Denise L. Ramos - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Analyst · Shannon O'Callaghan with Barclays
Thanks Steve. Starting on slide two; we demonstrated strong financial results in Q3. Consolidated revenues were 32% with acquisitions contributing 23 percentage points. We delivered solid organic revenue growth at 8%, Defense grew 9%, Fluid grew 8%, and Motion grew 6%. Total organic orders improved 13% and that was led by a 21% increase at the span [ph]. Segment operating income increased 29% to $376 million. This was due to solid organic growth and incremental contribution from the EDO and IMC acquisitions. Segment operating margins declined 30 basis points. Favorable productivity, tension in foreign exchange was more than offset by negative impact from acquisitions and escalating material costs. So third quarter EPS of a $1.12 improved 26% compared to the prior year, and was $0.07 higher than the midpoint of our previous guidance range. This improvement was primarily due to higher operating performances at Fluid and Defense and lower interest in taxes. Turning to slide three; in today's challenging credit environment, we thought it would be appropriate to highlight our strong free cash flows generation in current financial position. Year-to-date free cash flow of $759 million represents 127% conversions of net income. For a third straight quarter on year-to-date free cash flow of conversion exceeded 100%; this strong performance was due to higher earnings, lower pension contributions, improved working capital and significant contributions from the acquired EDO businesses. The consistent cash performance reflects the nature of our customer base and the strong efforts of our shared service organization. Keep in mind that the federal government currently represents nearly 50% of our revenue base. The strong 2008 cash flows generations and our disciplined capital deployment strategies together lowered our net debt to net capital ratio to 21.2% at the end of September. Compared to the first quarter of 2008 after all of the financings related to the EDO acquisition that we put in place, net debt declined $389 million to $1.2 billion. During this time, outstanding commercial paper was reduced by $326 million. Keep in mind that at the end of September, cash and cash equivalents were $957 million, of which $197 million is in U.S. investments. Let me comment for a minute on how we see the current situations impacting ITT. For the current volatility of rates for short-term borrowing is expecting us like everyone else, we do continue to get good reception in the market for our commercial paper because of our strong cash generation and balance sheet. Our commercial paper program is backed up by variable revolving credit agreements, totaling $2.75 billion. And as of the end of September, only 60% of funds available to us under our credit facilities supported outstanding commercial paper. So said another way, our commercial paper was 160% backed up by available revolving credit agreement. In this environment, our short-term financing objectives are clearly focused on preservation of liquidity. And to that end, we will intensely focus on our free cash flow performance. We will slowdown our share repurchase activity, discretionary capital expenditures in domestic acquisitions. We will continue to closely monitor customer receivables, and we will continue explore tax efficient strategies to repatriate our foreign cash holdings. Turning to Fluid Technology on slide four; Fluid 8% organic revenue growth reflected balanced global performance. In North American businesses, which represent 44% of Fluid Q3 revenues, grew 7% in the quarter. International businesses grew 8%, led by emerging market expansion of 14%. Total Fluid organic orders grew 6%. Fluid's operating margins improved 100 basis points to 13.9%. Pricing, lower restructuring, foreign exchange, and pension benefit more than offset higher material cost and investment. At the Fluid value center level, our industrial process team grew organic revenue by 14% and this is the sixth straight quarter from double-digit growth. Demand in the oil and gas and power and chemical markets remains strong. And industrial process organic orders improved 26% in the quarter. Water and waste water grew 8% organically due to global, municipal and de-watering product growth. The de-watering businesses were strong due to increased global mining. Water and waste water experienced mid-single digit growth in both the North American and international municipal market. In the treatment businesses benefited from de-salination projects in the Middle-East region, but despite the strong third quarter performance flat orders suggested further slowing in municipal demand. We have been anticipating such softening and we will continue to monitor any developments in this market. Presidential and commercial water grew 4% organically as global, commercials and agriculture strength more than offset soft North American residential market. Global commercial markets grew in the 6% range, with North America up 5% and international up 7%. Growth in these markets is expected to slow in the fourth quarter. So in summary, Fluid balanced third quarter performance exceeded our expectations. However, we are reducing four year Fluid revenues by approximately $40 million due to preliminary indications of additional softening in certain markets. The recent significant change in foreign exchange rate causes an additional $120 million reduction to our 2008 revenue forecast. But overall, organic revenue growth for the year is projected at 5%. Moving on to Motion & Flow control on slide five; total revenues, including the acquired IMC businesses grew 25%. Organic revenues increased 6% on strength at aerospace, friction, and