Earnings Labs

Macy's, Inc. (M)

Q2 2016 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 11, 2016

$19.48

-2.65%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to Macy's, Incorporated second quarter 2016 earnings conference call. Today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Karen Hoguet. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Great, thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Macy's, Inc. conference call scheduled to discuss second quarter earnings and our outlook for the back half of the year. I'm Karen Hoguet, CFO of the company. Any transcription or other reproduction of the statements made on this call without our consent is prohibited. A replay of the call will be available on our website, www.macysinc.com, beginning approximately two hours after the call concludes. Please refer to the Investor Relations section of our website for discussion and reconciliations of any non-GAAP financial measures discussed this morning. Keep in mind that all forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause the company's actual results to differ materially from the expectations and assumptions mentioned today due to a variety of factors that affect the company, including the risks specified in the company's most recently filed Form 10-K and other SEC filings. While second quarter sales and earnings were still below last year, we were pleased with the improvement in our sales trend during the quarter. Our comp sales performance on an owned-plus-licensed basis was much improved from the first quarter on both on a one-year and on a two-year basis and sets us up well for the remainder of the year. I will talk this morning first about the quarter and then our outlook for the second half of the year and will also discuss the strategic announcements made today regarding our store portfolio and real estate opportunities. Sales in the second quarter were $5.866 billion, down 4% from last year. On a comp owned-plus-licensed basis, sales were down 2%. This compares to the 5.6% drop we experienced in the first quarter. On a two-year basis, the first quarter was down 2.9% per year and the second quarter down…

Operator

Operator

And we will take our first question from Paul Trussell of Deutsche Bank. Mr. Trussell, please turn off your mute function.

Paul E. Trussell - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Analyst

Good morning, Karen.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Hi, Paul.

Paul E. Trussell - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Analyst

Thank you for all the color. Maybe we can just start with the top line. You spoke about an improvement that you saw throughout the quarter as well as a little bit less negative tourism. As we think about the second half, what are the key drivers that you think can further accelerate the momentum you have in the business and perhaps start turning the comps toward positive in 2017?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

I think if I start by focusing on all those things that we are doing, it always starts with product and assortments as well as obviously offering the value that our customer wants, but we're supplementing that with improved service in our stores. As you know, we are investing in adding associates to help us with that. So we hope to have not only more sales associates but also continue to improve the training so that we have better associates. The mobile apps and what we're doing online should clearly help as well. So most of our focus is on what we can do internally to help make that happen. Obviously, if the tourist trends continue to be less bad, that would be positive. And obviously if we have a cold winter, that would be terrific as well. But all of our attention is focused on the parts we can control, and the key is having spectacular experiences both in-store and online and on our mobile apps.

Paul E. Trussell - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Analyst

Great. And then just to follow up, one, if you can, give us a little bit more detail on gross margin performance in the second quarter. Obviously, that came in better than plan. If you can, just walk us through how you were able to achieve that and any timing items or things that we should just keep in mind as we try to model out that line item going forward.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

I think the key is that sales were better than we had expected, and we have a terrific merchant team that was able to plan out the promotions and needed clearance markdowns to get our inventory in the shape that we were in at the end of the quarter and did so in a way that we were able to preserve the margin. Also, as I said, our Last Act clearance strategy is working well, and that helped as well.

Paul E. Trussell - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Analyst

And just a quick clarification, Karen, you're saying – you said earlier that you would have – you actually would have raised your EPS guidance by $0.10...

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, it's the opposite.

Paul E. Trussell - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Analyst

... if it wasn't for the real estate?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, all we're saying is we're keeping the guidance the same. But since we had given a number for Brooklyn of $86 million at the start of the year and now it appears like it's going to be $50 million less, I just want to make sure you've all thought about that in your models, but we're not changing guidance. So that did hurt our earnings by $0.10 a share, but we're not changing guidance.

Paul E. Trussell - Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc.

Analyst

Understood. Thank you for the clarification, good luck.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And we'll move to Lorraine Hutchinson of Bank of America.

