Michael Pappagallo
Analyst · Wells Fargo
Thanks, Glenn. Good morning. We are, obviously, quite pleased that the direction of the shopping center portfolio is making, as evidenced by the array of portfolio metrics recorded for the quarter. The improvement on occupancy, the continuation of positive same-site NOI results and the stabilizing leasing spreads, not only reflect the shifts in shopping center fundamentals over the past year but also, the outstanding efforts of the Kimco organization. By now, the takeaways from the shopping center convention in May, have all been reported and analyzed by the research and investment community. But nonetheless, it bears repeating that demand from national retailers continues and remains strong, and the absence of new supply has improved prospects for filling existing second and third generation space. The appetite to expand is most notable for the smaller format users, including franchise-based businesses and national chains such as Anna's Linens and ULTA Cosmetics, each of whom are looking to double their store count over the next 2 years. Yet despite this healthier environment, it seems that there are always clouds that confront retailing and in turn, challenges for shopping center owners, and this period is no exception. There's no shortage of the question about the effect of online retailing on brick-and-mortar space, the trending for smaller footprints for many box retailers, the difficulty of mom-and-pops to access credit to form and build new business, concerns over cost inflation and the potential impact on operating margins in the second half of the year, all overlaid by an uneven recovery, stubborn unemployment and even scarier reminders of the people in Washington running this country. There are no silver bullets to solve these issues. To deal with the challenges, our approach is simple: invest in and extract as much value from our core group of assets that have the greatest ability to generate stable and increasing cash flows in any environment; find external opportunities that have similar potential; and eliminate those assets that in our judgment have more risks than rewards over the long term. In the U.S. portfolio, I am particularly encouraged by the number of value creation opportunities starting to percolate from our existing property base. In addition to the projects that are active, we are seeing an increase in opportunities in the evaluation stage, as well as situations where the key anchors leases have been signed, and the approval and resultant re-merchandising process has begun. For example, I'm sure you've all heard us talk about the potential in our portfolio in the New York City borough of Staten Island. The redevelopment of the Richmond Avenue site with a brand-new Target store and an overhaul of the rest of the center, will begin construction later this year after 2.5 year of planning and entitlement process. At another location in the northern part of the island, we signed a lease with Stop & Shop for a new 55,000 square-foot store, filling the existing big-box vacancy in the center and absorbing the balance of the vacant space. It's a very long approval process in New York City, but the plan calls for an opening in early 2014, and will include a complete upgrade in renovation of the center. In yet another center, in the southeast part of the island, a potential redevelopment of the center is on the drawing board and targeted upon the expiration of the anchor tenant's lease, an anchor paying $2.26 in rent, about 6 to 7x below market. I call out these 3 relocations as the type of opportunities we're seeing in our core markets. Similar projects are on the drawing board in Palm Beach Gardens in Live Oak, Florida, Farmingdale, New York, Columbia, Maryland and New Bedford, New Jersey. And while the redevelopment stories are the most interesting, core leasing activity and creative approaches to increase ancillary income sources are being applied across the entire portfolio. And that's where I feel our superb operating team will make a big difference. We're making investments right now at sophisticated, energy management systems to reduce site operating costs, as well as pursuing revenue through programs such as the solar program, with 3 locations online and 3 others approved. Being nimble and responding to mix changes will be critical to be successful. A recent ICSC publication pointed out that only about 2/3 of shopping center space consists of pure retail use and adding on the restaurants, brings that up to about 79%. Leaving about 1/5 of space occupied by non-retail uses. I point that out as service tenants for nontraditional use can be an important part of a successful center. And our tenant relations and portfolio review program will be increasingly focused on franchise, service, medical and other nontraditional use to make sure all bases are covered. On the exit side of the equation, the program to dispose of nonstrategic shopping centers has begun to pick up speed. In addition to the 14 properties totaling 1.2 million square feet sold through the first half of the year, as Glenn mentioned, we have another 10 under contract negotiations. And no surprise, the profile of these assets is markedly different than our strategic pool. The aggregate of assets sold and under contract since we kicked off this process last year, has had a composite occupancy of 81%, an average base rent of $8.21, and demographic statistics that are anywhere from 10% to 25% less than the corresponding statistics for the strategic portfolio. While not an overnight process, I'm confident that this program has the commitment of the entire company, and will demonstrably change and enhanced the quality profile of the portfolio. There's still a lot of work to do but interestingly, the opportunity to increase earnings and operating cash flow and consequently, value not only comes from executing on the individual asset strategies in our core shopping center assets, but also the dislodging of low-yielding assets on the balance sheet. Those certain assets accumulated at the last market peak, as well as some of our shopping centers assets during the development cycle, primarily in Mexico, but also a few properties from the vestiges of our former merchant building business. This opportunity, either by increasing the operating yield of certain assets, as well as recycling out of unproductive assets can be an additional source of earnings growth in the future. Milton, final comments?