Earnings Labs

Malibu Boats, Inc. (MBUU)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 26, 2021

$25.41

-0.35%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to Malibu Boats Conference Call to Discuss the Fourth Quarter and Full Fiscal Year 2021 Results. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will follow at that time. Please be advised that reproduction of this call in whole or in part is not permitted without written authorization from Malibu Boats. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. On the call today from management are Mr. Jack Springer, Chief Executive Officer; Mr. Wayne Wilson, Chief Financial Officer; and Mr. Ritchie Anderson, Chief Operating Officer. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Wilson to get started. Please go ahead, sir.

Wayne Wilson

Management

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. On the call, Jack will provide commentary on the business, and I will discuss our fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2021 financials. We will then open the call for questions. A press release covering the company's fiscal fourth quarter and full year 2021 results was issued today, and a copy of that press release can be found in the Investor Relations section of the company's website. I also want to remind everyone that management's remarks on this call may contain certain forward-looking statements, including predictions, expectations, estimates or other information that might be considered forward-looking. And that actual results could differ materially from those projected on today's call. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of today and the company undertakes no obligation to update them for any new information or future events. Factors that might affect future results are discussed in our filings with the SEC. And we encourage you to review our SEC filings for a more detailed description of these risk factors. Please also note that we will be referring to certain non-GAAP financial measures on today's call, such as adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin, adjusted fully distributed net income and adjusted fully distributed net income per share. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures are included in our earnings release. I’d now like to turn the call over to Jack for his commentary.

Jack Springer

Management

Thank you, Wayne, and thank you all for joining the call. We delivered another record year for Malibu Boats, which included fiscal fourth quarter results that demolished expectations. Our performance was underscored by outperformance against the broader industry, a testament to Malibu's market-leading innovation, unraveled strategic and operational excellence and a best-in-class team that has continued to navigate the global supply chain constraints, which are weighing on almost every industry and the global economy. For fiscal year 2021, net sales increased nearly 42% to $927 million. Gross margin expanded to 25.5%, adjusted EBITDA grew 71% to $190 million and adjusted EBITDA margin increased 350 basis points to 20.5%. From the onset of our initial full year guidance for fiscal year 2021, by all accounts, we crushed it. Malibu continues to be a premier force in the marine industry and the entire leisure space. And we're setting the tone for continued strength and agility as we move beyond fiscal 2021. All of our brands performed exceptionally well as retail demand maintained this breathtaking pace, the trend toward large, feature and option-rich boats has continued, which has supported robust ASPs and attractive margins. In particular for Malibu and Axis, the M240, the M220, A24 and 23 LSV, which were all larger boats, are performing well ahead of what we expected. New models at Pursuit, the S 428, DC 246 and S 268 have delivered strong sales and Cobalt’s completely renovated R Series with a new R6 and R8 models replace the older models, generating improved pricing and higher margins. Our backlog is unprecedented for every Malibu brand. We estimate that over 90% of new boat orders will be retail sold in the first quarter of fiscal 2022. And with inventory levels where they are, consumers are not buying boats, they're buying slots…