Lorraine Maikis Hutchinson - Bank of America - Merrill Lynch Research

Analyst

Thank you, good morning.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Good morning.

Lorraine Maikis Hutchinson - Bank of America - Merrill Lynch Research

Analyst

Karen, you said that you would be able to cut costs to offset the EBITDA loss from the closed stores. Will that limit your overall longer-term cost reduction plan, or will these cost cuts be incremental?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, the key is, as you know, we're focused on getting our profitability back to the 14%, so we have been continuing to focus on are there ways of doing the business more efficiently to make that happen. So all of that activity is continuing and will help us offset the loss in EBITDA dollars from the store closings. Obviously, if we can preserve the EBITDA and have whatever the number turns out to be, roughly $1 billion less in sales, that will help our EBITDA rate and also, by the way, help us in terms of return on invested capital, so all good.

Lorraine Maikis Hutchinson - Bank of America - Merrill Lynch Research

Analyst

Yes, and then the AUR was up for the quarter. Was that a mix shift, or were there other factors involved there?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, AUR is a very tough number when you look at it in total. I'm sure there was some mix shift in there. But it also had to do with the fact that we were able to clear the inventory both through Last Act and earlier in the markdown cycle in a better way.

Lorraine Maikis Hutchinson - Bank of America - Merrill Lynch Research

Analyst

Great, thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And we will take a question from Lindsay Drucker Mann with Goldman Sachs. Lindsay Drucker Mann - Goldman Sachs & Co.: Thanks, good morning.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Good morning. Lindsay Drucker Mann - Goldman Sachs & Co.: I wanted to ask about the $1 billion of lost sales you estimated. I know it's still early from the 100 store closures. You talked about that being net of some sales recapture in other stores and potentially online. Are you able to disaggregate what's the gross versus net number and the potential of that to benefit comps in your existing store base?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Yes, we'll talk about it as we get the specific stores and where we are going forward. We have had a lot of success in retaining more of the sales than we used to be able to retain, both through marketing and also through our assortment decisions. And so as we model these out, we have estimates store by store, which depend on distance to the other store, how similar the stores are, et cetera, et cetera. But once we make the final decisions, Lindsay, we'll try to help you with that. Lindsay Drucker Mann - Goldman Sachs & Co.: Okay, great. And to follow up, we've heard from a number of your vendors a change in their thoughts on friends and family and couponing and promotional strategy. Are you guys also contemplating a shift in that strategy for next year?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, I wouldn't say we're contemplating a shift, but obviously we're working with our key vendors to make sure that we can keep their sales growing as much as they should and sorting through how to do that by giving customers the value that they want. Lindsay Drucker Mann - Goldman Sachs & Co.: Okay, great. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

And we will move next to Paul Lejuez of Citi.

Paul Lejuez - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc.

Analyst

Hey, Karen.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Hi, Paul.

Paul Lejuez - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc.

Analyst

I'm just curious how you plan to work through inventory at some of these stores that are to be closed. Should we expect you to merchandise those stores similarly as if they weren't being closed, or will they have a more toned down assortment as we think about the back half? And then maybe...

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, there will be no change for the remainder of the year in those stores in terms of the inventory.

Paul Lejuez - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc.

Analyst

So should we expect pretty significant promotions in those stores at the end of the year before they close?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, it will be business as usual, like we always do when we close stores. And then once we close them, they will go into going out of business mode, but it doesn't change how we operate them between now and then. As you know, we haven't identified which ones they are, so don't expect any change in terms of how stores are operated this fall.

Paul Lejuez - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc.

Analyst

Got you. And you talked about having I think a better experience just in terms of retaining sales on recent closures. Can you talk about the 41 stores that closed last year, what percentage you were able to retain at nearby stores or e-comm?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Yeah. We're still watching the percentage, but it's not as much as people would think it would be, but we are having a lot more success than we used to. I think we need a little more time, Paul. So let's just wait until the end of the year, and then we'll talk about it.

Paul Lejuez - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc.

