Earnings Labs

Ladder Capital Corp (LADR)

Q4 2024 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 6, 2025

$10.28

-1.91%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to Ladder Capital Corp's Earnings Call for the Fourth Quarter of 2024. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded. This morning, Ladder released its financial results for the quarter and year ended December 31st, 2024. Before the call begins, I'd like to call your attention to the customary Safe Harbor disclosure in our earnings release regarding forward-looking statements. Today's call may include forward-looking statements and projections and we refer you to our most recent Form 10-K for important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements and projections. We do not undertake any obligation to update our forward-looking statements or projections unless required by law. In addition, Ladder will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures on this call, which management believes are relevant to assessing the company's financial performance. The company's presentation of this information is not intended to be considered in isolation or as a substitute for the financial information presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are reconciled to GAAP figures in our earnings supplement presentation, which is available in the Investor Relations' section of our website. We also refer you to our Form 10-K and earnings supplement presentation for definitions of certain metrics, which we may cite on today's call. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Ladder's President, Pamela McCormack.

Pamela McCormack

President

Good morning. We are pleased with Ladder's performance in the fourth quarter and full year of 2024. During the fourth quarter, Ladder generated distributable earnings of $33.6 million or $0.27 per share, achieving a return on equity of 8.9%. For the full year, distributable earnings totaled $153.9 million, delivering a 9.9% return on equity, while maintaining low leverage, robust liquidity, and stable book value. In 2024, Ladder's conservative business model reinforced its position as a leading middle market focused commercial real estate finance REIT, supported by the highest credit ratings in the sector. Our disciplined credit underwriting delivered strong results despite a challenging macroeconomic environment. In addition, we believe the proactive steps we took to enhance our capital structure over the course of the year should position Ladder well for potential investment-grade ratings. Our key achievements in 2024 include strong financial performance. In 2024, we delivered strong earnings, attractive net interest margins, healthy loan repayments, and consistent net operating income from our real estate portfolio. Additionally, our credit underwriting expertise and conservative investment approach enabled us to maintain steady book value, setting us apart in the commercial mortgage REIT space. Despite a period of rapidly rising interest rates, we successfully navigated the challenges and resumed originating loans by year-end as the Fed began lowering interest rates and transaction volumes began to pick up. Enhanced liquidity and credit capacity. As Paul will cover in more detail, we recently extended and upsized our unsecured corporate revolving credit facility from $324 million to $850 million and secured an accordion to further upsize the facility to $1.25 billion, all at a reduced cost. This transaction marks a key milestone in Ladder's ongoing efforts to streamline our balance sheet and transition to primarily using unsecured debt to finance our operations. As of December 31, 2024,…

Paul Miceli

Management

Thank you, Pamela. In the fourth quarter of 2024, Ladder generated $33.6 million of distributable earnings or $0.27 per share of distributable EPS, achieving a return on average equity of 8.9%. For 2024, distributable earnings totaled $153.9 million or $1.21 per share of distributable EPS, achieving a 9.9% return on average equity. Our 2024 earnings were driven by net interest income on loans, securities and cash alongside stable net operating income from our real estate portfolio, delivering a strong return on equity. This performance was achieved while delevering our balance sheet, maintaining steady book value and dividend coverage and preserving a significant cash balance, allowing us to adopt an offensive strategy by the fourth quarter of 2024. As of December 31, 2024, Ladder's balance sheet was comprised of 27% cash and cash equivalents totaling $1.3 billion with $2.2 billion of total liquidity. As Pamela discussed, we further fortified Ladder's balance sheet through the upsize of our unsecured revolver to $850 million, an over 2.6 times increase, including a reduced interest rate to SOFR plus 170 basis points with a further reduction to SOFR plus 125 basis points upon achieving an investment-grade credit rating from 2 rating agencies. We are pleased with this outcome and deeply appreciate the strong support from our 10 bank syndicate. We extend our gratitude to our banking partners. As of December 31, 2024, our adjusted leverage ratio was 1.4 times with a total gross leverage ratio of 2.0 times, with a trending down as we delever our balance sheet [indiscernible]. Overall, in 2024, we paid down over $1.1 billion in secured debt and issued $500 million in unsecured corporate bonds due in 2031 [ph]. As of December 31, 2024, 65% of our debt was comprised of unsecured corporate bonds with a weighted average remaining maturity of…

