Earnings Labs

Innovex International, Inc. (INVX)

Q1 2025 Earnings Call· Sat, May 10, 2025

$27.96

-0.67%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to Innovex’s First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Avinash Cuddapah, Senior Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Avinash Cuddapah

Analyst

Thank you and good morning. We appreciate you joining us on today’s call. An updated investor presentation has been posted under the investors tab on the company’s website along with the earnings press release. This call is being recorded, and a replay will be made available on the company’s website following the call. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that Innovex’s comments may include forward-looking statements and discuss non-GAAP financial measures. It should be noted that a variety of factors could cause Innovex’s actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results or expectations expressed in these forward-looking statements. Please refer to the first quarter 2025 financial and operational results announcements that we released yesterday for a discussion of forward-looking statements and reconciliations of non-GAAP measures. Speaking on the call today from Innovex, we have Adam Anderson, Chief Executive Officer; and Kendal Reed, Chief Financial Officer. I would now like to turn the call over to Adam Anderson.

Adam Anderson

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Good morning and thanks to everyone for joining us today. I am pleased by the progress we have made on our strategic initiatives, which is thanks to our incredible team of people. I am extremely grateful for their efforts in the first quarter. On today’s call, I’ll discuss how we are uniquely positioned to continue providing value to our customers and shareholders in all phases of the cycle and give an update on our continued transformation of the combined business. Kendal will discuss our quarter one financial result and how Innovex continues to be well positioned financially and operationally to be opportunistic and flexible in a volatile macro environment. We’ve created a unique energy focused industrial platform that drives exceptional value and service for our customers and exceptional absolute returns for our shareholders. Since Innovex’s inception in 2016, we’ve generated strong financial returns on capital employed. To achieve these returns, we’ve curated a portfolio of what we call small ticket big impact products, employing a capitalized business model that focuses on technology-enabled consumable products with consistently high gross margins. Given the nature of our product set and our lean operating model, Innovex has historically required a small amount of CapEx to sustain and grow our business, typically 2% to 3% of revenue, allowing us to convert somewhere between 50% to 60% of our EBITDA into free cash flow under normal business conditions. To drive innovation, organic growth, and operational excellence are no barriers cultures paramount. No barriers means eliminating all of the barriers between ourselves and our customers, as well as within our company to ensure that we’re elevating the experience for everyone. Our culture drives innovation and customer loyalty, as evidenced by continued gains in market share across multiple markets. Turning to our first quarter results, I’m very pleased…

Kendal Reed

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Thank, Adam. And good morning, everyone. We are pleased that our quarter one financial result continues to demonstrate the earnings power and cash flow resilience of our platform, with further margin enhancement opportunities in 2025, as synergies are realized through the full integration of both Dril-Quip and DWS. As a reminder, we closed on the merger with Dril-Quip on September 6, 2024, and Innovex was the accounting acquirer in the merger. So historical comparative periods prior to quarter three 2024 were like legacy Innovex stand-alone results. Our first quarter revenue was $240 million which is an increase of 88% year-over-year and a decrease of 4% sequentially. The year-over-year increase is primarily driven by the impact of the Dril-Quip and DWS acquisitions. We evaluate our revenue geographically by separating our shorter cycle onshore U.S. and Canadian operations, which we refer to as NAM Land, from our longer cycle international and offshore operations, which include offshore U.S. Our Q1 NAM Land revenue of $121 million increased 17% as compared to Q4 revenue of $103 million primarily as a result of one full quarter of DWS results. Our international and offshore revenue during the first quarter of 2025 was $120 million a decrease of 19% sequentially due primarily to greater than anticipated revenue weakness in Mexico due to the dramatic slowdown in local activity and a slow start to the year in our U.S. offshore business. While our top line results were slightly weaker than expected, we evaluate our performance based on margins, free cash flow, and ROCE, all of which showed good progress during the quarter. Turning to costs and expenses, our Q1 cost of sales, exclusive of depreciation and amortization, decreased by $2 million sequentially to $164 million. Selling general and administrative expenses for the quarter decreased by $6 million sequentially…

