John S. Quinn
Analyst · Raymond James
Thanks, Rob. Good morning, and thank you for joining us today. I'm going to speak to a few highlights of the financial statements and then provide some color around our guidance thoughts for the balance of the year. Starting with revenue. This is our second quarter reporting revenue in excess of $1 billion. Revenue in Q2 was $1,007,000,000, representing a 32.5% growth over the second quarter of last year. Acquisitions grew -- drove 29% of the growth, representing $220 million. Our organic growth was 3.7% in total and parts and services organic growth was 6.3%. Please note that the parts and services growth number includes revenue associated with the new branches opened by ECP since our acquisition. This contributed about 120 basis points to the growth. Revenue for ECP was $165 million in the quarter, and while we didn't own ECP in Q2 last year, we believe it grew 22% over the same quarter last year when it billed $135 million. I'd also point out that we saw negative organic revenue change of 8.2% in other revenue. Other revenues were, we record, scrap and core sales. This negative organic growth was almost entirely driven by a fall in scrap prices, particularly aluminum from our furnace operations. We also saw a drop in scrap steel, we estimated we saw an 8.3% drop in scrap for our crush cars on a year-over-year basis. Total gross of other revenue was positive 90 basis points primarily due to acquisitions slightly more than offsetting the fall in pricing. Right now with the revenue conversation, we did see about a negative 30 basis point impact from foreign exchange on our revenue. This primarily relates to the Canadian dollar as we get in to the anniversary of thee acquisition in Q4 2011 of ECP. After Q3 2012, this number may be a little more volatile, with a larger base of foreign revenue coming into play. In Q2 2012, revenue for our self-service business was $84 million or 8.3% of LKQ's total revenue. Approximately 33% of this revenue was part sales included in recycled and related products and 67% scrap and core sales included in other revenue. Our reported gross margin was $422 million or 41.9% of revenue. Last year, we reported a gross margin of 42.4%, so our gross margin fell 50 basis points year-over-year. Included in this change, the legal settlement that Rob mentioned, was $8.4 million or a favorable 80 basis point impact. This is partially offset by ECP which caused a 40 basis point unfavorable impact year-over-year. And Rob mentioned that we saw scrap prices fall during the quarter. We estimate the impact from the fallen scrap prices was $0.02 or about 50 basis points. And we also paid more for some of our self-serve cars, which caused an additional 50 basis point compression to our margins. The balance of the margin changes were primarily mix. Our facility, warehouse, distribution and SG&A expenses were 29.4% of revenue in Q2 2012 compared to 30.2% in 2011 Q2. Rob and I were pleased to see that we appear to be getting a bit of leverage out of these cost again, as well as revenue is growing. Facility and warehouse costs were 8.2% of revenue compared to 9.1% in Q2 last year. This decrease was primarily due to adding ECP, which has a lesser amount of facility and warehouse expenses than out North American operations. However, having said that, we did see about a 20 basis point labor savings in the North American operations. Distribution costs were flat at 9.1%, both this quarter and the same quarter last year. ECP drove the 20 basis point increase which is offset by lower fuel costs in North America. Selling and G&A expenses were 12.1% of revenue in Q2 this year compared to 12% last year. ECP actually drove this percentage 50 basis points higher, but we saw improvements in North America, contributing 40 basis points of improvement as we saw some leverage in both the sales and administrative costs. During the quarter, we recorded $2.2 million of restructuring and acquisition-related expenses. Depreciation and amortization for the quarter increased $3.6 million to $15.4 million primarily as a result of acquisitions. The amortization of intangibles and depreciation associated with ECP was the primary driver of the increase. Net interest expense of $7.4 million was $2.7 million higher than the same quarter last year. This increase was mainly due to our higher debt levels, but we did see an improvement in our average borrowing cost. Our effective borrowing rate on our bank borrowings was 3.2% in Q2 2012 compared to 3.4% in Q2 2011. We are showing an expense related to the change in contingent consideration liabilities of $1.2 million. That's primarily related to accretion on the liabilities we've recorded. Our tax rate for the quarter was 36.8% compared to 38.4% in Q2 last year. We continue to see some benefit from the lower foreign tax rates as we earn more income offshore. On a reported basis, diluted earnings per share was $0.43 in Q2 2012 compared to $0.32 in Q2 2011, an increase of $0.11 or 34%. Last year, we included a $0.01 of restructuring costs offset by $0.01 of several adjustments to contingent purchase price. We view last year as being $0.32 on an adjusted basis. In Q2 this year, the $0.43 includes $0.04 income related to the legal settlement and $0.02 expense related to the restructuring costs and acquisition purchase prices. On an adjusted basis, Q2 2012 EPS would've been $0.41, again compared to an adjusted 32% for last year. A few comments on the 6-month year-to-date cash flows and uses of cash. Cash flow from operations for the first 6 months of 2012 was $121 million compared to $101 million in 2011, an improvement of $20 million. Year-to-date, EBITDA improved $65 million, but we had higher interest expense of $4 million and $19 million higher cash taxes in 2012. In 2012, we've made additional investments in inventory. The investments were $11 million higher in Q -- in 2012 compared to 2011. We did this particularly to support the growth in the U.K, which accounts for $27 million of the $31 million total increase in our year-to-date inventory growth. Compared to 2011, we also saw higher