Operator
Operator
Hello, and welcome to the Ingersoll Rand Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions]. I would now like to turn the conference over to Matthew Fort, Vice President, Investor Relations. You may begin.
Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR)
Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Fri, Aug 1, 2025
$81.33
-3.18%
Same-Day
+4.83%
1 Week
+1.21%
1 Month
+3.20%
vs S&P
-0.34%
Operator
Operator
Hello, and welcome to the Ingersoll Rand Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions]. I would now like to turn the conference over to Matthew Fort, Vice President, Investor Relations. You may begin.
Matthew Fort
Analyst
Thank you, and welcome to the Ingersoll Rand 2025 Second Quarter Earnings Call. I'm Matthew Fort, Vice President of Investor Relations. And joining me this morning are Vicente Reynal, Chairman and CEO; and Vik Kini, Chief Financial Officer. We issued our earnings release and presentation yesterday afternoon, and we will reference these during the call. Both are available on the Investor Relations section of our website. In addition, a replay of this conference call will be available later today. Before we start, I want to remind everyone that certain statements on this call are forward-looking in nature and are subject to the risks and uncertainties discussed in our previous SEC filings, which you should read in conjunction with the information provided on this call. Please review the forward-looking statements on Slide 2 for more details. In addition, in today's remarks, we will refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures. You can find a reconciliation of these measures to the most comparable measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP in our slide presentation and in our earnings release, both of which are available on the Investor Relations section of our website. On today's call, we will review our company and segment financial highlights and provide an update to our full year 2025 guidance. For today's Q&A session, we ask that each caller keep to one question and one follow-up to allow time for other participants. At this time, I will turn the call over to Vicente.
Vicente Reynal
Analyst
Thanks, Matthew, and good morning to all. Beginning on Slide 3, with our strong start in the first half of the year, we're raising our full year guidance on revenue, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS. With first half organic order growth of low single digits, a book- to-bill of 1.06x and a total backlog increasing by 16% since the end of 2024, we remain confident in our full year outlook. We continue to focus on controlling what we can control, staying agile and leveraging IRX in what remains a very dynamic environment. On Slide 4, we continue to lead in sustainability and achieved strong financial performance while supporting the planet, our community and employees. Our 2024 sustainability report outlines our commitment to innovation that benefits customers, improves efficiency, drives new opportunities and delivers consistent shareholder value. For the third consecutive year, we were ranked #1 in North America and globally in our industry on the Dow Jones Best-in-class Indices. And we placed in the top 1% of the Corporate Sustainability Assessment. Additionally, Ingersoll Rand earned a spot on CDP's A list for the second year in a row, recognizing our global environmental leadership and transparency. We strongly believe that a combination of our ownership mindset and creating a great place to work is a true catalyst for long-term performance. And that long-term performance-to-date has driven approximately $600 million of value creation for our team through our employee equity grants since the Gardner Denver IPO. Moving to the next page. Our value creation flywheel remains a central driver of our success, and our company's culture of an ownership mindset underpinned by IRX delivers long-term value creation and strong cash flow. We continue to leverage this cash flow through our capital allocation strategy, prioritizing M&A and focusing on high-return investments. Since our…
Vikram U. Kini
Analyst
Thanks, Vicente. Starting on Slide 6. Orders continued their strong start, up 8% year-over-year with a book-to-bill of 1.03x. Sequentially, from Q1 to Q2, we saw 3% order growth as well as a mid-single-digit increase in backlog. As Vicente mentioned, compared to the end of 2024, our backlog is up mid-teens. We are pleased with the first half organic order performance, which is up low single digits. Aftermarket revenue finished at 37% of total revenue, which is up 100 basis points year-over-year. And the second quarter finished largely in line with expectations for revenue, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS despite the dynamic macro environment, which demonstrates our ability to continue to execute well. The company delivered second quarter adjusted EBITDA of $509 million with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 27%. The year-over-year decline in adjusted EBITDA margin was driven primarily by the flow-through on organic volume declines, as expected, the dilutive impact from recently acquired businesses, the dilutive impact of tariff pricing matching tariff costs for one- for-one and continued targeted investments to drive organic growth. Corporate costs came in at $35 million for the quarter. Our Q2 adjusted tax rate was 23.6%, and adjusted earnings per share was $0.80 for the quarter, which on a 2-year stack is up 18%. In the second quarter, we recorded both a noncash goodwill and asset impairment. These adjustments have no effect on our adjusted earnings or the underlying operational performance of the business. We provided detailed information in the 10-Q, which was filed yesterday, but I'll take a moment to provide some commentary. The impairments were driven by 2 major components: the High Pressure Solutions business and ILC Dover. Starting with the High Pressure Solutions business, we wrote down the minority stake we retained when we sold off the business. This write-down…
Vicente Reynal
Analyst
Thanks, Vik. On Slide 8, second quarter orders for ITS (sic) [ IT&S ] finished up 7% year-over-year and up 5% sequentially from Q1 to Q2. Book-to-bill was 1.05x. The segment delivered organic order growth in the low single digits, making the second consecutive quarter of positive organic order growth. Revenue finished up low single digits. Adjusted EBITDA margins declined year-over-year, driven by the flow-through on organic volume, the expected dilutive impact from recently acquired businesses, the dilutive impact of tariff pricing matching tariff clause one-for-one and continued commercial investments for growth in the business. Moving to the product line highlights. Compressor orders were up low single digits. Industrial vacuum and blowers, orders were up high teens. And power tools and lifting orders saw a minimal decline of low single digits. On a regional view, we saw orders in Americas up high teens, EMEA up high single digits and Asia Pacific up low double digits. It is important to note that we saw organic order growth in China, which reflects the resilience of our team, the utilization of IRX and the effectiveness of our demand generation initiatives. In our innovation in action, the new CompAir Ultima oil-free compressor product is truly a breakthrough offering, delivering a 14% improvement in energy efficiency. This new compressor has an optimized design with a fully integrated airend drive that eliminates the need for a gearbox, reducing friction and increasing reliability and serviceability. Launched initially under the CompAir brand, this product exemplifies Ingersoll Rand's multichannel, multi-brand strategy as this technology will be launched under other brands and across the globe. Turning to Slide 9. Q2 orders in PST (sic) [ P&ST ] were up 13% year-over-year with a book-to-bill of 0.96x. Important to note that for the first half of the year, book-to-bill was above…
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions]. Your first question comes from Mike Halloran with Baird.
