Jonathan Stanner
Analyst · Baird.
Yes, sure. Look, as we said before, despite the fact that there's been some incremental demand challenges on the government side related to the shutdown, our October results are going to finish between 2% and 2.5% down year-over-year, which is a sequential improvement from what we saw really all through the third quarter. A lot of that, as you alluded to, Mike, is driven by the strength of midweek demand. And if I look -- if I isolate Tuesdays and Wednesday nights and just look at occupancies and RevPARs year-over-year, we've actually inflected positively in October, and we were running down 200 or 300 basis points in both the second and third quarter. So, there are some really positive demand trends. A lot of that is really driven by our urban markets. And again, I think speaks to at least the relative strength of business transient travel. As it relates to November, and I'll talk about fourth quarter pace more generally, our pace for the quarter is tracking about 2.5% behind last year. It's fairly evenly balanced between November and December. I'd highlight a couple of things, some of which we highlighted in our prepared remarks, October represents about half of our EBITDA for the quarter. So, a lot of our quarter has been baked with what has been, again, a relatively more positive October. But we are seeing kind of stability of demand patterns and better pacing trends than we have seen over the last several quarters. When I think about what 2.5% means with 60 days left in the quarter, if I go back and look at where we sat 90 days ago for the third quarter, we were down about 10% in pace and actualized, obviously, plus or minus 4% for the quarter. So, we are much less reliant on in the quarter for the quarter pickup and in the month for the month pickup in the fourth quarter than we were, again, 90 days ago.