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J.Jill, Inc. (JILL)

Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Wed, Sep 3, 2025

$13.28

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by and welcome to J.Jill's second quarter 2025 earnings conference call. Before we begin, I need to remind you that certain comments made during these remarks may constitute forward-looking statements and are made pursuant to and within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. Such forward-looking statements are subject to both known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. These risks and uncertainties are described in the press release and J.Jill's SEC filings. The forward-looking statements made on this recording are as of September 3, 2025, and J.Jill does not undertake any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. Finally, J.Jill may refer to certain adjusted or non-GAAP financial measures during these remarks.

Operator

Operator

A reconciliation schedule showing the GAAP versus non-GAAP financial measures is available in the press release issued September 3, 2025. If you do not have a copy of today's press release, you may obtain one by visiting the Investor Relations page of the website at JJill.com. I'd now like to turn the call over to Mary Ellen Coyne, Chief Executive Officer and President at J.Jill. You may begin.

Mary Coyne

Management

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. With my first full quarter as CEO of J.Jill completed, I want to begin by thanking our team for their dedication and support. Since joining in May, I've had the opportunity to dive deeper into all aspects of our business, and I remain confident in the significant opportunities ahead, despite navigating some near-term challenges. In the second quarter, sales trends sequentially improved month over month, enabling us to deliver total sales down less than 1% and an adjusted EBITDA of $25.6 million. Improved traffic, both online and in stores, supported this performance, as well as increased promotional activity, which we leveraged to better align inventory to sales trends as we entered the back half of the year. I am energized by what I see, having had 100 days to assess this business. We serve a growing and valuable demographic. We have a deep understanding of this customer segment and have therefore developed a loyal customer base. We operate with discipline, which has allowed us to consistently deliver high margins and generate significant free cash flow. We will continue to lean into these strengths and position the brand to drive long-term profitable growth. To do this, we must expand our customer file, attracting a significant number of new customers, re-engaging those who have shopped with us before, and continuing to delight our existing loyal customer base. In the near term, we plan to move quickly but thoughtfully, testing new initiatives and leaning into those that work to deliver on our objectives, and widening the aperture of our focus to appeal to a broader audience. Concentrating on driving customer growth, we will execute immediately on three areas: one, evolving our product assortment; two, enhancing the customer journey; and three, improving the way…

Mark Webb

Management

Thank you, Mary Ellen, and good morning, everyone. Following a challenging start to the second quarter, we were encouraged that sales trends stabilized and improved into June and July. We remained committed to our disciplines during the quarter, assessing slow-moving inventory units and taking action when necessary, resulting in improved end-of-quarter inventory levels compared to the end of Q1. We rolled out ship-from-store, our first omnichannel capability post-OMS Go Live, extending it to the entire fleet during the month of July. Our operating model continues to demonstrate its strength and resilience, generating $17 million of free cash flow in the quarter, resulting in end-of-quarter cash on the balance sheet of $46 million. Now, let me provide more details on our second quarter results. Total company sales for the quarter were about $154 million, down 0.8% compared to Q2 2024. Total company comparable sales for the quarter were down 1%. Store sales for Q2 were up 0.4% compared to Q2 2024, driven by three net new stores in the quarter compared to last year. Direct sales, which represented about 46% of total sales in the quarter, were down about 2% compared to the second quarter of fiscal 2024. As mentioned, sales trends improved each month of the second quarter. This was in part due to positive customer response to the summer sale in July, which helped clear markdown goods and end the quarter with clean inventories. Q2 total company gross profit was about $105 million, down about $4 million compared to Q2 2024. Q2 gross margin was 68.4%, down about 210 basis points versus Q2 2024, driven primarily by a higher mix of markdown sales and higher full-price promotional rates as we took action and successfully moved the liable inventory we carried into the quarter. Gross margin rate was also pressured…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad to raise your hand and join the queue. If you would like to withdraw your question, simply press star one again. Your first question today comes from the line of Jonna Kim from TD Cowen. Your line is open.

Jonna Kim

Analyst

Hi. Thank you for taking my question. Would love additional color around what drove the improvement in June and July. Mark, on tariffs, how should we think about sort of the annualized tariff impact next year as you mitigate some of the impact that you have this year? Would love additional color there. Thank you very much.

