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Lear Corporation (LEA)

Q1 2022 Earnings Call· Tue, May 3, 2022

$124.10

-1.21%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Lear Corporation First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please also note today's event is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference call over to Ed Lowenfeld, Vice President Investor Relations. Sir, please go ahead.

Ed Lowenfeld

Analyst

Thanks Jamie. Good morning, everyone and thanks for joining us for Lear's First Quarter 2022 Earnings Call. Presenting today are Ray Scott, Lear President and CEO, and Jason Cardew, Senior Vice President and CFO. Other members of Lear's senior management team have also joined us on the call. Following prepared remarks, we will open the call for Q&A. You can find a copy of the presentation that accompanies these remarks at ir.lear.com. Before Ray begins, I'd like to take this opportunity to remind you that, as we conduct this call, we will be making forward-looking statements to assist you in understanding Lear's expectations for the future. As detailed in our safe harbor statement on slide 2, our actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements due to many factors discussed in our latest 10-Q and other periodic reports. I also want to remind you that during today's presentation, we will refer to non-GAAP financial metrics. You are directed to the slides in the appendix of our presentation for the reconciliation of non-GAAP items to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. The agenda for today's call is on slide 3. First, Ray will review highlights from the quarter and provide a business update. Next, Jason will provide an update on the progress we've made in electrification before reviewing our first quarter financial results and our full-year '22 outlook. Finally, Ray will offer some concluding remarks. Following the formal presentation, we will be happy to take your questions. Now I would like to invite Ray to begin.

Ray Scott

Analyst

Thanks, Ed. Good morning, everyone. Before I begin, I want to take a brief moment to extend my sympathies to all those impacted by the devastating war in Ukraine. We've contributed to the Red Cross to support medical relief efforts and we'll continue to provide support for our employees impacted by this war. I am so proud of Lear team who have provided much needed support to many of those impacted by the war. Now please turn to Slide 5, I will provide a brief overview of our first-quarter financial results. In a very challenging environment marked with significant production declines late in the quarter, cost inflation, and continued semiconductor disruptions, the Lear team posted solid results in the first quarter. Sales were $5.2 billion and core operating earnings were $184 million. Despite lower production volumes than in the fourth quarter of 2021, both Seating and E-Systems delivered better financial performance sequentially in the first quarter of 2022. Slide 6 outlines key business highlights from the quarter. Once again, Lear sales outperformed the industry in the first quarter, with above-market growth in both seating and E-Systems. Year-to-date business awards totaled over $1.2 billion, which will support continued growth in both business segments. The pace of business wins is accelerating, and our awards this year have increased significantly from the same time last year. We also recently won another significant conquest award in seating that will launch in North America in 2024. In E-Systems, we won a significant new electrification award in connection systems for a battery module connector. Lear 's expertise in stampings, connection systems and electrical architecture, along with molding capabilities of M&N positioned us to win this award. This battering module connector is another example of our E-Systems in seating teams, working collaboratively to support our customers and…

Jason Cardew

Analyst

Thanks, Ray. Turning to Slide 13, let me take a moment to provide some additional detail on our progress in Electrification. As Ray just noted our E-Systems portfolio in wiring, connection systems, and power electronics, are all aligned to benefit from the industry's rapid shift to electrification. New business awards for electrification increased by almost 50% from 2020 to 2021 to $324 million. And for 2022, we're currently targeting $500 million and new awards more than twice what we achieved in 2020. Our Quote Pipeline continues to grow and at $2 billion for 2022 was more than three times that of two years ago. The current Quote Pipeline is split roughly 65% power electronics and 35% high voltage electrical distribution systems. Historically, we have won approximately 30% to 35% of business via Quoting. Electrification revenue is expected to grow at a 37% average annual rate from 2020 through 2025. At last year's E-Systems product day, we had targeted a revenue of a billion dollars for 2025. As you can see from the chart, we've already achieved our original target and have now increased the 2025 target by 30% to $1.3 billion. Given the accelerating Quote Pipeline combined with our growing capabilities in Electrification Products we would anticipate additional profitable revenue growth of more than a billion dollars in this area between 2026 and 2030. Slide 14 shows vehicle production and key exchange rates for the first quarter. Global production decreased by 4% compared to 2021. Industry volumes were again significantly impacted by semiconductor shortages. And to a lesser extent, by the war in Ukraine and COVID -related productions shutdowns in China. And as Lear sales weighted basis, global production decreased by 7% year-over-year. From a currency standpoint, the U.S. dollar weakened against the RMB, but strengthened against the Europe compared…

