Hello and welcome to the Coca-Cola FEMSA Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call. My name is Sophia and I'll be your moderator for today's event. Please note that this conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the call over to Jorge Colazzo, Investor Relations Director at Coca-Cola FEMSA. Jorge, please go ahead.

Good morning and welcome to this webinar to review our third quarter 2025 results. Joining me this morning are Ian Craig, our Chief Executive Officer; Gerardo Cruz, our Chief Financial Officer; and the rest of the Investor Relations team. Before I hand the call over to Ian, let me remind all participants that this conference call may include forward-looking statements and should be considered as good faith estimates made by the company. These forward-looking statements reflect management's expectations and are based upon currently available data. Actual results are subject to future events and uncertainties that can materially impact the company's performance. For more details, please refer to the full disclaimer in the earnings release that went out this morning. As previously mentioned, after our management's prepared remarks, we will open the call for Q&A. [Operator Instructions] With that, let me turn the call over to our CEO to begin our presentation. Ian, please go ahead. Ian Marcel Craig García: Thank you, Jorge. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. Before reviewing our third quarter results, I would like to take a moment to express our sincere support for all of those affected by the recent storms in Mexico. This year's Tropical Storm Raymond brought torrential rain during the first weeks of October, impacting Central and Northeast Mexico. In accordance with our principles and protocols, we're taking action to prioritize the well-being of our teams and their families while also supporting local communities. We're working hand-in-hand with FEMSA and the Coca-Cola Company on several community relief initiatives as we always do during these unfortunate natural disasters. We are hopeful that with everyone's support, the affected communities may soon be back on their feet. Also, we are deeply saddened by the recent passing of our esteemed Board member, Ricardo Guajardo…

Thank you, Ian and good morning, everyone. I will begin by summarizing our divisions' results for the quarter. In Mexico and Central America, volumes declined 2.7% to 612.1 million unit cases, driven by volume declines in Mexico and Panama that were partially offset by growth in Guatemala, Nicaragua and Costa Rica. Revenues decreased 0.2% to MXP 42.5 billion, driven mainly by volume decline, unfavorable mix effects and promotional activity. These effects were partially offset by our revenue management initiatives. On a currency-neutral basis, revenues remained flat. Gross profit decreased 2.6% to reach MXN 20.2 billion, resulting in a gross margin of 47.5%, a 110 basis point contraction year-on-year. This margin contraction was driven mainly by unfavorable mix effects and promotional activity, coupled with higher fixed costs such as labor. These effects were partially offset by lower sweetener costs and the appreciation of the Mexican peso as applied to our U.S. dollar-denominated raw material costs. Operating income increased 1.1% to MXN 6.8 billion and our operating margin expanded 20 basis points to 16%. This expansion was driven mainly by a decrease in freight expenses and an operative foreign exchange gain on MXN 159 million as compared to a loss of MXN 298 million during the same period of the previous year. These effects were partially offset by an increase in expenses such as labor, IT and depreciation. Finally, our adjusted EBITDA in the division declined 1.4% with a 20 basis point margin contraction to reach 21.9%. Moving on to South America. Volumes increased 2.6% to 423 million unit cases. This increase was driven by positive volumes across the division. Our revenues in South America increased 8.7% to MXN 29.4 billion, driven mainly by our revenue management initiatives and favorable mix. These effects were partially offset by unfavorable currency translation effects into…

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Ricardo Alves with Morgan Stanley.