Michael Patrick Halloran
Analyst
So maybe we could just talk a little bit about how you see the demand cadence, order cadence playing out in the back half of the year. I know you saw sequential improvement 1Q to 2Q. How did that track through the quarter and into the start of the third quarter? And what are you assuming in guidance from a seasonality or improvement perspective as we work through the back half of the year?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst
Yes, Mike. So I mean, as you know, we don't typically guide orders externally. However, as we have historically said, this is a business that tends to be around book-to-bill of 1 on a full year basis. And we saw a pretty good start of the first half of the year with a book-to-bill of 1.06. So that kind of sets up well for the second half in terms of the backlog that we have provided there. In the second quarter, in terms of continued momentum, we actually saw a fairly stable continuation throughout the quarter. No -- nothing to discern in terms of declines or -- but it was very consistent as we have seen historically in a typical quarter. And that also continued here in the month of July. So I would say that, that kind of bodes well. The second quarter, what we also saw is continued strength in kind of the large long cycle orders, which was primarily the driver of the organic order growth, I'd say, particularly here in the ITS (sic) [ IT&S ] side. And we expect these orders to have a good impact here as we go into 2026 revenue, so kind of building up on that backlog already. But maybe the last point to highlight here in terms of -- Mike, in terms of the underlying demand, I mean, as we pointed out, ITS (sic) [ IT&S ] 2 quarters of positive order growth, which is good. And PST (sic) [ P&ST ], if it wasn't for that long cycle comp that it was really related to hydrogen orders last year, not this year, we will be kind of positive as well within the quarter.
Michael Patrick Halloran
Analyst
And then maybe a somewhat similar question on the margins. If I look at what's implied in the margins back half of the year, a little bit of a step-up. Maybe just walk through the puts and takes, why the step-up in the back half of the year? Is it seasonal? Are there other factors associated with it?
Vikram U. Kini
Analyst
Yes, Mike, this is Vik. I'll take that one. So I think it would be fairly consistent with kind of how you've seen prior years. So just a couple of things to point out. One, definitely seasonality. I think the cadence of revenue and earnings is very consistent in terms of our guide for 2025 is what you've seen historically. And so with the increased revenue profile in the back half of the year, you typically see some of the flow-through come from that, not just on the organic volume and the pricing side, but then some of the productivity initiatives like I2V and things like that, that follow volume. The other thing I would say is the continued integration on the M&A side, whether it be the bolt-ons as well as kind of as we've talked about for multiple quarters now, the ongoing progress on the ILC Dover side. And it is worth noting that particularly in Q4 on a year- over-year basis, our PST (sic) [ P&ST ] business probably has a their easiest comp comparatively speaking, which obviously kind of helps factor into that. So again, I would point to the normal kind of drivers and factors you would typically see that go along with seasonality.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Julian Mitchell with Barclays.
Julian C.H. Mitchell
Analyst · Barclays.
Maybe just wanted to start with the sort of phasing within the second half of the sales and EBITDA step-up that Vik just highlighted. I think historically, maybe just to start with your EBITDA is about 26% of the year in Q3. So based on your full year guide, it's a sort of [ $550-ish million number ] for Q3. Is that roughly the right way to think about it in terms of that Q3, phasing?
Vikram U. Kini
Analyst · Barclays.