Adam Anderson

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Thanks, Kendal. In closing, we’re extremely pleased with our progress to date on the drill quick merger, the performance of the DWS business, margins in our downhill product lines, and the way we position this company for a potential down cycle. That said, we’re disappointed that our revenues did not meet our guidance range. We are learning and getting better at modelling the Subsea business, which enjoys strong backlog-driven visibility that is inherently lumpy. We expect quarter two to be the low point for this business in 2025 and foresee a stronger back half based on the timing of customer deliveries. Despite lower than anticipated activity, we are pleased with the free cash flow and margin performance and still believe that our goal of mid-20s EBITDA margins is attainable over time. Since I’ve told many investors over the past year, oil prices or activity levels are hard to predict, but we’re adept at responding to customer needs and changes to their plans. Our flexible supply chain, high gross margins, and small ticket big impact value proposition positions us well for whatever the market brings. We would like to open the line for questions now. Operator?

Operator

Operator

Thank you, and we will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of David Smith with Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open.

David Smith

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Hey, good morning. Thank you for taking my question.

Adam Anderson

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Hi, Dave.

David Smith

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

So, I think we touched on this, but with the net cash balance of $43 million and for the $95 million sale of the Eldridge facility, net cash balance will – where it’s almost $140 million, 14% of your market cap. And I know Innovex has a strong M&A record across cycles, but I imagine today’s environment presents a little bit more of a challenge for both buyers and sellers between the macro uncertainty policy risk, WTI flirting with the mid 50s. How do you balance that desire to pursue strategic deals with the risk of, foreign activity levels still being in flux? And how are you seeing kind of seller expectations and historically, how long do it take to adjust to, activity disruptions that seem increasingly likely.

Kendal Reed

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Thanks, Dave. Yes, it’s a really good question. Maybe just to start out, as you point out, we have a lot of cash on the balance sheet today, with more coming in from the sale of Eldridge plus generating continual free cash flow from our operations, generated approximately $94 million of free cash flow over the past four quarters, and we have a countercyclical cash flow profile. So, if we’re going into a period of declining activity here, we do expect to spend out even more free cash flow, so we’ll have a lot of capital to put to work. We continue to really like our opportunity set and believe there are multiple great businesses out there that fit with our strategy which can be acquired at attractive valuations. To your point, there’s always an element of thinking about what’s going to happen with the market and getting to an evaluation that works for everyone. So, each acquisition that we’ve done over time has taken a while to come to fruition, but we think given the number of good opportunities out there, there’s still some good things we can do on the M&A side. I’d also point out we do have significant bandwidth remaining on our $100 million share or purchase program, so we’re going to weigh M&A against buybacks to maximize returns, given the market volatility, and we’ll continue to stay very disciplined on valuation. But like I said, I think, this is a great market environment to invest in our business and between our active M&A pipeline and the buyback program, really confident that we’ll be able to put our excess cash to work in a way that drives returns for our shareholders.

Adam Anderson

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Yes, maybe if I would just add a couple of words to, I think that was well said, but we focus on, let’s say things that create value for the long term. I don’t think we’re very good prognosticators on what’s going to happen in the next six or 12 months in terms of activity. Obviously, we’re going into a period of some level of decline we’re going to generate a bunch of free cash, so we’ll have even more opportunities to do deals, but I think we really look at, hey, what. From an acquisition standpoint we look at hey is this deal going to make sense for us over the next three, five plus years, not just over the next six months or 12 months.

David Smith

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Really appreciate that caller if I could ask one and follow-up. You said the weaker than expected in Mexico activity as a driver of the quarter one revenue miss and quarter two outlook. Can you help frame how meaningful Mexico was to your international revenue last year and how the current run rate compares to that prior baseline?

Adam Anderson

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Yes, so Mexico was historically, or I said last year was roughly 5% total company revenue, so whatever that pencils out to on the international offshore, piece of the business. So, it was a really meaningful part of the business, and we ran our highest – some of our highest technology liner hanger and well construction equipment in Mexico, so it was 5% of revenue last year. It’s, it came off hugely, year-over-year. Yes, so we’re down about our run rates down probably 80%, if not a bit more than that, in Q1, and we’re expecting not much of a rebound in Q2. I think at some point they’re going to have to get back to drilling more wells, maybe not back to what it was last year, but we’re having lots of conversations where we know that there is some more – some talks in the way about getting some of the local contractors – getting back to work with through some of the local contractors as well as some of the bigger service companies down there, but that’s probably going to take a little bit of time to work through the system.