Ray Scott

Analyst

Thanks Jason. Turning to slide 23, operating in this environment isn't easy. Lear's well equipped to handle these challenges as we have an experienced leadership team and extremely strong financial position. We have a long history of operational excellence and aggressively managing our cash flow. And we are leveraging these strengths to position the business, to optimize performance. In the past year, we have increased sales while reducing headcount, and we are aggressively implementing plans to further improve efficiencies across the enterprise. As we continue to review in the product portfolio, we will likely accelerate investment in certain areas while deemphasizing or winding down parts of our product portfolio that are underperforming. We are executing our strategic initiatives to properly grow our core Seating and E-Systems business. I am confident that the investments we are making today will position both businesses to benefit when the long anticipated industry recovery arrives. Our strong business business wins so far this year is evidence that our products are in high demand and that we have the right plan in place. In closing, I want to thank the Lear team for continuing to execute in a very extremely challenging environment. And now, we'd be happy to take your questions.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time we'll begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble the roster. And our first question today comes from Colin Langan from Wells Fargo. Please go ahead with your question.

Colin Langan

Analyst

Great, thanks for taking my questions. Just for color, your raw material guidance actually only increased 10 basis points, that is surprising given how raw materials have performed. I mean, why the small change? Is it you're already baked in a lot, is it that you are just getting a lot more customer coverage, how should we be thinking about that?

Jason Cardew

Analyst

Yeah, Colin. So there was a fairly meaningful change in the gross impact on commodities, and you see that in the revenue line. So there's about $130 million of additional total costs, most of which are recoverable given the contractual arrangements that we have in place and the negotiations that are ongoing, so the net impact was pretty modest. For us, the biggest driver of that increase in the gross exposure is really steel, which is a little less than $50 million higher for the full year. And then, supplier component costs increases, which are also about $50 million. To a lesser extent, we do see slightly higher cost for chemicals, utilities and freight. And if you look at the nature of our recovery agreements, particularly on steel, lots of most of the customers are now on some sort of indexing or pass through agreements there. And so in some of the component increases around directed content. And so there's a mechanical way to pass that through. And so, that's why the impact on the operating earnings is pretty modest relative to the gross impact.

Colin Langan

Analyst

And that commodity bucket that also includes these other input costs. I mean, a lot of other suppliers are calling out labor, freight and energy. I think you mentioned freight, or is that just not that meaningful for you guys?

Jason Cardew

Analyst

Yeah, for us we don't put all the inflationary costs in there. We don't have labor inflation in there, but we are including utilities and freight. We did see a meaningful increase in utility costs in the first quarter and we're assuming that that is going to continue particularly in Europe where there was essentially doubling of the costs there. And so that's also in that bucket, but it's largely just material-related adjustments.

Colin Langan

Analyst

And just lastly, I will go back to commodities. It seems I think roughly 100 million headwind in Q1, or I think the guidance translates to about 160 for the year. How should we be thinking about the net margin impact that plays out as it starts in Q2 and then starts maybe being positive by Q4 or how should we think that the cadence of the commodity?

Jason Cardew

Analyst

If you look at it on a year-over-year basis, the biggest impact is clearly in the first quarter, about a little more than $90 million, and as you progress through the year, second and third quarter would be roughly half that, a little more than $50 million in Q2, $40 million or so in the third quarter. Fourth quarter will actually be favorable year-over-year. You may recall that at the end of last year, we had -- we saw a significant run-up in steel and also higher copper costs, and we do see those moderating. For us the peak steel costs were in the fourth quarter of last year and the first quarter of this year. In North America, we have a contract that calls for an adjustment each quarter based on the trailing three months’ changes in the CRU index, and so as a result of that, our second quarter steel costs are actually quite a bit lower, 30% to 40% lower in North America than they were in the first quarter. And when we see that downward trend, not necessarily continuing into the second half of the year, but sort of somewhere in between the first and second quarter is what we would expect in the second half based on what we're seeing in the market right now. And then in Europe, on steel, just to give you some additional color there, we have a six month contract. And so the first half of the year, we're expecting to be a little bit higher than it was at the second half of last year and the second half of this year, given what's happening recently with the war in Ukraine, it's going to be a similar impact, maybe even slightly worse than in the second half of the year in Europe.

