Earnings Labs

MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI)

Q3 2014 Earnings Call· Fri, Oct 31, 2014

$1,752.00

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen. And welcome to the MercadoLibre Third Quarter 2014 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session, and instructions will follow at that time. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host Martin de los Santos, Vice President of Finance.

Martin de los Santos

Management

Hello everyone, and welcome to MercadoLibre earnings conference call for the quarter ended September 30, 2014. I am Martin de los Santos, VP of Finance and Head of Investor Relations for MercadoLibre. Our senior manager presenting today is Pedro Arnt, Chief Financial Officer. Additionally, Marcos Galperín, Chief Executive Officer, and Osvaldo Giménez, Executive Vice President of Payments will be available during today’s Q&A session. This conference call is also being broadcast over the Internet and is available through the Investor Relations section of our Web site. I remind you that management may make forward-looking statements relating to such matters as continued growth prospects for the company, industry trends and product and technology initiatives. These statements are based on currently available information and our current assumptions, expectations and projections about future events. While we believe that our assumptions, expectations and projections are reasonable in view of the currently available information, you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Our actual results may differ materially from those discussed in this call, for a variety of reasons, including those described in the forward-looking statements and Risk Factors sections of our 10-K and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which are available on our Investor Relations Web site. Finally, I would like to remind you that during the course of this conference call we may discuss some non-GAAP measures. A reconciliation of those measures to the nearest comparable GAAP measures can be found in the third quarter 2014 earnings press release available on our Investor Relations Web site. Now let me turn the call over to Pedro.

Pedro Arnt

Management

Thanks Martin. Good afternoon and welcome everyone to MercadoLibre’s third quarter 2014 earnings call. As we approach the end of year shopping season, we are as enthused as ever for the work that lies ahead of us and the opportunities to build upon our recent success. As most of you know, we recently hosted our 2nd Investor Day and shared with the market our long-term vision for MercadoLibre and its strategic initiatives. As we highlighted then, e-commerce remains below 3% of total retail in Latin America, but all the conditions are set to keep expanding that share at a fast pace. Our region’s e-commerce could double by 2018, and MercadoLibre finds itself at the center of this trend, with a leading market share and a clear game plan ahead. And, while Latin America has a unique set of challenges, we feel that our domain expertise, region-specific experience, and commitment to continuous innovation allow us to maintain our leadership role. We are believers that these unique advantages will allow us to not only partake in the region's fast-growing market, but actually to impact the rate at which that market grows. Our best effort at doing this is through our ecosystem approach, building key service offerings and technological solutions for our platforms, and spreading these benefits to as many users as possible, even beyond our own marketplaces. We are pleased with the results of this approach, judging by the success we are having at penetrating and promoting our commerce solutions. The results we are seeing so far are strong indicators that our strategic initiatives are driving value for all involved, that MercadoLibre offers a more enhanced platform than it did a year ago, and that the business is reflecting these benefits in its financial health. With that in mind, let’s get started…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from Scott Devitt with Stifel. Your line is open.

Scott Devitt - Stifel

Analyst

Sorry for the speaker phone. I can’t get it off and I don't want to put words in your mouth, but at the Analyst Day you seemed to be happy, growing in line with some of the faster-growing e-commerce markets. And particularly Brazil, you just saw a meaningful acceleration in your two largest markets to levels that seem to us to be market share gaining. And several of the reasons you provided as an explanation for the improved growth seem like they're going to continue into the future. And so I'm just wondering -- and there is a question here -- do you think the format service improvements you've invested in may just be beginning to drive a sustainable inflection in the growth rate of the business? I'm trying to get an understanding in terms of how to model this on a forward basis? Thanks.

Pedro Arnt

Management

Hi Scott, how are you, thanks. So let me break down your question very quickly. Yes, we do believe that a lot of the drivers behind the solid revenue numbers are coming together as the different pieces of the ecosystem, payment, shipping, financing what not and hopefully those are sustainable in time. Having said that, I think we’ve also said that our growth trajectory historically has been somewhat jagged over time but if you take a step back and you look at longer periods of time, we’ve typically been able to gain share gradually over time and that we set as a floor for ourselves, the rate of growth of the market, because we see no reasons why we should be losing share. I don’t think that overall philosophy has changed. I think we’re very pleased with the way the business is coming together, definitely seeing that in better financials. Some of that is also driven by monetization. As you’ve heard many times, we believe in capturing value when value is being generated but we’ve gone through long periods where our take rates have been relatively flat and that could be something that could happen again in the future.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Gene Munster with Piper Jaffray. Your line open.

Gene Munster - Piper Jaffray

Analyst · Piper Jaffray. Your line open.

Two questions. In terms of Envios, the buying patterns, do you have enough data behind an individual who uses the service, how they typically buy, versus someone who does not use it? And my second question is, at the Analyst Day you talked about some -- a little bit greater investment. Can you just clarify, in terms of the magnitude of how you're thinking about that investment and how we should be modeling that? Thanks.

