Earnings Labs

LKQ Corporation (LKQ)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 19, 2026

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining the LKQ Corporation's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Lucy, and I'll be coordinating your call today. [Operator Instructions] It is now my pleasure to hand over to your host, Joe Boutross, Vice President of Investor Relations, to begin. Please go ahead.

Joseph Boutross

Analyst

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to LKQ's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. With us today are Justin Jude, LKQ's President and Chief Executive Officer; and Rick Galloway, our Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Please refer to the LKQ website at lkqcorp.com for our earnings release issued this morning as well as the accompanying slide presentation for this call. Now let me quickly cover the safe harbor. Some of the statements that we make today may be considered forward-looking. These include statements regarding our expectations, beliefs, hopes, intentions or strategies. Actual events or results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of various factors. We assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. For more information, please refer to the risk factors discussed in our Form 10-K and subsequent reports filed with the SEC. During this call, we will present both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures is included in today's earnings press release and slide presentation. Hopefully, everyone has had a chance to look at our 8-K, which we filed with the SEC earlier today. And as normal, we are planning to file our 10-K in the coming days. And with that, I'm happy to turn the call over to our CEO, Justin Jude.

Justin Jude

Analyst

Thanks, Joe, and good morning to everyone joining us on the call today. Before we get into the quarter, I want to start with an important message to our LKQ team. This past year tested us in meaningful ways, and yet it also showcased the strength, discipline and resilience of LKQ. We accomplished a lot in 2025 and are focused on keeping this momentum going in 2026. In February of last year, I committed to delivering $825 million of free cash flow in 2025. And despite multiple headwinds, our colleagues around the world executed, adapted and delivered on that commitment. Importantly, we also made meaningful progress simplifying our portfolio. The divestiture of our self-service segment was a key element of the simplification strategy we outlined at our 2024 Investor Day, and we delivered on that commitment in 2025. Transactions of this scale and complexity require significant leadership focus and discipline. Executing successfully in the midst of a challenging year across our global enterprise reflects the strength of our teams and our ability to deliver against our strategy. I am proud of the outcome and our continued focus on creating long-term value for shareholders. The headwinds of 2025 were real and significant, a continued decline in repairable claims, the impact of tariffs and persistent softness in the European market. Any one of those would have been a challenge on its own. Taken together, they created a difficult environment. And yet our people found ways to serve customers, maintain discipline and deliver on our free cash flow commitment. That is an exceptional achievement and a testament to the grit of our employees. As many of you are aware, in late January of 2026, LKQ's Board of Directors formally initiated a comprehensive review. Given the strength of our underlying performance, even in the…

Rick Galloway

Analyst

Thank you, Justin, and welcome to everyone joining us today. Before turning to the fourth quarter, I'd like to echo Justin's comments on some of our accomplishments from 2025. We completed the sale of our self-service business, further simplifying the portfolio and sharpening our focus on core assets. We delivered strong free cash flow in what remained a challenging market environment, and we continue to aggressively reduce costs through restructuring and productivity initiatives to better align our cost structure with demand. In Europe, these actions improved the efficiency of our logistics footprint and reduced facilities and overhead costs. In North America, we focused on rationalizing overhead to more efficiently serve our customer base. Turning to fourth quarter results for continuing operations. We reported revenues of $3.3 billion, up 2.7% year-over-year. Diluted earnings per share were $0.29, which includes a $52 million or approximately $0.20 per share goodwill impairment related to our specialty business. On an adjusted basis, diluted EPS was $0.59 compared to $0.78 in the prior year on a comparable basis. It's worth highlighting that the prior year included a $0.10 per share benefit from a nonrecurring legal settlement in North America. Our balanced capital allocation strategy contributed positively to earnings with share repurchases and interest expense each adding $0.01 and favorable FX and tax rates contributing an additional $0.02 each. These benefits were more than offset by organic revenue declines and lower EBITDA in North America and Europe. For the full year, diluted EPS was $2.31 and adjusted diluted EPS was $3.01, at the lower end of the range we guided to in October. Free cash flow in the quarter was $274 million, bringing full year free cash flow to $847 million, exceeding our expectations and driven primarily by trade working capital initiatives. We returned $116 million to…