Colin Langan

Analyst

Great, thank you for taking all my questions.

Jason Cardew

Analyst

Yeah, no problem.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Rod Lache from Wolfe Research. Please go ahead with your question.

Rod Lache

Analyst · your question.

Hi, everybody. I was hoping you could just give us a sense from your perspective about the time-frame at this point for recovering the margin targets. At one point you were thinking that you can get back to 7% or so in the 2024 time-frame. And more specifically, if we look a little bit further back in terms of commodities, I think over the past two years you had like 150 basis points of margin pressure for commodities. What's realistic for regaining that and what's the time-frame and what's happening behind the scenes in negotiations?

Ray Scott

Analyst · your question.

Right, I'm just go ahead and start. I'll let Jason fill in some of the numbers we're on, when we're going to get back, and how we're seeing the business financially. But let me take a step back to and I think you recall very clearly when we talked about what we're going to do as far as the E-Systems business was obviously set the organization of define it very clearly into product groups that we're focused on return on invested capital, and obviously that's all behind us. We also talked about making sure that we weren't working through long maybes but make a quick decisions on the product portfolio and where we had the right to play and where we can win and I think we've done an excellent job there and I think that is translating in the growth that we're seeing. We talked about the shift of wiring to electronics of more of a 60-40 relationship and we're on track there to continue to grow both business segments, but get a better balance between electronics in power distribution and connection systems. And so all those are moving in the right direction. I think what we've seen from our perspective is actually, some of those are even moving faster than we expect. I think the growth, looking at $2 billion of quoted activity in electronics is something that we didn't even anticipate. And if you just look at the doubling effect of the Quote Pipeline and that's because we're getting in and getting accepted in different quotes by different customers. And so we started with a very select customer base and we've been able to expand that, not just the traditional ways, but the new entrants as well in electrification. So that's really positive. And we've done a…

Jason Cardew

Analyst · your question.

Rod, maybe before getting to reaffirming the 2024 operating margin targets for the company, talk a little bit about how we see margins progressing this year because I think it helps inform what the future looks like as well. So obviously we released the first quarter results today. As we look at the second quarter, we do expect to see continued pressure on lower volumes, particularly as a result of the COVID -related lockdowns in China, that have had a pretty significant impact on both segments, as well as weaker volumes in Europe impacting both segments and so we expect operating margins to be down slightly from the first quarter and second quarter. We expect revenues to be down slightly from the first quarter and second quarter in both segments. The first-quarter in seating had also benefited from the timing of commercial settlements. And so, you may recall when we guided to 2022 on the fourth quarter earnings call we talked about Seating margins declining from the fourth quarter to the first quarter, they actually came in slightly better than last year. And so there's about 40 basis points kind of timing benefit that's got pulled ahead from the second quarter into the first quarter. And so that'll weigh a little bit on Seating in the second quarter. As we look out at the second half of the year, we do see a modest improvement in industry volumes. The bigger drivers are the pass-through of our commodity cost increases to customers. And in Seating it's more pronounced than in E-Systems in terms of the timing of that. In the second half we have the benefit of some of the mechanical and contractual agreements we have on leather and steel. The full effect of that shows itself in the second half…

Rod Lache

Analyst · your question.

Okay, so when you say at the end of this year you'll still have $340 million that you've sort of absorbed of commodities and some of that unwinds next year, can you just unpack that a little bit for us? What's realistic for recoveries in the short-term? And I presume, when you are saying that the rest of it's going to require new contracts, that's presumably like another four years or so until it's fully recovered, or am I misinterpreting that?

Jason Cardew

Analyst · your question.

