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InnovAge Holding Corp. (INNV)

Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 4, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to InnovAge Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Ryan Kubota, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Ryan Kubota

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon. Thank you all for joining the InnovAge 2025 Fiscal Second Quarter Earnings Call. With me today is Patrick Blair, CEO, and Ben Adams, CFO. Michael Scarborough, President and COO, and Dr. Rich Feifer, Chief Medical Officer, will also be joining the Q&A portion of the call. Today, after the market closed, we issued an earnings press release containing detailed information on our fiscal second quarter results. You may access the release on the investor relations section of our company website, innovage.com. For those listening to the rebroadcast of this call, we remind you that the remarks made herein are as of today, Tuesday, February 4th, 2025, and have not been updated subsequent to this call. During our call, we refer to certain non-GAAP measures. Reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in our earnings press release posted on our website. We will also be making forward-looking statements, including statements related to our 2025 fiscal year projections and guidance, future growth prospects and growth strategy, our clinical and operational value initiatives, Medicare rate increases, census headwinds, the status of current and future regulatory actions, and other expectations. Listeners are cautious that all of our forward-looking statements involve certain assumptions that and uncertainties that can cause our actual results to differ materially from our current expectations. We advise listeners to review the risk factors discussed in our annual report on Form 10-K for fiscal year 2024 and any subsequent reports filed with the SEC, including our most recently quarterly report on Form 10-Q. After the completion of our prepared remarks, we will open the call for questions. I will now turn the call over to our CEO, Patrick Blair. Patrick?

Patrick Blair

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Thank you, Ryan. Good afternoon, everyone. I'd like to start by expressing my sincere appreciation to our colleagues, participants, government partners, and the investor community for their continued support of InnovAge. Your commitment and collaboration remain essential to our mission and we value the trust you place in us. The company's second quarter results were in line with our expectations and we're reaffirming our fiscal 2025 guidance set in September. We continue to make meaningful progress in strengthening the business, driving top-line growth and margin improvement in alignment with the multi-year roadmap we outlined at Investor Day last year. This quarter included some one-time adjustments, which, while not unusual for a company of our size, impacted our financials. Given our scale and ongoing transformation, some quarter-to-quarter variability is expected as we true up revenue and expenses against prior estimates. Ben will provide further detail on these adjustments in his remarks. Looking ahead, we enter calendar year 2025 with positive momentum. On the reimbursement front, we were pleased to see Medicaid rate increases in California and Pennsylvania for 2025 that appropriately reflected cost trends. Additionally, our core medical cost trends remain in line with expectations, driven by the success of our clinical initiatives. As our more mature clinical value initiatives reach full impact in the back half of the fiscal year, we see potential for additional financial upside. Taking a step back, we continue to see strong momentum in the PACE industry, with steady growth and demand for services that enable seniors to remain safely in their homes rather than transitioning to institutional care. PACE remains a proven, high value, community-based integrated care solution for seniors with complex care needs. And we're encouraged by the continued expansion of the model nationwide. Over the past three years, approximately 50 new PACE centers…

Ben Adams

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Thank you, Patrick. Today, I will provide some highlights from our second quarter of fiscal year 2025 financial performance and insight into some of the trends we are seeing in the current quarter. Starting with census, we served approximately 7,480 participants across 20 centers as of December 31st, 2024, which represents annual growth of 10.3% from the second quarter of fiscal year 2024 and sequential quarter growth of 3.7%. We reported 22,200 member months in the second quarter, an increase of approximately 10.3% compared to the second quarter of fiscal year 2024, and an increase of approximately 3.8% over the first quarter. Total revenues of $209 million increased 10.6% compared to $188.9 million in the second quarter of fiscal year 2024, primarily driven by an increase in member months, largely due to growth in our existing California and Colorado centers, and to a lesser extent, the addition of our two de novo centers in Florida and the Crenshaw Center from Concerto in California. Rates increased slightly when compared to the second quarter of fiscal year 2024, due primarily to the annual increase in Medicaid capitation rates. This was partially offset by an out-of-cycle Medicare Part C risk or true-up payment received in the prior year, coupled with a change to our reporting methodology, which we previously disclosed in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024, where effective July 1st, a portion of what was recorded as bad debt in previous years is now recorded as revenue reserve. Compared to the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, total revenues increased 1.9%, primarily due to the sequential increase in member months, partially offset by a decrease in Medicare rates associated with decreasing risk scores, as new patients are entering PACE with lower risk scores and disenrolling participants are leaving PACE with higher…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from the line of Jamie Perse from Goldman Sachs.