Justin Jude

Analyst

Thanks, Rick. Before we begin Q&A, I'd like to note some positive early signs of improving market conditions in North America. We're seeing lower insurance premiums, rising used car prices and major insurers suggesting claims could return to historical patterns by late 2026. At the same time, as I've emphasized on our second quarter and 2025 call, we will not build a recovery into our base case until we see it clearly materialize in the marketplace. We are being cautious and conservative as we enter 2026. Stepping back, I'm highly optimistic about the future of our company. We begin this year on stronger operational footing with a more focused organization. Our foundation is solid. Our opportunities are compelling, and our people continue to prove why LKQ is such a powerful organization. Operator, we'll now open the line up for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question today is from Scott Stember of ROTH Capital.

Scott Stember

Analyst

Yes, just a follow-up on the comments about, I guess, some potential green shoots in North America. Just trying to maybe dive into that a little bit more. What are you hearing? And I know that there's a chance that maybe by the end of this year, but just trying to get a sense of the reality of when we could actually start to see things balance out.

Justin Jude

Analyst

Yes. Thanks for the questions. We're not only hearing it, but we're seeing it. I mean if you paid attention to some of the insurance premiums in 2025, they've been reduced around 6%. We expect those numbers to continue to drop, which will make insurance more affordable then consumers will lead to more -- there's the number of actions as we talked about in the past isn't really down. It's just a repairable claims. So people use insurance to get their vehicle repaired. And as insurance becomes more affordable, and we are seeing it become more affordable, that will be good for us. I think a large -- a couple of large carriers also mentioned that they're expecting to see claims increase in the back half of the year, which will drive their profits down, but obviously lead to more repairable claims and more cars getting fixed. In addition, we -- it's 1 month, but in January, we actually saw the Manheim saw the used car value increase 2.5% over December, but really up 2.5% or 2.4% year-over-year. So those are good things that lead to more cars getting repaired. So those are the kind of green shoots we talked about.

Scott Stember

Analyst

Got it. And then a follow-up question about Europe. Can you maybe talk about performance, both sales and, I guess, competition by market?

Justin Jude

Analyst

Yes. We won't disclose necessarily by market, but we are still seeing a lot of pressure in the overall demand, just the economies in most of the countries we operate are still struggling. A lot of consumers are cutting spending. That is leading to aggressive price cutting by some of our competition. I would say we were a little bit more aggressive in Q4 on combating price than we have in the past to make sure that we hold share. We intentionally increased our private label. So we've talked about it in the past to try to drive our private label to increase that adoption. We pushed it out in new markets and we pushed new product lines in our private label with introductory pricing. So that came in more aggressive. As we get that adoption rate up and we see the volume increase on our private label, we can then start moving pricing up. And as you can imagine, margins long term are better on private label, trade working capital is better on private label. But as we move in that private label and we're replacing some of those tertiary brands, we're not replacing the primary brands, but we replaced those second and third tier brands. We are -- we got a little bit more aggressive on prices of those to make sure that we're not left with excess inventory. So some of that was our own doing intentionally, but the majority of the headwinds that we see over there is still just market demand.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Jash Patwa of JPMorgan.

Jash Patwa

Analyst

I wanted to start with your comments on expanding relationships with MSOs. Could you maybe peel the onion a bit further and provide some color on the development and share gains with MSOs over the past year? Additionally, I'm curious if you could share any insights on the differential in alternative parts utilization between MSO and non-MSO customers. And I have a follow-up.

Justin Jude

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Jash. On the MSO side, I mean, if you look at the stats repairable claims, we said we were down around that 4% to 6% range, which is good news. It's improving. It's still down, but it's improving from prior quarters. But if we look at our volumes with MSOs compared to our volume with non-MSOs and then we back into what we feel market share gains have been had with MSOs, we're up, I would say, in the teens with the MSOs from an actual volume. Most MSOs that we talk to are probably flat to slightly up a few percent. So if you look at our share of wallet with the MSOs, that is outperforming their overall volume growth, and we're up with every MSO that we have today. So we just feel that the value prop that LKQ offers, competitive price, great quality of products, great service levels, it allows us to continue to win with the MSOs. We don't -- we won't report on the exact stats of APU by the MSOs. But for sure, with the MSOs, they have more direct contracts with insurance carriers that drives more alternative parts utilization as part of their agreements with the insurance company. So we do see as MSOs gain share, the APU grows. And so that's great for us. And the MSOs, as you can imagine, have much, much more volume at a rooftop level than a non-MSO. So we gain efficiencies just by delivering more products to them. So when the MSOs grow, it's been good for us.