Well, if you think about the backlog that's rolling on, it should be reflective of the new economics. And then as programs changeover, yes, that will take a little bit longer. We don't have a precise number, I think it's a little bit early, but I would expect to see a half to two-thirds of that go away over a two to three-year period, and then maybe that last third or so lags a little bit more in that four-year time horizon that you described as programs changeover.

Rod Lache

Analyst · your question.

Okay. Thanks for clarifying that. And just lastly, this is sort of a recurring theme that you've got some conquest here. And now another piece of business, I presume it's $200 million a year or maybe $200,000 unit year kind of program. What's kind of driving that? Is there something that you're offering here from a product perspective or technical perspective, or is there some other factor that's at this point still resulting in these conquest.

Jason Cardew

Analyst · your question.

Yes, I think in this case, it was our footprint and we had an advantage in where the customer was located in production of this product and we had an existing footprint that we were able to leverage and provide a more competitive cost offering. And I think it's also a result of the strong relationship that we've built with this customer and cultivated with this customer as a result of our strong quality performance and engineering performance with them, and we've executed well on programs that we have with this customer today and we were rewarded for that accordingly.

Ray Scott

Analyst · your question.

And I'll just add to that everyone in the conquest wins are slightly different, but there does seem to be that value proposition, Rod, that we're able to. And I think it's very important, because the reason why we're vertically integrated to the level that we are and being able to manufacture our own components to create a value proposition that is, like I talked about with thermal management, it's a very important driver that we've been able to differentiate ourselves even early on right now, even in the most recent acquisition of Kongsberg, that when you walk in to a customer and you can tell them and talk to them about a value proposition that incorporates a number of different components. And I do believe the seat design when you pull it apart its inefficient. You create a modular solution that creates a better sensation for the customer, it's higher-quality and it's more efficient from a cost standpoint. Jason in the example on the most recent one that was really a relationship that we had an outstanding reputation for delivering quality and built credibility around what we could do for them in longer term, but with other customers, this vertical integration does differentiate us and even into the extent like I said in my presentation, their willingness to open up the directed door is open and we're seeing, we're putting it in our contracts in some extent, more [Indiscernible] the business our ability to source our own components because you think about Seating. Seating is about 80% of the components in -- I think it'd be easier to get some of this pass-through right now when 80% is directed. But we're negotiating hard with them to get it all. But being able to open that door and be able to supply a solution that creates a value proposition is very unique and Frank and [Indiscernible] had taken off this afternoon to go meet with customers immediately to talk about what we can do with thermal management and how efficient it is and what we can do on future platforms. And we're last week with another customer talking to him about it. So they are very intrigued and interested in how we can help solve what is a problem today and differentiate, I believe, our brand to our customers and it's helped us.

Rod Lache

Analyst · your question.

Interesting that's happening in Jet as well, at this point. Thanks for that.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Emmanuel Rosner from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead with your questions.

Emmanuel Rosner

Analyst · your questions.

Thank you very much. Was hoping to follow-up on some of the numbers in the commodities, exposure, and the headwind for the year. So I think previously last quarter, you had said you are assuming $575 million gross impact, if I'm not mistaken, $140 million net. So what is the new, I guess, what is the -- what's newly embedded in the revised guidance? And I think you said $130 million higher on the growth side, is this not all locked in? It just seems fairly modest compared to the initial exposure, so is it not all locked in based on existing contract?

Jason Cardew

Analyst · your questions.

Yeah, so the gross impact now, Emmanuel, is $695 million. It's up $120 to $130 million from our prior outlook. And so that's largely driven by skill and either granted or anticipated component costs increases and then to a lesser extent what we're seeing in utilities particularly in Europe and then a little bit on the chemical side. Those are the four contributing factors driving that increase. You may recall, we had embedded everything that we were aware of plus some anticipated increases in the initial guidance. We had a significant assumption in there for that. And so I think maybe some other suppliers were a little maybe more aggressive than their initial assumptions and are seeing a bigger increase, but I think that at the $695 million we've captured the likely outcome of the gross impact for us this year.

Emmanuel Rosner

Analyst · your questions.

Thanks, and then on the net basis, I think you were assuming 140 previously, is it now about 160?

