Earnings Labs

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation (LINC)

Q3 2019 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 14, 2019

$39.50

-0.40%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Q3 2019 Lincoln Educational Services Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions]I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Michael Polyviou, EVC Group. Thank you. Please go ahead sir.

Michael Polyviou

Analyst

Thank you, Dylan, and good morning, everyone. Before the market opened today, Lincoln Educational Services issued its release reporting financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2019. The release is available on the Investor Relations portion of the company’s corporate website, at www.lincolntech.edu.Joining us today on the call are Scott Shaw, President and CEO; and Brian Meyers, Chief Financial Officer. Today’s call is being broadcast live on the company’s website and a replay of the call will be archived on the company’s website.Statements made by Lincoln’s management today, during today’s call regarding the company’s business that are not historical facts may be forward-looking statements as the term is identified in federal securities laws. The words may, will, expect, believe, anticipate, project, planned, intend, estimate, and continue as well as similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements.Forward-looking statements should not be read as a guarantee of future performance or results. The company cautions you that these statements reflect current expectations about the company’s future performance or events and are subject to a number of uncertainties, risks and other influences, many of which are beyond the company’s control and may influence the accuracy of the statements in the projections upon, which the statements are based.Factors that may affect the company’s results include, but are not limited to the risks and uncertainties discussed in the Risk Factors section of the Annual Report on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.Forward-looking statements are based on information available at the time those statements are made and/or management’s good faith belief as of the time with respect to the future events. All forward-looking statements are qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement and Lincoln undertakes no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise after the date thereof.Now, I'd like to turn the call over to Scott Shaw, President and CEO of Lincoln Educational Services. Scott please go ahead.

Scott Shaw

Analyst

Thank you, Michael, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our call today to discuss another solid quarter, again demonstrating our continued progress through improved operating and financial performance.We are on the cusp of attaining our long-term goal to achieve top line growth and consistent sustained profitability as we continue to execute our operating plan. We have now reported same school student start growth, increasing student graduation placement rates and improved operating leverage for the past eight quarters.For the third quarter, same school revenue grew 4.8% as we continue to experience strong growth from our Healthcare and Other Professions segment, which rose 9.3%. Our Transportation and Skilled Trades segment again performed well and increased 3.2%.Student starts on a same school basis were up 3.4% and we continue to experience student start and revenue growth as well as profitability across both segments. And while I don't want to sound like a broken record, we are achieving these results during a historically low unemployment period. These results illustrate that the success of the plan we designed and implemented counter the employment cycle.However, it also took determination and commitment from everyone at Lincoln from the Board of Directors, senior executives, the entire team. Rather than reducing our advertising spending, it was critical to identify and invest in targeted marketing channels to attract students and our positive results to-date encourage us to continue with additional investments going forward.At the same time, the high cost of a four-year college education and the debt burden that comes with it are becoming a national discussion and is not going away anytime soon. More and more people are asking the right questions such as is college right for me? Is a college degree truly going to help me? What is it that makes me happy?So, when students…

Brian Meyers

Analyst

Thanks, Scott and good morning, everyone. I'd like to begin my comments today with a review of our top line performance during the third quarter, followed by highlights from our segments and lastly, I'll conclude by reiterating our 2019 guidance. First, total revenue for the quarter improved $2.5 million or 3.6% over the prior year and on a same-school basis revenue was higher by $3.3 million or 4.8%.We continue to experience growth in both student starts and average student population, achieving 3.4% and 4.5% respectively over the prior year on a same-school basis. We are proud to report that the third quarter represents the eighth consecutive quarter of start growth during a challenging operating environment.Our consecutive start growth reflects the successful execution of marketing initiatives that continue to yield positive results. Our cost per start for the nine months is down demonstrating both marketing effectiveness and greater returns on our marketing investment.Now focusing on our segment performance. Revenue for our Transportation and Skilled Trades segment increased by $1.6 million or 3.2% to $52.7 million for the third quarter. The increase in revenue was due to our continued start growth, which drove a 2.4% increase in average student population quarter-over-quarter.Operating income increased by $400,000 to $6.8 million from the prior year quarter. This increased profitability was driven by higher revenue and reduced rent expense as a result of us successful lease negotiating at two of our campuses during the year. As a result, we anticipate achieving roughly $1 million in annualized rent savings.We experienced an increase in educational expenses as a direct result of our growing student population. Selling, general and administrative expenses increased due to a higher bad debt expense, mainly resulting from revenue growth along with a slight deterioration of our historical repayment rates.Turning to our HOPS segment performance.…

Operator

Operator

Thank you, sir. [Operator Instructions] I show our first question comes from Alex Paris from Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

Chris Howe

Analyst

Good morning, everyone. This is Chris Howe sitting in for Alex Paris.