Wayne Wilson

Management

Thanks, Jack. In the fourth quarter net sales increased 133.2% to $276.7 million and unit volume increased 110.7% to 2,354 boats. This increase was primarily driven by normalized production levels relative to the COVID induce operational shutdowns in the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2020, an increased unit volume stemming from the acquisition of Maverick Boat Group. The Malibu and Axis brands represented approximately 56.2% of unit sales or 1,324 boats. Saltwater Fishing represented 24% or 565 boats and Cobalt made up the remaining 19.8% or 465 boats. Consolidated net sales per unit increased 10.7% to approximately $117,600 primarily driven by demand for our new, larger models within the Malibu and Cobalt segments. Gross profit increased 193.9% to $69.2 million and gross margin was 25.0%. This compares to a gross margin of 19.8% in the prior year period. Selling and marketing expense increased 45.6% or $1.6 million in the fourth quarter. As a percentage of sales, selling and marketing expenses decreased 110 basis points. General and administrative expenses increased 76.7% or $7.3 million. The increase was driven primarily by acquisition and integration related costs, compensation, higher level of legal expenses and incremental G&A expenses due to the acquisition of Maverick Boat Group. As a percentage of sales, G&A expenses, excluding amortization decreased 190 basis points to 6.1%. Net income for the quarter increased 437.1% to $35 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter increased 272.2% to $57.6 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin increased 770 basis points to 20.8%. Non-GAAP adjusted fully distributed net income per share increased 360% to $1.84 per share. This is calculated using a normalized C Corp tax rate of 23.5% and a fully distributed weighted average share count of approximately 21.7 million shares. For reconciliation of adjusted EBITDA and adjusted fully distributed net income per share to…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Joe Altobello with Raymond James.

Joe Altobello

Analyst

Thanks. Hey guys. Good morning. To start, a quick question on the revenue guidance for this year. What does that assume in terms of the pace at which supply chain improves? Are you assuming that sort of things start to pick up in Q2? Or do you think you're going to see constraints throughout the entire fiscal year?

Wayne Wilson

Management

Really, it's the bigger pickups in the back half as evidenced by kind of the cadence that we gave. And so, yes, there's a little bit, I think what I would describe as catch up right now, and so we anticipate a little bit of incremental improvement in Q2 and then more meaningfully in the back half of the year.

Joe Altobello

Analyst

Okay. And in terms of the EBITDA margin guidance of 20%, I think you said in the past that Maverick is about a 50 basis point drag. How should we think about the resumption of certain costs that you guys obviously did not have during COVID? What's the drag from that resumption?

Wayne Wilson

Management

Yes, I would describe that drag as probably in that 20 to 35 basis points, right? So there's a couple of things that we highlighted with respect to a little bit more drag there. One is the COVID paused costs and the other is just in enhancing our infrastructure, investing in the business, given the growth that we've had. Combined, I would say those are north of 30 basis points.

Joe Altobello

Analyst

And that's mostly Q1, it sounds like?

Wayne Wilson

Management

Some of it – yes, you're going to see more of an impact specifically around the COVID pause cost probably in Q1. And that's what you're seeing in those numbers.

Joe Altobello

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Craig Kennison with Baird.

Craig Kennison

Analyst · Baird.

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Jack, you mentioned that 90% of new boat orders are retail sold. What does that number normally look like at this time of year?

Jack Springer

Management

This time of year it’s normally right around 50% or maybe even a little bit less than that.

Craig Kennison

Analyst · Baird.

Okay. Thanks. And then with respect to the dealer inventory shortage, is there any way to frame how many units short you believe you may be relative to what you would target, if you could get everything produced?

Jack Springer

Management

Not necessarily on a unit basis. We look at things. We do look at units, but we also look at it weeks on hand. One of the things that Wells Fargo said is that based upon the lowest that it's ever been, it’s five weeks lower than the history, since they've been measuring it. And I think between segments, it may be a little bit different. But I think the point that what I would point to is that, regardless of the segment, regardless of the dealer, they are very, very short on inventory and so if you were to say that inventories need to be built up by – just pick a number 75%, that wouldn't be off at all.

Wayne Wilson

Management

Yes, and Craig, this is Wayne. Last year we said, it was north of 1,000 units. Maverick is one of those situations. So let's ignore Maverick for a second. That number has gone up over the course of this year. So retail demand has outpaced wholesale over the course of the year. And in addition, when you add Maverick into the mix, that business has been chronically under inventory. So it is a meaningful number that could be approaching a couple of thousand units.

Craig Kennison

Analyst · Baird.

That's very helpful. Thank you. And then with respect to the supply chain issues, I imagine that's leading to some cost inflation and maybe you considering some price increases. How is that dynamic unfolding for you?