A couple of questions. I think that on our side, the main surprise of the quarter came on Mexico and Central America profitability. When we try to calculate the adjusted margin, so taking out the insurance gains from last year, we actually see Mexico and Central America margins up about 50, 60 basis points, if I'm not mistaken. So clearly, a big improvement from the 200 basis points decline that we saw in the second quarter. So to us, that's a remarkable improvement, obviously. But when I look forward, I'm interested in -- is this something that was mostly driven by a better operational leverage because volumes improved on a sequential basis? Or is it much more about internal initiatives and cost-cutting initiatives that you may have put in place to adapt to a new reality of volumes? So I just wanted to go a little deeper on eventual efficiencies that you are looking within KOF in Mexico and maybe Central America because we don't have the breakdown exactly. So that would be my first question to explore a bit more the improvement on profitability. My second question -- it's -- I do have another one in South America but I'll jump on the line again. But I wanted to explore this time Central America, Argentina and Colombia because typically, we spend a lot of time on Mexico and Brazil. And I think that after a while, it would be helpful, Ian, if we could explore again these markets. I remember, for example, a couple of years ago, we were talking about per caps in Guatemala, the opportunities that you saw when you took over in improving per caps. Given that Argentina has surprised us to the upside, I think that Coke FEMSA is outperforming a couple of other bottlers in the region. Colombia is getting back on track and it's been a while that we don't discuss Guatemala in more details. I wanted to see with you, when you take a step back and you reflect on this past couple of years on the lead of the company, what were the strategies that worked for these 3 main markets outside of Brazil and Mexico? What are the things that didn't work that you still see an opportunity? So I just wanted to take a step back and take the opportunity to talk to you to see if -- it seems that there is something coming. Things are improving. So I just wanted to revisit the strategy for these, let's call it, secondary markets outside of Brazil and Mexico.

Thank you, Ricardo. I'll jump on the first one, first on profitability on Mexico and Central America. And there's a few parts to this question. So starting first on gross profit. We are continuing to see pressure on gross profit, even though we see volumes performing better versus last year, that's mostly related to having a lower base from the third quarter of last year. But we are seeing some gross profit pressures coming from mix that are affecting at the gross profit level. But going further down the P&L, the main reason for us turning around our profitability are savings initiatives. We're working all across our P&L to identify and execute savings initiatives starting from raw materials cost and expenses that has been a tailwind for us this quarter. We're optimizing marketing spending. We went through also restructuring in our teams to adapt to our current volume conditions, also preparing for what we're expecting for next year and the supply chain initiatives and other smaller savings initiatives that we are working on. And also, there's a virtual effect that you see in EBIT margins also that we are benefiting from. This is related to operating expenses, accounts payable denominated in foreign currency with a peso -- with a strong peso that is providing also relief to our EBIT margin as well. Ian Marcel Craig García: Jerry gave a very detailed explanation. But in terms of the strategy, it really was bringing our productivity back in line, Ricardo, the main driver. So like I had mentioned, this is such a resilient business that even if you have challenging volumes, you can still deliver on results, positive results, if you have your structure aligned for that sort of environment, which was our big miss in the first and second quarter where…

Next question from Alejandro Fuchs with Itaú.

Congratulations on the results. I have just one very brief one related to CapEx. I saw the comments Ian here and on the release about kind of rethinking CapEx a little bit for next year. We have seen at least 3 years of high investments. I wanted to see if you can share a little more color what are the initial thoughts, right? Where would be kind of the savings in CapEx coming from? And this is -- is this just a delaying of the CapEx, as you were saying with volume recovery probably 2027. So if you could give us a little bit more detail, that would be very helpful. Ian Marcel Craig García: It's exactly that, Alex. So let me give you an example. And it's mostly in Mexico but it's in a couple of other countries where volumes weren't as high as we expected, for example, Guatemala. Let me give you the example of Mexico. We were putting in a couple of new lines, 3 new CDs. The lines are going ahead as planned but the distribution centers, for example, we've taken the land site but we're not going ahead with the construction. Because the worst thing that we can do is if we're going to have a low to mid-single digits volume decline next year due to the tax is to put in 3 new distribution centers and have those distribution centers be unproductive. You just get the extra depreciation, labor cost and you don't need it if our volumes are going to be facing that contraction from the tax. So it's really pushing out Mexico 2 years out. That's basically it.

Next question from Lucas Ferreira with JPMorgan.

