Earnings Labs

KVH Industries, Inc. (KVHI)

Q4 2011 Earnings Call· Mon, Feb 13, 2012

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone and welcome to the KVH Industries fourth quarter year-end 2011 Earnings Conference Call. Today’s call is being recorded. At this time for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to Patrick Spratt, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

Good morning, I am Pat Spratt, Chief Financial Officer of KVH Industries and with me is Martin Kits van Heyningen, Chief Executive Officer. This call will address the fourth quarter earnings release that we issued earlier today. Copies of the release are available on our website and also from our Investor Relations department. This call is being simulcast on the Internet and will be archived on our website for future reference. If you are listening via the web, feel free to submit questions at IR@KVH.com and we will answer them following this call. This conference call will contain certain forward-looking statements that involve risk and uncertainty. For example, statements regarding financial and product development goals are forward-looking. The company’s future results may differ materially from the projections described in today’s discussion. Factors that might cause these differences include, but are not limited to, those mentioned in today’s call and risk factors described in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q filed with the SEC on November 4 , 2011. The company’s SEC filings are available directly from us, from the SEC or from the investor information section of our website. Now, I will turn the call over to Martin to begin today’s discussion of results, Martin.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Pat and good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. In 2011 KVH made significant progress in advancing our strategic objectives to position the company for future growth. Our maritime VSAT business continue to win a significant share of the market, as we introduce disruptive new products and continue the geographic expansion of our network. We introduced a new high maritime Satellite TV product the TracVision HD11, which broadens our reach to include Commercial and Megayacht customers. We introduced the DSP-1750, the smaller more accurate fiber optic gyro that will broaden the appeal of our fine product line. We also received some significant TACNAV orders from foreign military customers that we have been pursuing for several years. The fourth quarter was in line with our expectations, with revenue of $31.9 million up 18% year-over-year and diluted earnings of $0.11 per share and net income of $1.6 million, that’s up from $0.02 per share during the same period of 2010. Pat will cover the numbers in more detail shortly. But first, we will take a look at our key business areas, starting off with our satellite business. For the fourth quarter of 2011, our satellite revenues overall were 17.5 that is up 21% year-over-year, with our mini-VSAT revenue up 52% from the fourth quarter of 2010. Unit sales for the fourth quarter were up 94% year-over-year. For the full year our satellite communications revenue overall grew 12% to 70.1 million, with our strategic mini-VSAT revenues growing by 60%, including growth of 50% in airtime and 73% in onboard equipment. This growth was partly offset by a 20% decline in non VSAT portion of our satellite business, including our satellite TV and Inmarsat products. One half of this decline related to shipments for aeronautical TV antennas to live TV. Our leisure…

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

Thank you Martin, I will start with the summary of Q4 revenue by business. The total VSAT business was approximately $11 million of which airtime services was about $6.1 million. RPU for by the megabyte[ph] plans increased a bit into the range of $500 to $700 per month. While fixed rate plan RPU was stable at about $1800 to $1900 per month. The (inaudible) units sales for VSAT systems for the quarter was roughly 35% V3 and 65% V7. Other marine SATCOM revenue, including TV systems and Inmarsat systems in airtime was $4.5 million. VSAT revenue increased 52% year-over-year, while other marine SATCOM declined 12%. Land SATCOM was $1.9 million down 11% year-over-year. TACNAV revenue was $8.4 million up about 350%. FOG was $5.2 million down 49% year-over-year. Other guidance and stabilization products and services was $0.9 million up 70%. Gross margin was 42.2% and 160 basis points better than Q3. This was in line with our expectations and reflects the strong TACNAV product shipments and continuing improvements in production efficiency across the company. Total services gross margin improved sequentially 150 basis points. The gross margin for VSAT airtime was only slightly higher than in Q3, but this was as expected. Due to the fact that the fourth quarter brings relatively high level of seasonal suspensions. The VSAT airtime revenue and cost were about equal to the third quarter. We expect to see the revenue and gross margin for VSAT to move upward again in this first quarter. The gross margin for other services including NRE, that’s Non-Recurring Engineering, repairs in MARSAT airtime was about equal to the Q3 level while revenue from these services increase sequentially about $0.3 million. Operating expenses were up 24% year-over-year and 15% sequentially. The increase was driven primarily by variable sales cost associated with…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Chris Quilty from Raymond James and Associates.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Good morning gentleman.