Mark Webb

Management

Great. Thanks, Jonna. I'll jump in and maybe also provide some color as needed. The performance in Q2 was really driven by clearance activities coming out of the sort of slowdown we saw at the end of Q1, beginning of Q2, and really committing to our discipline to drive markdowns and promos as necessary. We saw a good customer response to that, really good response to the sale in July. That was what was behind the trends that we saw in Q2. Underneath that, traffic improved a little bit, conversion improved a little bit, which is not uncommon with elevated levels of promotion and markdown at the end of Q2. Tariffs, what we've indicated, Jonna, is that tariffs really net of vendor-negotiated offsets of about $5 million in Q3 we expect will roll forward for the most part in the quarters to come. I think there's, without giving the specific answer, the annualized portion of the $5 million annualizing closer to $20 million. That's probably the best math at this point. Of course, we're working other levers around the on-order adjustments, as well as strategic pricing and promotions that over time may mitigate the absolute dollar amount of that tariff hit on a quarterly basis.

Jonna Kim

Analyst

Got it. Just one question. In the second half, do you expect promotional level to be in line or elevated versus last year? Any thoughts there would be helpful. Thank you so much.

Mark Webb

Management

Yeah, it's a good question. I mean, the landscape from here forward somewhat changes from the landscape through the first half because now we're in sort of the tariff part of the year. Our expectation is, as we mentioned previously, our unit receipts in the back half are bought down closer to the mid-single digits. The sort of supply side is adjusted. The expectation would be that our strategic pricing actions, as well as tighter promotions, help to offset some level of those tariffs. We stand ready. In all honesty, the guidance range that we provided for Q3 assumes a range of outcomes with specific respect to the receptivity of the customer to those pricing actions that we're taking, knowing that we're not the only ones. That level of macro uncertainty is what's sort of coloring the range of guidance, the low end being low receptivity to our pricing increases and the high end being a more receptive customer to the price increases.

Jonna Kim

Analyst

Got it. Thank you.

Mark Webb

Management

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from a line of Corey Tarlowe from Jefferies. Your line is open.

Corey Tarlowe

Analyst

Great. Thanks. Good morning. Mary Ellen, could you maybe talk a little bit about kind of 100 days into the business at this point, where you see opportunity for change, where you see opportunity to accelerate innovation, what's working in the business, and then maybe other areas or trends you've seen quarter to date that you might want to shed some light on? Thanks so much.

Mary Coyne

Management

Good morning, Corey. Yes, super excited after 100 days and having had a moment to assess the business. I'm very pleased to report that we are already seeing cultural shifts within the organization, ship-from-store being the most recent example where the team's work together, greater sense of urgency and purpose, and delivered results well ahead of schedule. We are excited to see that in terms of the momentum and the team efforts here. As we look forward, our focus is on growing the customer file. That is truly what our goal is. There are three immediate areas of focus that we know we need to do that. It's the product, it's the customer journey, and it's the way we work that I just referenced. Changes and innovation that we're working on right away are around marketing mix and attracting more customers. We know that we have an incredible demographic. She holds the largest wealth in this country. It's a growing segment. She's incredibly loyal to the brand she loves, and she wants to look more stylish today than ever. We are very excited that we have a base of a loyal customer, and the opportunity ahead of us immediately is to really think about the marketing mix that will add to that customer file. In terms of what's working right now, we are in the back half of this year making slight refinements to our presentations, both in-store and online, and to our assets that will be shared, both catalog and digital. The focus really is on 2026 and how we drive compelling assortments to attract this customer.

Corey Tarlowe

Analyst

Great, thanks so much. Mark, could you maybe walk us through some of the puts and takes in margin? Obviously, tariffs was one that was already addressed and talked about, but are there any other considerations in the back half of this year? How do you see the path to kind of the high teens EBITDA margin continuing and sustaining over the long term? What do you think the key drivers are to get you there?

Mark Webb

Management

Yeah, Corey, good questions. Look, I think in the back half of the year, the primary margin story comes down to tariffs. Part of that is the strategy that we're deploying on the strategic pricing and selective pricing. The goal really is to offset the dollar amount of the tariffs versus trying to mark it up and maintain the rate. That carries with it, out of the gates, full receptivity to the pricing increases margin pressure. As I mentioned, we're providing the closer-in outlook for Q3 that has a range of expectations around that receptivity. That's the primary. Underneath the covers, there are some opportunities to offset that through the level of promotions executed in the business, the fact that the inventories are bought, as I mentioned, down in the back half of the year, which we feel is a prudent way to position the inventories. That is enabling us to continue to manage the business with the discipline of the operating model on display, still cash-generative, and allowing us to make these investments, which to your last question is really the path for us going forward to invest, as Mary Ellen said, in expanding the customer file, the breadth of the assortment, the appeal of the assortment, and the marketing mix is really the opportunity to drive profitable growth deliberately in the coming year, which will be the kind of the go-forward story to drive that performance back into the business. In the meantime, we continue those investments and continue to generate the cash and distribute the cash in support of our TSR strategies, as evidenced by the dividend and the share repurchase activity to date.

