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Matson, Inc. (MATX)

Q4 2024 Earnings Call· Tue, Feb 25, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by and welcome to the Matson's Fourth Quarter 2024 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's program is being recorded. And now, I'd like to introduce your host for today's program, Justin Schoenberg, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Justin Schoenberg

Analyst

Thank you. Joining me on the call today are Matt Cox, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Joel Wine, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Slides from this presentation are available for download at our website, www.matson.com under the Investors' tab. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that during the course of this call, we will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Federal Securities Laws regarding expectations, predictions, projections, or future events. We believe that our expectations and assumptions are reasonable. We caution you to consider the risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements in the press release, the presentation slides, and this conference call. These risk factors are described in our press release and presentation and are more fully detailed in the captioned Risk Factors on pages 13 to 25 of our Form 10-K filed on February 23rd, 2024 and in our subsequent filings with the SEC. Please also note that the date of this conference call is February 25th, 2025 and any forward-looking statements that we make today are based on assumptions as of this date. We undertake no obligation to update these forward-looking statements. I will now turn the call over to Matt.

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Thanks Justin and thanks to those on the call. Starting on Slide 3, Matson had a very strong fourth quarter that exceeded our expectations, capping off a strong year. For the fourth quarter, our China service was the primary driver of the year-over-year increase in Ocean Transportation operating income and consolidated operating income. We saw seasonally stronger freight demand with significantly higher year-over-year freight rates for our CLX and MAX services. In Logistics, operating income increased year-over-year primarily driven by a higher contribution from supply chain management. In the fourth quarter within Ocean Transportation, the SSAT joint venture recorded an impairment charge related to the write-down of a terminal operating lease asset. Matson's share of this impairment charge was $18.4 million, which resulted in a reduction in our fourth quarter diluted earnings per share of $0.42. For the full year 2024, our consolidated operating income increased year-over-year, primarily driven by significantly higher freight rates in our China service. The higher freight rates, which started in the middle of the second quarter and remained throughout the year, were supported by a resilient U. S. economy, a stable consumer demand environment, and coupled with tighter supply chain conditions. I'll now go through the fourth quarter and full year performance of our trade lanes, SSAT and Logistics, so please turn to the next slide. Hawaii container volume for the fourth quarter decreased 1.7% year-over-year due to lower general demand. For the full year 2024, container volume decreased 2.3% year-over-year, primarily due to lower general demand. For the full year 2025, we expect volume to be comparable to the level in 2024, reflecting modest economic growth in Hawaii and stable market share. Please turn to Slide 5. According to UHERO's December economic report, the Hawaii economy is expected to continue to grow slowly in…

Joel Wine

Analyst

Thanks Matt. Please turn to Slide 14 for a review of our fourth quarter and full year 2024 results. For the fourth quarter, consolidated operating income increased $72.2 million year-over-year to $147.5 million with higher contributions from Ocean Transportation and Logistics of $71 million and $1.2 million respectively. The increase in Ocean Transportation operating income in the fourth quarter was primarily due to significantly higher freight rates in China, the timing of fuel-related surcharge collections, and higher volume in China, partially offset by a lower contribution from SSAT and higher direct cargo expense, primarily in the China service and higher general and administrative expenses. As Matt noted, the decrease in SSAT equity income was due to the $18.4 million impairment charge. The increase in Logistics operating income was primarily due to a higher contribution from supply chain management. We had interest income of $10.3 million in the quarter due to higher balances of cash and cash equivalents and deposits in the CCF as compared to the prior year. Interest expense in the quarter decreased $1 million year-over-year due to the decline in outstanding debt in the past year. The effective tax rate in the quarter was 19.1% compared to 26% in the year ago period. The effective tax rate was lower than our outlook of 22% due to discrete year-end tax items. In the fourth quarter, net income and diluted earnings per share were $128 million and $3.8 respectively. The $18.4 million impairment charge impacted our net income and diluted earnings per share by $14 million and $0.42 per share respectively. For the full year, consolidating operating income increased $208.5 million year-over-year to $551.3 million with higher contributions from Ocean Transportation and Logistics of $206.1 million and $2.4 million respectively. The increase in Ocean Transportation operating income for the year…