Jash Patwa

Analyst

Understood. That's super helpful. And then just as a quick follow-up. We're starting to -- starting to enter an anticipatedly strong tax refund season that could bring customers back into collision repair shops. Wondering if you sense that optimism from your customers, maybe anecdotally or in terms of sourcing activity to date.

Justin Jude

Analyst

Yes. I mean that's a possibility. We haven't really talked with our customers about it. That hasn't been brought up, but that could be another green shoot that could benefit us.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Jeff Lick at Stephens Inc.

Jeffrey Lick

Analyst

Justin, one of the things that jumped out at us when we visited your facility in Dallas in December was just the growing presence of EVs. And now that we have a pretty big EV lease return cycle, I'm guessing there's not quite the robust parts network in EVs. Maybe you could just speak a little bit about the potential tailwinds of EVs to your salvage business and just to your all parts business?

Justin Jude

Analyst

Yes. I mean on the EV side, you would have seen probably a little bit more increase in EV just in that specific location than maybe in other areas because we have some agreements with a few OEMs where when the vehicle gets wrecked or totaled out, it comes to us. If you can think about dismantling some of these EVs, it's very dangerous. The touching a wrong terminal could cause fires and what have you. So they're very -- a lot of the OEs and some of the insurance companies are really concerned about dismantling these vehicles. So we tend to get a more lion's share of those EVs just because of our quality, our overall service level and our -- just our coverage. So we do see LKQ being able to capitalize on the EVs as they get out of the market, whether that's from providing parts off of it hoods, fenders, doors and what have you to other collision shops or some of the components on the recycling side. There's a big push to ensure that the battery and some of the commodities that go into the battery production or the motors get left in the U.S. And so whether we're talking to folks in D.C. or talking to some of the manufacturers of the battery or manufacturers of the vehicles, they become very interested in talking to LKQ just because of our coverage and our capability. So we see it as a good tailwind for us.

Jeffrey Lick

Analyst

And then as a follow-up on Europe for you, Rick, you guys have talked about the 200 basis point opportunity, and that was kind of predicated on, call it, flattish organic revenue. We're not needing organic revenue growth. I'm just wondering, obviously, at some point, there's a fine line as revenue leaks a little. But -- and then I also know the new team in place in Europe has found maybe some chunky stuff on efficiencies and costs. Just could you talk a little bit about the relationship of what's the art of the possible in terms of getting EBITDA margin expansion on a slightly negative revenue environment?

Rick Galloway

Analyst

Yes, Jeff, good question. The opportunity we have, the 200 basis points expansion that we talked about is mostly within our control. The vast majority is within our control. So when we're looking at the number, we're starting at a lower baseline than what we thought before. However, the 200 basis points of expansion is still within our control. And we're looking at the opportunity we have in the back half of the year, in particular, when I mentioned in my previous comments that we have the SKU rationalization opportunity, the reduction that we have that Justin mentioned in our overall reduction of SKUs that we've eliminated, we've eliminated over half of those items that we're going after. So in the back half of the year, we're expecting some of those to come through. I would still say we're still optimistic that we have the 200 basis points of margin expansion. We're going to be close to the double digits that we thought within 2026 and still aiming towards that 12% number that Justin has talked about in the past. That's still within range. So obviously, we want the market to recover, but we don't need a whole lot of market recovery in order for us to get that expansion that we've been talking about.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Craig Kennison of Baird.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

Justin, I wanted to dig into margin in North America. I mean you talked about competition, but LKQ is significantly larger than any single competitor there. So I'm trying to understand the source of that competition and how pervasive it might be across your competitive landscape.

