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Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 10, 2026

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to Jumia's Results Conference Call for the Fourth Quarter of 2025. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the call over to Ignatius Njoku, Head of Investor Relations for Jumia. Please go ahead.

Ignatius Njoku

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for our fourth quarter 2025 earnings call. With us today are Francis Dufay, CEO of Jumia; and Antoine Maillet-Mezeray, Executive Vice President, Finance and Operations. We would like to remind you that our discussions today will include forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated in the forward-looking statements. Moreover, these forward-looking statements may speak only to our expectations as of today. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise these statements. For a discussion of some of the risk factors that could cause actual results to differ from the forward-looking statements expressed today, please see the Risk Factors section of our annual report on Form 20-F as published on March 7, 2025, as well as our other submissions with the SEC. In addition, on this call, we will refer to certain financial measures not reported in accordance with IFRS. You can find reconciliations of these non-IFRS financial measures to the corresponding IFRS financial measures in our earnings press release, which is available on our Investor Relations website. With that, I'll hand over to Francis.

Francis Dufay

Analyst

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining Jumia's Fourth Quarter and Full year '25 Earnings Call. 2025 was the year we demonstrated that we can turn the playbook we began building several years ago into tangible results. Over the past few years, Jumia has been building an e-commerce model designed specifically for Africa, adapted to the unique structural, logistical and consumer realities of our markets. In 2025, we proved that this model positions us to scale with the right economics. As we shared at our Investor Day in November, the question was never whether Africa is ready for e-commerce. Demand has always existed and much of it remains underserved. The real question was when e-commerce would be ready for Africa. We believe that Jumia has now answered that question. This foundation drove our strong operating momentum in the fourth quarter. Physical goods GMV grew 38% year-over-year, adjusted for perimeter effects. Growth accelerated as the quarter progressed, reflecting strengthening demand and improved execution across our markets with seasonal events, including Black Friday, contributing to volume acceleration during the fourth quarter. At the same time, profitability metrics continued to move in the right direction. Adjusted EBITDA improved, cash burn was meaningfully reduced and the business absorbed higher volumes with increased efficiency. Based on the progress we made in '25 and the momentum exiting the year, we remain focused on achieving our target of adjusted EBITDA breakeven and positive cash flow in the fourth quarter of '26 and delivering full year profitability and positive cash flow in 2027. Let me now walk you through the key highlights of the quarter. Usage trends remain strong across our platform. Adjusted for perimeter effects, physical goods orders grew 32% year-over-year, driven by expanding geographic coverage, improved assortment and sustained consumer demand. Our focus remains squarely…

Antoine Maillet-Mezeray

Analyst

Thank you, Francis, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today. I will now walk you through our financial performance for the fourth quarter. Starting with revenue. Fourth quarter revenue reached USD 61.4 million, up 34% year-over-year or up 24% on a constant currency basis. Results reflect sustained consumer demand and consistent execution across our platform. Marketplace revenue for the fourth quarter totaled USD 31 million, up 36% year-over-year and up 24% on a constant currency basis. Third-party sales were USD 26.7 million, up 33% year-over-year or 22% on a constant currency basis. Growth was driven by solid performance in the marketplace, including healthy usage trends and higher effective take rates. Marketing and advertising revenue was USD 2.9 million, up 42% year-over-year or 33% on a constant currency basis. The improvement was driven by continued growth in sponsored products, with advertising revenue currently representing roughly 1% of GMV, we see meaningful opportunity to scale this channel. Value-added services revenue was USD 1.4 million, up 79% year-over-year or up 64% year-over-year on a constant currency basis. Revenue from first-party sales was USD 29.1 (sic) [ USD 29.9 ] million, up 33% year-over-year or up 23% year-over-year on a constant currency basis, driven by strong momentum with key international brands. Turning to gross profit. Fourth quarter gross profit was USD 34.2 million, up 43% year-over-year or up 31% year-over-year on a constant currency basis. Gross profit margin as a percentage of GMV was 12.2% for the quarter compared to 11.6% in the fourth quarter of 2024, reflecting continued progress in marketplace monetization. As we enter 2026, we implemented broad-based increases in commissions across most countries, leveraging the scale and improved service levels we have built with vendors. These changes are expected to support gross profit growth going forward. Now moving to expenses.…