Yes, Julian, let me start with that. So obviously, we don't provide quarterly guidance, but what I'll say is this. First and foremost, I think the phasing of revenue and EBITDA is largely consistent with both our prior guidance and prior years. So we'll start there. And then as you think about the back half of the year and kind of maybe to put a little bit of a finer point on the second half, particularly as far as the moving parts. First and foremost, we do expect, obviously, second half to be better than first half. But again, that's very consistent with what we put out in our prior guidance. And I think the organic orders growth and book-to-bill that Vicente kind of referenced earlier through the first half of the year supports that view. As far as kind of the large moving parts, let me kind of break it down for you a little bit. In the second half of the year, we do expect organic volume growth to be down in the low single-digit range, which compares to being down in the kind of mid-single-digit range in the first half of the year. And on pricing, we expect pricing to be in the, let's call it, 3.5% to 4% total range with a relatively even split between base pricing and tariff-related pricing. And it's worth noting that, that base price of about 2% is very much in line with what we've always indicated as a normal level of pricing that we should be able to generate in the business. And then on the margins, I think it's exactly what you would expect. We do expect to see sequential margin improvement with Q4 kind of being the high watermark for the year.
Julian C.H. Mitchell
Analyst · Barclays.
That's very helpful. And when we're thinking about the organic sales sort of year-on-year, total company, let's say, I think the first half was down about 3.5% year-on-year. The full year guide is sort of minus 1%. So you're up maybe low single digit in the second half year-on-year on organic sales at your guide midpoint. Does all that growth come in the fourth quarter? Or do we see sort of flattish organic sales in Q3? And is that the same for both segments?
Vikram U. Kini
Analyst · Barclays.
Yes. Let me start there. I do think Q4 will be a little bit of a healthier growth than Q3. So Q3, slightly positive. Q4, a little bit better than that is kind of the way the ramp will work between Q3 and Q4. The way that you outlined, obviously, the first half and the second half expectations is largely correct and consistent with kind of what I said before. And then your second part of your question in terms of the 2 segments, what I would say is not dramatically different between the 2 segments. I think you've seen fairly consistent performance in terms of the volume side of the equation in the first half for ITS (sic) [ IT&S ] and PST (sic) [ P&ST ]. I don't think you're going to see dramatically diverging performance between the 2 segments in the back half of the year.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Jeff Sprague with Vertical Research.
Jeffrey Todd Sprague
Analyst · Vertical Research.
I appreciate you hitting the ILC right upfront. But we just talk about sort of dealing with M&A over time, right? These bolt-ons are -- they look like they're always sort of a layup and you want to do as many as you can. I think they make sense. I would think as the company gets bigger, right? You -- and the targets potentially get bigger, there's always going to be things that maybe have some interest, but 20%, 25%, 30% of sales might be something you didn't really want and came along for the ride, similar with what happened with ILC. So maybe just a little bit more color on what you did to protect yourself. You mentioned some indemnities or something along those lines. And how do you think about like managing kind of potentially larger, more complex M&A down the road?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst · Vertical Research.
Yes, Jeff, good question. I -- a couple of things to note. Even going to the ILC, despite everything that you hear, we still are very enthusiastic with the Life Science side of the business, which, again, it was 75% of the portion of the business. In totality, the ILC Dover, we expect to still be at mid-single-digit ROIC by year 3. So which we view for this kind of large transaction to be actually not bad. Clearly, on the bolt-on, as you said, we can get to mid-teens ROIC by year 3. We always expected that larger transactions will be less than that. And this is providing us the platform for the life sciences that we have spoken about in the past. And now as we continue with our playbook, you make this kind of larger anchor of a platform and start bolting on at the same rate and kind of multiples that we have seen historically done with bolt-ons and that Lead Fluid as we announced that. And we have another one here in the LOI that we expect to close pretty soon here over the next few days that it will be fairly similar in nature to kind of what we see here historically. Again, mid-teens ROIC and bolt-on. In terms of how we do large transactions, I mean, think about as well when we combine Gardner Denver and Ingersoll Rand. I mean we leverage IRX for the integration pretty extensively. And ever since then, 5 years later, after 70 -- more than 70 transactions, we definitely have done a lot of lessons learned, a lot of continuous improvement, a lot of kaizens around how do we continue to improve our methodology. So we do have a playbook. And part of that playbook and holistic approach includes not only the comprehensive diligence, but also negotiated representations and warranties. And in these ILC Dover transactions, these reps and warranties were backed by insurance, and we have filed a claim under that policy. As you can imagine, I mean, these things are complex. We completed our internal investigation, which was pretty extensive, and we felt ready to file. This is not something -- I want to emphasize, this is also something not that is taking up management team away from running the business. And in parallel, we have continued to -- specifically to ILC to invest, as we have said in prior quarters, adding new team members, creating the P&Ls and running the playbook that we've run post integration.
Jeffrey Todd Sprague
Analyst · Vertical Research.
Great. And then just on the MQL specifically, anything in just the nature of these longer-cycle projects that stand out regionally, vertical market, different flavors? Or is there kind of a consistent theme in what you're seeing on the longer cycle side?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst · Vertical Research.