Justin Jude

Analyst

Yes. The uniqueness of LKQ when it comes to pricing and competition really against most other aftermarket or most automotive sectors is we have both the competitors that provide alternative parts, so the salvage yards, the aftermarket distribution businesses as well as the OEMs. And when you're in a compressed market rep probable claims are down, everybody is fighting for more volume, sometimes folks feel that they're losing share, they start getting a little bit more aggressive on pricing. And so we see that on the OEM side. We see that on the aftermarket side. We still feel our right to win is better. We might have to give up prices on some parts such as A and B movers, but then we see the offset on some of the slower-moving stuff that we carry and our competition doesn't necessarily carry that in stock quickly to the customer. So we still feel that there's some pricing competition, but we can navigate through that using some of the AI technology that we've been implementing with one of our partners to just help us react quicker to that.

Craig Kennison

Analyst

And maybe you could just shed more light on your use of AI and how it can impact your pricing algorithms?

Justin Jude

Analyst

Yes. We had a pretty good system before. We've leveraged once like I said, a partner to help us get more real time, more reactive, looking at SKU, looking at a SKU down to a regional level, maybe even a shop level, understanding the demand. I mean if you look at the data that is existing out there, understanding the market, when I talked about repairable claims, we probably have more data combined than any other entity out there. And so how do we take that data, leveraging what the demand is, leveraging what the opportunity is and acting real time on pricing to make sure that we can have a right to win. And we're seeing even more opportunity, as I mentioned, on kind of the C&D movers where we have it and every time there's a quote, we're getting the sale. And so there's an opportunity for us to push price on that and maybe we need to offset price on some of the faster-moving stuff, but it's just becoming more real time down to the SKU level, down to the location level of the shop. So we have good sophistication to make sure that we have the right to win.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from John Babcock of Barclays.

John Babcock

Analyst

I just want to delve a little bit more into Europe. Can you just talk about the factors that impacted the business in 4Q versus what happened in 3Q? Just want to understand that a little bit more. And also if you could break that out between market-related factors and company-specific factors, that would be useful.

Justin Jude

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, John. I mean, the overall competition or I say competition, the market continued to deteriorate from Q3 to Q4. The overall uncertainty, consumer spending was down. The competitive pressure continued on. Some of the headwinds on the revenue side were somewhat self-inflicted intentionally. That was kind of in our guidance when we looked at the overall EPS that we may have to do this. And so the majority of the headwind on the volume is market. And when that market comes down, competitors get a little bit more aggressive on price. Once again, some of the headwinds was self-inflicted where we intentionally tried to replace and did replace volume of private label against the tertiary brands that exist out there. And when you're introducing the new products and you want to make sure that customer switches that brand over to you, we came out with introductory pricing. So there's a little bit of that headwind was us just getting more aggressive on pricing with the private label to get the adoption rate up. In addition, as that's replacing some of the delisted product, we cut the prices on some of that delisted product to make sure that it moved off the shelf and we didn't take any excess and obsolete. And so some of that stuff we will correct or I want to say correct because it was intentional. We will be able to move the pricing up on private label as the volume has grown. As a percentage of revenue, private label was roughly still flat from Q3 to Q4. But if you look at the actual volume of units, that number increased to around 25%. So we're seeing market adoption on the private label. We have the pricing power to be able to push that pricing up as the adoption comes. But it's still the majority of it is just that market headwind. But we're not standing still. As we mentioned and Rick talked about, we're still working on the integration to get the cost out of the business to make sure that when the market does recover, we'll be even that much stronger.

John Babcock

Analyst

All right. And in terms of '26, I mean, it sounds like you're expecting to get back up into the double digits there. Is pricing going to be part of that? Or what else are going to be the big drivers that are going to get you there?

Justin Jude

Analyst

Pricing will be part of that for sure. The majority of it is going to be things that we can control on the cost side. So I mentioned an ERP migration that we're going to do in a region in early Q2. That will be a catalyst to help us drive significant cost cutting on the business. So we are working at continuing to drive out -- drive productivity initiatives up, get some of the cost out, and we will be able to get some price as well in 2026. But the majority of it is things that we can control on the price -- I'm sorry, on the cost cutting side.