David Smith

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

I appreciate that. If I can be greedy and slip in one related one, for the U.S. Gulf, it sounds like quarter one deliveries were on the softer side as expected. Can you talk about how, your outlook for the U.S. Gulf business for the rest of 2025 compared to quarter one?

Adam Anderson

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Yes, so Q1 was off a little bit from Q4. We had a really a lot of deliveries in Q4, Q1 was a little lighter as we had expected. It probably picks up a little bit in Q2 and then ramps a little bit harder, in Q4 we’re expecting some deliveries there. So, I think all in all for us we’re thinking yes full year-over-year is probably flattish and ‘25 versus ‘24, it feels like that. I mean it’s a little bit early to say but it feels like ‘26 is probably similar so we got a few customers picking up some activity, a few customers that are softening a little bit, but I think flattish in general it’s just a little bit lumpy quarter-to-quarter given those big deliveries.

David Smith

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Really appreciate it. I’ll turn it back.

Adam Anderson

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Thanks, David.

Operator

Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Eddie Kim with Barclays. Your line is open.

Eddie Kim

Analyst · Eddie Kim with Barclays. Your line is open

Hi, good morning. Just wanted to ask about the second quarter guidance. You noted in your slide deck that the market assumptions for continued weakness in Mexico and for slight activity declines in the name land market. And based on what we’re hearing so far from the [indiscernible], just in the past couple of days, it sounds like the NAM Land market could decline more meaningfully in the second quarter on a sequential basis. So, I just wanted to get some more color on your assumption there. And could you also just remind us how much of your business today is exposed to the NAM Land market. I was under the understanding it was about 60%, but if you could confirm that, that’d be great.

Kendal Reed

Analyst · Eddie Kim with Barclays. Your line is open

Yes, thanks Eddie. So just, in general, roughly half of our business comes from the NAM Land market, about half from the international and offshore market today just to frame that. Adam can probably add some more color on Activity Outlook, but the one specific thing we highlighted on the call is seasonality in Canada with spring breakups. We will see some reduction in that revenue as expected, seasonally light in Q2, and then, as we said there is significant uncertainty around what’s going on in the U.S. land market today. We’re expecting a little bit of softness there but acknowledge there’s some volatility. I don’t know if you want to add anything to that.

Adam Anderson

Analyst · Eddie Kim with Barclays. Your line is open

No, I mean, obviously we try to, we stay close to what our customers are saying, and just this week we’ve had a couple of folks talk about, reducing CapEx from a little bit to 20-ish, or a little more than that. Obviously, that’s going to take them a little bit of time, so we haven’t seen the impact of that yet, so there might be a little, what we’re estimating is, we start to see a little bit of that at the end of the quarter. But as I said earlier and as I’ll reinforce, we do not pretend to be great prognosticators on the level of activity. I think it’s hard for anybody to do to do accurately. I think what we really take pride in and try to do exceptionally well is being highly responsive to what the market gives us and optimizing our business for the stage of the cycle that we’re in.

Eddie Kim

Analyst · Eddie Kim with Barclays. Your line is open

Got it. My follow-up is just on kind of preliminary thoughts into the second half of the year. I know that the market is very uncertain, at the moment, but if the NAM Land market does, deteriorate, from here, is it fair to assume that kind of overall, companywide second half revenue and EBITDA should decline from versus first half levels, or will some of those subsea deliveries in the second half of the year potentially provide, a sufficient offset, to make second half look maybe fairly balanced versus first half level? Just any preliminary thoughts on second half.

Kendal Reed

Analyst · Eddie Kim with Barclays. Your line is open

Yes, it’s probably difficult to quantify at this point just given the uncertainty around what’s going to happen with activity levels, but I think, you make a good point that we will have some international offshore deliveries that’ll be tailwinds to the second half of the year that would definitely help offset any softness in the NAM Land market. And then maybe the other thing I’ll just underscore is to reiterate Adam’s point, we have a very flexible business model, right? If things are slowing down, we’ll be able to take costs out of the business, maintain margins, and we do have this countercyclical cash flow profile that will allow us to generate a lot of cash through those cycles in the market that we look to deploy either through M&A or through repurchasing shares to kind of drive returns. So, I think we have multiple ways to win, even if we are going into a soft period in the market, but yes, it’s very difficult to say exactly what’s going to happen the rest of this year.