Yes. Jeff, let me also say on the -- above the MQL, kind of a little bit of color here, MQLs and the long cycle. So as we step back, I mean, we always said that demand generation, which is our kind of what we call our marketing generation engine, should help we provide a point of 2 of growth above the market. And that kind of demand generation is kind of what leads a lot to these MQLs. And you see that on the overall compressor performance or even China, where we're seeing some organic positive despite the market that is not growing, we attribute that to the efforts to instigate demand and find pockets of growth through these MQLs and demand generation activity. Clearly, what you have seen here in the past couple of quarters is definitely a little bit of uncertainty, large projects shifting and other macro factors that are masking the MQLs not converting faster and providing that and showing that into the organic growth overall picture here. But we feel -- continue to feel encouraged by the momentum we see in MQLs. It is real demand end market that we feel it will come over time, convert to orders. And we'll definitely continue to keep those customers in our funnel, and we're prepared to close those orders as they see the opportunities. In terms of then the long cycle, I'd say, fairly spread. I mean, here in the second quarter, we saw a lot of good solid momentum in wastewater facilities. I mean, water and wastewater infrastructure. That's why you saw our Vacuum and Blower business to continue to accelerate. And we continue to see some pretty good performance in terms of some of the reshoring that we see whether countries like India that is accelerating their side of localization for supply chains.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Rob Wertheimer with Melius Research.
Robert Cameron Wertheimer
Analyst · Melius Research.
I mean it's a little bit related to what I was going to ask in the MQL arena, where you've had a little while of -- and it's not unique to you, but delayed decision-making projects not making it completely through the funnel. And I guess my question is, is the reason for that changed over time? There was politics a while ago. Is tariff resolution an unlock here? Or do you hear more from customers around interest rates? Or any sense of what might really kind of unwind that? And if you would, I don't know if you can also characterize, you talked about those larger projects. But when you see hesitancy, is does it go all the way down to smaller stuff? Or do you have steady flow and then it's really just the bigger things?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst · Melius Research.
Yes, Rob, so it is -- I would say, I'll call that as being more of a tariff resolution. I mean I think there's continued movement of the tariff percentage number that we obviously see it ourselves. And that's creating a knee-jerk reaction in terms of flows and the unpredictability and uncertainty of what that creates. In terms of some of the -- I would also add this bill -- the Big Beautiful Bill Act as well, that created a holdout for some projects too as well, as you can imagine, on renewable energy and things of that nature. So to the second question, Rob, in terms of kind of this long cycle, we continue to see the movement. I mean, definitely much slower than what we typically have seen in the past. And the range, it kind of varies. I would say it will be site not ready, a bit of a change in technical work and technical specs, kind of some tweaks in the technical spec that kind of go back to then having the EPC to redesign and kind of work with us as a team to redesign. But I think the good news here is that we continue to see that engagement and it's not cancellation of projects. It's just basically a much slower move of these projects through the funnel due to, in that case, I would say, change in specs or overcapacity or EPC is not having the engineering resources to complete the project and put it into a purchase order.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Andy Kaplowitz with Citigroup.
Andrew Alec Kaplowitz
Analyst · Citigroup.
Vicente, just on PST (sic) [ P&ST ], can you give more color into your legacy Gardner Denver Medical business? Are you seeing any green shoots there into the business turning? And then stepping back on PST (sic) [ P&ST ], as you know, you haven't seen sort of that mid-single-digit plus growth algorithm in a while here. I do think it's easier comps in the second half as you talked about, but can you talk about your confidence in acceleration of overall PST (sic) [ P&ST ] moving forward?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst · Citigroup.
Yes. And on that legacy Gardner Denver Medical business, I categorize it as we're seeing good momentum on what we call the fluid handling side of the business. This is a business that particularly plays well with personalization of cancer research and cancer medicines where we continue to see some pretty good momentum. And when you think about that, what we kind of put it on the slides, it's the second consecutive quarter of organic revenue growth in the life sciences. Now naturally being organic, that speaks volumes to that, that's basically the legacy Gardner Denver business. So again, another good growth. So you can see that, that is turning and seeing some better flow. In terms of kind of your mid-single digits for the PST (sic) [ P&ST ], yes, I mean, I categorize that as we called out, I mean, again, good orders growth in the first quarter, in this quarter, if it wasn't because of some of these large projects. And again, these are large projects that specifically we decided to kind of abandon the market in terms of hydrogen refueling stations and things of that nature that we decided that it was better not to continue to pursue that. Then that is -- if you were to eliminate that, that puts us into positive organic order growth. And when you look and kind of peel the onion on this kind of what it was called the legacy PST (sic) [ P&ST ] or what we call Precision Technology, that's -- some of those pump businesses are -- saw growth in that mid-single digit from an order perspective. So again, that's why we continue to feel good about. There's a turning point, an inflection point, and we expect that, that continue to improve on a sequential basis.
Andrew Alec Kaplowitz
Analyst · Citigroup.