Brian Harris

Management

Thanks, Paul. We believe Ladder's middle market by design lending model was on full display during 2024. Smaller loan sizes enabled us to diversify our sponsor and geographic exposure and enabled our borrowers to have a relatively easier time refinancing loans coming due last year. We also took some big steps to further strengthen our liability set, having issued a $500 million unsecured corporate bond that closed in July, followed by an upsizing of our revolver to $850 million in December. These events in a generally difficult year for commercial real estate investors enabled Ladder to be a bright spot as our liquidity position soared throughout the year as loans paid off while we were very modestly levered throughout the year. After March of 2023, when the regional bank funding model was disrupted and pushed to the breaking point for certain banks that failed, we heard the expression stay alive until 2025 as it became harder for sponsors to refinance loans coming due. By early 2024, the industry seemed to think the Fed was going to cut short-term interest rates six to eight times in response to a slowing economy and tame inflation figures, except the Fed never went beyond 100 basis points of rate cuts during all of 2024. I bring up these past events to highlight that most of our sponsors on loans coming due in 2024 did not see the need to stay alive until 2025, and they paid off $1.7 billion of our loans with $1.1 billion of the total received in the second half of the year. As cash proceeds from loan payoffs outpaced new originations, we purchased $911 million of AAA-rated securities over the last seven months, including January of 2025 at a weighted average unlevered yield of 6.48%. We believe these yields are…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Jade Rahmani with KBW. Please proceed.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Please proceed

Thank you, very much. I wanted to ask about the CMBS conduit business. For the market, CMBS issuance was up about 100% in 2024. Ladder competes probably more than most mortgage REITs with regional banks. Therefore, do you see an opportunity to increase CMBS conduit originations meaningfully, as banks still have been pulling back and yet are more willing to let loans come to maturity now?

Brian Harris

Management

Thanks, Jade. It's Brian. Yes, I think so. There's a shortage of fixed income investments, which is causing a great tightening to be going on in credit spreads almost everywhere. That business in the conduit and securitization works better when the yield curve is steeper. So, while we're no longer inverted after being that way for years, it's improving, I would say, but we're not there yet. I think when we take a look at where -- when we reverse things as to what breakevens are on loans that we could be making on a 5 or 10-year fixed rate basis, it's not terribly attractive. It's not that it's not attractive at all. It's just that the other investments we make seem to be a more profitable allocation of our capital. So, I wouldn't expect this to come out too strong in the very near future. However, as the curve steepens, you'll see us weeding in there a little bit more.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Please proceed

Thank you, very much. And then just on the CECL reserve, in dollars, it was unchanged. There was no new provisionings, which means that the reserve level increased quite meaningfully. Are you planning to maintain it at that level? Or do you see the potential for releasing some of those reserves with the significant repayments that have been received?

Brian Harris

Management

Well, I think, yes, it is a higher percentage at this point, and we did leave it there because all the potential problems that we see as possible need for reserves. They're still there. Those were not the loans that paid off. However, the loans that did pay off, obviously, the denominator is getting smaller. So I think we're well covered. I don't think we'll get through all of that in the loss column. It's a little hard to gauge as to where or what quarter things could start changing. But I don't really see it increasing unless something that we're not expecting happens in the economy and in our inventory. I think it's far more likely probability that towards -- at some point, we'll probably be releasing reserves back in. But I don't see that number going up.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Please proceed

Thank you, very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Tom Catherwood with BTIG. Please proceed.

Tom Catherwood

Analyst · BTIG. Please proceed

Thank you and good morning everybody. Brian, I appreciate the detail on originations and the lag between applications and closings. On the origination front, we're hearing of yields tightening somewhat, especially for multifamily. Kind of 2 parts. A, are you seeing that as well? And then b, how is it impacting your pipeline and the types of properties that you're willing to lend on?