Adam Anderson

Analyst · Eddie Kim with Barclays. Your line is open

Yes, and I think just to add a little bit to that, we are obviously – historically we’ve had a pretty good track record of organically growing market share. I think right now a great example of that is the legacy DWS business that we acquired late last year and been partnered with for a couple of years. They continue to grow market share – and the address they – and that business is really well levered to longer laterals. As those laterals get longer and longer, we need more and more of that kind of drilling optimization products that we provide. So, we have some segments and some parts of the market that we think can outgrow the overall market performance.

Eddie Kim

Analyst · Eddie Kim with Barclays. Your line is open

Got it. Thanks for that color. And if I could, just squeeze one more in here, just on free cash flow, you said that under normal business conditions the company converts about 50% to 60% of EBITDA into free cash flow. I don’t think it’d be fair to characterize what we’re going through now, as normal business conditions, but wanted to ask what your expectations were for free cash flow this year and if you think that, EBITDA conversion could still hold this year?

Kendal Reed

Analyst · Eddie Kim with Barclays. Your line is open

Yes, no, it’s definitely an important point. So, when we talk about normal business conditions, we’re thinking more mid-cycle where things are relatively stable and just as a reminder, so our business is very capital lite. We tend to spend 2% to 3% of revenue on CapEx. We do invest in working capital stocking inventory close to our customers to support their activities. So actually, if things are slowing down, we’d expect to generate more than 50% to 60% of our EBITDA converted into free cash flow. It’s during periods of growth that we tend to generate a little bit less than that. So, I think if we’re kind of in a flat to down market over the next year or two, I think that 50% to 60% is very achievable, hopefully a bit better than that.

Eddie Kim

Analyst · Eddie Kim with Barclays. Your line is open

Understood. Great, thanks for that color. I’ll turn it back.

Operator

Operator

And we have follow-up questions from David Smith with Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open.

David Smith

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Hey, thanks for letting me back in. I did want to say congratulations on the first deployment of the VXTE tree. I wanted to ask if you could share any details on the performance of that installation and client feedback, but also, whether you’re seeing any additional customer interest and the VXTE? And if so, how do you think about the path to commercialize that technology?

Adam Anderson

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Yes, thanks, David. It’s a good question. Yes, so that’s a really awesome technology and I think the first installation went very smoothly so that the customer is really pleased with the performance, so huge hats off to our technical team that’s been working on that for quite a long time, from the design all the way through implementation. It went, as smoothly as these kinds of things can go so, I think the customer is very pleased with that initial installation. Yes, we are, and as a reminder, like they asked me the customer estimate was that we could save up to seven days of installation time because this tree directly orients to the tubing hanger and the wellhead and cuts out a lot of intermediate steps that people typically use to deploy trees today in an offshore deep-water environment. We absolutely are getting some more customer interest on the back of that success, as that’s a very long lead time, long sales cycle on subsea trees, but we have a lot of customers who’ve been paying attention for a while and now that it’s been successful, they’re, they want to know more about it. As you know our scale on the subsea tree business today is really pretty small, so I don’t – what we’re evaluating is there an avenue for us to commercialize this technology by getting our customers excited about it and then partnering with their existing tree provider to implement this technology and combine kind of our wellhead tubing hanger technology with the customer’s existing tree supplier so that’s how we’re thinking about it today but again it’s going to take a while for that to actually reveal itself.

David Smith

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Great, that’s all I had. Thank you.

Adam Anderson

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

And with no further questions, I will now turn the conference back over to Mr. Adam Anderson for closing remarks.

Adam Anderson

Analyst · Pickering Energy Partners. Your line is open

Thank you very much. Thanks to everybody for joining the call and especially thank you to all our employees for everything that they do to make the company so successful. We’re very pleased with where we’re headed and I look forward to updating everyone on our progress.

Operator

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today’s call, and we thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.