Vicente, that's helpful. And then maybe this one is for Vik. Maybe just a little more color into that IT&S margin in Q2 because I think you expect the margin to sequentially increase and it did decrease a bit. I know you called out all the factors that impacted margin, but were there any in particular that were slightly worse than you're expecting? And can you talk about your confidence level? I know you've got improving margin dialed in for the second half.
Vikram U. Kini
Analyst · Citigroup.
Yes. So Andy, I think just to kind of restate, we mentioned the factors with regards to the volume, some of the M&A and then kind of the dilutive impact on the tariff pricing offsetting costs one-for-one. Was there anything that I would say was tremendously out of sort of expectation? No, I wouldn't point to anything of a dramatic nature. Again, this is a business that's still playing that 29%, roughly speaking, EBITDA margin profile. So extremely healthy and one that we quite frankly, kept up in that 29% level despite some of the volume headwinds that we've called out. So I do think that we expect to see sequential margin expansion, as we stated in the kind of the earlier question, kind of in line with kind of normal, what I would call seasonality. But again, nothing, I would say, out of sorts or anything that we think caused any concern or anything of that nature that we saw in Q2.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Nigel Coe with Wolfe Research.
Nigel Edward Coe
Analyst · Wolfe Research.
So I just wanted to -- just want to make sure I got the right numbers. So price, I think you said, Vik, 3.5%, 4% in the back half of the year. So I'm just wondering, is that equally distributed across the portfolio? So I think we hear about more about ITS (sic) [ IT&S ]. Are we seeing that in services and equipment? And are we seeing that globally? Or is this more concentrated in U.S. equipment? So therefore, U.S. compressors will be up closer to 10%. Just any color there would be helpful.
Vikram U. Kini
Analyst · Wolfe Research.
Yes. So let me maybe start at the top of the house, and I'll maybe work my way down, Nigel. One, I think that, that expectation of 3.5%, 4%, I think, is actually fairly comparable between the 2 segments. And like we said, a relatively equitable split between or even split between what I'll call base pricing, which, as you would expect, has the typical flow-through you would expect and then the tariff-related pricing, which is essentially offsetting tariffs one for one. Now as far as the second part of your question, as far as the regional splits, I would say that when you think about ITS (sic) [ IT&S ], I would say it is pretty well equitably spread and split with maybe the exception of China is obviously a bit of a tighter pricing environment comparatively speaking, which is probably as expected. But I think when you think about Europe, North America, Latin America, even the Power Tools business, I think we're generating the equitable price you would expect. And yes, it is, I'd say, comparable between the components, i.e., the compressors and/or the aftermarket of the service. We don't take what I would call a peanut butter approach to pricing. It's very targeted. I would say that's even been the case where we've had to take certain tariff-related actions. So again, it's very consistent, I think, with the pricing kind of strategy you've seen us do historically. Maybe the only nuance here is that tariff-related pricing, which is, I'd say, just offsetting costs one-for-one.
Nigel Edward Coe
Analyst · Wolfe Research.
Okay. That's great color. And then maybe just following up on Rob's question around what sort of unlocks this next investment cycle? Because I think the way you sort of framed the second half volumes down low single digits was conservatism back in April. Now we've sort of hardwired that. It feels like we've got better visibility with tariffs, et cetera. So just wondering, are we seeing like a sort of a step down here and another step down in the market? Are we seeing a pushout in decisions? So I guess the question is, what's changed versus April in terms of that sort of conservatism view? And what do you think Vicente kind of unlocks this demand cycle?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst · Wolfe Research.
Yes. Nigel, good question. I mean what we decided to do here in the guidance is continue to be on the precautionary side as we think about the volume side. And that is, obviously, today, there's a deadline in a lot of the tariffs. So we see some of the outcome of that. But we -- I think a lot of that clarity will definitely unlock what we consider a lot of the conversations that we're having with many customers that they're just saying, hey, we've been holding on for a little while. What is it? Waiting a few more weeks or a few more months to kind of complete this holistic picture. So I -- we do think that based on a lot of the conversations, whether it is the tax incentives, depreciation in the U.S. and clarity of that. Or if you go to Asia Pacific or countries outside of China, customers kind of waiting to see -- I mean, South Korea, good to see the outcome of that tariff and Japan. And so a lot of that clarity is going to start driving the decision and the unlocking of what we're seeing in our funnel. That's our view. But right now, we continue to be precautionary.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Joe Ritchie with Goldman Sachs.
Joseph Alfred Ritchie
Analyst · Goldman Sachs.
Thanks for the initial comments on ILC Dover. I just want to be clear, I guess, maybe around one specific item. So the customer that you referred to, I know you don't want to call it out by name, but is it consistent with the reduction in guidance, the revenue guide that you saw a year ago when the transaction had just closed? Or is this a new customer that we're talking about within the aerospace and defense sector?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst · Goldman Sachs.
Yes, Joe, this is a new customer, a customer and a project that is really tied to the next-generation International Space Station and which has been delayed. I mean the funding for this seems to be kind of having approved already in the Big Beautiful Bill, but it's kind of just getting delayed. So that's basically the decline.
Vikram U. Kini
Analyst · Goldman Sachs.
