Jeffrey C. Campbell - Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer
Analyst
Well, thank you, John, and good afternoon, everyone. As you just heard, this was a great quarter, capping of another solid year for McKesson. We exceeded our original EPS guidance for the year and carry strong momentum into fiscal 2009. We look forward to another year of double-digit profit growth driven by strong organic growth in our business. In my remarks today, I will cover both the fourth quarter and full-year results. As you’ve heard me say before, we provide our EPS guidance on an annual basis due to both seasonality and the quarter-to-quarter fluctuations that are inherent in our business. In this context, an annual look at our financial results can provide more meaningful insight into some of the key trends. And I will also comment on what these trends might mean for fiscal 2009. Let me begin by reviewing the consolidated statement of operations. We had total revenue growth in the quarter and the year of 9%, bringing our full-year revenues to $101.7 billion. Distribution Solutions revenues, which remain the primary driver of our overall revenue growth and account for 97% of total revenues, increased 9% for the year, while Technology Solutions revenue grew 33%, benefiting from the Per-Se acquisition and organic growth. Overall gross profit of $1.4 billion in the quarter and $5 billion for the year were both up 16% year-over-year. This nice leverage on our 9% revenue growth was primarily driven by the growing size of our higher gross margins in Technology Solutions segment. Moving to operating expenses, in the quarter, our total operating expenses increased 9% to $966 million, which compares to a 15% full year increase in operating expenses, excluding securities litigation credits. Our full-year operating expenses were higher primarily due to the growth in the business, the impact of our Per-Se and OTN acquisitions, $31 million of incremental FAS 123R expenses, and the charges we took in our December quarter. While we got a bit of leverage relative to the 16% growth in gross profit for the year, going forward, our operating expense leverage should accelerate as we get into the last half of our fiscal 2009 and lap the OTN acquisition. Continuing my walk down the P&L, our operating income was up 31% to $481 million for the quarter and up 17% to $1.5 billion on a full-year basis. Other income was down 35% for the quarter after being flat for the first three quarters of the year, primarily due to lower interest income. Our cash balance declined in the fourth quarter to our targeted levels, due primarily to our aggressive share repurchases and, of course, short-term interest rates have come down dramatically. Our cash is invested very conservatively, predominantly in overnight repurchase agreements secured by US Treasury or US Agency collateral, and we have very little floating rate debt. So, we are sensitive to short-term interest rate movements. I would anticipate that our fourth-quarter level of other income will be the new baseline as we get into our fiscal 2009. Interest expense of $34 million in the quarter and $142 million in the year were up 10% and 43% respectively due to the $1 billion in debt we added to finance the acquisition of Per-Se. Moving to taxes for the full year, we had a tax rate of 32.1%. This was a bit better than the future rate of 33% that we have provided as guidance for fiscal 2009, due primarily to the net positive impact of various tax settlements we reached in fiscal 2008. Diluted EPS from continuing operations was a $1.04 in the quarter versus $0.85 in the prior year, an increase of 22%. We had a strong performance in the fourth quarter on an absolute basis and relative to the guidance we provided last quarter. There was no one primary driver as almost every part of our business came in at the high end of our previous forecast. This is a great testament to our execution across all of our business and the great businesses that we are in. This is also our third consecutive year of having our march quarter EPS grow by more than 20%, a trend that we currently anticipate continuing in fiscal 2009. Our full year diluted EPS from continuing operations excluding securities litigation credits was $3.31 this year versus $2.89 of prior year, a 15% increase. To wrap up, our consolidated results, both in the quarter and the full year, our weighted average diluted shares outstanding declined primarily due to the cumulative impact of our share repurchases, including $772 million of stock repurchases in the fourth quarter, which brought our total share repurchase for the fiscal year to $1.7 billion. The sizeable fourth quarter share repurchases did not have much of an impact on our March quarter EPS but it will have a bigger impact on our fiscal 2009 earnings. Before moving on to our two segments, let me take a minute here to go over some of the aspects of our business that create fluctuations in our quarterly EPS results. As we look back on fiscal 2008, we're very pleased with our annual results and the fact that we exceeded our original annual guidance of $3.15 to $3.30 per share. Within the year, there were a number of material impacts on our quarterly earnings progression. Over the course of a full fiscal year, these factors tend to even out, but within the year they can create challenges when comparing year-over-year results on a quarterly basis. First, in Distribution Solutions, although our agreements with branded pharmaceutical manufacturers provide a higher level of annual predictability for compensation, the structures of many agreements use price increases as the determinant of compensation timing, which we can't always foresee accurately by quarter. You saw this in the material shift of price increases between our September and December quarters of fiscal 2008. Second, also in Distribution Solutions and generics, while across our entire portfolio of products we are confident of meeting or exceeding expected profitability levels on an annual basis, we cannot predict with certainty the launch timing of any