Jack Springer

Management

Well, the supply chain itself is really more about efficiency and building boats. And that's part of the reason that we're recalibrating that first quarter to make sure that we're putting boats down the line in the proper order. I think there are inflationary measures that we built into our model year 2022 pricing as most companies did. So that's really baked at this point. And the interesting thing, Craig is related to the pricing pressures that you refer to both on our side and then passed along to the consumer. It is not having any impact in demand. We continue to see that demand and the acceptance of the new pricing.

Craig Kennison

Analyst · Baird.

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Brett Andress with KeyBanc.

Brett Andress

Analyst · KeyBanc.

Good morning guys. You said the supply chain. Good morning. You said the supply chain really tightened up the last few weeks. Can you just maybe put some context or color around that? Just so we have more of an idea of maybe what you are facing or started to face?

Jack Springer

Management

Yes, I think it's become more expensive. So if we go back to the fourth quarter and when we had our last call, we talked a lot about resin, and resin being the primary culprit from a supply chain standpoint, along with engines, outboard engines and that, those were the two things that we were watching and managing on an extremely close level. As time has gone on, you've seen inventory reserves dissipate somewhat. So they're lower than what they were a quarter ago, two quarters ago or three quarters ago. And a lot of our suppliers, they continue to struggle with the labor side or getting raw materials from China or Asia. And so it's expanded beyond just a resin or an outboard engine scenario. Resin has largely improved to a great extent. We don't have the issues that we had with resin that we did in the third and the fourth quarters, but there are a lot of other issues and I'll point to a couple. You run into issues with foam, which is also a petroleum-based. You run into issues with other small parts. It can change from week to week. And I think the best way to describe it is, we're managing through it, we're getting product, but rather than getting a large shipment of 150 different parts, we may be getting a shipment of 15 to 20 parts at a given time that gets us through a particular set of days or a particular week. And so there are more parts and it's a little bit more to manage. And so we want to make sure that we're careful in how we're consuming our production. We do believe it will be improved. And then as Wayne pointed out, we're looking more towards that second quarter that we'll start seeing that improvement. I would tell you that our guide is conservative. And that if the supply chain improves, we – and that's the predecessor to everything. If the supply chain improves, we can be better than what we've predicted.

Brett Andress

Analyst · KeyBanc.

Got it, thank you for that. And then – so you have a lot of new models coming to market. Over the next year, you've done some expansions on the capacity side. But I guess where do you see unconstrained capacity, right? Is it 10,000 units? 12,000? 14,000? I'm just trying to frame up or get a sense of what you think you could do on the production end that some of these challenges weren't in the equation right now.

Jack Springer

Management

We work pretty diligently over the last 12 to 18 months to put every brand in a position to build more product, with our Pursuit plant that we added, that added a significant amount of capacity. The three phases at Cobalt added significant capacity. What we're doing at Maverick today with that Phase 2 plant to add significant capacity. We built it here into Malibu. We've made some changes in different focus areas, and so we have more capacity at Malibu. So if the supply chain were to cooperate, we could easily go over that 11,000 rate.

Brett Andress

Analyst · KeyBanc.

Got it, thank you, guys.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Jaime Katz with Morningstar.

Jaime Katz

Analyst · Morningstar.

Hi, good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. I think you had mentioned infrastructure spend. And then in the 10-K, it indicated that CapEx would be more in 2022 than in 2021. But could you maybe frame the magnitude of that increase, given that some of the capacity investments could be sizable?

Wayne Wilson

Management

Yes. What I would tell you is CapEx can be a little bit of a moving target as we develop additional plans that aren't necessarily set yet. And so it could be – right now, I would tell you that it's probably on a trajectory in the $60 million range as we add capacity and do some initiatives. But it has the potential to move around as we decide to do, whether it be more vertical integration initiatives or whatever, and we'll update folks accordingly.

Jaime Katz

Analyst · Morningstar.