Jamie Perse

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Patrick, you mentioned in your prepared remarks that the next 18 months would be about transformation. You've obviously gotten through the bulk of the regulatory matters, but no major updates there. You've opened the Florida facilities, started down the road on M&A, both facilities and support facilities on the pharmacy side. So what are you alluding to in terms of the transformation? Is it more of opening of facilities and building these capabilities and M&A, or is it something beyond that you're thinking about as you go through this transformation process over the next 18 months?

Patrick Blair

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

What I would say, is it really begins with kind of reimagining how we do what we do. It's not going to be about kind of optimizing kind of the traditional way of delivering services as both a provider and a payer. One specific example would be we've got now have Epic in across all of our markets. It's a very powerful tool with the AI capabilities as well as some more sophisticated operational capabilities. Driving greater productivity and efficiency in every aspect of our business is a big part of that. I would say there are a handful of foundational business processes that really make up the core of what we do. There are things like placing orders for services, scheduling those orders, transportation, customer service. These are all areas within the company that we've addressed regulatory deficiencies in them. But now we see an opportunity with kind of a technology first mindset really to integrate them, strengthen the participant satisfaction with each of them and drive operating efficiency in the company and, therefore, pushing for margin expansion through these things. Another area which you've probably heard me talk about in the past this notion of payer capabilities. It's constantly reinforced in my mind that we're both a care delivery organization and a payer like any other managed care organization. And there are certain payer capabilities that we've got opportunity around. And Michael Scarborough, who has a deep background in both provider and payer, is already identifying opportunities in areas like our network management. Whether that is optimizing the network itself, optimizing unit cost, optimizing the data that we're sharing in order to provide more efficient services, how we pay claims, how we ensure we're not paying for anything that we shouldn't be, we're not being billed for anything that we shouldn't be, in some ways, it really is reimagining what the company's done in the past across all these key areas, not just sort of fortifying and removing deficiencies in kind of older traditional processes. As I said in the opening remarks, it was not an overstatement. With Michael's arrival, I think the confidence in our ability to take these things on is very high. We're going to put our shoulder into it and we're going to spend a better part of the next few months really thinking through what are those opportunities, what's the value capture associated with them, what's the investment we would make, what's return on that investment, what's the talent we need to pull it off and we think all those things are really going to lead to us being an even stronger and better company over the next 18 months.

Jamie Perse

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Maybe one just on the funding model. I wanted to get a better sense of within the revenue per member per month, how much is funded by Medicare and Medicaid and what's driven growth historically between those two components. And then within Medicaid, can you remind us the funding mechanisms, just how much is funded by states versus federal matches. You mentioned the favorable backdrop you've been in with rate growth and sounds like the PACE program growing overall across the country. You alluded to that continuing under the new administration. Is there something specific you can point to that gives you confidence in that or how are you assessing the new environment we're in?

Patrick Blair

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

Roughly speaking, I'd say you're looking at probably a three-to-one Medicare, assuming a $3000 Medicare Part C, maybe $1000 Medicare Part D and then about $5000 for Medicaid that kind of get you to that $9000 per member per month mix. I don't know that I can speak to the federal match because for the $5000 because it varies by state, the match does itself, but let's just say 50/50 is a baseline, then it can be maybe more or less by state. I think that's sort of the mix there. As it relates to the broader market, I think that we've made some investments in sort of the government affairs function within the organization. We brought on John Koehn who's got a deep background in government programs, in government relations. As we engage with states, as we engage with the federal government, as we frankly begin to foreshadow the leadership in the new administration, we're consistently hearing the question, can PACE serve more people. Is there more that can be done to support PACE growth? Fundamentally, what we talk about, without giving you like specifics, make it easier for PACE to grow and expand into new markets, make it easier for individuals to enroll in PACE, make it as easy to enroll in PACE as it is Medicare Advantage, remove that disparity that exists today between those two programs, for example. Rate adequacy, I wouldn't describe the rate environment overall as overly favorable, given the three years that I've been here. But I would say this rating cycle, I think the team and the industry have done a nice job getting the states to really understand what's driving our cost and ensure that we're receiving financially suitable rates to cover our cost of care and to cover the delivery of that care. So those are some of the things that I would say. I think it's just a real enthusiasm about PACE in where it can fit into the continuum of care. I think some of the maybe the headwinds in the Medicare Advantage world, I think have probably catalyzed some of those discussions about can PACE be more of a solution than it is today. And InnovAge isn't the only PACE program doing a great job demonstrating the value of the program.

Ben Adams

Analyst · Goldman Sachs

No, I think you pretty much hit it all. I would just say on the Medicare, Medicaid breakout, it's disclosed in the Q. So if you take a look at Page 12 and 13 of the Q, it will give you the breakout. It doesn't get into the math, but it gives you the breakout.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ben Adams from William Blair & Company.