Jason Cardew

Analyst · your questions.

It's 155 now, so it's up about 15, about a little less than 10 of that still, five it's utilities and then chemicals are at a balance.

Emmanuel Rosner

Analyst · your questions.

Okay. Perfect. And then second question, gross over market. Could you maybe speak a little bit about how you see that play out for the year, by segment obviously. Because some of the geographical moves are having some impact yet 5% in seating this quarter, but only one in E-Systems. How would you see that plant for the year?

Ray Scott

Analyst · your questions.

So let me start by providing some additional color on the first quarter. We had really strong growth over market and Seating and in North America and Europe in particular. In China we had a pretty weak growth over market. In seating, we were actually negative 17%. And I think that was largely a result of the location of the premium German and OEM facilities and their supply base. So they were impacted earlier by the COVID mandated and lockdowns in China, and they are still impacted. So down to BMW, ADI, whereas the Chinese domestic suppliers actually saw 15% increase in production in the quarter. The premium German OEMs also saw double-digit reductions. And we do expect that to continue into the second quarter just based on the current restrictions in place. So that will weigh on seating growth over market, and to a lesser extent, E-Systems as well. In North America, in Seating, what we saw was the benefit of strong backlog with Ford, the Mavericks, Bronco rolling on and also recovery with GM on Equinox and Terrain which had a lot of downtime last year, and so that benefited us. And then the full-size SUVs were ramping up in the first quarter last year.

Jason Cardew

Analyst · your questions.

And now we're at full production, so that all helped us. Strong production from Audi on the Q5, Jeep Compass, Mercedes CLS, and Bronco Sport. So a lot of different drivers of that and we expect that to moderate as we progress through the balance of the year. So some of it was just kind of a leap comparison point in the first quarter of last year for those platforms. In E-Systems, kind of the opposite going on here. So we had negative growth over market in North America, and that's primarily driven by Ford's planned changeover of the Super Duty and the mid-cycle change on the Expedition Navigator. So they took some downtime that was planned in January, I think three weeks. And in addition to that, were impacted by the chip shortage. So those platforms were down between 30% and 50%, depending on the individual car line, and that really weighed on E-Systems growth over market. That corrects itself in the second and third quarter, we'd expect improvements there, but then again in the fourth quarter, those same platforms will be down year-over-year as Ford does in fact change over to the new Super Duty, and that launch impacts volume on all those platforms. In Europe, we saw strong growth over market in both segments. In Seating, we see the benefit of our backlog and a number of EV launches, BMW IX, the wagon version of the Taycan, Mercedes EQS and EQE. And we also saw strong volumes in Mercedes GLC, C-Class, and 911 were all up in weak markets. And so on E-Systems side, we saw the benefit of our strong backlog with Volvo, that benefited in the first quarter and also the full focus in Kluger, which had very weak production in the first quarter of last year. And so we would expect that portion to moderate as we progress through the year where the comparisons will be a little tougher. And so we would expect based on our current set of assumptions embedded in the guidance that growth of our market will be lower in the next three quarters than it was in the first quarter. However, as I said on the fourth-quarter earnings call, to the extent customers are forced into an allocation and they prioritize their most profitable platform like we did last year, then that could benefit us particularly on the Seating side where our portfolio benefited throughout 2021 from that allocation process.

Emmanuel Rosner

Analyst · your questions.

Okay. Great. Thanks for all the color.

Jason Cardew

Analyst · your questions.

No problem.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Dan Levy from Credit Suisse. Please go ahead with your question.

Dan Levy

Analyst · your question.

Hi. Good morning, and thank you for taking the questions. Wanted to just revisit the guidance and the revision. You're saying commodities doesn't sound like it's much worse than the prior outlook, maybe it's $15-20 million drag. I think what that implies is the decremental margin on the lost sales related purely to volume, excluding the extra costs and excluding the commodity pass - throughs. Something like 20%, which is actually not bad given what's happening in China and Europe. So is that a fair assessment that the decrementals just on that lost volume alone are maybe not as harsh as what one may have feared, and what's driving that?

Jason Cardew

Analyst · your question.