John Babcock

Analyst

Okay. And then just last question before I turn it over. Just on reparable claims in North America. Just kind of curious like how you're thinking about that in '26. Do you expect the trend to improve steadily? What are you thinking there?

Rick Galloway

Analyst

Yes. So in our number, John, what we've got is we said we're not going to put a lot of improvement into our forecast. So as Justin mentioned, there's a lot of good news that we're seeing. But until we see it actually in our numbers, we're not going to put it in our forecast or in our budget or guidance. So what we've got is similar to what we had in Q4, we're assuming that kind of goes through the full year of 2026 with a little bit of improvement throughout the year. So the back half of the year, we expect to be a little bit better than the first half of the year.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Bret Jordan of Jefferies.

Bret Jordan

Analyst

The comment about up with every MSO, I guess, market share in '25. Do you expect that to be the case in '26? Is there anything out there sort of moving around on longer-term volume contracts in the competitive landscape?

Justin Jude

Analyst

No. I mean we saw our share and our volume grow throughout 2025. Some contracts just became renewed. I don't see any risk. If anything, maybe some more growth on that side just because on the run rate coming out of 2025, we saw good improvement on that.

Bret Jordan

Analyst

Okay. And then within specialty, could you talk about the strength and obviously rebounding? Is it light vehicle or RV or both? I guess, as you look at maybe divesting that, is it strong across the board, supporting maybe a better valuation? Or is it sort of spotty where you're seeing the recovery?

Justin Jude

Analyst

It's across the board, both on the automotive side, the accessory side, obviously, and in the RV side. So it's good for us. And that process -- that process is still ongoing for the sale. It has been robust, great interest in it. And with the market recovering on both sides, once again, the automotive and the RV, we see that one being a pretty positive turn out.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Gary Prestopino of Barrington.

Gary Prestopino

Analyst

Question, Justin. In what you're experiencing in Europe, is that more or less just on the continent itself? Or does that also include U.K. operations? Because I seem to recall that when you bought Euro Car Parts years and years ago, that was a pretty steady business. So if you could parse that out. And if you don't want to do that, I understand.

Justin Jude

Analyst

Yes. So it is across the board in Europe. I mean there's pockets that are doing a little bit better than others. And U.K. was one that we talked about in the past that had -- the economy was tough over there, consumer spending and discretionary spending was low. The good news is we're still seeing vehicle aging grow. But right now, with the environment on the economic side, consumers are just still spending less. So it is across the board that we're seeing some pressure higher in some areas than others. And I know there are some markets in Europe that are positive and some of those markets are where we don't operate yet today. But overall, I would say, on average, it's really across all Europe.

Gary Prestopino

Analyst

And then just -- in Europe, are you doing things with recycled parts there in that market? I seem to recall you had some activities going on there versus there's very few recycled parts on the continent itself.

Justin Jude

Analyst

Yes. One of our initiatives has been to drive salvage or recycled parts over there and leveraging our North American talent and some of our processes over there. We have been in salvage in a very small scale. We've increased that volume with an acquisition of a joint venture with Ritchie Bros or Insurance Auto Auctions called SYNETIQ in the U.K. We see as we enter that space, there's more and more demand growing for green parts, more for used parts. The industry just needs a solid distributor of those parts to make sure that they can deliver on time and quality, and that's what we bring. And so we see that as a good growth opportunity, but we're still in, I would say, in the infancy stage as we introduce more and more recycled into those markets.

Operator

Operator

We have no further questions at this time. So I'd like to hand back to Justin for final remarks.

Justin Jude

Analyst

Thank you. I mean, for the group, I just want to make sure you guys know we remain highly, highly enthusiastic about our business. Despite the challenges of the environment in 2025, I feel our team successfully executed on our core business strategies. We streamlined our portfolio, generated strong -- very strong free cash flow and maintained a disciplined approach on capital allocation. The resilience of our underlying business, coupled with the anticipated market recovery in the latter half of 2026 should translate into positive results. And with that, we will conclude this call. Thank you, everyone, for joining.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.