Brian Harris

Management

Okay. Credit spreads are tightening. I don't think interest rates are. The actual rate on the loans that people are paying is up near 7%. And that's not very low relative to our recent past. So you got to be a little cautious around when we talk about credit spreads tightening and interest rates prevailing in the mortgage market. So I think the borrowing world would like to hope that with the new administration and some of the comments made today by the Treasury Secretary that rates might be coming down on the 10-year. I personally don't see that, because of the deficit situation that the US is in and how they're going to have to issue to pay their interest at this point. So as far as property types go, yes, multifamily is definitely the tightest, obviously, the safest because people have to live somewhere. But for us, I don't think we ever redline anything other than high crime. That is something we try to avoid, because it's very difficult to come back from a criminal reputation in any building or any neighborhood. But we're not overly targeting multifamily. We seem to be writing more multifamily and industrial, but I think that's a condition of stability, not necessarily where we're preferencing things. If retail comes in that we happen to like or if an office building comes in that we happen to like, we'll put a number on it. And we won't sacrifice credit at any rate. But if the asset looks to be recalibrated into today's market, then sure, we're happy to lend on it. I don't see office spreads terribly tighter at all. In fact, I'm not even sure I would say that it's a reasonable thought that you can refinance an office building. So yes, those -- that is a bit of an outlier right now, although you are seeing some very large SASB deals getting done. I think Bryant Park is in the market right now. MetLife Building is coming down the pipe. So this is improving. There is no doubt about it, the defroster is on. And I suspect that we will start waiting into some other product types in a more meaningful way. But I do think we are still a little bit hesitant around very large cities where they're having problems with their capital flight where a lot of rich people are leaving and also to the extent that they haven't got their crime under control. So we're going to continue to avoid downtown LA and no need to name the cities. But we are happy to write loans in what I call the flyover states where very few people actually go in the Midwest. We happen to like those economies that are doing pretty well.

Tom Catherwood

Analyst · BTIG. Please proceed

I appreciate those thoughts, Brian. And maybe sticking with the borrower profiles in your pipeline, are you seeing borrowers that maybe last year would have likely done five-year fixed rate loans now looking for transitional floating rate loans to provide more flexibility? Or is that not a trend that you've seen crop up yet?

Brian Harris

Management

We have seen that, I would say, to some extent in that, I think borrowers have been through something here, especially long-time owners of real estate. And sometimes, especially the generational wealth families that have owned real estate for many, many years, they're requiring cash in on refinances and they're also having to spend a lot of money on operating expenses, which they weren't used to spending over the last couple of decades. So I do think what's causing it is not necessarily spreads. I think that there's people gravitating towards the floating rate and five-year part of the world because they want to sell the property, not because, they necessarily think interest rates are going to go lower. They've hit a point where they can get a short extension from a bank. Having said that, I think we are very -- we actually quoted a few and have a few on our balance sheet now where we've written some one- and two-year fixed rate loans that are fully pre-payable. And we provide that at slightly higher rates than what a conduit or floating rate loan would be. But the reason why is there's no prepayment penalty or lockout. So, we simply make the coupon plus the fees we charge to originate the loan. And I think you'll see that picking up more so in the year ahead.

Tom Catherwood

Analyst · BTIG. Please proceed

Got it. Appreciate the answers. That’s it from me. Thanks everyone.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question is from Steve Delaney with Citizens JMP. Please proceed.

Steve Delaney

Analyst · Citizens JMP. Please proceed

Thanks. Good morning everyone. Congratulations on a great close to 2024. Just looking back over the last two years with all the volatility that we've had in the market from all corners, I think the most remarkable thing that I noticed is that you've been able, despite CRE problems, et cetera, to maintain a book value per share in the neighborhood of $13.70 over the last two years. And I don't think you have any peers that have been able to do that. So, I think it jumps off the page to me is just a great accomplishment. Now, we've got to go forward and now operate in the new 2025. The one thing that has -- as you play more defense, your loan book has dropped from about $3.9 billion at the end of 2022 to about $1.6 billion, pretty significant reduction in direct lending. I guess my question is, and you do a lot of things. But in my mind, I see direct lending as your sort of the heart and soul, your core competency for all commercial mortgage REITs. Can you -- in 2025, do you think net you can grow your loan book by as much as $1 billion? And if -- Brian, what would you expect your average return on equity on the loans you might make in 2025? So, a two-part question. Can you do $1 billion net? And what would you expect to earn on that? Thank you.