Yeah, actually you have to break it down a little further than to look at foreign exchange and volumes. On the volume line itself, we did convert at 27% from the prior guidance. So it's a little higher than normal, mainly because of the waiting to E-Systems, so more than half of the production volume reduction is in E-Systems, despite the fact that it's 1/3 the size of the seat business. And so that normally converts between 25% and 30% and at this set of assumptions by program, it's just under 30%. And then in Seating, which typically converts at 15% to 20%, we're converting above 20% primarily because our China business does tend to run a little bit higher margin than the average in Seating that's the factor in just the mix of programs that in the level of vertical integration and the programs that are down in North America and Europe is also a factor that's driving that. So I would say, ordinarily the 20% to 22% average conversion rate on volume between the two segments is a good assumption to model, but it's a little bit higher, a little heavier, in this case, from our prior guidance.

Dan Levy

Analyst · your question.

Okay, and on a go-forward basis if and I know you addressed some of this in a prior question, but if we just keep costs as it is, so the incremental margin on any volume recovery that's still going to be in that 20% to 22% range, call it 15% to 20% for Seating, 25% to 30% for E-Systems?

Jason Cardew

Analyst · your question.

Yes, so I think it's important also to look at how that industry volume comes back online. To the extend its volume increases on existing platforms than you're spot on, Dan, that's the margin you should expect as that volume comes back. To the extend it comes through backlog, that it typically rolls on more in the 10% range, slightly at or above the segment margins in both segments. It depends, but it should largely be increasing volumes on existing platforms that would drive the volume increase that we expect over the next two years.

Dan Levy

Analyst · your question.

Looks great, thank you. And for the follow-up, I want to go to Slide 7, your mitigation actions. Ray, maybe you could just give us a sense on the cost side, you are talking about some footprint consolidation, some restructuring. I guess we were under the impression that you were fairly optimize. So how much is there in terms of [Indiscernible] fruit versus stuff that needs real, you know, restructuring expenses can be a little tougher to execute. And then maybe you can also address the point on the exiting low return product lines. What products are those exactly? How much of that revenue do those account for the margin and what's the impetus for exiting these products now?

Ray Scott

Analyst · your question.

Well, why don't -- I think there's been a lot that's changed. And you're right, we're a very efficient company, historically, obviously focused on operational excellence. And a crisis, where they say don't ever waste a good crisis. And what happened in South America, because of the volatility around volume production, changes in schedules, those types of things. We looked at how we could combine different administrative rules between these systems in Seating. And for example, engineering, purchasing logistics, right now, we have decentralized organization within Seating and E-Systems that are somewhat autonomous and independent. And so in South America, we found there were some real nice synergies between the group from application engineering, shared resources on logistics, administrative roles both sales and marketing, financials type of thing. We're able to get it some continuation of being more efficient in the manufacturing. And I think the bulk of the opportunity really became clearer in manufacturing. We combined in some cases, like wiring has KSK, which is very similar to Just-in-Time on the wiring side. And our Just-in-Time manufacturing capabilities. We combine the two product groups together to really utilize and take full advantage of our efficiencies within our plant. One thing we recognized, yes, we were able to scale and gain efficiencies between the two product groups and it helped efficiency within the product itself, but then we're able to flex our labor. And I think it's something that's really important now and what we're seeing is our customers are definitely moving away from what used to be a global platform to a more localized, manufacturing footprint. And so we're aggressively looking at how we can flex our footprint. You see we're always moving to facilities that can run both ice and electric vehicles and then switch between different platforms.…

Jason Cardew

Analyst · your question.

and other core electronic products in a way from audio and lighting, which will ramp down over a five-year time horizon. And there is some restructuring associated with that, mostly just the closure of one factory in Europe. The other assets around cord sets and inverters that revenue on those programs more modest. So the most significant is the audio and lighting exit.

Ray Scott

Analyst · your question.