Ian, first of all, a follow-up on your comment now. You mentioned low single digits decline in Mexico. Was this just sort of to illustrate or this is the number you are working with for Mexico next year? That wasn't exactly my question. My follow-up on the tax story. If -- well, first of all, the transition towards that around 30% reduction in the calories for the sugary drinks, how fast you guys are thinking on getting there? And if you think there could be any sort of impact on the flavor, on the consumer adoption, anything like this you can comment on sort of the risk of going towards that 30% reduction? And then the other question I have is, if this adjustments towards a sort of a new more leaner structure for Mexico right now, if it's -- how far we are from getting there? So you mentioned the CapEx. Is there anything else to be done still on the expenses side, cost side that you can help us understand to better model Mexico next year? And if I may, a second point is on Brazil, another clarification. If you look at your operations, let's say, in regions outside Rio Grande do Sul with the ramp-up of the plants, how the business is working? I mean you mentioned market share gains. Is this like sort of a better go-to-market strategies? Or is there anything related to pricing there, execution? So just to understand a bit how the operations, let's say, excluding the effect of the ramp-up of Rio Grande do Sul is going, if you're seeing sort of a bad weather, consumer dynamics? I'm asking because we see a lot of other consumer companies complaining right about the consumption in Brazil kind of slowing down. So wondering if…

Perhaps the only thing I would add, Lucas, the first part of your question, you referred to Ian's comment on volume outlook for next year. So of course, this is a very preliminary early take. Now we have to put everything into consideration. We have to think about the implications, of course, of the excise tax. So this is, I would say, like a very early preliminary take on that, where we expect volumes to decline in the low to mid-single digits range -- for Mexico, of course, yes.

Next question from Benjamin Theurer with Barclays.

Just coming back to that point on the volume outlook. And obviously, you tend to have a lot of flexibility as it relates to like packaging mix and trying to offset and help profitability. So I would like to understand, in first place, what has been driving over the last couple of quarters, actually in Mexico but to a degree as well in Central America in contrast to South America transactions being somewhat even weaker than volume. So kind of like that relationship would like to dig into that. And as we look into next year, the way to offset maybe some of that with different packaging or trying to drive transactions, what strategies can you implement to kind of like boost the transactions at least into next year, even if volume might be under pressure, as you've just said, low to mid-single digits? Ian Marcel Craig García: Well, I'll let Jorge dive into the details on that, Ben. But I would say the main point is whenever you see a more challenging economic environment or disposable income for consumers and things get tight, usually single-serve mix suffers and you move into multi-serve. And within multi-serve, you move into multi-serve returnables. And that's just a natural mathematical result of looking for lower price per liter, okay? And that correlates a lot with transactions. So that's the main directional point. What we do then is, focus a lot on the magic price points. And if you take that -- I mean, I think transaction, like you said, is important. But really the biggest, biggest thing is maintaining our volume base and our household penetration. So for us, the main focus that we have now in Mexico, when we look at our relative competitive position, the biggest gap is in traditional channel,…

And real quick on pricing. I mean, obviously, you need to pass through the tax. Are you planning to anticipate some of the pricing already in the fourth quarter to kind of like get the consumer kind of like used to a new price point because of that? Or are you simply just going to wait and do the regular pricing as we move into next year, coupled with the tax as it might has to be applied? Ian Marcel Craig García: The base plan basically is maybe at the very end of the curve but it's really preparing and passing through the excise tax that will commence in January. It's how -- there are certain time that you have to give, especially the modern trade to process that change in the pricing lists. So it's basically going to be that. It's the pass-through of the excise tax, getting ready by giving the modern channel enough time to have that ready to start in January.

Next question from Ulises Argote with Santander.

Sorry, I was having some technical issues here. This is kind of a follow-up question that I had on the pricing side of the equation. But given those changes in taxes and the differentiation there between sugar and nonsugar products, we wanted to get some color on how you're thinking about the price gaps on the 2 kind of going forward, right? Any color there on how you're thinking on the strategy? And maybe if there's any major shift there happening on pricing on one versus the other, that would be really helpful. Ian Marcel Craig García: Well, one of the things that we've committed to is to incentivize a move towards noncalalorics. And in that sense, be it through differentials in baseline prices on the aisle or through a more intense promotional grid or both, a combination of both, we expect in the end to have that sort of differential above the size of the tax between those 2 to try to incentivize a move on -- in the mix. That being said, like I said, we are very respectful of being pro choice, offering the consumers what they want and we'll always have the full original formulas and the zero-calorie formulas and we'll let the consumer choose. It's just how do we nudge them with either increased promotional grids or different baseline prices, okay? We do expect, in the end, a lower effective price by either of those 2 measures.