Francis Dufay

Analyst

Thanks, Antoine. Let me now turn to our expectations for '26. As we enter the next phase of scaling, we are refining how we frame profitability. Given our increasing focus on operating leverage and the underlying performance of the business, we believe adjusted EBITDA is the most appropriate metric to assess progress towards profitability. It provides a clearer view of operating performance and unit economics as non-operating items and non-cash charges become less representative of the business trajectory. Importantly, this does not change our underlying profitability objectives, and we believe we remain on track to achieve adjusted EBITDA breakeven and positive cash flow in the fourth quarter of '26 and delivering full year profitability and positive cash flow in 2027. With that context in mind, our focus for '26 remains on accelerating growth, driving further operating efficiency and continuing our progress towards profitability. We are seeing encouraging trends early in the year, which give us confidence in establishing our full year 2026 outlook. For the full year of 2026, we anticipate GMV to grow between 27% and 32% year-over-year adjusted for perimeter effects. On profitability, we expect adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of negative $25 million to negative $30 million. We confirm our strategic goal to achieve breakeven on an adjusted EBITDA basis and positive cash flow in the fourth quarter of '26 and to deliver full year profitability and positive cash flow in 2027. Looking specifically at the first quarter, GMV is projected to grow between 27% and 32% year-over-year adjusted for perimeter effects, and we expect higher cash outflows in the first quarter, reflecting typical seasonality and the timing of annual contract renewals for technology and insurance. As part of ongoing operational optimization, the company has announced it will exit Algeria in February '26 and expects to incur related onetime costs. Thank you for your attention. We'll now be happy to take questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question for today is from Brad Erickson with RBC Capital Markets.

Bradley Erickson

Analyst

I guess just to start, if you had to kind of rank order the accelerants in 2026, you're talking about, I guess, you've got improving assortment, you're going to spend more on marketing, it sounds like, and then there's obviously just kind of the rising tide of underpenetrated e-commerce, which of those is kind of most impactful to the acceleration you see in 2026? And any other clear drivers you'd call out along those lines?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

Yes, sure. I think we have 3, maybe 4 main drivers. I mean the most important one, structurally speaking, would be assortment and our ability to bring more assortment, more availability at lower price points for value-driven customers. And that's been an effort that's been pushed for the past 3 years. So it's a long-term impact. Second big driver that's quite structural as well is coverage, market coverage. So we've significantly expanded our network back in '24 and in early '25 as well, and it will continue in '26. And as we cover a greater share of the population, well, the addressable market simply increases, and that's been a big push over the past few years as well. And then marketing started playing a more important role, I would say, in the second half of the year. And you've seen in the numbers that we've ramped up slightly our marketing investments in Q3 and Q4. And we see very strong return investments, particularly on the online channels that we have kind of revived in the process, and it's been contributing definitely to the acceleration you see in the second half of the year. And then you have a more diffused but very important factor, which is the improvement in quality of service and satisfaction. That is really hard to pinpoint in terms of very direct impact, but it's really happening on the ground.

Bradley Erickson

Analyst

Got it. That's helpful. And then to the point on capacity, you've said, I think, many times, including today that you have kind of what you need in place to support a lot higher volumes. As we look forward maybe over the next few years, how should we think about lead times for kind of further investment in capacity expansion?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

So you can look at it in different ways. I mean when we talk capacity, usually, I think about fulfillment and supply chains. And then you can discuss -- well, I mean, you can talk about the platform as well, and I'll take that one. When we look at the fulfillment capacity, which is the usual bottleneck for a growing e-commerce business, we believe we're in the right place in pretty much all countries until the end of '26 or maybe the end of '27. So the next 2 years should be very manageable with the capacity we have. I'm mostly talking warehouse space and equipment. We know already that some countries will need to scale and get to -- simply to move to bigger fulfillment centers, such as Ghana, for example, in '27. But most of the countries should be fine. We don't expect major CapEx on that front because we've done a pretty big work on this topic already in '24 and '25, moving to new bigger fulfillment centers in most countries. And then when we look at the tech platform, the tech stack, we believe we have the right tech stack to manage 2 or 3x the volumes we've been running in '25. So it would not take any major investment, additional major investment compared to the amounts you see today in our fixed costs to be able to sustain 2 or 3x the volumes.

