions that have occurred. As you look at the current March quarter and maybe into the June quarter as well, can you [rank], I guess, those aspects and which ones are creating the most pressure? Is it the supply chain that's probably causing the greatest headwinds today? And maybe as a follow-up to that, if it is the component shortages, are there multiple components that are becoming more challenging to procure? Or is it just kind of one area?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · Stifel. Please proceed with your question.

Hey, Patrick. So I do think that the component shortages are going to have the biggest effect on recovering and growing and on the – on our outlook, and so we've seen the Omicron kind of peak a little bit. It's getting much, much better now. I would say that's becoming a little bit of a less of an issue, but it obviously did start to spike sometime in late October and things like that. I wouldn't say it affected the internal Ichor much, but we did see some of that at a few suppliers. But I think largely, we're seeing kind of, I'll call them, electronic components, semiconductors, other electronic components, things like that, that are still kind of challenged. I do see some improvement in the future and plans and things like that. So we're hoping that with each month, everything continues to get a little bit better.

Patrick Ho

Analyst · Stifel. Please proceed with your question.

Great. That's helpful. And maybe as my follow-up question. In terms of – you talked about CapEx being 3% of revenues this year. You continue to expand capacity. Are these plans – they're always looking for. But how much forward are they looking? Are they looking at the next year or so? Or are they more three to four year planning of when – let's just say hypothetically, we're looking at a $1.6 billion to $2 billion type of revenue company. What are some of the plans there in terms of capacity expansion? And I guess what I'm looking for is, are you trying to play a little bit of catch-up over the next year or so because of the strong demand? Or are these long-term plans?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · Stifel. Please proceed with your question.

They're long-term plans. I mean, I think we started talking about this probably towards the end of 2020 and then the outlook of going into 2021, and 2021 ended up much stronger. So it might end nipped the year off of the two to three years, so I'm pretty comfortable with our plans and for the next one to two years for sure. And not everything is in place, largely in place. And I think you're seeing us kind of raise that CapEx number towards 3%, and that's really driven by the fact that we have to continually increase our capacity on the machining side of the business, which has got a higher CapEx level. So on the integration side, it's still kind of in that 1% to 2%. So we're certainly looking out multiple years, and I think we're largely aligned with the view that our customers have and the industry has for the next couple of years.

Patrick Ho

Analyst · Stifel. Please proceed with your question.

Great. Thank you very much.

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · Stifel. Please proceed with your question.

You bet.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Krish Sankar with Cowen. Please proceed with your question.

Robert Mertens

Analyst · Cowen. Please proceed with your question.

Hi. This is Robert Mertens on behalf of Krish. Thanks for taking my question. I just wanted to get a little bit more detail on the IMG integration, if that business has any typical seasonality or you're just expecting sort of the $18 million quarterly revenue in March to grow from there. And then I know you mentioned that business has some aerospace and defense exposure. Do you sort of know the breakdown of the end markets for that business overall? And then I have one more question. Thanks.

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · Cowen. Please proceed with your question.

It has a little bit of seasonality, believe it or not, I think, largely, but not tremendous step functions, but I would say kind of Q2, Q3 has always been a little bit stronger. And we have some plans to try and obviously add some revenue synergies, so we can probably make that a little bit less of an issue. As you go in the fourth quarter, sometimes defense and things like that slow up a little bit, but I don't see their semiconductor business slowing up as we go through it. We don't actually break out their pieces of the business, but I would say the vast majority of that business is still semiconductor and the services around semiconductor that they provide, but they do address some of the defense applications. And I would say, of those, you've heard some of the commercial defense, but it's not necessarily all commercial defense. So it's actually stayed pretty robust through the last couple of years that we did a pretty deep dive, obviously, doing diligence on. So it's got a very strong base. And they've got some really neat, new products that as they get qualified, they have some products that address some medical applications, and those are kind of in the early stages. But if they get adopted by their customer, those could be actually good growth drivers for them beyond this year and into next year. So...

Robert Mertens

Analyst · Cowen. Please proceed with your question.

Great. That's very helpful. And then just real quick, a question around the inventory levels. Are you confident that the current levels supporting above growth – WFE growth this year? Or should we expect a bit more of a buffer the next few quarters? Just to make sure you're following on the supply challenges going forward?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · Cowen. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. I think we've been – and I think you've seen this across the industry, there's no one's trying to constrain inbound inventory levels because it only takes a part that can keep you a shortage from shipping something. So I don't think they'll grow greatly from here. And if supply chain becomes – improves and as we get through mid-year and into next year, they'll probably modulate down actually.

Robert Mertens

Analyst · Cowen. Please proceed with your question.

Okay. Thank you. That's all for me.

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · Cowen. Please proceed with your question.

Thanks, Robert.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Quinn Bolton with Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Quinn Bolton

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Hey guys. Can I ask a question, just a clarification on your outlook for 2022 where you said you're going to grow faster than WFE? Is that organically? Or does that include probably roughly six or seven points of growth that you get through the IMG acquisition in 2022?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Yes, it does. Obviously, we're talking about the whole corporation, so you're approximately right that about 6% of growing above WFE. I think we will grow – I had to put a number on it. I mean I kind of think low 20s or something like that would be a reasonable estimate of where we think we can come out this year given our exposures to the dep-etch EUV products and then adding IMG?

Quinn Bolton

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Got it. So that's low 20s inclusive of IMG?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Yes.

