David M. Kelly
Analyst · Robert W
Thank you, Joe. The firm delivered solid results in the fourth quarter. Total revenues for the quarter were $269.8 million, which represented a billing day increase of 1.5% sequentially and an increase of 2.4% year-over-year. Quarterly revenues for Flex were $258.7 million, which represented a billing day increase of 2% sequentially and a 2.2% year-over-year increase. Search revenues of $11.1 million decreased by 10.3% sequentially and decreased 9.2% year-over-year. Super Storm Sandy had a direct billing impact of roughly $1 million in Q4, which was not as significant as we had anticipated. Q4 monthly revenue trends were relatively flat in October and November, and showed improvement in December. Flex revenue trends for the beginning of 2013 have declined from December levels as is typical due to December assignment ends. For the first 4 weeks of January, Tech Flex is up 3.6% year-over-year, Finance and Accounting Flex is down 4.6% year-over-year, and HIM is up 2.6% year-over-year. Search revenues are up 3.8% year-over-year for the first 5 weeks of Q1. It is difficult to assess potential full quarter results with this limited data. This is particularly true in Q1 due to the uncertainty of any holiday-related impact. Additionally, Q1 2013 has one less billing day than last year since 2012 was a leap year. Adjusted for the $2.5 million after-tax noncash goodwill impairment charge, fourth quarter net income and earnings per share from continuing operations were $8.4 million and $0.24, respectively. Net income decreased 9.7% sequentially and EPS decreased 7.7% sequentially. Year-over-year, net income from continuing operations excluding the impairment charge increased 64.6% from $5.1 million in Q4 2011 and earnings per share increased 71.4% from $0.14 in Q4 2011. Improvements in revenues and gross profit helped offset the cost of the increase in revenue responsible headcount to drive strong bottom line results. The $2.5 million impairment charge was recorded in Q4 to true up the estimated impairment for our government reporting unit in Q2 after finalization of our procedures. No additional impairment was identified in Q4. Our overall gross profit percentage of 32.8% decreased 10 basis points sequentially and increased 110 basis points year-over-year. Our Flex gross profit percentage of 29.9% in Q4 2012 increased 30 basis point sequentially and 100 basis points year-over-year. Overall, bill pay spreads increased 20 basis points sequentially and increased 100 basis points year-over-year. Gross margins improved throughout 2012 reflecting consistent demand for our services. Tech Flex margins are now only 100 basis points from their previous peak despite a significant increase in statutory loss from the last cycle. The following is a breakdown of year-over-year and sequential bill pay spread improvement by business unit. From a year-over-year perspective, Tech Flex improved 90 basis points and FA Flex spread improved 70 basis points, while HIM spreads were down 120 basis points. From a sequential perspective, Tech and F&A spreads were stronger than anticipated in the quarter, despite the impact of Q4 consultant paid time off. Tech Flex spreads were flat and FA Flex spreads declined nearly 10 basis points due to improvements in pricing and shift in the mix of clients. HIM spreads declined 110 basis points. As we look to Q1, Flex margins in the first quarter will be negatively impacted by payroll taxes, which will be slightly greater than last year and could reduce Flex margins as much as 130 basis points. However, we expect to continue to see modest expansion in bill pay spread as we move through 2013 which should fully mitigate these increases as the year progresses and should result in improved Flex margins overall. We believe we have a world-class back-office infrastructure that will allow us to deliver operating leverage as we continue to expand revenue and take market share. Q4 SG&A levels of 26.9% have declined 40 basis points year-over-year despite the 21% increase in revenue responsible headcount. The overall result of improving revenue and gross margins along with declining SG&A is seen in our operating margin improvements. Operating margins have improved from 3.2% in Q4 2011 to 5.1% in Q4 2012, and we anticipate continued improvements as we grow the top line. We are in the process of assessing the impact of health care reform. The rules are still being refined so there remains much uncertainty. However, the provisions that go into effect in 2014 will certainly increase the cost of employment for most companies. We believe this will have a positive impact in all revenues due to the potential increased demand for temporary staffing. Relatively speaking, the cost of the law should have less impact on Kforce than many other companies because of the level of benefits we already offer, particularly through our Tech Flex consultants. We have always viewed our consultant benefit plans as a competitive advantage and it may serve an even more meaningful attraction tool under the new law. We currently offer benefit plans that will likely exceed the minimum requirements to approximately 2/3 of our employees, of which slightly over half enroll in our plans. Under the new law, the requirement for offering benefits to a larger population will likely increase so there will be an impact. We believe we will be able to pass these incremental costs, which will be most significant in our FA business through to our clients over time. A positive implication of this law is the potential for increased demand from companies looking to better manage their employee health care costs which is particularly relevant in project-related disciplines such as technology. We believe Kforce is in a strong position to provide solutions to our clients to minimize the effects of the new rules. As we look to our balance sheet and cash flows, our accounts receivable portfolio continues to perform well. Write-offs were down sequentially and the percentage of receivables aged over 60 days remained at very low levels. Our cash flow continues to be strong, EBITDA for Q4 2012 was $16.1 million, decreased 12.7% sequentially but increased 10.2% year-over-year. We are now generating annual EBITDA over $60 million. The firm had $20 million in bank debt and $1.4 million in cash at quarter end compared to 0 bank debt at the end of Q3 2012, and $49.5 million in debt at the end of Q4 2011. The firm repurchased approximately 1.4 million shares of stock at an average price of $13.08 in Q4. Additionally, last week our Board of Directors approved an increase of $50 million in authorization for stock repurchases. Currently, $89.9 million is available for future stock repurchases. We will continue to evaluate additional repurchases as cash flow and market conditions warrant. With respect to guidance, the first quarter of 2013 has 63 billing days compared to 62 billing days in the fourth quarter of 2012. We expect Q1 revenue may be in the $268 million to $274 million range. Earnings per share in the first quarter relative to the fourth quarter will be significantly impacted by both the increase in payroll taxes and the incremental costs of our recent investments in revenue responsible headcount and additional anticipated investments in Q1. We expect the increase in payroll taxes in cost of sales and SG&A to negatively impact EPS by $0.09 to $0.10 relative to the fourth quarter. Additionally, the impact of recent revenue-generating headcount investments and those anticipated in Q1 are expected to impact EPS by $0.03 to $0.04, as it typically takes 6 to 9 months for our new associates to ramp. Earnings per share may be $0.09 to $0.12 in Q1. Our effective tax rate in Q1 is expected to be 40%. We anticipate weighted average diluted shares outstanding to be approximately $35 million for Q1. This guidance does not consider the effect, if any, of charges related to the impairment of intangible assets, costs related to the settlement of any pending legal matters, the impact on revenues of any disruption in government funding or the firm's response to regulatory, legal or tax law changes. We are pleased with our fourth quarter results and in particular, the continued expansion in bill pay spreads that help to offset some of our planned hiring cost. We expect to continue making human capital investments to drive topline performance with a goal of accelerating revenue growth in the second half of 2013. We remain confident in our near-term and long-term prospects and expect to capitalize on the operating platform we have built to grow revenue and generate operating leverage. Saeed, we would now like to turn the call over for questions.