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Thanks Joel. Please turn to Slide 20, where I'll go through some closing thoughts. 2024 proved once again that our China service delivers during periods of uncertainty. Speed, reliability, and service, our core differentiators, are highly sought after by shippers when supply chain disruptions occur. While true, it's only part of our story. Today, our China service appeals to an even broader set of customers than when we first started moving freight in the Transpacific trade lane nearly twenty years ago. As supply chains have become more complex, customers have placed a greater emphasis on speed-to-market and schedule integrity. It is within this new paradigm that our China services remains unparalleled. Our CLX and MAX service continue to be the two fastest and most reliable Transpacific transits, which are complemented by unique destination services for a seamless customer experience. We apply the same principles used in our domestic trade lanes that have been refined over decades. There will always be uncertainty across the global supply chain and we're clearly facing significant uncertainties like the Red Sea and tariffs, but we remain focused on what we can control. We will continue to be focused on maintaining vessel schedule integrity, reliability of all of our Logistics and Ocean Transportation operations, and delivering high quality service for all of our customers. We remain committed to look for ways to grow, either organically or periodically through acquisition. Since we became public, we had a good track record of organic and inorganic growth and we've been nimble on growth opportunities during periods of uncertainty. And last, we expect to continue to return capital to shareholders through dividends and our share repurchase program. Our share repurchase program remains a core element of our capital allocation strategy and we expect to continue to be steady buyers of our shares. And with that, I will turn the call back to the operator and ask for your questions.

Operator

Operator

Certainly. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Daniel Imbro from Stephens Inc. Your question please.

Brady Lierz

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks guys. This is Brady on for Daniel and thanks for taking our questions. I wanted to start on the outlook. You noted in the slides you're expecting 1Q EBIT to be meaningfully higher than the previous year, but could you just help us kind of break out the drivers behind this outlook? Is that largely just a function of higher rates or are there certain cost initiatives you guys have executed on to improve the EBIT outlook as well?

Joel Wine

Analyst

Yes, Brady, thank you for that question. So, it's a variety of factors. So, in our domestic trade lanes, really steady performance is the way we describe it consistent with the outlook, as we talked about those trade lanes. In Logistics also, steady performance, but a little bit more challenging environment. And then the one where there's a more significant change driving the outlook is in China. So, last year, as we talked about rates really moved in May and June and they've remained elevated since then. So, as we come into the first quarter this year, we have higher more elevated rates than we had last year. And that's the biggest piece driving the outlook towards that meaningfully higher outlook that we've given for the first quarter.

Brady Lierz

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks. That's helpful. Maybe just if I can follow-up there on the rate commentary. I think you've touched on it a bit in your remarks that you're expecting elevated freight rates and you're trying to service to continue in 1Q. But is there any way to help investors kind of level set how rates have trended sequentially? From what we can see, it seems like Transpacific rates are only slightly below 4Q levels so far. Is that the right way to think about how it's trended so far this year? Just any color there would be helpful. Thanks.

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Yes, Brady, this is Matt. Thanks for your question. I would say that as we've experienced our freight rate sequentially, as Joel mentioned, starting in the second quarter and then extending through the end of calendar 2024, what typically happens to has happened in Matson's rate levels, our rate levels remained relatively steady from the second, third, and fourth quarter. Towards the end of the fourth quarter, we did step our rates down, and reduced our peak season surcharge as we have done every quarter for the last in that period for the last 18, 19 years. And our levels have then been reset or the peak season surcharge substantially reduced or eliminated consistent with our historic practice and remain relatively steady from that point on through. So, I would not think it would be a good indicator for you to be following some of the spot rates on the SCFI, But I would acknowledge that our rates did take a step down when we removed the seasonal peak season surcharge. So, I know that's not specific, but that's as specific as I can get.

Brady Lierz

Analyst

Okay, got it. That's helpful. Maybe just as a final follow-up here on capital allocation. In the near-term, it sounds like the primary focus is repurchases. But just taking a big step back, could you talk about some opportunities? What do you see out there in the market for additional services just kind of in the future? Any update there would be helpful.

Joel Wine

Analyst

Sure Brady. So, on the Ocean Transportation side, we've been open discussing that there's not that many opportunities that really fit our profile. So, we expect on the Ocean side there to be more of the organic growth opportunities where we leverage our existing capabilities, network, brand, et cetera. And then on the Logistics side, there's organic there's a combination of both organic and M&A-type opportunities. So, organic, we like to look at the same -- similar things, niche ways for us to leverage off our existing businesses to grow with our customers in new geographies. But then on the M&A side, there's been a steady flow of acquisition opportunities we looked at for years. The challenge is just finding those that really meet our strict criteria of niche defensible businesses that are differentiated, good return on capital that fit our profile of businesses today. So, that's how we think about it. That's the range of alternatives that we look at.

Brady Lierz

Analyst

Okay. Awesome, guys. Thanks for the time tonight. I'll leave it there.

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Okay. Thanks Brady.

Joel Wine

Analyst

Thanks Brady.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Jacob Lacks from Wolfe Research. Your question please.

Jacob Lacks

Analyst

Hey, Matt, hey Joel, thanks for your time.

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Yes. Good afternoon.

Joel Wine

Analyst

Good afternoon.