Quinn Bolton

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Got it. Great. And then second question just around component availability. You mentioned it sounds like it's mostly semiconductor related or maybe other electronic components. Wondering, are there any constraints that you're seeing on, say, like mass flow controllers or valves or manifolds or anything else that you're sourcing that are sort of less electronics, but perhaps still critical to the gas panel?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

I mean I would say that – I don't want to be specific, obviously, on any specific supplier component, but I would say anywhere that we see the use of semiconductors. And I wouldn't say that there's a lot of these issues, but there's one or two that have impacted some of the ability for those suppliers to ramp and support the demand that we're seeing. And I think you know that in the industry, most of us are still chasing demand because of these issues. So – but other than that, I don't want to be much more specific on the supply chain challenges.

Quinn Bolton

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Got it. But if you're short on a component, it's probably because that component includes the semiconductor or some kind of electronic component that everybody is struggling to source?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Yes, that would be a good characterization, yes.

Quinn Bolton

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Got it. Understood. Thank you.

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

You bet.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Craig Ellis with B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Craig Ellis

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. Thanks for taking the questions. And appreciate all the transparency you're providing around IMG. So I'll just start there, a quantitative and a qualitative question. Larry, for you. You commented on the revenue contribution for four and 1Q. But can you say if the business is accretive to the bottom line? And more qualitative for you, Jeff. Can you just talk about how you're feeling about the early integration and the customer reaction to the business as we've had it in the portfolio for a couple of months?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

I'll start and then Larry can finish up with the financial. So from an integration, largely, we've kind of organizationally already integrated it, so it's going fine. We're not going to rush it on to ERP systems and things like that. I think that we're excited. As you own it, you can see the capability of their engineering group and their manufacturing group. And they do a much higher level of automation than we do, and we can leverage that learning into it. And – but I think the customer reaction has been very pretty good. There's a lot going on, obviously, in the world today as everybody is trying to ramp and manage some of the challenges we're doing. So seeing synergies and revenue might take a little longer just because they all will require some level of engineering support, and those – and that's just challenging in times like this, even regardless of dealing with the supply chain constraints that everybody is dealing with. So – but we do see some, and we'll keep you posted on how we might grow that. And they're tied to some pretty good applications that are growing a little bit faster, I would say, than the overall semiconductor business, but it is a relatively new kind of win for them in the last couple of years. So I'll see that continuing to grow.

Larry Sparks

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. And I think on the – yes, the accretive question. So as we've said, it is instantly accretive about 100 basis points on margin, 40 basis points roughly on operating margins. And then I think if you go to net, it's probably around 20 basis points on the net line so – for the year, year-over-year.

Craig Ellis

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Got it. That's helpful. And then with regard to the supply chain issues, and I hate to beat that dead horse, but I just want to make sure I really understand that. To what extent are the supply chain issues that you're seeing things that are part of the products you're building and necessary inputs or just the cadence of your manufacturability versus things that are external to Ichor and maybe slowing and end customer demand for your product because some other part is an issue? Is everything we're talking about today, things that are really just internal to Ichor? Or is it a broader issue than that, that you're expressing as you talk about some of the things impacting revenue gross margin?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. I think it's on – it's basically on components that are impacting our suppliers' ability to supply parts to us. I think if you're talking about internally only, those would be labor-related, things like that. That is not significantly affecting us. I mean we – everybody was affected by Omicron and stuff but to a pretty low level for us, and that was dealt with – over time and other things. So most of it is just in the timing and predictability of part flow.

Craig Ellis

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. And I may have missed it because we're hopping on different calls, but was the impact of that quantified for the quarter and the outlook, are we talking $5 million to $10 million, $10 million to $20 million? Any scoping would be particularly helpful?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. No, we haven't quantified it. What I would say is we've expanded the range. The high end of the range would need some further recovery in the supply chain versus what we can see today, and I would say demand is above that number for sure.

Craig Ellis

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. And demand is above that number, but you're not concerned at all about any share issues or anything like that, Jeff?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Well, I mean, obviously, we're all kind of in the same situation. So we always worry about things like that, but I don't think we're unique in any way, shape or form. We have a fairly complex, obviously, supply chain, particularly on the integration gas panel size. There's a lot of different components, different suppliers, and so we do manage a lot of different parts and suppliers and things like that. So – but I do not think we're unique in any way, shape or form with the issues that are kind of – I'd hate to use the word generically most people are facing, but I don't think we're much different than that.

Craig Ellis

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Got it. And just last one for me, and the reason for the question is just respecting the trends that we've seen over the last 12 months, which I think you spoke to quite well in your prepared remarks, Jeff. But if demand from your customers proves to be materially higher than that kind of low-20s that you talked about, can you just talk about your confidence in being able to hit a number that might be mid-20s or high-20s should industry evolve to that level?

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

I think if the industry continues to grow and the supply chain gets healthier, I think that, that, in fact, will occur. It's hard to handicap when the supply chain is going to get healthy. I think most of us think that at least through the middle of this year, we're going to still have constrained environments. And then I think even the $100 billion WFE has the assumption in there that people are going to – that's the demand that they believe they can fulfill. The underlying demand may be a little bit higher.

Craig Ellis

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Got it. Thanks very much guys. Appreciate it.

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst · B. Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we have reached the end of the question-and-answer session, and I'll now turn the call back over to Jeff Andreson for closing remarks.

Jeffrey Andreson

Analyst

Thank you for joining us on our call this quarter. I'd like to thank our employees, suppliers and customers for their support and strong execution in this historic demand environment for the semiconductor industry. We look forward to updating you on our next earnings call in early May. Operator, that concludes our call.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. You may disconnect your line at this time. Thank you, and have a good day.