Hector Trevino
Analyst · Credit Suisse
Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us to discuss our first quarter 2017 results. In the first quarter of 2017, we continued to deliver solid top line results, supported by our pricing initiatives, our point-of-sale execution and the rollout of affordability initiatives across our operations, despite of complicated consumer environments in our territories. As we previously announced, commencing on February 1, 2017, we have started consolidating the Philippines' financial results in our financial statements. Our results for the first quarter of 2017 and our future results during the year will reflect a reduction in our share of the profit of associates and joint ventures, accounted for using the equity method, as a result of this consolidation. Mexico had a positive performance in terms of volume, despite of a difficult comparable versus the previous year. This performance was offset by the contraction in volume, mainly in South America, driven by the difficult consumer environment in Brazil, Colombia and Venezuela. In the Philippines, we had a contraction in volume and transactions mainly driven by external weather factors. In this quarter, our transactions outperformed our volumes in Central America, Colombia and Argentina, even when we had a contraction of volumes in these countries. In Mexico and Argentina, our pricing strategies are letting us to increase our top line while in Brazil and Colombia, we have been able to partially offset volume declines. For the quarter, our consolidated net reported revenues increased more than 38% and operating income increased 24%. These figures include results of the Philippines and the recently acquired territory of Vonpar in Brazil. During the same period, the consolidated comparable revenues rose 2.7%, driven mainly by price increase in Mexico, Brazil, Colombia and Argentina while the comparable operating income grew 7.2% as a consequence of better profitability in Mexico and Brazil. Additionally, our hedging strategies let us mitigate pressures coming from currency volatility and increasing raw material prices, mainly sugar, providing certainty to our variable cost structure. I will briefly discuss the highlights of each operation. In Mexico, despite of economic uncertainty that impacted consumption behavior, combined with higher gasoline prices affecting disposable income, during the first quarter of 2017, transactions and volumes increased low single digits versus previous year's, on the back of a positive comparable base growing 4.4% last year. Revenues grew double digits as the main driver as well as the pricing initiatives enabled us to increase our average price per unit case ahead of inflation. The launch of our new Coca-Cola Sin Azúcar or zero sugar had been a success. We have been able to leverage the strong brand equity of Coca-Cola, offering a new variation to our consumers. In 2 months, we closed -- closely achieved the same volume as our popular brand Coca-Cola Light. This launching is an example of our commitment to offer new innovative alternatives for our consumers. Within our flavored sparkling beverage category, our core brands, together with our successful lemonades and orangeades, the Nada category, delivered high single-digit growth. Our noncarbonated beverage volumes continued their double-digit growth, driven by Valle Frut orangeade, del Valle juice, Powerade and Santa Clara dairy products. Mexico's solid top line results, combined with our disciplined execution, hedging strategy and operating expense control, enabled us to mitigate margin pressure resulting from higher cost of our dollarized raw materials, higher fuel prices and the impact of the increment of diesel and gasoline prices. In Central America, our volumes declined close to 6% on the back of a difficult comparable that includes the Easter holiday last year. The still beverage category, mainly Fuze Tea and Powerade, partially offset contraction in soft drinks. We have been focusing on increasing our [indiscernible] capabilities in the region and the production capacities of our returnable packaging base to improve the affordability of our portfolio. Our South America division continued to face a complicated consumer environment which affected our volumes throughout the region. In Brazil, we're starting to see signs of recovery with a declining inflation, strong Brazilian reais and lower interest rates. Even though we had a contraction in volume close to 12%, in an organic basis, we outperformed the non-alcoholic ready-to-drink industry, showing a better trend than previous quarter. Including Vonpar, volumes grew close to 14%. Vonpar integration is going on track to reach full expected synergies in this year. We continue our strategy of offering affordable presentations to our consumer with max prices on returnable packages. An example of this initiative is the launching of the 220-millimeter sleek can which has been positively accepted by our consumer, improving single-serve mix. Higher pricing versus previous years offset volume decline which, combined with our hedging strategy, let us achieve a small margin expansion. In Colombia, the economic environment continued to be challenging as purchasing power decreased, unemployment accelerated, consumer confidence declined and the increment of VAT taxes