Analyst

Great. And then just one model question. On the depreciation line, the impairment charge in 2Q, does that help you a bit in second half on the depreciation line? And if so, can you quantify that for us?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Yeah. I think as we look at the depreciation, it's not going to change much from the guidance we had given you before for the year. So it changes some, but not enough to make a difference.

Paul Lejuez - Citigroup Global Markets, Inc.

Analyst

Okay, thanks and good luck.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we'll move to Matthew Boss of JPMorgan.

Matthew Robert Boss - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Analyst

Hey, Karen.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Hi, Matt.

Matthew Robert Boss - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Analyst

Can you talk about early indications from some of the initiatives, so what you're seeing from the jewelry rollout, Last Act, Backstage? And then just we traveled out and saw some of the tests in Easton Town Center, and it was pretty impressive. Any learnings you've found there and potential to roll out across the fleet?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Yeah. The good news is if I look at, for example, fine jewelry, we started it in 40 stores in California last year. And based on that success, as you know, we're rolling it out. The good news is as we year-round the rollout of that in California, the stores continue to grow significantly, so we feel great about the sustainability of the accelerated growth. And now it's in over 350 stores, with the remaining locations being rolled out next year. And Phase 2 of the rollout is doing as well as the first phase did last year, so we feel great about that. Last Act continues to be very strong, helping both sales and margin. And Backstage, as I said, we're learning an awful lot about how to give value to the customer and perhaps how to both increase the share of wallet of our existing customers and also attract new customers to our doors. So all is good.

Matthew Robert Boss - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Analyst

And then just anything on Easton Town Center?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Oh, sorry, I forgot about Easton. Easton, there's a lot of things that are working very well, and I think you will see us roll it out a lot with active and the wellness, beauty. But I think it's too early to really be specific about what it will be, but we feel great about what we're seeing there.

Matthew Robert Boss - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Analyst

Great. And then just to follow up, larger picture, there are a lot of changes underway from your vendors. I'm sure you hear it on every single one of these calls and more on the distribution front. Can you speak to how you see this playing out for Macy's over time? Do you believe this could actually accelerate your differentiation effort versus some of your peers? I'm just curious how you think Macy's is impacted and the best way for us to think about it.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Look, we have great relationships with the major vendors. We're important to them; they're important to us. And hopefully, with us being proactive and hopefully accelerating our growth and making the company stronger, that will be good for them as well, and we'll work together so that we all can be stronger in the future.

Matthew Robert Boss - JPMorgan Securities LLC

Analyst

Great, best of luck.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

And we will take a question from Jeff Stein of Northcoast Research.

Jeffrey Stein - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst

A couple real quickies, Karen. Any estimate of the cash impact of the store closings, and is that part of the $249 million?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Most of the $249 million is non-cash, and it's related to the asset impairments. Almost all of it is non-cash.

Jeffrey Stein - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst

Okay, but there will be severance charges?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

There will, there will. But typically when we close stores, the bigger number is the impairment charge. You can go back and look at last spring and see that.

Jeffrey Stein - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst

Okay, but you're including that in the $249 million, the severance?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No.

Jeffrey Stein - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst

No?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, because we don't know the stores yet.

Jeffrey Stein - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst

Got it.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

And our hope is to be able to place as many of the associates as we can and minimize that number.

Jeffrey Stein - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst

Okay. And Last Act, can you quantify the impact that you believe it has had on your overall gross margin?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, I really can't.

Jeffrey Stein - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst

Okay, final question real quick. How large is the men's store at Union Square?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

It's about a little less than 250,000 square feet, and the main store is about 925,000 square feet.

Jeffrey Stein - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst

Got it, okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And we will take a question from Brian Tunick of RBC Capital.