Jacob Lacks

Analyst

So, a lot going on in the world right now. I guess, could we start maybe on the USTR proposed rule on China shipbuilding? How are you viewing this as it relates to potential changes in the ocean industry and Matson's positioning within it? And I think a couple of the MAX vessels were built in China, would you expect to pay charges under this proposed rule?

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Yes. Thanks Jake. Yes, I agree with your sentiment that there's a lot going on at the moment. And I think this USTR proposal that dropped on Friday is one of a number of changes. I think I'll answer your question in two ways. The first is to answer it more generally and then I'll answer it more specifically. But generally, our feeling is that we're in the early innings of a discussion to be had between the U.S. and Chinese governments. We saw the 10% rollout of the tariff and we see this USTR proposal as the next step in a discussion that it's going to have with China. There may be others that follow, but it's all to set a stage to be consistent with President Trump's efforts to try to reset trade balances. And I also think that whether it's in Europe or whether it's in other Asia origins, this is one of a number of steps that we think are going to come out over these next few months. So, I think the short answer for our perspective is it's too early to tell. It's too early to tell exactly what tariffs are going to be implemented in China and in the countries that compete with China. It's too early to tell what retaliatory tariffs, if any, rollout. So, I would just say stay tuned. I would say more specifically to your questions about if this USTR proposal is enacted, Matson has a fleet of 30 vessels. And of those 30 vessels, three of those are chartered foreign Chinese-built ships that operate in our MAX service as you correctly point out. And one we operate -- one Chinese-built vessel, we operate in our South Pacific service. So, we have four vessels out of a total of 30 that are manufactured in China. And of course, we have three ship vessels as you know under construction. Those are being built in U.S. yards. We have no vessels under construction in Chinese yards. But let me just repeat what I said from the beginning. I think it's really these are opening salvos. We're in the early innings. We could use different analogies, but we're watching this closely. I would also say, I've said it in my prepared comments, but I think it's important also to stay here. Matson has tended to do well in periods of disrupted supply chain environments. We continue to believe strongly and have heard from our customers loud and clear that operating R2 expedited China services in the way that we do given the continuing uncertainty for all participants in the supply chain puts us in a pretty good spot. So, that's kind of the way we're thinking about it at this point, Jake.

Jacob Lacks

Analyst

Makes a lot of sense. Thanks. And maybe let's stick with macro policies for now. I don't think you have a lot of exposure, direct exposure to the de minimis exemption, but to the extent you compete with airfreight, are you thinking about any indirect impacts if this goes away?

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Yes, I mean, I think that the unanswered question, we don't -- aren't directly impacted. I think the place that we tangentially could be impacted are two of the largest companies that are taking advantage of this de minimis exemption, who are Temu and Shein. They're to-date moving virtually 100% of their cargo, this is the U.S. portion of their cargo via airfreight. And so it's a question either about the de minimis or new tariffs. Does that create some of that cargo to migrate into a fast ocean product? That could be an upside for those that operate in the expedited. None of that has been announced, but it's a neutral to positive to us, I guess is how we would look at it at this point.

Jacob Lacks

Analyst

Got it. Thanks. And then one on the guide for me. I guess it feels like if earnings are just moderately lower this year, even in a Red Sea normalization scenario, you aren't really expecting earnings in the back half to return to 2023 levels. So, do you think that pricing is just structurally higher for you now compared to pre-Red Sea trends? Or is this more a reflection that it will take some time for Ocean Networks to normalize once these changes are made?

Joel Wine

Analyst

Yes, Jake, it's really a reflection of a continued improvement in our rate and rates that we charge in those services and a lot of that has been finding more and more customers that convert from airfreight, and then the other piece is e-commerce. So, as the years pass and we look at this year 2025 compared to two years ago 2023, we just tend to have a higher mix of our overall demand coming from those segments that are willing to pay higher rates. So, I guess you could call that a structural issue that we benefited from as those portions of our demand grow over time.

Jacob Lacks

Analyst

Yes, that's helpful. Thanks for the time guys. Appreciate it.

Joel Wine

Analyst

Okay. Thanks, Jake.

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Ben Nolan from Stifel. Your question please.

Ben Nolan

Analyst

All right. Thank you. Hey, Matt and Joel. First of all, good quarter and I did want to say I appreciate that you guys did not take out the impairment charge, that level of transparency is not something that I see very often, but I think hats off to you for being straight shooters on that. The -- my question really has to do a little bit with the guidance and sort of thinking through the financial impact of the Red Sea and whether it goes away or not and the implications for you guys. And appreciating that you don't necessarily want to put numbers to it, but is it simply as straightforward as if the Red Sea opens up, average voyage durations go down and international freight rates fall? Is that all that's being implied there or is there something else in the math?