Ben Adams

Analyst · Ben Adams from William Blair & Company

I'll ask one on the Medicare Advantage environment. Just thinking about all the disruption there is plans kind of scale back their offerings and supplemental benefits. Just curious if anything changed in terms of, I guess, your messaging strategy in the market and how you communicate the value proposition of paid services kind of relative to a lot of that disruption?

Patrick Blair

Analyst · Ben Adams from William Blair & Company

I wouldn't say anything has fundamentally changed as a result of the Medicare Advantage headwinds in terms of in somehow advantaging PACE as a result. I mean, the reality is Medicare Advantage organizations have a lot of levers to pull to deal with headwinds. They have a variety of plan designs that they can adjust and pull back on. They have a variety of participant or patient cost sharing that they can adjust. They operate in various counties and jurisdictions and they can make slight adjustments there in terms of which plans are offered in which jurisdictions, which can help them address headwinds. I think last year, one of the fundamental headwinds that we faced was the notion of these cash value or cash benefit cards that Medicare Advantage plans were offering that allowed participants to have access to funds to pay for a variety of services. That became a real challenge in our sales cycle last year. And I'd say probably caught us a little off guard. This year, while those offerings are very much still in the market and in pockets very much at the levels they were before, I'd say there has been some reduction in what we're seeing in the market. But we were very proactive. I think Ben mentioned in his prepared remarks that we had some marketing and advertising spend that was really intended to do what you said, which was get out into the market very early, well in advance of annual election period, begin educating our prospects and people that we had sort of in our pipeline and funnel on how PACE is different, what are the unique services we offer, how not to confuse them with similarly sort of labeled or characterized services within the Medicare Advantage market, and we think that helped us. I think that was a good investment. I think it put us in a strong position going into it. We've seen slightly stronger retention this year during AEP of existing participants, as well as I think laudable improvements in our enrollment itself through that period. So I think those were kind of the primary Medicare Advantage dynamics at play.

Ben Adams

Analyst · Ben Adams from William Blair & Company

I'll ask one follow-up. Just on the impairment with the facility of Louisville, just was curious what drove that decision. I guess was that sort of a market specific dynamic going on there or just a matter of reprioritizing to other opportunities in the pipeline?

Patrick Blair

Analyst · Ben Adams from William Blair & Company

What I would say is, if you recall, InnovAge was awarded the Louisville opportunity, I think, in 2020. So it's been out there for a very long time. And then as a result of the sanctions, our geography in Louisville was awarded to another PACE program. So another PACE program has been operating in that territory for over a year now. And as we begin working with the states to find a path into the market, we of course looked at Louisville and would they be willing to allow competition in Louisville. And we looked at other markets that they were interested in having a PACE provider participate. And ultimately, we determined there wasn't a viable path to reenter the market after our slot was awarded. We naturally then explored opportunities for joint ventures. We looked at opportunities to sell the assets that we had in the market. And then, ultimately, we decided that the best thing to do was to exit it and to take the charge on the lease that we had there. And it's really, I think, cleaning up a legacy issue for the company going forward. We still think Kentucky is a very attractive market and we'll continue to look for opportunities, but we just don't see one in the short term. Anything you would add technically on that?

Ben Adams

Analyst · Ben Adams from William Blair & Company

No, I don't think so. As Patrick said, we looked at a lot of different alternatives for the asset. All those things kind of wrapped up towards the end of the last quarter. And at that point, the decision was made to write it off.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Matthew Gilmore from KeyBanc.

Matthew Gilmore

Analyst · Matthew Gilmore from KeyBanc

Maybe asking about the out of period risk adjustment true up that you mentioned, I appreciate there can always be some puts and takes there on your accrual as you get more data and close things out. I was hoping you could maybe size it up just so we could understand how that impacted your revenue and EBITDA in the quarter?

Ben Adams

Analyst · Matthew Gilmore from KeyBanc

You're talking about the year-over-year comparison because the out of period adjustment you're talking about happened last year. I think it was in October of last year. And that was actually really an out-of-period adjustment related to 2022. And it was effectively a Part C true up where we had an additional opportunity post COVID to go back and resubmit, which we did, which gave us a big one-time benefit in Q2 of fiscal 2024. And we didn't disclose it at the time. So we're not disclosing that because we have so many puts and takes on the risk score side that we don't go through the process of disclosing them. But if you look at the progression quarter over quarter, if you were to take that out of the prior period adjusted EBITDA, you'd see a nice progression year over year. I think you can get a better sense of what the trend is if you take a look at the six month comparison numbers, period over period. And again, the six month numbers from last year still include that final 2022 risk score true up, but it will give you a better sense of the forward trend in the EBITDA.