Brian Jay Tunick - RBC Capital Markets LLC

Analyst

Thanks very much. I'm new, but I was curious, Karen. On Backstage, maybe you can give us little more color there. What is the team internally evaluating when they're considering rolling it out into more of the Macy's stores, and how does that change given the store closing announcements? And then just on the buyback potential acceleration into the second half, can you give us a view of what a minimum cash position would be when we try to think of how much stock you would buy back?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Unfortunately, I can't give you much help on your second question. Typically, we look at the cash that we're going to generate through the year, but I can't give you a – and use it to buy back stock what we're not using for CapEx and internal purposes, but I can't give you a specific number. On Backstage in-store, what we're trying to evaluate, and this is really being done category by category, what impact does it have on the Macy's store and what impact does it have in terms of bringing new customers to the store, sort of both. As you would expect, when we take space away from the rest of Macy's, the non-Backstage part of the store will do less business. But currently we are seeing a lift in the total store including Backstage, which is very encouraging. But as you might imagine, different stores are behaving differently, different categories. And so we're really just trying to learn and figure out what's the best way of expanding this concept.

Brian Jay Tunick - RBC Capital Markets LLC

Analyst

And where are you in building out a buying organization or developing a packaway strategy? Obviously, I know Bloomingdale's Outlet is developed. But is there a lot of overhead you need to add to build out the capabilities like other off-pricers?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

We have an organization already. It is being bought completely and planned for completely by a separate organization, so we already have that. Obviously, it will grow depending on the growth of the business. But we do it completely separate from the core Macy's organization.

Brian Jay Tunick - RBC Capital Markets LLC

Analyst

Terrific, thanks very much and good luck.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we'll hear from Omar Saad of Evercore ISI.

Omar Saad - Evercore ISI

Analyst

Thanks. Hi, Karen.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Good morning.

Omar Saad - Evercore ISI

Analyst

I wanted to – as you guys are really thinking outside the box and creatively about different strategies, operational and real estate related, you've had some nice success with the licensed concept with Finish Line and others. Have you guys thought about pursuing more of that kind of concession model maybe directly with some of your big suppliers? Have you thought about – that would allow you to take away some of the inventory risk and maybe some of the expense around running those businesses. I'd just be curious since you're in that mindset of thinking differently about things.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

We definitely will expand the licensed businesses that we have, but it always starts with opportunities to grow sales and give our customers experiences in categories that we haven't been able to do as well ourselves. So it doesn't start with a desire to reduce inventory. It's really, can we give the customer a superior offering? So our focus has been primarily on categories or in some cases vendors that we might not otherwise be able to offer. But it really does start with the lens of the customer in terms of what we choose to license versus not.

Omar Saad - Evercore ISI

Analyst

That's helpful. And then maybe you could just give us a little update on the Black Friday in July event, how that went, and it was a unique thing that you guys did.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

It went very well, and we were quite pleased with it.

Omar Saad - Evercore ISI

Analyst

Thanks, good luck.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we will hear from Michael Binetti of UBS.

Michael Binetti - UBS Securities LLC

Analyst

Hey, Karen. Good morning.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Good morning.

Michael Binetti - UBS Securities LLC

Analyst

And congrats on a very tough quarter for the industry.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Thank you.

Michael Binetti - UBS Securities LLC

Analyst

Let me ask you. I think as we look ahead a little bit, obviously you're talking about a lot of things today that are longer term in your model. If I look at just 2017, maybe a little bit of help on how to think about some of the puts and takes as far as – can you help us dimensionalize the comp trend in your, say, top 100 doors versus your bottom 100? Or you pick the number, just so we can understand how this could impact comps. And then maybe just how you – I think there was an earlier question about friends and family about a couple brands pulling away from it, how you think about the merchandising to replace any hole in comps that that may cause as we look out to the next year.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

I think it's premature to give guidance or thoughts on 2017. So I apologize, but I'm not going to be able to help you there. And obviously, that's what we work on, which is when we see some sort of a risk, either from less good product or a change in a promotion strategy for a vendor, what can we do to fill those holes with other products or other categories, and that's what our team does all day long.

Michael Binetti - UBS Securities LLC

Analyst

Is it meaningful? I guess is it fair for me to assume that there's a meaningful delta in the spread of comp growth or comp distribution of the company between your top doors and then any of the bottom 100 that we may have talked about?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

I don't know how to answer that because everybody defines meaningful differently.