Okay. No, that's super clear. Yes. And maybe a quick follow-up, if I may, just looking there a little bit on the capital structure side of things. I mean net debt-to-EBITDA is below 0.8x. Obviously, you've made those comments on lowering the CapEx. You don't have any major debt commitments in the short term. So how should we think about the capital allocation priorities kind of for the next couple of years?

Ulises, as we've been talking to the market throughout the past few quarters, we certainly are aware of our inefficient capital structure and are looking to address it. In 2026, obviously, with the excise tax coming to play, we will put -- evaluate how we start the year and what implications it has. As Ian mentioned in regarding our previous question, this results in a delay of a couple of years to cycle the impact of the tax in Mexico, which in turn will have some impact in our cash flow projections for the year. So we'll evaluate that further and let you know of any news during -- starting next year.

Next question from Thiago Bortoluci with Goldman Sachs.

I have also 2, right. And those are follow-ups in Mexico. The first one and I think this is for Ian. Just to understand, Ian, how you see your company position versus the state of the consumers, right? If I can summarize what we saw in the quarter, you obviously declined volumes a little bit more than apparently where the industry is, while you keep pricing growing with inflation but decelerating the pace versus the first 6 months of the year, right? In your comments, you alluded to the need of promotional activity to keep demand somehow healthy. But going forward and imagining that macro shouldn't improve that much in the near term, at least, how you think about the fit of your pricing on a like-for-like basis versus the demand sentiment that you're getting from consumers? So how you're seeing your average price list and effective pricing to accommodate the current situation? I think this is the first question. And then the second one related to this topic but now on the excise tax, to the extent that you can comment, how much and, or how at all would the new rate fit in your discussions with Coca-Cola Corporation for the concentrate prices going forward? Ian Marcel Craig García: Thank you, Thiago. Let me put things into perspective. Remember that this year, January started strong. And then in February, we had the backlash, which we exited by the end of May, June. So Mexico is a very big country, not as big as Brazil or the U.S. but it's a very big country and it has different economic performance in different regions, by the remittances impact and different depth in the backlash that we face was different along the regions, mostly impacting our region, which is where most migrants…

It certainly does. Anything you could share on the relation between Coke under the new excise tax? Ian Marcel Craig García: Yes. Well, the way our model works, like I said is, we look at how the system profits behave and then divide those profits. Obviously, when you have an impact such as a tax, well, it's going to have an impact in our profitability and that's taken into account in the model. So it remains to be seen because you have to look at both companies' relative performance on what that trickles to and whether it's some sort of support or cost avoidance. We don't have enough visibility on that yet. But what I can say is that, that is included as well as when we do very well, that's also included in the model. So yes, that effect will be captured but it's too early to tell -- to see if there's going to be really an impact for us on that. It's -- we don't know yet. We'll have to see in the first quarter how customers and consumers deal with this excise tax pass-through.

Next question from Rodrigo Alcantara with UBS.

As a means of just staying a bit out of the tax discussion, I would like to explore on some interesting commentary we heard a couple of days ago in [indiscernible] conference call regarding their dairy category, right? They already mentioning the Coke system already a market share leader in terms of value, right? Volumes growing 13% in the third quarter, right? So my question would be here how this figures or how this category is shaping for you guys specifically, right? And what is really driving this good performance and the relevance of overall the Santa Clara brand for -- and the dairy category for you guys? That would be one question. And the other one very quickly, I mean, unfortunately, right, we saw what's happening in Costa Rica, Veracruz, right? In addition to that, weather is not improving and macro is still weak, right? So any preliminary read on Mexico volumes ahead of the fourth quarter? And kind of like a similar question would say to, to Brazil, right, where you somehow mentioned about the share gain momentum, et cetera but also some commentary on volumes on the 4Q would be also very, very helpful. Those would be my 2 questions.