Bradley Erickson

Analyst

Got it. That's great. And then following up kind of on the tech stack, and you mentioned the take rate expansion and some of the drivers there. Would you say that was kind of like a step-up to what we might consider now a market rate? Or is that more like an ongoing, say, annual thing? How should we think about that?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

So take rate expansion, well, I mean, we're a marketplace. So as you scale, you should be able to take more, right? That's the name of the game for all the big players. We see that happening with our customers and vendors as well. So for example, early this year, we've already renegotiated the rates. I mean, we've enforced new rates with all of our marketplace in all countries. We need to look at it as a gradual effect. We -- I mean, we see it as a byproduct of scale, obviously. and the gradual effect comes from improving commissions, which we do on a yearly basis, then improving retail margins -- sorry, reducing waste and very importantly, improving advertising monetization, so retail advertising, which we believe is still pretty low in our case. We're still around 1% of GMV. We believe we should be closer to 2%. We did not deliver as much as we wanted in '25, but I believe that we've taken the right steps, the right -- I mean, we put in place the right structural enablers to be able to scale our retail advertising. We've launched a new platform for sponsored products. We've reorganized the team, and we've really scaled volume with key accounts, so we can also sell more campaigns to brands. So we're looking for -- definitely, we're looking for an acceleration here in '26.

Bradley Erickson

Analyst

Got it. And then just in terms of the guidance for the year, can you just -- I guess, a couple of things on what you're sort of embedding First, just around first-party, third-party corporate mix? And then second, just are there any FX changes in there? Or is it just assuming kind of FX stays in the course?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

I'll take the mix, and I will let Antoine elaborate on the FX. I think high level in the guidance this year, we're not -- I mean, we're not betting on any significant volume in corporate sales. As you know, we've de-prioritized that line of business. And then we expect the mix of marketplace versus retail to be pretty much stable. I would say if we do well, we should slightly grow the share of marketplace, but we're assuming the mix pretty much stable. Antoine, you want to take the FX.

Antoine Maillet-Mezeray

Analyst

Yes. It's a bit of the same. On the FX side, we do not factor any potential improvement in our guidance. And typically, if you look at the recent evolution of the naira, this is not taken into account into the way we forecast. So a very cautious approach.

Bradley Erickson

Analyst

Got it. That's helpful. And then just on the exit of Algeria, I wonder, are there other countries that could be exit opportunities? And conversely, I guess, are there any countries you'd consider entering?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

So I'll start with the second half of your question. We're not considering entering any new country until we hit full year breakeven. So we don't want to get distracted. And we don't want to delay the target for breakeven because we know that any new country we would open would be loss-making for at least 2 years. So that's not part of the plan until we hit full year breakeven. And then other countries to exit, at this stage, we believe we have the right footprint with 8 core markets that all have pretty big scale and profitability potential. I think the message we gave to the teams as well in all countries is that all countries, all business units are expected to deliver scale and profitability in a very reasonable time frame. That's the message within the whole company. And we're not shy of taking the tough decisions even though the company is doing a lot better at group level, we'll still be able to reassess the portfolio and take tough decisions if needed. But no other country where we're contemplating an exit at this stage or thinking of.