Michael Binetti - UBS Securities LLC

Analyst

Okay. So you guys have done a great job on staying nimble on watching the costs during the smaller number of closures over the past few years, but this one is obviously bigger. If you can do it respectfully to your team, can you talk to us about how the approach to cost with a bigger announcement like this may be different than in a year when you close a lower door count? Obviously, people will look at where is Macy's going to come up enough to offset the fixed cost deleverage potential?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

I don't think there would be a big difference in terms of our approach. For example, one of the areas we'll focus on is the whole world of indirect spend, where we think there may be opportunities to take costs out. But I don't think this year will feel any different than other years in terms of what we're trying to do.

Michael Binetti - UBS Securities LLC

Analyst

Okay, thanks.

Operator

Operator

And we will hear from Kimberly Greenberger of Morgan Stanley. Kimberly Conroy Greenberger - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC: Great, thank you. Good morning, Karen.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Good morning, Kimberly. Kimberly Conroy Greenberger - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC: I wanted to ask about transactions. The 5% decline, does that include e-commerce? Secondarily, apparel I think you mentioned was strong across the board. Was that category actually positive in the quarter or just better than the rest of the categories? And then lastly on the 100 stores that are closing, I understand that the $1 billion in revenue is the expectation of the net loss net of retained sales, and I know that the retained sales assumption varies on a store-by-store basis. But could you give us some idea of what the gross revenue assumption is? That would be helpful. Thanks, Karen.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

So the 5% drop in number of transactions does include dot-com. That's the number we quote every quarter. And in ready-to-wear, there were parts of the ready-to-wear that were quite positive. In total, it was pretty close but not positive. But there were categories, things like junior dresses or millennial dresses that was positive, and active and things like that. And I think as I had said earlier, until we know specifically which stores are closing, I don't want to talk about gross versus net. And remember, that $1 billion is likely to be a bigger number than what actually ends up closing at year end 2017 because some of the 100 stores will be closing a little bit later. So once we have the specific stores, we'll try to be more helpful with gross and net. Kimberly Conroy Greenberger - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC: Great. Thank you, Karen, and just one last follow-up. I think you mentioned on a slightly lower credit income, it was largely a result of a slight decline in penetration. Are you seeing any increase in late payments, delinquencies, or defaults in that portfolio at this point?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, remember, we had expected credit income to be below last year when we started the year, so this is not a surprising trend. We are seeing some increase in delinquencies, as we had said. But remember, part of that is because we're also trying to grow the portfolio. So there's nothing concerning happening in the portfolio today, and it is happening as we had anticipated. Kimberly Conroy Greenberger - Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC: Great, and thank you so much for all the detail today. It's really helpful.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

You bet. Thanks, Kimberly.

Operator

Operator

And we will move to Oliver Chen of Cowen and Company.

Oliver Chen - Cowen and Company, LLC

Analyst

Hi, Karen.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Good morning.

Oliver Chen - Cowen and Company, LLC

Analyst

Regarding the reinvention of stores and the changes you're making, what are your thoughts on how we should focus on millennials and Generation Z and how you're going to balance being appealing to younger and older in your core as the store evolves? It's a longer-term question in terms of how will these stores look different in five years. What is your consumer research saying, and are there major category shifts we should see? The service component is also interesting in your prepared remarks. Which departments do you think will benefit from more service, and why did you identify this as a need?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

That was a mouthful. I'm not quite sure where to start with that. Clearly, our view of the stores going forward will evolve. So I can't sit here today and paint what it's going to look like in five years. But as we do stores like Easton and Columbus, that gives you some insight into some of the things we're looking at, for example: an expanded active area that includes health and wellness more broadly; the way we've approached the bridal business at Easton, including having some wedding dresses available that you could buy in the store day-of or not having to be pre-ordered. Also, what we've done with beauty in Easton is really very exciting. So there are a lot of concepts, fine jewelry, which we've talked about. We're experimenting with shoes. So I would say almost throughout the store, we are looking for ways of improving both the assortment that we carry, making it more special, more exclusive to Macy's, which will attract not only millennials but also older customers as well. So I think you're going to see a lot of experimentation continue on that front. In terms of increase in service, one of the areas we've actually focused on this year has been ready-to-wear. And the reason for that is it's the category that also has to handle the most Internet returns. And so we wanted to make sure we had more staff there so that they were able to service customers that came in wanting to buy in addition to dealing with the returns that are going to obviously come from a growing digital business. So that's one of the examples of where we've put increased staffing.