specific generic molecule, which can cause quarterly fluctuations in this increasingly important component of gross profit. You saw this in the lapping challenges we had in our September and December quarters compared to our fiscal 2007 results. Third, in Technology Solutions, there are timing impacts in revenue recognition both in software and in disease management. Many of our software and software services sales required customer acceptance to complete the earnings process and our performance-based disease management contracts require validation of program performance prior to revenue recognition while related costs are expensed as incurred. These two realities can cause fluctuations quarter-over-quarter. You saw this in our June quarter results, which included $21 million of previously deferred revenue for a disease management contract. This will create a challenging comparison in our Technology segment in the June quarter of fiscal 2009. Last, as for all companies, tax is another area where we see quarterly fluctuations due to discrete adjustments that we make from time to time. While these adjustments may change our tax rate from quarter to quarter, in fiscal 2008, for example, we ranged from 27% to 34%. We believe that our annual tax rate is a better overall measure of our tax expense. So the point here is that we run the company for the long-term. On an annual basis, we feel confident of our ability to provide guidance to our investors. On a quarterly basis, however, there may be fluctuations in our earnings that we will not always be able to foresee. Let's now move on to our two segments. Distribution Solutions revenues were up 8% to $25.4 billion for the fourth quarter and up 9% to $98.7 billion for the year. US pharmaceuticals direct distribution revenues grew 14% for the quarter, primarily reflecting customer growth, the OTN acquisition and a couple of customer shifting warehouse purchases to direct distribution revenues. The flipside of this last point is reflected in our warehouse revenues, which were down 10% for the quarter. While this is primarily due to lower purchases from one of our customers due to a contract loss, it was also due to the couple of customers choosing to shift a portion of their warehouse purchases to direct store delivery, taking advantage of our great service levels and working capital management. As a result of these factors warehouse revenues were flat for the year and US direct revenues were up 12%. Overall, our revenue results demonstrate that we are growing faster than market growth rates through acquisitions, our strong customer mix and by expanding our relationships with existing customers to provide more value added offerings. Canadian revenues increased 38% for the quarter primarily due to new and expanded distribution agreements and a favorable currency impact of 20%. For the full year Canadian revenues grow 21% and included a favorable currency impact of 12%. Medical-Surgical revenues were up 9% in the fourth quarter and 6% for the full year. Gross profit for the segment was up 15% for the quarter and 10% for the year. I'd note that gross profit in the fourth quarter included a $5 million pre-tax LIFO credit compared to $26 million in the fourth quarter a year ago. For the full year, the pre-tax LIFO credit was $14 million compared to $64 million a year ago. We have now fully utilized our pharmaceutical product LIFO reserve. Distribution Solutions operating expenses were up 16% for the quarter to $597 million and 13% for the year to $2.1 billion. Operating profit was up 12% for the quarter and 6% for the year. Operating margin rate for the fourth quarter was 183 basis points, up seven basis points compared to a 176 basis points a year ago. And it was 150 basis points for the full year compared to 154 basis points a year ago. Going forward, we continue to see opportunities to get leverage in this segment and to move our margin rate up steadily within our 150 to 200 basis points target range. Excluding the $50 million year-over-year decline in LIFO credits, the core operations of our Distribution Solutions segment achieved leverage in fiscal 2008. As we've said, the acquisition of OTN also reduced our margin rate this year as we worked through OTN's acquisition. Both of these headwinds lessen in fiscal 2009, which should allow the solid fundamentals of this segment to show through in an increased margin rate. Turning now to Technology Solutions, revenues were up 19% for the quarter to $806, million reflecting the impact of revenues from Per-Se and continued strong demand for clinical software and imaging solutions. Services revenues grew 25% to $596 million in the fourth quarter and software and software systems revenues increased 9% to $164 million. Full year revenues increased 33% to almost $3 billion. Services revenues increased 46% to $2.2 billion primarily due to additional Per-Se revenues and software and software systems revenues increased 10% to $591 million. We're very pleased by our revenue mix, the service component of which is recurring and speaks volumes to the sustainability of our business prospects. We continue to see strong demand for our products and services in the quarter and have yet to see a slowdown in our customers spend. Our software deferral rate was 76.6% in the fourth quarter compared to 79.4% in the prior-year; in line with revenue growth, gross profit increased 19% for the quarter and 32% for the year. Technology Solutions operating expenses increased 4% in the quarter to $288 million, and increased 26% for the full-year to $1.1 billion. Higher expenses for the year were primarily due to the impact of Per-Se and restructuring charges that we discussed last quarter. In the quarter, Technology Solutions capitalized 22% of their R&D expenditures compared to 20% a year ago, and for the year, capitalized 18% compared to 21% a year ago. Total gross R&D spending for the full year was $393 million, up 16% for the prior year. Quarter operating profit was up 89% to $104 million and operating margin was 12.9%. Operating profit in the segment, as in Distribution