Kenneth Jacobs
Analyst · Wolfe Research
Sure. So first question, again, you have to be a little careful about announcements versus completions in thinking about performance in any given year. So, if you see a pickup in microeconomic activity in Europe, or a resolution of Brexit towards the second half of this year, obviously, it may have some impact on this year, a better environment, things close, you may get some ability to close transactions quickly. But some of that just may fall into next year as well, which is what my expectation would be for a lot of it. That said, I think, generally in our business we think that – as we – as Evan has said before, again to last year, I'll repeat it, our first half comps are challenging because we have a such a strong first half last year. Our second half should be better than our first half, is our expectation overall for the business. To your longer-term question, look I think I touched on this before. The European markets are not – do not recover to their peak levels of 2007, 2006-2007, in fact – or lower in terms of overall completions and volumes than they were in the last cycle. I think we have been right-sized for that, and our profit margins have been really – and our overall margins in Europe have been attractive – more attractive, actually, than they were in the last cycle, even at lower activity levels. And our position is – our goal in Europe, like it is everywhere, is to be one of the leading competitors in each of the markets that we compete in. That said, like everywhere in the world, it's structurally and cyclically, they become challenges to the business. We are very conscious of making sure that the business maintains its cash flow and profitability, and we'll adjust accordingly. The one thing I will say is, if you just were to look at the headcount and revenue of Lazard, you will see that it has skewed more towards the U.S. over the last kind of decade or so than it was in the last cycle. So we have oriented ourselves to where there has been more growth in the market over the last several years than what was the case in the last cycle.