payroll expenses, being an $11 million greater use of cash. Year-to-date, we've spent $42 million on capital expenditures. We've also spent $120 million on acquisitions, of which $95 million was in the second quarter. As of June 30, 2012, we had $1 billion of debt and cash and cash equivalents of $59 million. These figures compare to the $956 million of debt and the $48 million of cash and cash equivalents at December 31, 2011. Availability under our credit facility at quarter end was $395 million after taking into account letters of credit drawn against it. With the cash of $59 million on our balance sheet, our total availability is $454 million. At quarter end, our debt under the credit facility was 66% fixed and 34% floating. Now turn to guidance. As we've stated in the past, our guidance excludes any restructuring costs and transactions costs, gains and losses in contingent purchase price adjustments and capital expenditures or cash flow related to acquisitions. We increased our guidance for organic revenue growth from parts and services to 5.5% to 7%. You'll note that after a soft Q1 we improved to 6.3% rate in Q2. Year-to-date, we've achieved a 4.9% growth, but we expect the second half of the year to be stronger as we don't expect to have the weather impacts we had in Q1 and in Q4 we'll start reporting all of ECP's growth as organic. Our revised guidance for net income is $265 million to $282 million, which equates to $1.77 to $1.88 diluted earnings per share. This change incorporates into our guidance the legal settlement gain recognized in Q2. We've left unchanged our guidance for cash flow from operations of $250 million to $280 million and we continue to expect our capital spending to be in the $100 million to $115 million range. As normal, I'll give you an update on some of the larger things Rob and I consider that could impact the guidance. Rob mentioned that we're on pace to open 30 new branches with ECP. I mentioned in the last few calls that new branches are generally unprofitable for a few months, so that development activity will be a bit of a drag in 2012 earnings particularly since the remaining branches will be opening later in the year. I still believe it's a strategic thing to do because in the long run we'll see these locations contributing both to dollars and operating income. The original cash flow guidance didn't contemplate as much inventory build as these branches required, so although we brought up the bottom end of the income guidance, we haven't changed the cash flow guidance until we get a better understanding of the impact of the accelerated growth in the U.K. and how it could impact our cash flow. On the North American side of the business, we started with a fairly low, at least for us, organic growth, which we attributed to the severe winter in 2011 and the mild winter in 2012. Rob mentioned that it appears we're getting into more normalized weather patterns, and people seem to be responding to lower gas prices by driving a bit more. But if the economy slows and Q4 is mild, that could be a risk to our assumptions. Moving on to scrap prices, let me explain what happened in Q2 and what we've seen so far this quarter. Prices in April and May for scrap steel were fairly stable, but we saw a drop in June and we have seen another drop in July. We have adjusted our car volumes fairly well because we think that we'll have a return to more normal gross margin dollar per car, going forward. But we have a couple of months of backlog to work through. I mentioned that we believe that scrap impacted our EPS by $0.02 in Q2. Based on July prices and our inventory turns, we think we probably have another $0.02 to $0.04 impact that will hit us in Q3. Obviously, we haven't completed July, so this is our current best estimate. The full year guidance assumes pricing roughly in line with today's scrap prices. Scrap steel is approximately 25% lower at the moment than we saw in Q3 last year and is approximately 80 -- 18%, than we've averaged in Q2 2012. LKQ doesn't give line item or quarterly guidance, but I did want to make you aware of the potential impact of this drop on other revenue where we record scrap and core sales. Total other revenue was 13% of our total revenue in Q2 this year compared to 17% or 18% in Q2 last year. So our exposure as a percentage of our revenue to commodity prices continues to lessen, but as we repeatedly pointed out, they can cause short-term fluctuations in our EPS. The decline in scrap pricing is going to impact gross margins for at least the first 2 quarters -- excuse me, at least the first 2 months of Q3. Again, we don't give quarterly guidance but I do expect to see some pressure we had on Q2 gross margins carry into Q3. And then assuming that scrap remains stable, we'd see some recovery in Q4 relative to Q3. Rob mentioned our car buying. The average price we paid at auction for recycled cars has been fairly stable for several quarters. We have seen a slight tick down the back half of June, but that may simply be the fall in commodity value built into the cars. Having said that, the Manheim used car index will start to move off its peak if used car prices start to fall, and that impacts our cost beyond the impact of scrap, but we may start to see margins and the late model recycle business improve later this year. Finally, the precious metals processing acquisition completed this quarter is similar to our furnace operations in that they process a high volume of lower-margin revenue. We expect this acquisition to negatively impact our Q3 gross margins by approximately 30 to 50 basis points. We value this company on its own merits and cash flows, but we believe it will allow us to achieve better yields from the non-ferrous metals we get out of cars such as the platinum in the catalytic converter. When Rob and I look at that, we believe that if we can achieve an extra $2 or $3 per vehicle with an annual car purchase and around 700,000 units, the acquisition would provide a very attractive return to our shareholders. I'd like to turn the microphone back to Rob to summarize before we open the call to questions.