Bradley Erickson

Analyst

That's great. And then one last one for me. Thanks for putting up with me here. You mentioned the balance sheet, not needing to raise capital. Obviously, you've been through this kind of period the last couple of years of being just incredibly judicious with your liquidity here. Is there any other reason or areas where you maybe think about playing a little bit more offense at some point where a capital injection might make sense?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

So -- yes, so it's very important for us not to need to raise capital. We don't want to have to do it. We want to be -- we want to keep control of our future, definitely. If we had more liquidity, and that's a big if, of course, there would be opportunities for us. And so we could push a bit harder on working capital to secure more assortment and better prices like we did last year after the ATM. We could be able to invest a bit more in marketing, especially now that we're seeing pretty good return on investment on key online channels. And there would be topic in tech and product where we could be able to invest a bit to get more efficiencies, for example, and get to profitability a little faster. But that's purely hypothetical. And we believe -- I mean, as I was saying, we believe we have what we need to take it to profitability without having to raise further cash.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from Fawne Jiang with Benchmark.

Yanfang Jiang

Analyst

First of all, I just want to focus a bit more on your underlining core markets. Tremendous growth momentum across the board. Just wonder how should we look at the overall macro and consumption dynamic for 2026? Related to that, Egypt is clearly on a recovery trajectory. Are you expecting Egypt to catch up in terms of the overall growth rate in 2026 or longer term? Or is the market somewhat structurally disadvantaged growing at a slower pace? Just want to get a sense on the potential of that market.

Francis Dufay

Analyst

Okay. Sure. Thanks. So on the macro side, I think we're now turning cautiously optimistic. Without sarcasm, I think Africa is starting to look like a very stable place related to the rest of the world. But more seriously, what we've seen over the past 1.5 years across the continent is that the macro is stabilizing. The most -- I mean, the best KPI for that is currencies. Well, the FX rates have been stable or slightly improving. For example, the Nigerian naira is slowly appreciating against the dollar, has been appreciating over more than a year. The Egyptian pound is stable. Most of the other currencies have been stable or appreciating. And that's really changing -- that's changing the whole context for us. Having stable currencies gives trust to our customers, and it enables massive improvement on the supply side because basically importers can start importing again. They know that currency will be fairly stable. They know what to expect. Chinese international sellers can ship again to Africa. They have more confidence that they will be paid the right amount 6 months later. So the whole stabilization on the currency front on the macro front is really helping the business. And across our footprint of 8 countries now, there should be no major disturbance in '26, no major election that should disturb the business. We're becoming fairly optimistic now about the stability of the macro and possibly slight improvement in many countries. I think the best example is Nigeria. I mean, Nigeria has been through hell for 3, 4 years. They've come back. I mean, they've taken very tough measures. The political reforms that have been implemented were tough and almost unexpected, but it seems to be working. And the whole economy is starting to get better, and Jumia will be well positioned to take advantage of that. And then when we look at Egypt, yes, we expect -- I mean, we do expect Egypt to catch up, right? There's no reason for Egypt to be a slow growth country among Jumia's portfolio. We believe in Egypt, we are relatively -- we're still a relatively small business in a big market, and there's definitely a lot of room for expansion. It's obviously a competitive market. So there's more competition in the big cities, main metropolitan areas, but we still have opportunities in those areas, and there's a great opportunity to expand up country like we've done successfully in the other countries. So yes, we have big expectations for Egypt.

Yanfang Jiang

Analyst

Understood. That's helpful. My second question is actually on the operating leverage. You guys have made substantial headway across fulfillment, G&A, R&D. One item like sales and marketing, you guys seem to be still fairly aggressive in 2025. I guess the question here is for 2026, how do you balance your user acquisition and retention, which is an important driver for your overall growth versus your marketing efficiency? Are we expecting like operating leverage for sales and marketing line for 2026? Any color on that, especially your cohort user behavior, repeat purchase? And yes, any granularity, that would be helpful.