Oliver Chen - Cowen and Company, LLC

Analyst

Okay. And, Karen, you've been on top of understanding the real customer focus on value and evolving Last Act. But what's the future of the evolution of how you execute promotions in a brand-appropriate way in the manner that you want to execute them and is appealing in terms of how you may segment different ideas? I just want to get your take on the modernization of promotions.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

I think it's premature, but we've got lots of thoughts and lots of tests that we're going to start to begin thinking about that. So we agree that that's an issue that should be on our plates and for sure it is, but premature to really be talking about it.

Oliver Chen - Cowen and Company, LLC

Analyst

Okay, and just our last question, Karen. You've been a really good partner to a lot of vendors. As the opportunities – as the landscape evolves and Amazon becomes a partner to a lot of your vendors as well, what are your thoughts on how you'll maintain a competitive advantage? And there's many ways to approach that, but what's top of mind? And has anything been surprising in terms of what we should know about the evolution of that relationship and how this is evolving?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, I would say first, vendor relationships have always been one of the core values of Macy's. And that's going to always be important, and we're going to work very closely with our vendors to help our business and their business simultaneously. So I see that continuing. I think also as part of today's announcement we're focused on growth and more profitable growth. And yes, while we're shrinking to achieve that growth, I think that will help our vendors as well. And let's not forget the critical importance of stores for most of our vendors. We have the ability of showing merchandise and providing instantaneous not only purchasing, but also the ability to put outfits together in a store, which again for many customers to be able to see the color, feel the fabric, see how it fits, it's still where the lion's share of where this merchandise is being sold. So I think all of that will help us to continue to be very important partners to our vendors.

Oliver Chen - Cowen and Company, LLC

Analyst

Thank you, great job on moving so quickly in your communications strategy. Thanks, best regards.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

I appreciate it, thanks.

Operator

Operator

And we will take the next question from Richard Jaffe of Stifel. Richard Jaffe - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Thanks very much. Just a quick clarification. We had planned for 30 stores to 40 stores this year. Is the 100 stores you've mentioned an incremental or an additional 100 stores? Or is that...

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, the 30 stores to 40 stores – the 41 stores were closed year-end last year. So if you're talking about last year's announcement, that's already happened. So this is 100 stores on top of that, approximately 100 stores. Richard Jaffe - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Got it, that's helpful. And given what appears to be the success of some of the shop-in-shops you've built, I know you can't be specific, but is that going to be an initiative we should look for in 2016?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Are you talking about like Bluemercury store-in-store, or are you talking about the licensed businesses... Richard Jaffe - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Bluemercury or...

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Yes, absolutely. Richard Jaffe - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: And then in time for Christmas, do you think?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Hopefully. Richard Jaffe - Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Okay. Look forward to it. Thank you.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we will move to Dana Telsey of Telsey Advisory Group.

Dana L. Telsey - Telsey Advisory Group LLC

Analyst

Good morning, Karen, and nice to see the progress.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Thank you very much.

Dana L. Telsey - Telsey Advisory Group LLC

Analyst

As you think about the apparel pickup, what's your take on what's driving it? Is it style? Is it price? Is it Last Act? And then on the promotional cadence where you saw the margin uptick, did that come from a lesser rate of promotion or better full price? How do you triangulate it? Thank you.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Yeah. Honestly, I think the pickup in apparel is all of those things. It's improved assortments, improved offering. I think it is the value offering and the price, and I do think Last Act. So I'd say yes, yes, and yes. And I also think, as I said earlier, the warm weather did help.

Dana L. Telsey - Telsey Advisory Group LLC

Analyst

And then as we go in the back half of the year, any new collaborations or anything new on the merchandising side that we should look to?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

I think I would say stay tuned. There are some things in the works that we're still hoping to get done. But we continue to strengthen the relationships that we have in these collaborations, so stay tuned.

