David L. Goodin - MDU Resources Group, Inc.
Management
Yes. I appreciate the question, Chris. I somewhat anticipated that question. Certainly, it's early. And when we think about changes, I did mention in my earlier comments that we had exited – made the Pronghorn sale here at the first of the year, so there's some effect from a year-over-year when we think of current assets. Also, very critical to our both Construction businesses is really the first quarter of bidding environment, the first quarter of the year. Now while we appreciate having $1 billion in backlog between both Materials and Services, and we're at a record pace at the Materials up 10% over last year's record, really critical in both those businesses is how well we do in this first quarter. So that, we want to see how that shapes up as we think longer over the course of the year. Again, we're at a nice starting point, but critical would be that first quarter bidding environment. Also, important in the business, particularly in Materials, is the construction start and the stop to the season. And some years we enjoy an earlier start, some years we get to go later in the fall. But there's a variable there depending on how favorable the weather can be. So that's a variable there that we can't control. And then when I think about from the utility perspective, we really, I'll say, forecast normal temperatures, normal weather. We do like that through the first 32 days, 33 days of the year we've had some real winter for a change in the Upper Midwest. Yet we do expect normal weather throughout the year. And so it's early in the year. While there's some weather impacts there, I'll say bidding environment in the Construction groups are really important in the first quarter. And then probably the last element I would say there is we certainly are appreciative. And I'll say there's certainly some optimism based on current conversations going on from the administration relating to regulatory reform, taxation policies, as we think about infrastructure spending or investment. I think those all can be very positive to our business in various aspects. Yet until we see those more enacted and actually put into place, we're not going to bake anything in based on some assumptions there. And so I know I covered the water front, Chris, but I think your question really wanted to know how are you thinking about your guidance and the range and I just thought go more line by line.