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Yes, Ben. So, it's as simple as you state. I mean, I think our thinking is we saw a reset up when the Red Sea absorbed that 2 million TEU of capacity as the international ocean carriers adjusted their deployments to accommodate for that longer transit, that when that ends, I say if and when or when that ends, then we'll see that capacity being freed up into these transportation networks and that on the margin could erase some of the rate increase we saw at the time. It's a little difficult to put everything on a single factor given some of the trade reset that President Trump is seeking to roll out, where the world economy is, consumer demand and expectations of consumer confidence. So, obviously, nothing is in a vacuum, but to us that seemed to be one singular event that could drive international ocean freight rates lower. And as you know Ben, our pricing mechanisms are not directly tied to the international ocean carriers, but move in sympathy with the rates. And so that's the thought process behind that.

Ben Nolan

Analyst

Got you. And as you explained in the last question, it sounds like structurally, even if there were a reset, you're -- not all of your business would reset effectively or it would be less impacted? So, I appreciate that. My next question relates to the three new buildings in Philadelphia. Saw that there was a four-month delay. First of all, any color on why that is? But then secondly, do you feel pretty comfortable that that encapsulates the whole risk of potential delays? And then also is there any -- beyond steel, is there any risk that there might be some other level of repricing if, I don't know, if wage inflation at the shipyard increases or something like that -- and is there any recourse on your part for the fact that they're already late?

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Okay. Yes, good. This is Matt. I will take a crack at it and then I'm going to turn it over to Joel to mop-up here for anything that I've missed. So, I think the first thing I would say is there is a specific initiative. There was a five vessel project that was ahead of our project. And effectively, there was a delay in the construction of the last of the vessels. The graving dock in which these vessels are constructed in Philly was effectively tied up with the last of these vessels. And at this point, with this delay and Hanwha looking carefully at other materials and around it and their construction of the fourth and fifth, one of the earlier vessels is at an outfitting dock and is not in the critical path. This last one is the remaining, they believe, critical path item. So, as to your question about the reason behind it, that's the reason. It also, they believe, gives them some confidence that they're not aware of any other significant changes at this point, which could cause further delays. But you rightly point out that there could be delays depending on other things. But at this point, it's best -- it's Hanwha's best thinking that this will be around the delivery dates. Although as you know from our previous construction, these are not exact science. And in the history of shipbuilding, whether things slip another quarter, that's not a significant surprise to us. I would say with regard to the delay, the primary impact to Matson would be the delay in getting the benefits of the additional capacity that comes with these larger vessels on our CLX service. And so it's just a delayed benefit or opportunity cost there. There are -- could there be further increases? We have a fixed price contract. There are some escalators for steel cost. There are some liquidated damages. But at the end of the day, none of those are significant drivers to us getting the benefit of our new ships. And we continue to feel reasonably confident in our ability to get these ships in 2027 and 2028. And everything looks continues to look like a go other than the acknowledgment of a four-month split. And what did I miss, Joel?

Joel Wine

Analyst

No, that's it. I mean, you got Ben, part of your question was to the overall potential for cost inflators. If you look at the overall program, it's $1 billion. The piece of it that's tied to steel and the steel index change is a very, very small percentage of the overall $1 billion and it is a fixed price contract. There are some things that Matt alluded to that where the price can go up or down based upon different factors. But the bottom-line is we don't expect the overall price tag to be a material change in the $1 billion negotiated price.

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Yes. And then this is Matt again. One last comment. Although with the existing tariffs and how they get rolled out, there remains some uncertainty just about how all that flows its way through. So, we're not saying it's -- there's no impact, but what we're saying is a lot of the factors are pretty lined up at this point.

Ben Nolan

Analyst

Okay, I appreciate it. And then lastly, and I hate to ask this, but I've been asked already multiple times today. Any changing in how you're thinking about Jones Act protection and support?

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Ben. There really is no change to our thinking, which I'll articulate now, which is to say, we obviously have a change of administration. The Trump administration and it was a supporter of the Jones Act in its last administration. We expect them to continue to be a supporter of the Jones Act. This America First strategy of the incoming administration is very consistent with the Jones Act. We continue to have wide bipartisan support in Congress. We have President -- a number of the President's cabinet on record, incoming cabinet as strongly supporting the Jones Act. So, at this point, while we acknowledge there's some uncertainty around tariffs and things that are going on, I think it continues to enjoy wide bipartisan support and we don't see any changes to the Jones Act.

Ben Nolan

Analyst

All right. I appreciate that and good quarter again. Thanks for answering questions.

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Thanks Ben.

Joel Wine

Analyst

Thanks Ben.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude the question-and-answer session of today's program. I'd like to hand the program back to Matt Cox for any further remarks.

Matthew Cox

Analyst

Okay. Well, thanks for your participation in today's call. We'll look forward to catching up with everyone at the quarter one call. Thank you very much. Aloha.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day.