Joe, the only thing I'd add to that, though, is, as you saw in our guidance, though, there's really no change to the organic equation other than tariff pricing. So I think the team has done a nice job to kind of supplement and offset that volume. So that's again why you're not seeing any short-term change to the current guide.
Joseph Alfred Ritchie
Analyst · Goldman Sachs.
Okay. Got it. No, I appreciate the clarification there. And then I know we've had some discussions around the marketing qualified leads and then ultimately, that turning into better organic growth. I guess when I take a look at maybe just the Compressor business or ITS (sic) [ IT&S ] just the last couple of years, the order growth has been fairly muted, and so I know we're getting is we're starting to get some questions from investors like whether structurally, there's any concerns around maybe the longer-term growth algorithm for compressors going forward. So Vicente, maybe you can kind of tackle that question head on and how you feel about the long-term kind of growth opportunity within compressors and why maybe we've seen a little bit more muted growth over the last 2 years.
Vicente Reynal
Analyst · Goldman Sachs.
Yes, Joe, the long term absolutely does not change. And if anything else, we continue to get more excited because, obviously, as we go and attach a lot of these solutions for recurring revenue, that provides, in our view, even better upside than what we even consider originally when we were looking at a lot of these back in the Gardner Denver days. I think what you have seen here over the past couple of years is that there's definitely been a lot of kind of fluctuation of large projects or large kind of onetime investments, whether renewable natural gas in the U.S., that turned to be almost $100 million of revenue that then next year turns to basically, call it, down to $10 million to $20 million. So I think when you peel the onion and take a lot of those projects and look at fundamentally the base of what we're seeing in the compressor market, we continue to see pretty, I mean, I'd say, positive, stable growth comparable to what we call historically as that GDP plus. And then on top of that, we try to overcome that. So I think it feels like over the past couple of years, we have seen obviously a more normalization of these large compressors. And now we're seeing like China as an example, again, 1 month is not a trend, but China is an example, where now after all that kind of large investments in projects such as electric vehicle, battery production and things of that nature, now we're getting into much of that normalcy. And China, market is not growing, but our team in China saw positive order organic growth here in the second quarter. And we're not predicting that China is going to continue to be accelerating. But again, we continue to expect that we take some share. So no fundamental change in the growth algorithm. And I think as we kind of see more normalization here ex large projects, things will be more stable.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Chris Snyder with Morgan Stanley.
Christopher M. Snyder
Analyst · Morgan Stanley.
So I understand that the organic guide down is just a function of less tariff-related price. But last quarter, it seems like a portion of the volume cut was just a function of this higher price coming through, which brings elasticity concerns. So I guess now that we have price coming in a little bit lower, but no positive volume response from that, like do you think that's an indication that is [Technical Difficulty] as we've gone through the year?
Vikram U. Kini
Analyst · Morgan Stanley.
Yes, Chris, this is Vik. I'll take that. So I think like we said when we gave the guidance framework a quarter ago, we said we're taking a precautionary view of the year given the uncertainty. And I think the simple way to think about that is we just haven't changed that view as we kind of think about the equation. And that's what you see in the framework from a guidance perspective. To Vicente's point that was kind of just made, as we hopefully get a little bit more certainty on where tariffs land and things like that with some of the things from the bill and things of that nature, those should hopefully be tailwinds in the grand scheme of the equation. And listen, to the degree that the volume equation is a little bit healthier than what our guidance implies, we'll consider that maybe the upside to the framework we put forth. But I think we just saw it prudent to keep the precautionary kind of outlook that we had before. And that's kind of, I think, what you should see from the guidance framework, nothing more than that.
Christopher M. Snyder
Analyst · Morgan Stanley.
Very much appreciate that. I guess, has there been any change in sentiment from international customers following the tariffs? And I guess if we look at the overall company orders flattish, is there anything you could provide on the regional split there?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst · Morgan Stanley.
Yes, sure, Chris. I'll say that from a regional perspective, we saw positive orders organically even in EMEA, Europe, Middle East and India. So again, if I were to think about this holistically, I'll say Asia Pacific, what we called out, China positive organically. I'll say the rest of the countries, maybe a little bit of more kind of waiting. These customers are waiting for better clarification of the tariff agreements. I'll call out EMEA as being fairly resilient, as I just said, Latin America remains very healthy and encouraged by the results that we're driving with the investments that we continue to make. And North America, sluggish, I mean, in the second quarter, given all the uncertainty around tariffs. So we remain -- but we remain very cautious, optimistic about the medium term here in North America. So long cycle, continue to see strong momentum in longer cycle, which helps build that backlog for 2026.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Joe O'Dea with Wells Fargo.
Joseph John O'Dea
Analyst
I wanted to start just on back half bridge and when we think about some of the key drivers. And so the volume assumption moving to down low single from first half of the year, down mid-single, that seems like it's really comps. And so there's no kind of underlying assumption in volume sequentially being much better. And then on the EBITDA side, price cost seems like it would be the most important driver. Is that pricing in place such that there is a notable step-up from 2Q to Q3? Or is there still pricing that you plan to implement in the back half of the year?