Dana L. Telsey - Telsey Advisory Group LLC

Analyst

Got it, thank you.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

And we will move to David Glick of Buckingham Research Group.

David J. Glick - The Buckingham Research Group, Inc.

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, Karen.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Good morning.

David J. Glick - The Buckingham Research Group, Inc.

Analyst

A question on Backstage and then I'll follow up on the store closings. At what point do you think you'd be in a position to more aggressively roll out the store within a store Backstage concept? And did you consider or is it still possible to consider some of these locations that are closing to repurpose as Backstage stores?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

I think it is unlikely that we will repurpose any of these stores for Backstage in-store, although that's always a possibility. And I think we will continue to grow Backstage in-store. I'm not sure. Again, the word aggressive has a wide range of definitions.

David J. Glick - The Buckingham Research Group, Inc.

Analyst

Right.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

But I think we feel good about it and we'll expand it.

David J. Glick - The Buckingham Research Group, Inc.

Analyst

Okay. And then a follow-up on the store closings. Can you help us think through the cash flow impact? Obviously, it's EBITDA neutral given the cost cuts that you're implementing. But if you can, give us some color on the working capital and CapEx impact, and then also as you seek to get back to your historical EBITDA margin goals, the impact this could have on gross margin given the probability that some of these smaller doors are higher markdown, lower margin doors.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Until we have the specific stores, David, it's hard to do it. Obviously, it will free up working capital and it will allow us to spend less on CapEx, although I confess we're not spending an enormous amount in these stores, which is part of the reason why we're closing them. But we will reinvest that capital. So I don't expect a reduction in the capital budget because of these closures. Also, they will bring in proceeds. So again, as we get closer to knowing which stores, there will be a cash flow positive that will come from selling many of these stores. Some are leased, so it's not all of them. So more to come as we know more, but the working capital and the proceeds should be positive in terms of cash flow for the company.

David J. Glick - The Buckingham Research Group, Inc.

Analyst

And the gross margin impact?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

I don't know that it will be significant, but again, we'll wait and see as we close the stores.

David J. Glick - The Buckingham Research Group, Inc.

Analyst

Great, nice progress. Thank you very much, good luck.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

You bet, thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we will take a question from Andreas Olia of GBM (1:01:15).

Unknown Speaker

Analyst

Hello, congrats on the results. Can you give us a little more color regarding how many of the stores that you are closing are owned versus leased?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Well, we don't know exactly which stores it will be, but I don't see any reason for it to be dramatically different than the split of our stores today.

Unknown Speaker

Analyst

Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And we will take a question from Sheila Jaywalker (1:01:48) of Jefferies.

Randal J. Konik - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

It's actually Randy Konik at Jefferies. Hi, Karen, thanks for taking my question.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Sure.

Randal J. Konik - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

I just want to go back to the real estate approach. Since the call is talking about 100 stores but we don't know which stores they are, can you give us some thought process on the approach? Is it an exercise in looking at the density per market? I'm just trying to get a sense of since you identified 100 stores but we don't know what the 100 stores are, I want to get some more color on the approach to what the process was. Thanks.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Yeah. The process, we did two very detailed analyses, one, which we've always done, which is how is the store performing and how do we expect it to perform in the future. And we project out cash flows and discount them back and compare that to the proceeds that we would get, so what you would expect to be a typical financial analysis. What we did this year, though, to supplement that is we went through and looked at all of our locations and evaluated them based on their strategic importance, which had to do with quality of the market, quality of the malls, the competition in the malls and the market, what was happening in terms of growth of income and population in all the markets and coverage that we would need to go forward, and ranked our stores in terms of long-term strategic importance. And so what we've done to come up with this 100 stores is married those two. And in most cases, as you would imagine, a poorly located store is also an underperformer. And so for the most part, they were both of those, but it did lead us to accelerate some of the closings that in prior years we might not have done without that long-term evaluation of the strategic importance of the location. So that is most of the 100 stores. There are a few additional locations, though, that have been included that are not strategically critical to the company based on that analysis, but where from a redevelopment opportunity we think there's a big opportunity. So in those cases, they're not underperformers but that long term they're not critical to the Macy's footprint. And so we will be taking advantage of the real estate demand for those locations as well. But I would say most of them are both underperforming and not in good locations for the long term.