Okay. That's helpful. And then the pipeline for new innovation for Maverick products. I think it was touched upon, and I think you guys might be maybe reassessing what's out there and what the opportunity set is. So is there any way that you guys might be able to elaborate on what we could expect to see out of the Maverick brand this year? Thanks.

Jack Springer

Management

Jaime, we're right in the middle of that. And I think we're going to be a lot better suited to be able to address that, call it the next quarter or the quarter after that. But I will tell you this, it's very, very similar to both Cobalt and Pursuit. There are a number of white spaces. We call them product white spaces, where we just don't have a product. And once we put a product there, we're going to be able to capture share, we're going to be able to capture more sales. The second is that the product that we've both inherited, NBG is somewhat aged, long in the tooth. And so we're going to revitalize that every time you bring out a new product, every time we've seen this with the R-Series. Every time you bring out a new product or a new series that is replacing an old one, you have an exponential leap in sales, and we expect that to occur at NBG as well.

Wayne Wilson

Management

Yes. And Jaime, this is Wayne. I would just add that we could get it – when it comes to the product cycle. That's the thing that is probably the longest in the tooth, in terms of being able to needing to take time where you have it – you're developing that team, growing that team and building that process and making sure you do it in the right way. And you're going to see more of an impact sooner from our capital expenditures, frankly, than that new product.

Jaime Katz

Analyst · Morningstar.

Helpful, thanks.

Wayne Wilson

Management

Yes.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Tristan Thomas with BMO.

Tristan Thomas

Analyst · BMO.

Good morning.

Jack Springer

Management

Good morning.

Tristan Thomas

Analyst · BMO.

Last quarter, I think you called out for model year 2022 that about 80% of your first half order book was already sold. Could you update that?

Jack Springer

Management

It's different by brand. But I think if you captured all of the orders, it would be well into the third or fourth quarter by now.

Tristan Thomas

Analyst · BMO.

Okay. Perfect. And then just two-part question about your capacity expansion. Has there been any issues getting either raw materials or labor for the Cobalt and Maverick plants? And then if so, has that impacted any of your time lines to get to full production?

Jack Springer

Management

That's a good question. It's a question I would ask. It's been very positive surprise in that regard because we have not seen – we're ahead of schedule, I would probably say on Maverick versus what we thought that it could be. And we've not – what I would have anticipated to be the problems in raw materials, as you mentioned, and labor, we have not seen that. So that's been a very positive surprise.

Tristan Thomas

Analyst · BMO.

Okay, thank you.

Jack Springer

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Rudy Yang with Berenberg.

Rudy Yang

Analyst · Berenberg.

Hi, good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. Just going back to EBITDA margin guidance for next year a little bit. How are you thinking about how benefits from the Cobalt and Maverick expansions will factor in throughout the course of next year?

Wayne Wilson

Management

Yes. I think with respect to this year's guide, there's probably some of the uplift, right. So if we're doing the math and we're bridging this year's performance – or when I say this year, 2021 fiscal year performance to 2022. If you start at 20.5%, we’ve talked a bit about Maverick being about a 50 or 60-basis point drag. And then we have the reintroduction of COVID-paused costs and some investment and some infrastructure that creates another drag. I would tell you that a bit of the uplift is kind of broad-based structural across the business that’s offsetting that – if you do that math, you’re getting into the mid-19s of EBITDA margin. And if you think about just increases in sales and volume on a year-over-year basis, that’s getting some of that back. Maverick’s margin profile, given the limited incremental volume that you’re going to see flowing through that business, is probably not going to be meaningfully uplifted. Cobalt is the place where you’re going to see some benefit, and that would kind of bridge back to the 20% target we put out there.

Rudy Yang

Analyst · Berenberg.

Great. That’s super helpful. And then it seems like the amount of retail sold orders for next quarter continues to remain extremely high at above 90%. So you mentioned this will continue throughout fiscal year 2022. But I’m just wondering if you now believe this number will continue to be above that 90%. Or if you expect it to kind of incrementally decline over the course of next year?