Rodrigo, thank you very much for your question. I'll start with the dairy question. And indeed, Coke mentioned that we're now leaders in value-added dairy, which is great news. This is the main focus for us with Santa Clara. As you know, this is a great brand, a brand that we're very proud of that has grown amazingly when it was brought into the system. This year, as you mentioned, dairy has been an outperformer for us in the still business. Stills business growing at a rate of 20% for the year, year-to-date. So this is great growth, especially when you look at it in the context of macro weakness overall. So we expect dairy to continue to be an outperformer. This is something that we're very excited about and that we can leverage the brand, the umbrella of the brand of Santa Clara to bring innovation and do all sorts of interesting things in this space. So that's good news for us. In terms of our fourth quarter, we -- I think a good thing that we are seeing is, we see patterns of improvement in weather that certainly we expect to continue to help. And we expect to see a little bit of an uptrend in volume performance for the remainder of the year as compared to what we've seen in the year-to-date. This is Mexico.

Yes. This is Jorge. On the comments about the fourth quarter and weather as well expectations for Brazil, I think something that we certainly saw in the early weeks of October in parts of the South Cone and especially Brazil was a little bit of unfavorable weather. That seems also, as Jerry mentioned, it seems that it's going finally to end. It seems that weather is finally improving. Throughout the third quarter in Brazil, we saw about 1 degree Celsius on average below the previous year. But I think the good part is that it, that seems to be out of the road for us. And you mentioned about the unfortunate events also going back to Mexico, in Veracruz. That's definitely very -- as Ian mentioned during the prepared remarks, we are working hand-in-hand with FEMSA and with the Coca-Cola Company on several community support relief efforts. Specifically for the business, we have taken into consideration also support to our teams on the ground. I wouldn't say that the region represents a big material part of the big Coca-Cola FEMSA Mexico volumes. So we think in terms of -- if you are asking about a specific impact about that, you can think maybe around 350,000 unit cases over the first 8 days of the disaster there. So not material. And as I said, I think the most important part is that we're working on community and support relief efforts there. Ian Marcel Craig García: Yes. This difference to last year -- year before last, where we had either lost a plant or equipment, in this case, our infrastructure was not impacted other than a couple of vehicles and routes but not really large infrastructure. Our clients, however, were very impacted. So we have around 1,600, 2,000 clients that we're sensing to see if our coolers still work, if they got damaged, we'll replace them. And we did have, unfortunately, for us, for the first time, some loss of life in our collaborators' families. So that was the worst part. And obviously, we're supporting our collaborators that were impacted in these unfortunate floods.

Next question from Renata Cabral with Citi.

I have 2 quick follow-ups here. The first one on Mexico. You are discussing right now about the weather that's going better. And it's possible to try to have an evaluation on how much of the current performance, I mean, from the year is more related to weather and/or the economic situation. I know it's super difficult to make the assumptions but a best guess. Or if you also could give some color of the performance per month, so we can try to make here some correlations related to the weather, it would be really helpful. And another follow-up is related to Argentina because we saw an improvement for the company in terms of volumes and margins, I mean, compared to last year, naturally. So for now on, we know that stability is great but at the same time, we are seeing also a slowdown in terms of overall consumption in Argentina. So the outlook for -- to conserve the current improvement or even continue to improve in the country.

Thank you, Renata, for your question. I'll start with weather patterns in Mexico. I think in this third quarter, weather was less -- significantly less relevant as a comp effect versus last year. Even though we didn't have good weather, it wasn't consumption promoting weather, we had bad weather during the third quarter of last year as well. So when you see weather compared to this same period last year, it seems to be less of a factor. What has been playing out to be an important impact for consumption certainly has been overall macro development. I think for the first time this quarter, we saw the whole Nielsen basket underperforming or decreasing altogether. We had in previous moments seen consumption in certain industries underperforming versus others. But this quarter, we did see an outright underperformance in all consumption products. So I mean, macro has been, I think, the main driver of underperformance during the third quarter. Looking a little bit forward, I think we do see a little bit of better macro performance next year, although nothing exciting but certainly a marginal improvement from the base that we have in 2025. Ian Marcel Craig García: Moving to Argentina, Renata, I think there -- it's very clear that things have started to slow down especially since the Buenos Aires province election. And remember, we have very important legislative elections this weekend. So consumption really took a -- slowed down going into this election. What we're seeing from our advisers in Argentina is there's a lot riding on the outcome of this weekend's legislative elections in the sense of whether the government's position, how much will it be strengthened and will they be able to avoid logjams in the legislative branch regarding reforms. So Argentina, I would say, let's wait and see what happens this weekend and that will give us a guide. That doesn't mean we expect a recession next year. That's not in the cards, at least from what our advisers tell us but there could be a case of sluggish growth next year instead of continuous recovery. So that's really what we're going to look at. Will it be a scenario of sluggish growth next year, or will we continue and reaccelerate as the government has a more favorable position that will allow it to push through reforms? So it's a bit early to tell, Renata. But like I said, we think this slowdown has a lot to do with the elections this weekend and we'll see what happens.

