Thomas M. Scalera
Analyst · KeyBanc
Thanks, Denise. Now let's turn to Slide 5 for a detailed review of our first quarter results. In the quarter, we delivered organic revenue growth of 10% that reflected the power of our diversifications, as each business grew in excess of 6%. Industrial Process led the way with 13% organic growth, fueled by projects in the chemical and oil and gas markets, which were up 35% and 17%, respectively. Mining grew 25% in the quarter, mostly driven by project activity in the Americas. Revenue growth in Industrial Process included $22 million of favorable timing for certain large, long-term industrial pump projects, mostly in the developed oil and gas markets. This growth reflects our expanded portfolio and improved capabilities to execute against an increasing number of complex projects. Motion Technologies delivered another strong quarter, with organic growth of 9%. Motion Technologies team delivered exceptional 8% auto growth, driven by a 10% increase in the dealer service and independent aftermarket channels. The growth in the independent aftermarket included the ramp up of our expanded contract with Continental. We also experienced above-market OEM growth in Europe and, in China, we grew 33%, which is a direct reflection of the organic investments we've recently made in our Wuxi, China, capabilities. Also contributing to Motion Technologies' strength in the quarter was the KONI shock absorber business, which was up 16% globally. This growth reflects the lasting power of the respected KONI brand and the tireless efforts of the team to improve our operational effectiveness and end market focus. Interconnect Solutions delivered its third consecutive quarter of double-digit organic growth and their fourth consecutive quarter with $100 million or more in revenue. The 10% first quarter growth at ICS included gains of 12% in transportation and industrial, 10% in aerospace and defense and 13% in oil and gas. These gains were partially offset by declines in non-strategic product lines. Control Technologies also delivered solid organic top line growth of 6% as strong commercial aerospace component growth more than offset Defense and end-of-life program headwinds. Shifting to orders. Organic orders increased 3% this quarter, driven by strength in global automotive friction and strategic connector end markets. These gains were partially offset by a 4% decline in our Industrial Process business due to a difficult prior-year mining order compare, continued softness in our base pump business and some large project order delays. Our organic book-to-bill ratio in the quarter was 1.04, with each business contributing to this result by delivering ratios at or above 1.02. Q1 adjusted segment operating income of $93 million grew 19% due to strong volumes, net productivity gains from our ongoing lean transformation and accelerated benefits from our turnaround and restructuring actions at both ICS and KONI. These gains funded our key Q1 strategic investments in the aftermarket expansion and our lean transformation. For the quarter, our adjusted EPS of $0.62 per share exceeded our expectations and was 32% higher than the prior year. The growth reflected the 19% increase in segment operating income, the lower effective tax rate and lower interest expense. The lower tax rate partially reflects mix but it also reflects the planning and execution of our tax team, who has worked together to drive a 400-basis-point reduction in our effective rate since then. Turning to our total revenue growth by end market, on Slide 6. Growth in the quarter once again reflected the diversification benefits of the attractive end markets that we serve with our highly engineered solutions. Our industrial market revenue was up 13%, driven by chemical and industrial pumps, which improved 15% on strong petrochemical activity in North America and emerging markets. Mining growth of 25% tied to fertilizer and copper projects also contributed, along with general industrial strength in connectors tied to our renewed focus on strategic end markets. In the transportation market, we drove 9% growth. Global automotive revenue grew 8% due to aftermarket expansion, improved global production rates and share gains in Europe and China. Aerospace and defense was up 8% due to strong commercial aerospace component demand. And in addition, rail was a significant contributor this quarter, posting a 28% increase, largely due to the turnaround efforts at KONI. And lastly, energy was up 9%, driven by a 17% increase in oil and gas and Industrial Process related to large project timing and aftermarket growth in Latin America. The growth in the oil and gas market is a direct reflection of recent organic and inorganic investments that we are making in our Industrial Process business that include our broader range of complex products, our new world-class Korean facility, the expansion of our engineered Center of Excellence in Seneca Falls, New York, and our acquisition of Bornemann Pumps. Now let's turn to revenue by geography, on Slide 7. In the quarter, we delivered revenue growth of 7% in the U.S. and Canada due to project pump growth in the chemical, oil and gas and mining end markets. We