Jack Springer

Management

I think it’s going to be around that. We’ll see it pan out over the course of the year. But if you think about the heavy selling season when you get into the boat shows, those are going to all be retail sold orders at some point. I think it’s going to remain very, very high. Whether it reaches that 90% threshold for the entire year, we’ll see, but it could.

Rudy Yang

Analyst · Berenberg.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question is a follow-up question from Brett Andress with KeyBanc.

Brett Andress

Analyst

Yes. Thanks for taking the question. Sorry, if you already addressed this. I may have missed it. But I mean, just looking at my model, I mean, it easily have you in a net cash position early next year. I guess, so where do you and the Board stand from a capital allocation standpoint? I understand M&A is lumpy, but kind of more of a suboptimal capital structure here next year?

Wayne Wilson

Management

Yes. Look, I think Brett, we’ve always kind of been in this position where the business does generate a lot of cash. We obviously always have a predisposition to really – we find incredibly high-return strategic initiatives for us to invest that cash, and that position hasn’t changed. And so we try and stay dynamic with respect to that. And I think we’ve done that pretty successfully since, frankly, almost the entirety of being public. And so that primary focus, whether it be around vertical integration, we talked a little bit about the potential for a range of CapEx, depending on where we go with vertical integration plans. Or frankly, an M&A opportunity. Absent those types of opportunities and those situations can be dynamic and evolving, we probably have a number of months before there’s any decision made because we like to maintain that optionality for the high-return strategic investment.

Brett Andress

Analyst

Is there any consideration for supply-side M&A?

Wayne Wilson

Management

You mean to vertically integrate into our suppliers more.

Brett Andress

Analyst

Yes.

Wayne Wilson

Management

Well, look, we’ve obviously vertically integrated into engines over time and different things. So there’s – we are constantly trying to balance financial returns, strategic returns around supply the chain-related M&A. And there’s – I can’t think of a time where we haven’t been thinking about something with respect to that. So I don’t foresee a broader strategic push that is broad-based vertical integration across the supply chain to own a bunch of it. I think we’re going to focus it on very strategic assets with appropriate returns.

Brett Andress

Analyst

Understood. Thanks for the color.

Operator

Operator

And I’m not showing any further questions at this time. I’d like to turn the call back to Jack for any closing remarks.

Jack Springer

Management

Thank you. Summarizing our call this morning, Malibu continues to make history, not only smashing our fourth quarter expectations, but continuing a pattern of outperformance on almost every financial and operating metric for fiscal year 2021. We are in a unique and favorable position with our suite of premium brands and boats. Historically low inventory levels provide an incredible opportunity for continued success for at least in the next two to three years. Our strategic planning, operational excellence and supply chain management further supports our outperformance of the broader industry and will remain a key differentiator in this environment going forward while at the same time, continuing to drive profitability and unlocking maximum value for Malibu’s product portfolio. From Malibu and Axis to Maverick, to Cobalt and Pursuit we are thoughtfully looking at production levels to ensure we’ve not only meet customer – consumer demand, but do it in a way that allows us the maintain our industry leading innovation and quality. One thing that can be said enough, our backlog is unprecedented for every Malibu brand. We will continue to capitalize on the soaring demand environment and take advantage of the attractive trends that have materialized. We remain optimistic these tailwinds will remain elevated as we move into fiscal year 2022 and beyond, which will undoubtedly support further growth and strong earnings. Lastly, with our eyes on the horizon, or more aptly the wake ahead, our fiscal year 2022 looks bright, supported by unprecedented customer demand. The introduction of our new Model Year 2022 products, historically low inventories in a culture of operational excellence, which we believe will position us to drive substantial growth and profitability to deliver long-term value to our shareholders. I would like to thank you for your continued support. And I look forward to Malibu’s industry leading success in building fiscal year 2022 into the best year yet for Malibu. As always, we hope you and those around you continue to remain safe and healthy. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today’s presentation. You may now disconnect and have a wonderful day.