Matthew Gilmore

Analyst · Matthew Gilmore from KeyBanc

On the pharmacy operations, I think you mentioned that you made an acquisition there and you had mentioned last call that you were assessing some opportunities. I was just hoping you could unpack that a little and give us a sense for sort of the prior approach to pharmacy and how this acquisition will change things going forward and the benefit you might expect over time?

Patrick Blair

Analyst · Matthew Gilmore from KeyBanc

Just to kind of set the context a bit, I would say that this notion of looking at our vendors and suppliers across our business and determining whether these are services that we have the capabilities to do inhouse as well as a third party can do it for us, it's been an important part of what we've been doing over the last, I'd say, year plus. We've done this successfully with hospice. We've done this successfully with fleet management within our transportation. We've done this with behavioral health. This has been done in the past with dentistry. So there's a lot of examples. This wasn't sort of a one off. The reality is we got to a place where we said, let's take a hard look at kind of the division of responsibilities that exist between us and third parties and said, with pharmacy in particular, we said that there's an opportunity here for us to take on the day to day fulfillment oversight, the packaging and distribution of the drugs, medication, and some of the other logistics that go along with that, We felt confident that we could take that on and do it well, if we were to identify the right asset to pick up and we've done that. We're still in the transition period. So we're just now beginning to move our participants onto the new platform. There remains a set of services that are still provided by a third party and there are things that we think, frankly, they're best suited to do. The call center, inventory management, the pharmacy network management, those are some things that we're very comfortable with third party doing on our behalf. And we think as a result of this, we're going to improve the participant experience. We're going to have more control over the means of production as it were to support our compliance efforts. Naturally, within the insourcing, there's always some economic considerations that go along with that. And we think that there's sort of favorable economics associated this as well. And over time, we'll have a better sense of what those could be. But this in some way is a little bit of foreshadowing the kinds of bolder moves we want to make to really build our platform.

Operator

Operator

Our last question comes from the line of Benjamin Rossi from J.P. Morgan.

Benjamin Rossi

Analyst · J.P. Morgan

First one here just on the back half EBITDA progression. So just in the context of your year-to-date adjusted EBITDA performance, my math here would imply a pretty strong back half EBITDA ramp at about maybe 60 bps at the midpoint, presumably as your clinical and operating value initiatives contribute to the lift. Can you just walk us through how you're thinking about EBITDA progression for the rest of fiscal 2025?

Ben Adams

Analyst · J.P. Morgan

I guess a couple of things. I guess I would say in general, when you think about our EBITDA progression, it should be pretty linear throughout the course of the year with one exception as we've talked about in some of the prior calls, which is that the third quarter often has some seasonal softness to it. And that's related to the fact that we often have slower enrollment in the third quarter because of the competition for Medicare Advantage and other things in the open enrollment period. And then the other thing too is we have some can have some seasonal softness too from increased utilization related to cold and flu season. But if you think of just in general about our quarters is kind of progressing steadily over the course of the year, it's probably a reasonable way to do the models. The CVI, as you mentioned, they do start the year at zero. This year, as you know, we have OVIs in the operational side as well as CVIs in the clinical side. Those tend to build pretty steadily through the course of the year, but obviously they're more impactful in the back half of the year than in the first half of the year. We don't really break those out and size them specifically. But if you sort of look at where we're running for the first half of the year, look at the guidance range that we put out there, and some of the comments I made before about how the quarters progress, you can sort of back into how we think the rest of the year might shake out.

Benjamin Rossi

Analyst · J.P. Morgan

As a follow-up on the pharmacy, I appreciate the additional details as you build out that pharmacy platform, but just thinking about drug utilization within your Medicare populations, the Part D out of pocket maximum now down to $2,000 a year. How are you thinking about the potential impact here to pharmacy costs as you roll out this new model?

Patrick Blair

Analyst · J.P. Morgan

I can't claim that I've got the answer offhand on that one. I think that one might be one we need to get back to you. But let me ask Rich if he just has any broader thoughts about our pharmacy management program in that context.

Richard Feifer

Analyst · J.P. Morgan

Look, we're really excited about having even better integration between our care teams in our centers and the pharmacy. Our prior pharmacy experience was solid, but the more we can integrate, the more we can look for opportunities to improve service, satisfaction, quality and also savings because there are plenty of opportunities where we can look to choose more cost effective medications. And we're looking at that across the board, whether it's part of Part D or even medications that roll into Part C. So there's opportunity on the horizon. We're discovering more each and every day. We haven't really sized all of it yet. And so there'll be more opportunity as time goes by.

Patrick Blair

Analyst · J.P. Morgan

I'd like to get back with you on that answer. We're fully capitated for our pharmacy benefit. Some of the typical stacking of corridors and things like that on Part D don't apply to us. Let's just make sure we understand your question and we'll be sure to answer it.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.