Francis Dufay

Analyst

Yes. So just to explain first. So we've indeed scaled our marketing spend in H2 this year, but we believe for the right reasons. When you look at the presentation on Page 19, you have the breakdown of the whole operating leverage. It does make sense for us to push a bit harder on volumes because, well, all unit economics are a lot better. So now with 36% growth, we're able to get plus 100% on gross profit after free segment and after marketing. So the leverage is working and a slight acceleration in marketing, we believe, does make sense. However, our North Star is to become profitable at the end of this year and then full year '27, most important. That's the most important thing to us. We need to hit EBITDA breakeven. So we'll remain extremely reasonable in the way we spend our marketing money. So I think ballpark, H2 this year gives you an idea of what aggressive means for us in terms of marketing spend.

Yanfang Jiang

Analyst

Understood. Francis, another question I have is actually on your sourcing of supply. You mentioned that you opened a new center in Yiwu. How could that impact your potential, I don't know, assortment? Would that change your category exposure? How would that shape up your, I guess, AOV for 2026 and potential margin impact? Any color on yes, incremental, I think, availability?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

So that's exactly what you say. It's going to help us improve our category exposure because until recently in China, we had an office only in Shenzhen, which was the right place to start with. But the Shenzhen area is mostly famous for electronics, 3P. So we have plenty of suppliers to support us on, well, electronic accessories, devices and so on. But expanding to Yiwu gives us access to a supplier base more diversified with more fashion, more home products, home improvements, and that will really help us diversify the product mix we're getting from our international vendors. Of course, that push should help sales of relatively lower value items compared to what we're selling today, but with higher margins in percentage. So it's hard to -- I mean, it's hard to anticipate the impact on the whole AOV or the whole average item value at Jumia. But indeed, expanding in China and expanding specifically in this region should help to drive more volumes from Chinese vendors in categories where we know that the average selling point will be lower, but with very strong profitability.

Yanfang Jiang

Analyst

Understood. Last one on my side. You mentioned -- if I heard you correctly, you mentioned that the buy now, pay later has been an important driver for your Egypt market. I just wonder, can you remind us, do you offer that product across your market? And if not, how do you see the potential of that product services as, I guess, the driver for future growth?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

Sure. So what's specific about Africa when you mentioned fintech and as part of fintech consumer finance is that it's heavily fragmented. The regulation is very different market by market, and you end up with very, very different local ecosystems. Typically in Egypt, the ecosystem is very well structured. Banking regulation is very strong. Enforcement is strong. And there has been a very strong ecosystem for buy now, pay later with strong local providers who are willing to integrate with e-commerce platforms. So we've done a big push, and we -- I think we've been the leaders in onboarding as many of those players as possible. We've done a big push in onboarding so -- consumer finance providers fully online. And now it's a significant share of our sales in Egypt, particularly for high-value items like appliances, TV, devices and so on. But that's also quite specific to Egypt. What we see in the other markets is that we don't find the same kind of ecosystem. There are much fewer players in some countries like in Eastern Africa, it's only assets backed -- sorry, BNPL, so based on phones that can be disabled. And in most of the other countries where we operate, sorry, the ecosystem is just naturally at this stage. So it's on a country-by-country basis. And I cannot comment about when we could be -- we would be able to expand that across more countries.

Operator

Operator

Your next question for today is from Ryan Sigdahl with Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

Ryan Sigdahl

Analyst

A lot has been asked here. I'm going to ask one and then just one follow-up here. I guess to be clear, I mean, very, very strong operational performance, nice acceleration fundamentals, a lot of things going very well. Curious if anything negatively surprised you in Q4. And I know we don't want to focus necessarily, but just looking at Q4 results relative to your guidance, anything to call out there?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

Yes. I mean, of course, not everything went well. I will not give you the whole list, but I think I'll give you one point, for example, the advertising, so basically monetization on the advertising side, as I was mentioning earlier, is still lower than our expectations in Q4 included across the whole year, actually, and that's the reason for deviation on the bottom line on our end, unfortunately. But yes, we did expect more in '25 and definitely at the end of the year from monetization -- advertising, sorry. What matters here is that we believe we have taken the right steps. So we've made a lot of changes on sponsored products for retail advertising earlier in the year. And we see that revenues are really improving literally on a weekly basis. And we've been rebuilding the team and rebuilding the processes so we can now go ahead and also monetize brands with bigger campaigns. And we're looking forward to seeing the results in '26 on the back also of much bigger volumes that definitely help when you want to sell advertising.