from 16% to 19% have impacted directly consumer staples in general. In particular this quarter, we faced adverse weather conditions as we had more rainfall and temperatures below 2016. In this environment and facing a 10% increase in volumes the previous year, our volumes in Colombia declined close to 25%. Better pricing, stable sugar and PET prices, coupled with the appreciation of the Colombian peso compared to last year, let us partially mitigate the effect of the volume contraction during this quarter. We're accelerating the affordability of our portfolio with returnable PET and returnable glass bottles. In our commitment of carrying noncaloric options for our consumers, we have increased our mix into these formulas which have been positively received. In Argentina, consumers still experienced pressures on their disposable income since salary revisions lag price increases in the market. We're focusing on developing single-serve presentations and affordable presentations, together with strong execution in the point of sale. Our transactions continued to outperform volume. The sparkling portfolio volume declined close to 7%, with our consumer migrating from flavored water to noncaloric alternatives, such as Coca-Cola Zero. This decline was offset by the continued volume growth in our still beverage category, with more than 9%, driven mainly by our juice brands Cepita and Carioca. Our revenue management capabilities, our ability to contain cost pressures and our operating discipline allow us to increase margins more than 100 basis points. In Venezuela, we continue facing an even more complicated environment, with inflation accelerating and consumption contracting. Our volumes declined more than 35%. We continue to focus on our noncaloric alternatives as a permanent strategy to mitigate possible sugar scarcity in the future. In the face of this exceptionally challenged environment, we remain committed to satisfying our Venezuela consumers' beverage needs. Moving on to our Philippines operation. For comparable purposes, we're describing the performance of the operations as if it was consolidated last year and considering full 3 months year-over-year. During this quarter, despite a typhoon and an earthquake that disrupted regional consumption, our volumes declined only low single digits on the back of a double-digit expansion last year. Transactions declined ahead of volume, close to 5%, as consumers favored multi-serve presentations. Contraction in our core sparkling beverage portfolio was contained by colas as we faced a deeper contraction in our flavored sparkling portfolio. Additionally, we have an accelerated performance in water, growing close to 8%. NCBs, led by isotonics and juices under the Minute Maid Fresh brand, grew close to 17%. That was offset by a decline in powder forms. Our portfolio strategies have led us -- our pricing to remain below inflation due to the upscaling of some of our key presentations to offer higher value to our consumers. Lower raw materials costs, mainly PET, compensated the top line decline, allowing us to maintain margins. Operating income increased also, driven by efficiencies in cost and reduction in our operating expenses, seeking to have a much leaner and sustainable business to make it more profitable. Now regarding our financial results, due to the consolidation of the Philippines operation in this period, we recorded an extraordinary onetime nonoperating income of MXN 2,996 million related to the currency fluctuation in our investment in that subsidiary since 2013 as the Philippine peso appreciated compared to the Mexican peso. This resulted to net income increasing 145% to MXN 2.84 per share. Excluding this onetime effect, net income would have increased 27%. Our capital structure matches our cash flow generation. We continue our strategy of having a 0 net dollar debt exposure, mitigating the impact of currency exchange volatility on our net income by swapping our U.S. dollar debt to Mexican pesos and Brazilian reais. As of the end of this quarter, our net leverage ratio, including cross-currency swaps, was less than 2x. In the acquisition front, as we announced on March 28, we successfully closed the acquisition of AdeS together with the Coca-Cola Company and the bottlers system. AdeS has operations in our territories of Mexico, Colombia, Brazil and Argentina. This acquisition proves our commitment to expand our portfolio in the juice, dairy and plant-based categories to offer different alternatives for every occasion for our consumers. Now let me close with some key remarks. Our management will continue focusing on growing transactions, increasing consumer base, having the right price-pack architecture to develop affordability, improving point-of-sale execution, supported by our operational and financial discipline, with a purpose of enhancing our profitability. Guided by our strategic framework, we're committed to reinforce our leading market position with our diversified portfolio to transform our operating model through our centers of excellence and drive a cultural evolution that will enable us to continue capturing both organic and inorganic growth and creating sustainable value for our shareholders now and into the future. Thank you for your continued trust and support. And operator, I would like to open up the call for questions.