Scott Shaw

Analyst

Hi, Chris.

Chris Howe

Analyst

Hi. Congrats on the quarter. In no specific order, you had mentioned in the past the degree granting application in New Jersey. As I look at this opportunity that you have within your existing base of LPNs, how should we characterize or put boundaries around the potential that you have in converting these LPNs to the program?

Scott Shaw

Analyst

Sure. So first of all there's a lot of timing issues here. So we've applied to the State of New Jersey for degree granting, we did that in the summer. And we're hoping in the next three months or so to hear back from them that we've attained that status. Then want to go and apply to the Board of Nursing for the RN program.So the earliest that it would maybe happen is at the end of next year and with a lot of RN programs your first year is limited. So we'll maybe have 20 or 40 starts for that program. So it's really not going to start impacting us dramatically until latter part of 2021. But the huge potential is just what you're getting to. Basically, 99% of our LPN would like to become RN. So that is a rich pool of people for us to tap into, now continue their education to become RNs. We literally have had thousands of LPNs graduate in New Jersey as well as there's just a strong demand by itself for RNs. And so it really will open up a great opportunity for us at our three health care schools in New Jersey, but it will be – his is – we're investing for the future here.

Chris Howe

Analyst

That's great. Thank you for the color. And I guess moving on that, you're seeing the demand for RNs. Transitioning to the skills gap that's ever prevalent in this country as we look at that and relate it to different geographic opportunities in other words where the skills gap is wider, how should we think about that opportunity as it pertains to optimizing your footprint with additional campus and increasing that awareness in these pockets of growth that we could see narrowing of the skills gap and further potential for income opportunities for these prospective students?

Scott Shaw

Analyst

Sure. Well, I would say certainly from an employer's perspective, I see no difference in any part of the country from the demand that the employers are coming to us where all of our schools are today. We definitely have more job openings than we have students. However, we also as we continue to partner with industry, have our industry partners asking for us to go into new geographies to better serve them. Though, the one that jumps to mind that they all want us in, which I'm not quite sure we're going to jump in right away is California.Just from a regulatory standpoint, it's a little bit challenging out there. So – so that maybe settles down or the right opportunity comes around, we wouldn't be going into that market, but there clearly are other markets for us to be looking at. We only have one school in Texas. We have no schools in Florida. There are other schools in the south that could benefit from having a school like ours and our employers would benefit from that.So there definitely is an opportunity to expand our footprint into, I'd say more to South and the West as potential areas. But with that said, we also have pockets of opportunity in and around some of our existing campuses. And so what's so exciting frankly is that, the opportunities are increasing for us. I mean, as far as the demand and the need for what we're doing and from the number of people coming to us seeking some way to help them solve their problems.

Chris Howe

Analyst

Great. And my last question, the corporate partnerships continues to do well. As you look at the mix of your corporate partnerships as of right now that seems to be there's more of a weight towards automotive. But how should we look at the diversification of this mix across your different skills-based training into 2020 and beyond? And how you see this as being more material to revenue and related enrollments?

Scott Shaw

Analyst

Yeah. Well, definitely, you are correct that we have a strong presence on the automotive side. Obviously, that's a long heritage of ours and it's our largest program. But I really see more opportunities arising from our skilled trade side using our electrical or HVAC or welding and if we end up rolling out plumbing those fields. Those are aspects that we are seeing interest from kind of a broad range of the industries from manufacturers to maintenance to organizations. And we've mentioned before our initiative with the Food Processing Association creating a technician program.We are working closely with Johnson Controls. Right now, it's more on the electrical side, but they have with New York a strong demand on the HVAC side, they're more commercial. Today, we're more residential. So we're having conversations with them about well how can we enhance our program to broaden our offering to have more of an industrial commercial aspect to our HVAC program? So again, these opportunities are there for us. And we're going to continue to explore them and put the resources needed in order to unlock these opportunities for us.

Chris Howe

Analyst

Thank you, Scott. That's all I have for right now. I'll hope back in the queue.

Scott Shaw

Analyst

Okay. Thanks, Chris.

Brian Meyers

Analyst

Thanks, Chris.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] I show no further questions in the queue. At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Scott Shaw, CEO for closing remarks. Please go ahead.

Scott Shaw

Analyst

Great. Thank you all for joining us today. We remain committed to our students and to the long-term success of our company. I thank all the employees at Lincoln for their hard work and we look forward to sharing our continued success with you all in the New Year. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.