Corey Tarlowe

Analyst

Great, thanks so much and best of luck.

Mark Webb

Management

Thanks.

Jonna Kim

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Again, if you'd like to ask a question, press star one on your telephone keypad. Your next question comes from the line of Janine Stichter from BTIG. Your line is open.

Janine Stichter

Analyst

Hi. Good morning. Mary Ellen, I just wanted to get your thoughts on the state of your consumer. I know your consumer tends to be pretty headline sensitive, and they weren't feeling great at the start of Q2. Outside of some of the noise you saw from promotions in Q2 that did drive sequential improvement, how is she feeling today?

Mary Coyne

Management

Good morning, Janine. Thanks for the question. What we're seeing is the consumer slowly return. We saw that, again, sequentially month over month in Q2, and we're optimistic as we're heading into Q3. I believe as the tariff noise has settled, we have seen our comeback into the business, which is very exciting for us.

Janine Stichter

Analyst

Great. I just wanted to clarify around the back half promotional levels. Inventory is clean, but obviously, your consumer still is selective and price sensitive. Would you expect promotions to be up year over year in the back half, down, or is that still part of the range of outcomes you're contemplating?

Mary Coyne

Management

As Mark said earlier, that will really depend on the consumer acceptance with our brand as well as our peers of the price increases. The range that we've put out there, sort of the high end is she's very accepting because we were strategic and thoughtful about where we increased prices. On the low end is that she is more resistant to the overall cost of purchases moving forward.

Janine Stichter

Analyst

Great, thanks so much and best of luck.

Mary Coyne

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Marni Shapiro from The Retail Tracker. Your line is open.

Marni Shapiro

Analyst

Hey, guys. Nice improvements here, at least in getting some traffic back in the stores. I'm curious if you could talk a little bit. You upgraded your POS systems. Will you, I guess, upgrade, modernize, change anything with inspired rewards? I think you have a pretty loyal customer, as far as I recall. Will you use that to sort of expand your base of customer? I just have one follow-up on that, if you wouldn't mind.

Mary Coyne

Management

Sure. Marni, yes, we are very happy to have POS and Order Management System (OMS) implementations behind us. The team is currently working on drafting a reward program that is non-tender because, as you know, right now, the GACC, our own credit card program, is highly penetrated to our sales and a very loyal audience. We do have many programs for them. As I said, the team is working on one that's non-tender and one that we will have rolled out in the back half of the year.

Marni Shapiro

Analyst

Fantastic. You said you were going to launch, you launched some TV or you were testing some television. I'm curious what your thoughts are on social media content in real-life events. I feel like your customers, when I'm in your stores, they're all talking to each other. I'm curious what you think about those two aspects to grab people into your stores.

Mary Coyne

Management

Great question. We are very clear that we need to get our message out to more people to drive awareness, all levels of the funnel. We would say particularly really looking at top and middle, as we've been converting very well on the bottom to grow the customer file. The television test was very small, and it was very local. It is super exciting for us because it did have a tremendous impact. As we look forward to changing the marketing mix, we will absolutely be looking to what you were talking, you know, more digital, more direct interaction. That mix going forward will be very different. Honestly, we'll be testing strategically in the back half of the year to really understand how we can free up some resources to really engage these new to brands and react, as opposed to focusing only on our existing file.

Marni Shapiro

Analyst

Fantastic. Can I sneak in just one more? I don't know if I'm projecting onto your stores, but in the last, I think, two weeks, even last week and a half, the stores already look different. They look cleaner. The front of the store looks different. I don't want to say younger, maybe more modern, the way things are paired. Am I projecting onto it, or have you already made changes in the merchandising without changing the product?

Mary Coyne

Management

Marni, I love this question. Yes, for the back half of the year, as we have said, because the product was already locked in, what we have done is change the presentation. Both in stores and online, and to your point, making it much easier for the customer to shop, cleaner color stories. Honestly, we've rethought what we're doing in windows to make them more compelling. Yes, we are seeing a positive response so far. Very glad to hear that people are noticing. Thank you.

Marni Shapiro

Analyst

Fantastic. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Operator

That concludes our question and answer session. I will now turn the call back over to Mary Ellen Coyne for some final closing remarks.

Mary Coyne

Management

Thank you all for joining us today. We are focused and committed to executing on our objectives, and we look forward to speaking with you again on our next earnings call.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation, and you may now disconnect.