And I think just to, I mean, we've been very selective on where we're spending our engineering dollars and the world is changing extremely quick, particularly in the E-Systems business. And we've tried to highlight very specifically where we're focused on power electronics when we talked about in some of these engineered programs and we talked about the battery disconnect unit that we've been engineering and designing for last several years. We've gained extensive knowledge and patterns and expertise around that, and we see that accelerate, that scenario with our focus. Integrated pilot modules, that is something we're very good at with our thermal management, our efficiencies, our ability to deliver, our cost management. We've picked up some really nice wins in that area and we see that continuing to be an area of investment for us. And the battery module connectors we just recently won. A really good program and that's relatively new, but man, do we have great capabilities when we talk about across Lear and I mentioned it with our ability with structures and then the combination of the eminent acquisition in our own internal power management capabilities. We hit a home run there and that couldn't be more proud of the team for what we won so we are being very selective. We understand the need to look at areas where we can grow profitably and what's exciting. Like I mentioned earlier, is the new business that's rolling on in the E-Systems, in particular, is accreative and is the next-generation of derivatives in engineering changes that we've made that are much more efficient. And so we're going to be selective. We have like Jason just mentioned, we've targeted the business, we're winding down and we're going to then focus on where we can grow the business profitably.

Dan Levy

Analyst · your question.

If I could just clarify, I know you raised your restructuring costs here on based on what you're saying here. But what does this imply for go-forward restructuring costs beyond this year?

Jason Cardew

Analyst · your question.

I wouldn't. I think it's too early to say, Dan, and it depends on the magnitude of the opportunity. And as we've said in the past, we typically target a one to two year payback on our restructuring investments. And so it depends on how much of this opportunity fits into that payback equation, but I wouldn't adjust your model at this stage for a meaningful change in restructuring without also adjusting the earnings that results from those same actions in that one to two year payback target range.

Dan Levy

Analyst · your question.

Great, thank you.

Jason Cardew

Analyst · your question.

You're welcome.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, our final question today comes from John Murphy from Bank of America. Please go ahead with your questions.

John Murphy

Analyst

Good morning, guys. I'll just get to the first question, I mean, you haven't really addressed the fact that the schedules are incredibly volatile right now, and that's creating issues for you, but if you think about this in combination with raw spiking its antithetical to the beauty of the Seating model, that you have a variable cost structure and capacity to lot of your raw material costs. I mean you're getting caught with raw just on timing and you're getting caught on this volatility, which means that your variable costs essentially become fixed. I'm just curious Ray how you think about that. I mean, it sounds like you've got a lot of consultants running around telling you that things have changed, but they haven't, it's just these market conditions that are really creating a variable cost structure or making something look more fixed that it traditionally is. And as these things normalize, these issues will work out. I mean, how are you thinking about this? Because I mean, it seems like it's just at the moment that the model it seems a little bit wonky, but the model really is quite good when things normalize.

Ray Scott

Analyst

Yeah. I don't disagree with you, I'm clarifying the consult. I think there's some areas where we can gain benefits and Jason alluded to it. It's going to be over time, but it does play into some of the requests from our customers on having more flexible manufacturing footprint. So set that aside. I do agree with you. And I look at this way though. I'm going to be very clear. I've told everyone we're not going to be a victim. I mean, I'm not going to sit here and hope that this this half is better than the next half for this year, but we got started operating in what's in front of us, and that's exactly what we're doing. And I do think there's opportunities within Seating to really rationalize what we're and how we're running. Our facilities, that it would be Seating is a good business when we look at it, we do have good customer relationships. And we're negotiating those settlements as far as inflationary costs, all customer first are slightly different than how they're handling it. But I do believe over time, we're going to get some reasonable agreement with each one of our customers on the jet model. And it is a bit of cost structure, we have in balancing the best of our ability right now. I hope you want to add something?

Jason Cardew

Analyst

I think the only thing I would add, reason to bring in health is exposing our thought process to some outside expertise, it's really arms and legs to help us accelerate the plan and evaluate different alternatives. And this is being done, I think in a very proactive manner, trying to anticipate where the industry is going over the next five-years to make sure that our footprint in our approach to manufacturing puts us in a position to continue taking share in both segments and CNN and E-Systems where we are seeing significant growth in both cases.