also benefited from a 16% increase in aerospace, with contributions from both our Control Technologies and Interconnect Solutions segments. These strengths were partially offset by weak power shipments compared to a very strong prior year, softness in our North American short-cycle base pump business and lower automotive brake pad sales due to weather, dealer inventory rebalancing and the timing of platform launches. Total European revenue was up 13%, or 9% on an organic basis, reflecting 8% growth in automotive friction and strength in our general industrial connector business. The automotive growth reflects aftermarket expansion due to strength in the original equipment service network and the ramp up of the expanded aftermarket contract with Continental. We also continued to outpace auto production rates and gained share in the OEM market due to our ability to reliably produce high-quality brake pads that consistently meet our customer specifications. Total emerging markets grew 15% in total and 17% organically, primarily due to share gains in Latin America and China. These improvements were driven by 20% growth in Industrial Process and 16% growth at Motion Technologies. The industrial Process performance reflects a 41% increase in Latin America in the oil and gas, mining and chemical markets, and the growth at Motion Technologies reflects automotive market share gains in China. On Slide 8, you can see that the segment operating margins expanded 90 basis points compared to the prior year. As we've highlighted, this expansion was largely the result of strong volume growth and operational execution that was driven by our ongoing lean transformation. These results also reflected the effectiveness of our turnaround activities at Interconnect Solutions and KONI. These gains self-funded our organic investments and offset the negative pricing impacts from constant automotive industry pressures and the unfavorable mix impacts due to a significantly higher weighting of large pump projects. And finally, let's turn to Slide 9 for our 2014 guidance update. As a result of our Q1 performance, we are tightening our full year adjusted EPS guidance range and raising the midpoint. Our new full year adjusted EPS range of $2.28 to $2.36 per share reflects an increase of $0.04 at the midpoint, generating a new growth rate of 15% compared to 2013. Provided on this slide is a roll forward from our previously issued guidance. The new adjusted EPS guidance reflects first quarter operational impacts of $0.03 that were driven by higher-than-expected automotive volumes in both OEM and the aftermarket and strong operating performances from our Interconnect Solutions and our KONI shock absorber turnarounds. In addition, in Q1, we did experience $0.02 of favorable timing benefits, primarily due to large pump projects in our Industrial Process business, which has no impact on our full year expectations. The guidance increase also reflects a $0.03 benefit from a lower projected full year effective tax rate of 28%, partially offset by unfavorable FX and other nonoperational items. Please note that our guidance does not specifically reflect any foreign exchange impacts related to potential future devaluations in Venezuela. As it relates to revenue, we are maintaining our previous full year total and organic revenue growth ranges of 4% to 6% over the prior year. The 2014 top line growth is expected to be driven by strength in our core markets of oil and gas, chemical and industrial pumps and continued share gains in global automotive. It should be noted that the lower end of the revenue range contemplates some potential impacts on our Industrial Process business related to increasing geopolitical uncertainty in certain emerging markets. While we do not provide quarterly guidance due to the lumpiness of our projects business, as evidenced in Q1, I would like to provide some color into our second quarter and second half expectations. We project Q2 revenue and growth rates to be lower than the first quarter due to the typical aftermarket seasonality in Motion Technologies and project timing in Industrial Process. And from a segment margin perspective, we do expect a sequential decline from the first quarter. This decline is mostly due to typical seasonality in the high-margin aftermarket sales at Motion Technologies, partially offset by slightly more favorable mix in Industrial Process due to a lower weighting of large pump projects and higher restructuring benefits at Interconnect Solutions. In the second quarter, we also expect a significant increase in corporate costs compared to Q1 and the prior year. This reflects incremental investments in culture and talent and higher environmental costs. As a result of these factors, second quarter EPS is expected to be generally in line with the prior year. And from the first half or second half perspective, we continue to expect revenues to be second-half weighted, and we expect second half segment margins to be approximately 80 basis points higher than the first half. And lastly, our adjusted EPS guidance also assumes a second-half weighting in excess of 50% [ph]. So now let me turn it back over to Lori to start the Q&A session.