Interconnect Solutions and that more than offset the continued weakness we're seeing at Flow Control. Segment organic orders grew 4%. Motion & Flow Control's margins improved by 10 basis points to 14.2%. Productivity, foreign exchange, and pension favorability were partially offset by acquisitions, investments and footprint actions. At the Motion & Flow Control value center level, the Aerospace Controls unit was strong again with organic revenue growth of 11%. And this performance was fueled by strong aftermarket activity. Friction Technologies had another solid quarter, growing 9% on an organic basis. This was driven by balance OEM and aftermarket strength. During the quarter, our Friction team won another five new platforms, adding to an already impressive 2008 total. In addition to new wins, friction's aftermarket represented 47% of year-to-date sales. Interconnect Solutions grew 8% on an organic basis. This was driven by strength in the North American military, aerospace and oil exploration market. We remained challenged though by our Flow Control business, which declined $6 million or 9% organically, due to continued deterioration in the Marine and Spa & Whirlpool markets in North America. And we are now seeing slowing activity in European markets. The acquired IMC businesses delivered another strong quarter of revenue growth compared to the prior year, led by improvements in the oil and gas, derails and the aerospace market. The IMC businesses grew more than 9% on a pro forma basis. So in summary, the Motion & Flow Control group delivered a solid third quarter that reflected the segment's geographic and end market diversity. Recalibrating our fourth quarter foreign exchange assumptions, results in an approximate $50 million reduction to the midpoint of our previous 2008 revenue guidance. Overall, organic revenue growth for the year is projected at 4%. Turning to slide six, Defense Electronics and Services grew 52%. This was due to organic revenue growth of 9% and strong Fluid 2.1 performance from the acquired EDO operations. Organic orders were 21% with significant contributions from the core product businesses of communication systems, electronic systems, Night Vision and space. The strong orders flow growth drove backlog up to $5.1 billion, and that's an increase of $438 million from the second quarter. Defense margins at 12.2%, declined 140 basis points and this is due to favorable pensions and net cost productivity, offset by the EDO acquisition and mixed impact. Our Advanced Engineering and Sciences business grew organic revenue by 40%. Increased activity on the data analysis contract and FAA air traffic modernization program drove the quarter's growth. Our Systems business grew 12%. And this was due to increased activity on sensor programs involving missile defense and state control programs. Communication systems improved 6%. And this was due to increase in international sales for the Iraqi and Saudi military, an increased JTRS development activity. Electronic systems declined 12% organically and that was due primarily to program timing. Organic orders though increased 218% in the quarter on strong demand for airborne counter measures. We remained confident in our ability to deliver continued revenue strength at Defense. And we are once again raising the mid point of our 2008 Defense revenue guidance by $50 million. This improvement is largely attributable to increased customer demand for CREW 2.1 ID/IQ agreement. Now, let's move on to the well forward of our EPS guidance, which is on slide seven. We are increasing our 2008 guidance before incremental effect to restructurings by $0.07 per share. This increase represents the amount that our third quarter performance exceeded the midpoint of our previous guidance. We then adjusted this amount to reflect the unprecedented recent movements in foreign exchange rates, compared to our prior guidance. The adjustment negatively impacts full year earnings per share by $0.04 per share. Lastly, in response to anticipated global market conditions in 2009, we are accelerating restructuring activities across our businesses during the fourth quarter of 2008. And these incremental actions of approximately $48 million or $0.17 per share primarily relates to reductions in headcount in both U.S. and European operations. In total, our revised full year 2008 earnings per share from continuing operations excluding special item, is now in $3.97 to $4.03 per share range. Keep in mind that our earnings per share guidance fully reflects all restructurings and foreign exchange impact. Turn to slide eight and you'll see our detailed 2008 guidance. In total, we now forecast full year revenue at $11.45 billion to $11.55 billion. And that's approximately 28% higher than reported 2007 full year revenue. Total 2008 organic revenues are projected well in a 6% to7% range. We are increasing the midpoint of our defense revenue guidance by $50 million. And this increase was primarily due to higher CREW 2.1 deliveries requested by the customers. Resetting our revenues forecast to reflect current foreign exchange rates, resulted in approximately $170 million reductions at our commercial unit. Assuming an average euro rate of $1.29 compared to the $1.58 rate using our previous guidance resulted in $120 million revenue reduction of Fluid and a $50 million reduction at Motion & Flow Control. We are also reducing Fluid revenue by an additional $40 million due to anticipated softening in certain municipal and commercial markets. We'll provide any updates to our guidance and an overview of 2009 results during our December 12, 2009 guidance call. So, please hold your 2009 questions until that time. Now, I'll turn back to Steve for some thoughts on recent Defense development and then wrap up.