Next question from Antonio Hernandez with Actinver.

This is Antonio. Just following up on those beverages sweetened with noncaloric sweeteners. I mean you've already mentioned a couple of times during the call that there's not going to be a specific push from you towards the consumer. But just wanted to get a sense if you have a type of a target going forward of maybe how much they can represent as a percentage of total sales? And also, how do you see competition specifically in that segment? Ian Marcel Craig García: Antonio, we don't have a specific target per se. But like I said, even before the excise tax, to us, Coke Zero is a big, big silver bullet. It's great for the health of the category. It does fantastic for the Coca-Cola trademark brand umbrella. And we were already focused on growing Coke Zero and this type of alternatives. So when you think of what we've been able to do in Brazil, where we've taken the mix of Coke Zero all the way to 28% and it's still growing high double digits. There's plenty, plenty of headroom in Mexico. We don't have a target yet but we're around [ 4% ] mix in Mexico. So there's plenty to grow our Coke Zero and other noncaloric alternatives, Sprite Zero, so another fantastic product. So I don't have a -- we don't have a target per se, Antonio. But that more or less gives you a sense of the difference on the market that has already developed Coke Zero getting to 28 percentage points versus a market where we're starting to crack the code such as in Mexico, where we're around 4%. So there's plenty of headroom there.

Okay. And in terms of competition in that space? Ian Marcel Craig García: I would say we have a leadership position there. It's not that much that will come out of share gains there. Really, it's more a portion of growing the mix and growing the total category. We -- there are some share gains opportunities there but that's not the big driver at all.

Next question from Felipe Ucros with Scotiabank.

Most of my questions were asked, but I had a few smaller ones. So Ian, you talked about Coke Zero in recent quarters and you talked about being able to break the code finally in Mexico. So just wondering how your perception has changed, if at all, since obviously, there's an expectation that it's going to accelerate from the trend that it already had. Still feeling very confident about cracking that code? And the other 2 questions. One, on the World Cup, what kind of historical impacts have you guys seen in the portfolio when the World Cup is going on? And obviously, the occasions increase. Just to get a sense of what we expect for 2026 when it comes to KOF. And then in Brazil, obviously, your plant is back up and running and back up at capacity. Wanted to see if you could give us a sense of where the competition stands with regards to their capacity in that region. Are they also back up and running? Or did they not have disruptions? Just any color you can give us on that side would be great. Ian Marcel Craig García: Thank you, Felipe. So I would say on Coke Zero, we're very confident that we're on the right track. I think the biggest measure of that was that during the consumer backlash in the beginning of the year, Coke Zero grew double digits and continued to grow double digits. And it's even under this softer macro environment, it's still growing double digits. So Coke Zero is doing nicely. It's going to get a boost also from the World Cup. It's going to be a hero product there. It's going to be highlighted in all of our publicity and marketing campaigns. So I think our confidence on Coke Zero…

No, great color on that. If I can do a very small follow-up on that World Cup. When you talked about the low single digit -- low to mid-single-digit volume decline expectation in Mexico due to the tax, is that purely containing the effect of the tax? Or is that net of everything else that you have going on? So for example, is the World Cup impact included in that number [indiscernible]? Ian Marcel Craig García: It's net of everything else. Just the tax, it's a higher impact. But we are cycling a backlash that we no longer have and we're including the World Cup. So that includes everything.

Thank you. This concludes the question-and-answer section. I would now like to hand the floor back to Coca-Cola's team for closing remarks.

Thank you very much for your interest in Coca-Cola FEMSA and for joining us on today's call. As always, we are available to answer any of your remaining questions. Thank you and we wish you a great weekend.

Thank you. This does conclude today's presentation. You may disconnect now and have a nice day.

Thank you, Sophia. Thank you, team.