Vikram U. Kini
Analyst
Yes, Joe, this is Vik. Let me take that one. So I think the way you framed it out on the volume side is fairly -- I'd say it's a pretty good assessment. But I do think it's worth noting that with the positive or organic orders [indiscernible] on the ITS (sic) [ IT&S ] side that we've seen in the first half and the book-to-bill, that does give us more conviction in that slight improvement on the organic volume side you see from the first half to the second half. As far as your price/cost equation, yes. And I think simply stated here, those pricing actions have essentially -- they're in place, have been taken. We obviously are tracking and monitoring that. And I think we have good visibility to that kind of already being in place. So I think the simple answer to your question is, yes, I think you framed it up fairly nicely, and that's kind of, I think, one of the drivers of the back half margin expansion. Not the only one, like I said, some of the seasonality and volume and some of the productivity factors that come in as well as some of the ongoing integration of some of the bolt-on M&A, including some of the ones we just announced here today. But yes, I think you framed it out quite nicely.
Joseph John O'Dea
Analyst
And then on the clean energy vertical in ITS (sic) [ IT&S ], can you unpack that a little bit? Just talk about what you're seeing in terms of demand trends, some of the end markets, kind of regional activity, just overall kind of what you're watching there for the opportunity set?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst
Yes, Joe, if I take it by region, I think here in the U.S., what -- and I made a comment about that, about renewable natural gas, we're seeing stagnation there. Well, as we saw prior a couple of years ago, I mean, some very good resurgence and acceleration due to the IRA implementation, we're seeing really slowdown now. So again, that continues to be the case. If you go to then Europe, I think Europe, in terms of biogas and RNG production, that continues to be, I would say, fairly good investments and good momentum there. And then when you go to even Asia Pacific, in particular, China, anything related to kind of fuel gas booster application for power gen, also pumping storage for hydropower, things of that nature are seeing some really acceleration in the China side. So again, what we're seeing is definitely this kind of mix of different end markets based on where the regions that were co-located. Again, and the last one will be Latin America, good investments that we're seeing on clean energy.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Nathan Jones of Stifel.
Nathan Hardie Jones
Analyst
I wanted to just ask a follow-up on the building of the platform for life sciences here. Lead Fluid is obviously pretty small, and it will take some time to build out a life sciences platform at that pace. Any kind of color you can give us on if there are larger bolt-ons out there that you could use to build that more rapidly? Do you think you need to deploy more capital into that to build scale? Just any color you can give us around the strategic pathway to building that business out?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst
Sure. I mean, not at this point, I would say. And keep in mind that we like to be more into kind of more niche applications and niche specific steps within the process. So -- and that was basically ILC Dover. I mean ILC Dover great play into the GLP-1 and the powder containment and ADC, high potency APIs that kind of co-locate to immunotherapies in the future, grand scheme of things. Same thing with Lead Fluid. I mean, Lead Fluid, very highly -- great technology in peristaltic pump technology that we can leverage not only in Asia, but globally. And the that we have in LOI that will close again, small bolt-on, but provides a very niche application that is highly, highly complementary with what we do in ILC and how we sell to customers. So that's the path. I mean the path will continue to be in this kind of very niche applications that -- where we can command great share and that will lead into good price, great margin and our ability to be more closely to the customer.
Nathan Hardie Jones
Analyst
I guess one on the accelerated depreciation that's in the BBB. It's probably unfair to ask if you think that will be a catalyst for 4Q spending, but we have had periods historically where we've had accelerated depreciation. Maybe you could just comment on what historically you've seen that in terms of it being a catalyst for maybe late year spending to take advantage of those kinds of things?
Vikram U. Kini
Analyst
Yes, Nathan, I'll take that one. I'll keep it pretty simple. You're right, kind of hard to prognosticate what that may or may not mean. I think we view it as definitely a bit of a tailwind, a good positive factor. Obviously, we hope to see it kind of drive some degree of acceleration in second half orders. But I don't think that our guide or the framework we put forth contemplates that, right? So historically, maybe some movement there, but nothing that I would consider to be an extreme needle mover comparatively speaking.
Operator
Operator
The next question is from Nicole DeBlase with Deutsche Bank.
Nicole Sheree DeBlase
Analyst
Maybe just starting with the Power Tools and Lifting business. I think the orders here got a bit worse, turned negative again. Can you give a little bit more color on what you're seeing there? And that's been a business that's been kind of tough from an order perspective for a while now. Do you think that we're getting close to a bottom there?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst
Yes, Nicole, I think Q1, we said that orders were actually positive in Q1, as I recall. Yes, I mean, I would say nothing of significant color that I would call as being negative. We're seeing -- we have -- in this business inside the business, there's a couple of different businesses, one around material handling, that continues to actually do fairly well. And we're very positive with what we're seeing here on the Power Tool side as we're launching new products into the market. And so nothing of significant. Again, it's a business that we continue to invest. We see -- as you see, I mean, margins are pretty close to the fleet average and generates good cash.