John Murphy

Analyst

Okay, good. That's helpful. And then just a second question on the vertical integration and you're going deeper in that direction. It seems like your customers are receptive to that. We've kind of, over the last few decades, heard this go back and forth right on vertical to not -- I'm just curious what do you think has changed here? I mean, and obviously you could get vertically integrated. You're going to want to make more money for more value-add, but the automakers have traditionally pulled the seat apart and tried the price pieces separately. I mean, why is this really kind of changing in this direction at the moment? I know you bring a lot up to the table. You can do a lot of the integration and the product work yourself. But I mean, traditionally they've gone in the other direction. I just -- are they just so tied up with AV and EV investments they're like -- they're finally saying here, you guys are very confident this. You take it or what's changed at the moment?

Ray Scott

Analyst

Yeah. I've lived through all those cycles too, where it's gone up and down back and forth. We have control, we don't have control. I think what I'm seeing now and what I'm hearing from the customers is, one is your point. They have a tremendous amount of investment and work that they are focused it on other parts of the business. And so they're in need of resources, there need of redeploying their human capital in different ways to focus on some of the technologies and the changes within the vehicle. But I also think what is really important I think -- I talk about is creating that value proposition. You have to give them an appreciation for value proposition that works for both parties. And what we're doing. And I look at the Seating and I've been around long time where the seat has been layered on component, on component, on component, on component without a holistic look at how you really pull this all together in the most efficient manner. And I think the thermal comfort management system is a great example. And why we've gotten recently two customers that are willing to allow us to source those components. Obviously, you have to meet the specification, the quality requirements and costs and all that fun stuff, but it's the combination of foam and trim and plus pads and then you start taking the components that are the blowers and the bags and the heat modules and the electric harnesses. And you start looking at those, we can cut 50% of the part usage. I mean, obviously that ties into efficiency. That's the value proposition and it's from an efficiency standpoint for consumer standpoint and cost standpoint, much superior. And so that's what I'm seeing, is that if you give them a value proposition that says, listen, here's your targets, I can meet your targets and I can give you this value proposition which increased efficiency is more from a customer perspective, appealing. And that's what I'm saying. And so there is -- and I also think that they have other things they are focused on. I think coming in with the proposal that helps them say, okay, you go deal with that. There's a benefit there too, but I think it's the value proposition that we're offering them in combination with our expertise.

John Murphy

Analyst

And then just lastly on E-Systems, and the rebalancing of the portfolio, sounds like you're getting more aggressive there and that makes a lot of sense. I'm just curious where you think this ultimately lands and who the competitive set is. I mean, you [Indiscernible]. I mean, you've been playing with all these these companies and going up against them for a long time. But it sounds like you're getting into heavier space. I'm just curious if you're running into new competitors in and how far you can take this in, what you're right to play is as you get into more high voltage and more complex or simplified architectures.

Ray Scott

Analyst

Well, we've been going head-to-head against some of the traditional names that you mentioned in winning business. And so we can compete against those guys every day. And there are new entrants and new competitors coming into the space. And I think when we think it through, and let's just take it, break it down. We broke it down to power distribution and connectors. And we've done an incredible job competing against the traditionals. And that's more of a traditional space, I'm not seeing a lot of new entrants there, but the combination of us acquiring M&N, and then also partnering with some companies that allow us to use their library has accelerated our vertical integration play in wiring. And on the electronic side, I think what's important, I think before we were trying to be everything to everybody. And the world has changed with some of the technology innovation within electronics. And we've really honed in on what we believe is our core competencies and where we can deliver again that value proposition. And I mentioned in power electronics, it's really integrated power modules. We've been in that business back to the original volt days. We have tremendous experience on battery chargers, what we're doing with DC-DC inverters on our battery monitoring systems. Now those have all come together under an integrated power module. And so I think our vast knowledge and expertise over the years has helped us to continue to grow that business. And then really getting focused on where our core capabilities are, Like I mentioned, I don't think we're going to be everything to everybody, but where we participate, we're really damn good at it, and that's been successful for us. And so, the slide that I had on the deck on page 11 was…

John Murphy

Analyst

Great. Thank you very much, guys.

Ray Scott

Analyst

Thank you. Okay, so I think probably the only one left on the phone is the Lear's team. I just want to thank you for all your hard work its another tough quarter, but its really good results given what we're facing, and thank you for all your efforts and your hard work.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, the conference has now concluded. We do thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your line.