Ryan Sigdahl

Analyst

Good segue, Francis [indiscernible] my next question is just on the ads. I think it was mentioned 1% of GMV. Where do you think that can go in '26? Or what's implied? Where can that go longer term? And then what are you specifically doing today that you're going to improve brand advertising campaigns, et cetera. But are these sponsored listings? Is this advertising around the outside of the website, but help explain, I guess, really what you guys are doing and what you're going to do incrementally.

Francis Dufay

Analyst

Sure. So in Q4, our advertising revenue was about 1% of GMV. We believe that over the medium term, we should get closer to 2%, and that's the right benchmark for e-commerce players in emerging markets. It will not happen in '26, right? It will take a few years to get to 2%, but that's the right target for us with gradual improvement. What we've done in '25 to start getting there, so we have 2 different segments here. We have sponsored products or retail advertising that we mostly sell to medium-sized and smaller market size vendors -- marketplace vendors, sorry. And then we have marketing campaigns that we sell to official distributors and brands. On the first topic, so retail advertising, we've rolled out a new tool from a company called Mirakl that was implemented in the first half of the year, took a lot -- I mean, it took some time. It was quite well executed, I must say, from their end, but it took some time and it kind of disrupted our operations, of course, due to the transition. But we're now back on track. The teams really like the tool. The vendors give us really good feedback. It's reliable, it's stable and we see good profitability on the ads. So we are really seeing renewed momentum on that revenue line. And we're clearly going to beat last year's numbers in '26 by a margin. And then the second stream of revenue here is campaigns, mostly sold to big distributors and brands. '25 has been disappointing [indiscernible] mostly as we -- I mean, one of the big drivers has been the reduction of revenues we get from FMCG brands because we deprioritized FMCG back in '23, '24. And of course, the marketing dollars reduced as well in the process. What we've done this year is that we've rebuilt the team. We organized the teams and the processes, set new targets and the right incentives. We're rolling out a few specific tools and features that will be relevant for brands such as sponsored brands, for example. So you can bid for sponsored brands on the platform now has been released only a few weeks back. And now we have a much more focused and better organized team on the back of bigger volumes from -- for our brands on the platform, thanks to growth in most of our markets. And so we believe it should put us in a much better place for '26.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from Deepak Mathivanan with Cantor Fitzgerald.

John Halpert

Analyst

This is Jack on for Deepak. I'll start with just a little bit on competition. I know you said things are relatively rational from a competitive standpoint. But are you kind of seeing any outside competitive pressure more from the local or international side? Can you just like talk to that a little bit more about the dynamics you're seeing there?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

So to be honest, we haven't seen much change in the fourth quarter. Maybe -- I mean, I would say we've seen some softening from international competitors and not much change from local platforms. We -- I mean, there are a few countries where we're competing against local platforms. We're by far the market leaders in those countries. There would be Kenya, Nigeria, Morocco, for example. No, really no change. I mean, as usual, as I'd like to repeat, we believe that we have an edge against those local platforms because of -- I mean, thanks to our scale, thanks to the learnings we can get across Africa, thanks to our sourcing infrastructure in China and with international brands that are harder for them to reach. And thanks to our tech infrastructure that requires significant investment that's not sustainable for one single market. And then on the -- regarding international platforms, I think no meaningful change. We've seen Temu still active in Nigeria, still active in Ghana, active in Morocco, but we've seen the pressure slightly decreasing actually over the past 2, 3 quarters. We've seen big pushes and then its slowdown through the year of '25. What we're seeing now that's interesting is that local regulators are looking into the issue of international platforms, nonresident platforms. It took a bit of time like everywhere in the world. But basically, local regulators are starting to address the fact that international nonresident platforms are not really -- not contributing at all to the local economy. So we've seen new regulation in the Ivory Coast, in Ghana to make sure that VAT is implemented on their sales that there's a tax on their profits. And it all -- I mean, it's good news for us, right, because it contributes to a more level playing field for e-commerce players and some of the slightly unfair advantage that these guys used to have will be removed because they have to compete and also paying their taxes like everyone else.