Randal J. Konik - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

And if I may, is there any type of color or guidepost that we could get around geographic dispersion of those closures?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

They're all over the country. They're over the country.

Randal J. Konik - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Is there any concentration where we might see? Because if there are 100 top USA market MSAs and there are 100 door closures, it's most likely not one per MSA, I'm assuming. So I'm just curious if there is any type of – did the analysis spit out in the Southeast market where this is where we disproportionately have some underperformance where we could reduce exposure to become more profitable? I'm just curious from a geographic...

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Again, we don't have the specific locations. But geographically, they're spread across the country. Because even in high-growth markets, there are malls that aren't strong or areas where we've got duplication. Remember, Macy's is the combination of many companies that we've put together over the years. So it shouldn't be surprising that in some markets, we don't need as many stores as we have.

Randal J. Konik - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Got it. I guess my last question is when you think about – you've obviously done a great job over the years of giving a cost number and hitting that cost number. When you think about the visibility of lack thereof of the top line estimate, is there anything you can point us to, to give us some perspective on what the retention assumption is on the gross versus the net?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, not at this point. We need to work through what stores it's specifically going to be.

Randal J. Konik - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Got it, okay. Thank you.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

And we will move to Brian Callen of Bank of America.

Brian Callen - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Hi, good morning.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Good morning.

Brian Callen - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Just one on the real estate optimization and maybe specifically on the asset sales and JV transactions bigger picture that you're looking at. Are those conversations with buyers or partners taking longer than you would have anticipated a year ago? Are there any hang-ups or were there any surprises in the conversations?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

No, as you'd imagine, we'd always like to get things done quicker. But these are big complicated assets, so I would say no. It's pretty much as expected.

Brian Callen - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Okay, great. And then just quickly on the repurchase halt, was that at all driven – obviously, you said based on your performance in 1Q. But is that at all driven based on the negative outlooks from the rating agencies, or is intent the same in terms of your investment-grade rating and you were just prudently halting the repurchase?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

The intent is completely the same. And again, that's always been the benefit of stock buybacks. You can flex them up and down depending, and we took advantage of that opportunity after the first quarter. But we continue focused on maintaining the investment-grade ratings.

Brian Callen - Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Analyst

Great, thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

And we will take a final question from Priya Ohri-Gupta of Barclays.

Priya Ohri-Gupta - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Analyst

Thank you for the questions, Priya Ohri-Gupta, just a quick one around the expected use of proceeds from some of these asset sales. Do you anticipate, given some of the outlooks from the agencies that Brian recently mentioned the need to pay down some of your upcoming maturities using the proceeds or perhaps proactively looking to reduce some of the maturities that aren't coming due near term? Thanks.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

We're working hard to get back into our target debt-to-EBITDA range, the 2.5 to 2.8 times, which we're obviously above right now. But we think that that will happen naturally through EBITDA increases and don't at this point anticipate proactive debt repayment. But that doesn't mean we couldn't do it in the future should EBITDA not materialize. But at this point, the use of proceeds will be as you might expect but not proactive debt paydowns, although again, it could happen, and our goal remains to get back into these targeted ranges.

Priya Ohri-Gupta - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Analyst

And is it your expectation, given the outlook for EBITDA declining this year, getting back to that 2.5 to 2.8 times leverage range as more of a 2017 objective at this point?

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

I can't comment at this point.

Priya Ohri-Gupta - Barclays Capital, Inc.

Analyst

Okay, that's helpful. Thank you very much.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

You bet.

Operator

Operator

And there are no further questions in the queue.

Karen M. Hoguet - Chief Financial Officer

Management

Wonderful. Thanks, everybody. And if you have further questions, just let us know. Take care.

Operator

Operator

And, ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's conference. Thank you, everyone, for your participation. You may now disconnect.