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

Hey Chris.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Congratulations on the new V11 service, I heard some pretty good feedback from the channel. In the near term; however, can you give us an idea path of what we should be modeling in terms of incremental operating expenses for that system and when you expect to turn on the C-band transponders and start picking up all the costs.

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. I am giving you a general sense Chris. Obviously, there is a fair amount of development effort that is going into the products, which is part of our R&D expenses on a regular basis, but that is going to be a meaningful piece of our engineering effort for the first and second quarters. In addition to that, we are going to be investing in a good deal of marketing and sales channel development to make sure that everyone in the channel is prepared for the product and the service as it is coming to market. We will have advertising in various supporting collateral through all of that and so you can expect that those types of things are going to be ongoing now either in, we are doing some of them now and we will be doing more and more over the next couple of quarters, prior to the launch. The actual shipments of the products which should occur right around midyear and you will see those kinds of expenses in our operating expenses, engineering and sales and marketing primarily. There will be some cost certainly associated with license approvals for the C-band capability on a worldwide basis. And in addition to that we are also going to be putting the satellite capacity in place during the course of the second quarter. Our expectation is that this capacity will probably cost roughly, two thirds the cost of an equivalent. Our Ku-band region and so if you recall back to some of the information we talked about in the past, the Ku region costs us about $1.5 million per year in terms of satellite capacity cost as well as depreciation of hubs and also teleport costs and then the support that goes with it. And those costs all appear in our cost of service. Those types of parts for the C-band network I mentioned will be about two thirds that level, will be three regions around the world that make up the entire network and those will begin to kick-in in the second quarter. And so I will be building cost into the model on the operating expense level, starting now on the cost of service level beginning in the second quarter and then as Martin said, in his comments, we expected by the second half of the year, the product sales alone will be roughly offsetting the incremental cost associated with this effort. But that during the course of this year, the C-band and the V11, they won’t be having a negative impact on the bottom line but they probably won’t contribute a lot until early 2013.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Okay. So you think 6 months to get the breakeven on the network cost and that’s based presumably on the backlog that you have in place?

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

Well we will probably be in. If you think of breakeven is at the gross margin level we will probably be there by the back half of this year. In terms of contributing strongly to the bottom line of the company is what I am talking about and that is probably during the first part of 2013.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Okay. Did you give a CapEx forecast for the year?

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

For this coming year?

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Yeah.

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

I did not give one but I will. I would expect that it is going to be probably in the range of 7 to $9 million.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

They are not significant costs to roll out hubs for the C-band?

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

No. There would be 3 hubs so that will be a good portion of that $7 to $9 million. But we expected the CapEx for the year will be much closer to more normal levels of operation as we go forward.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

And you give a lot of numbers on the call, I didn’t quite wasn’t able to ask ascertain, was the leisure business actually up this year or was it down?

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

The leisure business was down. When you think of leisure business we think of it primarily as satellite TV, but also again as Martin mentioned in MARSAT systems that we resell, we are down dramatically. I would say that our sales in MARSAT systems were probably down more than 50% on a year-over-year basis. TV system sales were down in the 10 to 15% range for the year and that was pretty consistent beginning in the first quarter. And as you recall that was a bit of a surprise to us back then, because last year sales had increased, 2010 sales had increased a little bit. We thought might continue and in fact things turned. But they haven’t gotten any worse. They have been in that 10 to 15% decline range now for the last three or four quarters.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

And a final one, I will be back in the queue. Can you give us a sense of the breakdown this year on the commercial versus defense, or really the CROWS FOG sales?

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

I have that. CROWS for the year was probably $6 to $7 million of our total fiber optic gyro revenue of about $22.5 million for the year, so about a third and the rest of it is other combination of commercial as well as other defense programs.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Okay. When you say CROWS, I know you just picked up a couple million dollar order from somebody other than Canonsburg. Is that inclusive of all CROWS type programs?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

I think Pat was talking about last year, if you’re asking that percentage should decline next year because we expect the FOG business to start growing again in 2012 and we expect the FOG, the CROWS piece to be relatively flat.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Okay. Very good. Thank you.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Okay.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Rich Valera from Needleman & Company

Rich Valera

Analyst · Needleman & Company

Thank you. Pat, just wanted to clarify what you have said about FOG growth expectations in 2012. I think you said TACNAV down 50% but did you say FOG down 25% or did I mishear you?