John Halpert

Analyst

Great. No, that makes a lot of sense. And then just my second question is sort of around fulfillment. Obviously, down again year-over-year, excluding the digital. How much runway is there for kind of more structural improvements through efficiency gains and whatnot versus like do you guys expect to get leverage just from pure like order volumes going forward?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

Yes. So on that front, we have 2 things at play. We have productivity improvement, like pure productivity improvement, and then we have -- well, benefiting from scale effect and doing some work on it. So on pure productivity improvement, we still have some room to go. So we can still push more automation to our call centers, so we can manage more volumes with fewer people. We are looking to rebuild some of our warehouse management system features this year to have faster picking, faster packing, faster inbound and so on. So still a lot we can do on pure productivity topics, and we've massively improved tracking as well on those matters. And then we benefit from scale in many ways. Of course, in the fulfillment operations, there's a dimension of fixed costs and scale definitely helps. But also in the logistics or distribution operations, we are actually able to get much better prices from our 3 peers, thanks to volumes. A lot of our third-party logistics are running pickup stations. So they're running mostly fixed costs in those pickup stations. So when we increase volumes for them, we're actually able to discuss a new profit-sharing kind of and reduce their fees for each package. We're also able to optimize our moves for middle mile for the truck moves, and we can renegotiate better fees, better costs for all that part of logistics. So this is actually what we've been doing through the month of January and early February as well. So we've renegotiated lower fees with most of our 3 peers in all countries, both for last mile for door delivery and pickup stations, but also for middle mile for the truck moves. And that's definitely a byproduct of scale again, and that will keep on improving over time as we're able to sustain this growth rate. Sorry, Jack, ballpark, we're looking for about 10% year-over-year improvement in unit cost per package delivered.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from Tracy Kivunyu with SBG Securities.

Tracy Kivunyu

Analyst

One question from me on GMV guidance for next year. Considering -- I appreciate the feedback you've given on the question on whether you're looking at constant currency performance or not. But even on a constant currency basis, the guidance looks quite light considering there is the low base effect of corporate sales in the first quarter of 2025 that should help to boost that year-on-year comparison. So I was just wondering if there are any risks to that guidance in the markets that you're factoring in? Or are you just taking a more conservative approach than you were possibly when you're releasing your third quarter results?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

So we're not factoring any specific risk at market level. I think as I was mentioning, we're fairly confident with the macro environment, there are no specific events in the countries where we operate that will take place this year that might disrupt the market as far as we know. So I would say we've been -- I mean, we're providing a guidance that's realistic and related -- I mean, hopefully, a bit conservative. And -- sorry, and Tracy, I would add to that as well. I mean we're providing this guidance. And to your question, maybe it looks a bit shy compared to the growth rate we're delivering in Q4. But it's also a guidance that we want to deliver while improving the take rate. So we're increasing commissions, we're increasing fees. We'll be tighter on some dimensions of spend. So we look -- we'll be looking for better marketing ratios and so on. So we're adding additional constraints on that growth. So we believe it's the right balance here.

Antoine Maillet-Mezeray

Analyst

Maybe also corporate sales GMV was not extremely high in 2025, so less than USD 20 million, which is not very material.

Tracy Kivunyu

Analyst

Okay. And what is the scope of the commission increase in percentage terms, if you could share that you've implemented in this year?

Francis Dufay

Analyst

So we have not disclosed, but -- actually, it's public information in each country because we communicate those numbers to vendors. So it depends on countries. In some countries, we've increased by a few decimals. In some other countries, we've increased by almost 2 points. We've had a more aggressive increase on our international vendors because we believe that we're providing now a much better service with much better volumes for them. So we want to -- we need to monetize that a little bit as well and make sure it remains profitable for them. So all in all, at group level, I mean, we should be between 0.5 point and a full point over GMV ballpark.

Operator

Operator

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