Nicole Sheree DeBlase
Analyst
Okay. Got it, Vicente. And then just as a follow-up, I know you guys said that you wouldn't give guidance on second half orders, totally understand that. But if you kind of do the math on normal seasonality, which is what you have said, you do kind of get to like an organic order decline in the third quarter, I believe, unless my math is wrong. Would you guys push back to that? Just curious on your perspective.
Vikram U. Kini
Analyst
Yes, Nicole, we're not going to try to guide on orders or anything like that. I think probably the best way to answer this is kind of how Vicente kind of framed up. July, I think, MQL momentum and kind of what we're seeing has been continue to move at a comparable pace as what you saw in Q2. And you obviously saw the orders performance there, and we spoke about the drivers between the 2 segments. So again, nothing that we're seeing that's anything dramatically different, changing trends, things like that. And listen, this is still kind of in the wake of, I would say, the uncertainty around tariffs, as we mentioned here. So hopefully, as certainty gets a little bit more -- a bit more certainty on the tariff front, hopefully, that's something that can drive a little bit more certainty and acceleration. But again, nothing I would say that today, we're seeing that's anything dramatically different as what we saw exiting Q2.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Andrew Buscaglia with BNP Paribas.
Andrew Edouard Buscaglia
Analyst · BNP Paribas.
Just wanted to check on capital allocation. Just it sounds like you have some M&A still in the pipeline per usual, but what's your preference maybe for share repo over the near term? How are you thinking about that?
Vikram U. Kini
Analyst · BNP Paribas.
Yes. Andrew, I'll keep it pretty simple here. I don't think anything has changed from our kind of capital allocation strategy. Yes, you did see some accelerated share repurchase activity in Q2 of the $500 million. We have said that we'll do up to about $250 million more for the balance of the year. But without question, the focal point of the capital allocation strategy sitting here today as well as even moving into future years will continue to be the M&A led by the bolt-on strategy, as Vicente mentioned. So again, nothing has really changed, and we'll continue to execute on share repurchase very much in line with what you've kind of seen in prior years.
Andrew Edouard Buscaglia
Analyst · BNP Paribas.
Yes. Okay. Okay. And then maybe just to check, your aftermarket expansion has been solid. What -- how do you foresee the year playing out or the next couple of years playing out, maybe if we get a release on some decision-making in the capital equipment side. I guess -- yes, I guess, what are the -- how the dynamics feel to you on that kind of mix?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst · BNP Paribas.
Yes. Andrew, I think we have always said that we want to continue to accelerate the growth on the aftermarket and particularly, that's why the recurring revenue is a very, very important step and initiative on that. We want that percentage to continue to grow even if the whole goods or new equipment gets unlocked and released and grow, we want to continue to outgrow that so that, that percentage continues to be a bigger piece of the total equation.
Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Amit Mehrotra with UBS.
Amit Singh Mehrotra
Analyst · UBS.
I'll keep it quick here. We've obviously -- we've observed pharma companies kind of announce pretty meaningful U.S. production capacity increases. I think we're tracking something like $300 billion over the next 4 or 5 years. None of those have been constructed yet. So maybe it's too early. But can you just talk about the opportunity that offers you given obviously the exposure to that vertical?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst · UBS.
Yes, I think great question. I mean this is why we continue to be, I guess, optimistic about the -- what we call this long cycle. I mean that would typically based on the size of some scope of those projects, it will fall into that, not only in the compressor side, but then even also as you think from an ILC perspective because, I mean, some of that expansion happens with some of our customers that are currently buying our products today. And obviously, that will help even more so. So yes, it's an area that we're staying pretty close, pretty close with the EPCs that are doing it with the construction firms and then also clearly very close to the customers.
Amit Singh Mehrotra
Analyst · UBS.
And is any of that -- I mean, obviously, when I look at the first half book-to-bill, typically, it's sub-1 and then it's above 1 in the back half. But obviously, you outperformed that in the first half. Is any of that in the book-to-bill? And do you still expect the normal seasonality of book-to-bill being above 1 in the second half to continue?
Vicente Reynal
Analyst · UBS.
Yes. No. So we're -- I mean, too early to see a lot of that. I mean, as you can imagine, this -- the project gets announced and it takes a while to get going. And -- but no improvement. I mean, as it is right now, we're saying book-to-bill of roughly 1 for the entire year, as I said. And that means maybe above 1 as we sort out, but that means that it will be less than 1. That's kind of what we see in terms of the seasonality and nothing that we change -- changes our mind right now as we continue to be precautionary in this environment.
Operator
Operator
That is all the time we have for questions. I'll turn the call to Vincente for closing remarks.
Vicente Reynal
Analyst
Thank you, Sarah. I appreciate the level of interest in Ingersoll Rand. Thank you for all the great questions, and thank you to employees that are listening to the call. And let's just keep staying focused on controlling what you can control. Thank you, everyone.
Operator
Operator
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.