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

In the first quarter.

Rich Valera

Analyst · Needleman & Company

Oh, in the first quarter. I see.

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

I was only referring to the first quarter.

Rich Valera

Analyst · Needleman & Company

Got you. But for the year you would expect some FOG growth?

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

We expect FOG will grow double digit growth. We expect it to return to solid growth. TACNAV on the other hand, we do expect right now we are looking at down year over year for the full year. However; we do have some opportunities in the TACNAV area that if they materialize, which we hope that they will, that could change significantly.

Rich Valera

Analyst · Needleman & Company

Could you give us any color on those, I know you haven’t faked them in the guidance and they are tough to predict when they might happen, but can you give us any sense of magnitude or number of opportunities out there on the TACNAV front?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Well, we’ve got - there is one I mentioned last time there was a follow on to an order we had already, so it’s an existing program but it’s a foreign military sale and those are particularly difficult to forecast. So, it could have an impact this year, potentially the largest in the $10 to $20 million range.

Rich Valera

Analyst · Needleman & Company

Okay. So you said $10 to $20 million?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Yes.

Rich Valera

Analyst · Needleman & Company

If you got that program.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Correct, yes. So I think you are asking to put a sense of the scale of the program?

Rich Valera

Analyst · Needleman & Company

Yes.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Right.

Rich Valera

Analyst · Needleman & Company

So that’s pretty huge in the context of the run rate of that business?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Yes, it is. But last year it was, I think the TACNAV business off the top of my head I want to say around $17 million, something like that.

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

Just about $17.5 million for the year.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

So, we would not be any consistent with what we saw in 2011. So, it would definitely help.

Rich Valera

Analyst · Needleman & Company

Okay. And then Pat, I wanted to try to better understand the ARPU, I wonder if you can just give the two ARPU numbers you gave? And then, I guess, as a follow-up, is there anyway to think of that as the blended total ARPU or is that just kind of too tough to look at it that way?

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

You can look at it that way.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Let me just comment on that for a second. The reason that we are breaking it out is just to be clear that the meter plans as we expected we are going to have a different ARPU than the fixed monthly plan. And we didn’t want to make it seem like the V7 ARPUs were dropping because we introduced a new product called the V3, that’s all. So we are reporting both numbers now.

Rich Valera

Analyst · Needleman & Company

Right.

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

So the meter plans or the pay by the megabyte which are the only way we sell airtime services with the V3. However, you can get meter plans with the V7 but it’s a fairly small percentage of those systems that have meter plans. So when we refer to meter plans you shouldn’t think of it as exactly equal to V3 but it’s a close approximation. And the range there right now is in the $500 to $700 per month ARPU range. The fixed price plans which are only sold with the V7 and then will also be sold with the V11 when that comes to market, the ARPU for those is still is running in the range of $1,800 to $1,900 per month. So as the business continues to grow, the blend of the business will be a mixture of those two types of plans. Right now, even though our current sales in new systems are approximately one-thirds, two-thirds V3/V7, that is not the profile of our base of business because obviously we have been selling the V7s for the last four years whereas the V3 is only been in the market for last three quarters.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Another thing we should point out is that the V7 is expected to have - we haven’t announced pricing for the airtime packages yet, but our expectation is that the ARPU should be a third higher than the V7. So there will be incremental charge for the V11 airtime packages, so that’s going to be helping to drive ARPUs up.

Rich Valera

Analyst · Needleman & Company

Great, that’s helpful. And then on the V11, you mentioned you had - it sounds like a pretty good. As we syndication of interest there, I am not sure if they are firm orders at this point, but could you give us any color on what kind of visibility do you have to the V11 ramp in the back half based on current dialog with customers?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Well, I’ll give you one specific example, one of our bigger customers that we announced last year was Vroon, they have a fleet of 125 vessels, they have committed to approximately 25% of their fleet would be V11 as opposed to V7. So, what we are seeing is to address some of the larger fleets that have mix, where they have LNG tankers and car carriers and all kinds of different ships, they need a mix of solutions. So, it’s really instrumental for us to be offer all different solutions ranging from the V3, which is a very small product then the V11. So now when we talk to the larger fleet managers it is great to be able address all their needs and not force them to go talk to our competitors for some of their requirements.