Solutions, is strongest always in the fourth quarter. For the year, operating profit grew 55% to $319 million and our operating margin rose from 9.2% to 10.7%. Now on to balance sheet, on the working capital side, our receivables are up 10% from the prior year to $7.2 billion and our days sales outstanding was up to 22 [ph] days. Compared to a year ago, our inventories increased 10% to $9 billion and our payables were up 11% to $12 billion. Our day sales in inventory of 33 days and days sales in payables of 44 days were up one day from a year ago. Stepping back, if you totaled the four key operational components of our working capital, receivables, inventory, payables and deferred revenue, we have just completed our second straight year of tremendous revenue growth, almost $6 billion of growth in '07 and over $8 billion in revenue growth in '08, while investing under a $100 million each year in these operational components of working capital. This strongly demonstrates the maturity and stability of our business model. In fiscal 2008, this model resulted in operating cash flows of $1.8 billion. This now gives us the comfort to raise our cash flow guidance from prior years. In fiscal 2009, we expect the cash flow from operations to again exceed $1.5 billion. We ended the year with $1.4 billion of cash on our balance sheet within our target range of $1 billion to $1.5 billion that we think optimal to run day today operations. Capital spending was $195 million for the year higher than $126 million we spent in the prior year due to higher investments in our pharmaceutical distribution network as well as continued investments in our internal systems. Capitalized software expenditures were $161 million for the year down from $180 million we spent last year. Overall, we spent $356 million in internal investments in fiscal 2008 and expect to spend in the same general range, $350 million to $400 million in fiscal 2009. In fiscal 2008, we repurchased stock in the amount of $1.7 billion. As John said, given our strong balance sheet and expected strong cash flow from operations, the Board has authorized a new $1 billion share repurchase program bringing the total to $1.3 billion. Given the shares repurchased in fiscal 2008 and this new authorization, our fiscal 2009 EPS guidance is based on expectations of 281 million shares in our dilution calculation down from 298 million in fiscal 2008. Our gross debt-to-capital ratio of 23% remains below our long-term target, 30% to 40%. We expect to continue our portfolio approach to capital deployment creating shareholder value while making progress towards our target rate. Let me now provide a few additional comments about our fiscal 2009 earnings guidance of $3.75 to $3.90 per diluted share. Revenue growth for Distribution Solutions should be at market growth rate, adjusted for our mix of business and the acquisition of OTN, which will have a positive impact in the first half of our fiscal year. You should expect our warehouse revenues to grow slower than direct revenues as we worked through the lost contract by our customer. Technology Solutions revenue growth should be at the high-end of market revenue growth. Due to strong demand for our healthcare information solutions and a continued steady pace of software implementations, we have now completely lapped the acquisition of Per-Se Technologies. Returning to distribution solutions, we assume that branded price inflation in fiscal 2009 will moderate from fiscal 2008 levels toward levels experienced in fiscal 2006 and fiscal 2007. We expect another year of strong growth in sales and profits from generic pharmaceuticals. We do expect the second half of our fiscal year to be stronger for generic launches, which will impact quarterly comparisons. Overall, as we look at fiscal 2009, we see our core businesses growing in line with our guidance. Given our fiscal 2008 EPS of $3.31 and our guidance of $3.75 to $3.90, this means 13% to 18% growth. There are some non-operating ins and outs in our EPS in both years, but they essentially net to zero when considering the year-over-year growth. At a high level, the way we think about this is that in fiscal 2009, we have some one-time and accounting headwinds in the $0.15 incremental FAS 123R expense, LIFO credits going away and 401 (k) contributions that will now cost us... that will cost us more now that our 1980s era ESOP has run out. In aggregate, these headwinds in 2009 are similar in size and essentially offset the $0.11 in charges that we took in the December quarter of fiscal 2008, which we do include in our $3.31 earnings per share for fiscal 2008. In addition, we have a significant good guy in fiscal 2009 from the much slower share count we expect, which of course we were able to do because of the strength of our balance sheet and our portfolio approach to capital deployment. This good guy is essentially offset by the much lower interest income we expect, given lower interest rates and the lower cash balances stemming partially from the aggressive share repurchases, along with the fact that our expected tax rate is going up from the 32% in fiscal 2008 and 33% in fiscal 2009. As we see it, our fiscal 2008 results and fiscal 2009 EPS growth of 13% to 18% is reflective of the operating growth of the business. And now last to the issue of quarterly progression, we do not provide quarterly EPS guidance for all the reasons articulated in my earlier remarks around our fiscal 2008 results. That said, at this moment, our best directional estimate based on the assumptions provided and the pattern of quarterly results in fiscal 2008 is that the June quarter of fiscal 2009 will be up slightly compared to the prior year, the second quarter relatively flat with significant EPS growth in the final two quarters. In summary then, we had a solid fourth quarter in fiscal 2008, have a sustainable business model anchored by great customers and expect another year of strong earnings per share growth in fiscal 2009. Thank you, and with that I'll turn the call over to the operator. Question and Answer Question and Answer