Brian Harris

Management

Okay. Thanks Steve. And yes, we have noticed that book value. In fact, Pamela has a chart that she sent around to the whole group of people kind of demonstrating that, and we were quite proud of it. Obviously, we got paid back at a better rate than a lot of other people did. But obviously, some -- that comes with something else. And that, as you said, the loan portfolio has dropped quite a bit. What's interesting is if you parse out the drop in $3.9 billion down to $1.6 billion. So, we are probably one of the most unlevered companies in the space, providing -- and as reflected in our dividend, which I think is one of the lowest in the space. But right now, I think we would like to tell you that with SOFR at 4.3%, I think I might have that right. At 300 over, that would get you to 7.3% unlevered, throw in 1 point each year for fees maybe or even 0.5 point, that gets you to 7%, 8%, maybe 8.25%. So, that's the unlevered return that we would be targeting. That said, most loans that we're writing are not 300 over. They're more in the 275 area. But as rates rise as we think they will, then those spreads will tighten. They don't just go up one-for-one. And if rates fall, those spreads will widen. So, the yield that I think we're targeting on an unlevered basis is probably something 8.5%. Now when you get paid off on $1 billion worth of loans that are yielding 9%, if you put the money into a money market fund, you'll get about 4%, right? And so ultimately, you lose 500 basis points of net interest margin by holding cash instead of the loans. By…

Steve Delaney

Analyst · Citizens JMP. Please proceed

Thanks for all the color. Just to be clear, that 8% yield -- bridge loan yield would move up to, what, low double digits when you put a leverage on it depending on the nature of the leverage, correct?

Brian Harris

Management

That's correct. And by the way, I'd also note, too, the $950 million of securities we purchased, they have right now, these are AAAs, they have a almost 6.5% yield. If we put leverage on that, that goes to 11 -- so -- and easily financeable. And so we may not just sell them. The spreads continue to tighten. AAAs at 140, which is where we've been buying them in 2025, those are still quite wide. They're not as wide as they were in 2022, where CLOs are being originated at 225 on AAAs. But they're still pretty attractive. I suspect that AAA spread on CLOs will probably get down around 115, 125.

Steve Delaney

Analyst · Citizens JMP. Please proceed

Thanks for the color.

Operator

Operator

Our final question is a follow-up from Jade Rahmani with KBW. Please proceed.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Please proceed

Thank you very much. I wanted to ask a strategic question given the high cash balance. When you look at the commercial mortgage REIT space, the three names that have traded at material premiums to book value were Starwood due to its diversification, BXMT due to its scale and Arbor, which is due to the agency servicing business. And I was wondering on the agency servicing business, which is in multifamily, do you see any opportunity to partner with a dut lender, say, a Walker & Dunlop. There could be a lot of potential value creation if Ladder were to co-originate loans and participate in the downstream servicing economics. BXMT has established a relationship with M&T. Curious if that's something you think is reasonable to pursue?

Brian Harris

Management

It's reasonable to pursue it. We don't have anything like that underway right now. And I do see -- you're seeing -- I think that M&T thing that you saw with somebody, that's a tie-up. There were quite a few of those going on a couple of months ago. I haven't heard of too many recently. But I suspect there's a lot of money moving into the private capital market right now and some -- a lot of it is moving -- it's not like the big banks are making loans anymore. They're kind of just making the introductions and going to the rating agencies and then let the market tell the borrower where the rates are. But I do think -- and we have been approached by some parties who are flushed with cash, I think real estate is an opportunity, a little hard to figure out how to get an A team in place when there's losses in a lot of places right now. So we are getting a little bit of attention where people would probably like to see us do a sidecar with them where we manage some funds for them, where we each own part of it. And I suspect that will come more from the insurance side rather than from the servicing side. But we're open to suggestions. And if we appear to be a little less interested in that than perhaps you might think we would be, I mean, that's very good income inside of a REIT. But I would say that given the amount of capital we've got right now, it's -- we're a little hard-pressed to do anything other than something that's very attractive to our shares and our shareholders. So I suspect if we get through about $2 billion of new originations, then that probably will become a little more interesting. And right now, we really do like the investment environment that we're in, and we're fortunate to have all this capital. I don't think we want to start exporting our expertise or our capital to a third party. But I do think you could see us with an insurance company along the lines of what some of our competitors do. I think Apollo has an insurance company they invest, Benefit Street does, too. But -- so, we'd be happy to do something like that, but we are not underway in any discussions on that right now.

Jade Rahmani

Analyst · KBW. Please proceed

Thanks a lot.

Operator

Operator

We have reached the end of our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the call back over to Brian Harris for closing remarks.

Brian Harris

Management

Just thanks for listening in. It's been a while since we've spoken to our investors on the equity side. And we look forward to the year ahead. We're already coming out of the chute in very good order. And I think that these numbers of origination that we're looking at will go up dramatically in the year ahead. So, get on the train with us, and we appreciate having you, and thanks again for a fruitful 2024.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time and thank you for your participation.