Rich Valera

Analyst · Needleman & Company

Right. Okay, that’s helpful. Thank you.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Jeremy, could you go on to the next question please.

Operator

Operator

Yes. We have a follow-up question from Chris Quilty from Raymond James and Associates.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Gentlemen, I was running the numbers here. Did you break through 300 units shipped in the quarter?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

No, we are still in - I think our average is still in the sort of 250 range, some quarter it’s a little bit below, Q4 is a little bit below that, we expect Q1 to be a little bit above that. So I think that’s an ongoing steady ramp. But you still should think about in that general range. So, unit shipments were up 94% for the quarter but that includes V3, which was I want to say a third or maybe 40% of that number, and we didn’t have V3 a year before. So in Q1 you should see another big year-over-year job because there was no V3. And then you expect the percentage increases to decline over the course of the year because now you are looking at quarters we did have the V3s in place. And then the V11 of course will be incremental, stating in Q3.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Okay. And the seasonality in this quarter, where the percentage of suspension is similar to what they were last year?

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

Actually, yes. We did a very good job this year actually of forecasting the temporary seasonal suspensions which we did not do a very good job a year ago and we are a little bit surprised. But this year, given that experience, we did have a very good projection, it came in pretty much right where we thought it would, which was in line with what we saw last year. And as we saw last year the number of suspensions began to drop pretty quickly as we got into the month of January. So, all of that played out pretty much as it had last year and as we had forecast for this last quarter.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

And the net impact of that if I remember last year was about 10% sequential drop in the ARPU on a like antenna basis?

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

Yes, last year we had two factors in play, Chris. One was, if you recall the Gulf oil spill in the third quarter actually gave us - 2010 actually gave us some incremental airtime. We knew what the airtime was before, we weren’t thinking of it as incremental with the time. And then the other thing was the seasonality. So we did see a step down in airtime a year ago, 2010 from Q3 to Q4. This year we actually saw, never saw modest increase on a sequential basis Q3 to Q4 in terms of airtime revenue in spite of the fact that the seasonal suspensions were quite high. So airtime was no lower than it was in Q3 but think of it as if it went side ways more than anything.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Okay.

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

Now we expect it to step up again in the first quarter.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

And did you give the number of units in service at the end of the year?

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

We did it, but it’s approximately that three to six-month lag. So we have said that we sold approximately 2000 systems as of now with an average of roughly 250 per quarter you can assume that it’s - the number of active systems is about - something approximately 400 to 500 systems less than that total sales quantity. So around 1,500.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Okay, great. And final question on the CROWS, the $7.6 million you got, was that against CROWS II and has there been a move to increase the size of that contract to cover the stub period here before CROWS III finally gets inked in to a contract?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Yes, it’s partly for CROWS II, but it may also be for other programs, so we don’t have perfect visibility. Obviously, we know who the customer is, but we don’t know their final end use, but it definitely includes CROWS II. And no, to my knowledge there has been no increase in the CROWS II program recently.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Okay. And do you recall how much is left remaining under CROWS II in terms of dollars?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

It was actually a pretty - it was surprisingly large amount, so I think more than enough to cover the rest of this year.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

Okay. And the budget is out today I haven’t had a time to any chance to thumb through it yet, but if recall correctly the CROWS program was never really a line item within the budget?

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

I think that’s true. I don’t know whether CROWS III will be a line item or not.

Chris Quilty

Analyst · Raymond James and Associates

That won’t be till ’14 anyways. Okay, great. Thank you, gentlemen.

Patrick Spratt

Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Alright, thanks.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Gentlemen, we have no further questions in the queue at this time.

Martin Kits van Heyningen

Chief Executive Officer

Okay, great. If you have any follow on questions, please call (inaudible) myself directly or you can email us at ir@kvh.com. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

That concludes today’s conference. Thank you for your participation.