Pedro Arnt

Management

So, in terms of the Envios product, I think what we disclosed is that average ticket items are higher. We haven’t disclosed any cohort analysis or any analysis on repeat usage beyond qualitative. Obviously it's a much improved buying experience, it’s a safer buying experience and we believe that over time it should drive engagement. We haven’t gotten into the specifics of the data. It's interesting proprietary data but definitely but definitely it’s a better experience and trust it builds long term engagement with the platform. And then your second question which is also forward looking, we typically like to comment on the current quarter but conceptually I think what we’ve been saying is we can see a little bit of that in this quarter and you don’t see more of it because currency also helps. As we grow increasingly comfortable with the platform, we have been investing some margin into customer acquisition. If you look at the sales and marketing line, it doesn’t show leverage this year and I think that gives a sense that what we said we would be doing is playing out, which is to invest some of the margin that the business is delivering back in the right areas of OpEx; and customer acquisition we’ve said is one of those.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Ross Sandler with Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Your line is open.

This is Deepak on behalf of Ross. Just a question on the Brazil unit growth. The 29% unit growth was a good acceleration despite comps being little bit easier but wanted to get a little bit more color on that. What exactly are you seeing that’s driving that? Can you give more color in terms of what the customer growth is versus purchase frequency that’s driving it? And then secondly can you give a little bit more color on the unit growth in other markets like Argentina where revenue growth was strong?

Pedro Arnt

Management

So as you can see, definitely there is strong unit growth in Brazil, higher than the previous quarters. A couple of factors there I think worth noting. First of all as we had highlighted that the second quarter had some hangover from the World Cup that hit primarily in that quarter. So I did think that we try to be clear in saying that there is some slowdown previous quarter that was not sort of run rate but it was specifically attributable to the World Cup. We're seeing a pickup in our unique buyers in Brazil. So we’re seeing improvement in units per buyer but we’re also seeing a pickup in new buyers, which is also a very healthy. And then the final thing I would say or two more things I would add, there continues to be downward trend in average selling prices. So that’s an inclination that we continue to expand into more categories that have lower ASPs than the old core categories in consumer electronics. So the verticalization of category strategies is playing out nicely in terms of incremental purchases in units. And then finally we also see, when we segregate between transactions that have one of our value added services overlaid, whether that'd be shipping, payments, credits, we see acceleration in growth of those transactions versus the transactions that are the old model where there is just purchase and none of our additional services are overlaid. So those are probably the drivers behind the Brazil acceleration. The world cup is behind us. We’re seeing growth in buyers, we’re seeing expansion into new categories and we’re seeing some really good traction in transactions that have one of the enhanced services. :

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Stephen Ju with Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

Stephen Ju - Credit Suisse

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

So Pedro, this is the second quarter in a row in which you posted what looks like an accelerated rate of user sign-ups. So, did you do something to simplify the registration path onto the platform or, is this all due to mobile? And secondarily, I neglected to ask this at the Analyst Day, but MercadoLibre Publicidad looks like a pretty interesting move to adopt a more -- I guess, more the ad-driven models seen in other marketplace's platforms in Asia. So, how has the seller adoption of this product been so far? And between this and the interest-free listings, there now seems to be multiple ways for you guys to capture some more of the marginal economics. I'm just wondering what the seller adoption of these two products have been? Thanks.

Pedro Arnt

Management

So user acquisition I think this quarter is organic. We had said that some of the user acquisition pick up last quarter was also driven by the purchases of real estate sites in Chile and Mexico. That’s not the case this quarter. This quarter it's just solid organic pick up in the rate of new users. As I mentioned before, there is a financial offset to that if you will, which is there are some margin points in customer acquisition that we’re giving up. We’re quite comfortable with that trade-off and that’s exactly we’re managing to. In other words there is just more spend in bringing in more customers through the door and we’re seeing the results of that. Obviously mobile is driving some of that. We’ve said that more than 30% of new user reg is coming from mobile. A lot of that incremental spend is going into mobile advertising. So we’re carrying out the investment plan in terms of user acquisition that we wanted and we’re seeing the results. The advertising business, it did begin to pick up its rate of growth, growing in dollar terms around 20%. It has been sluggish in the past, but it still continues to be quite small. I think what we’ve always given is as order of magnitude its sub-3%. It continues to be sub-3% quickly moving in that direction, but given that growth was quite strong across the board, the rate of growth although, it accelerated versus prior quarters for the advertising business, it isn’t necessarily higher than the other parts of the business. It’s actually in line what overall revenues were growing in dollars. And then interest free, that is newer. So it’s coming from the slower base and that has showed some very strong growth. So that one has -- is a very interesting initiative that going forward I think we’ll be looking at very closely. Finance in local currency grew north of 70% year-over-year; finance revenue, so strong contributor.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Marcelo Santos with JP Morgan. Your line is open.

Marcelo Santos - JPMorgan

Analyst · JP Morgan. Your line is open.

I had two questions. The first is on the zero-interest feature that you introduced. Just get a little bit more color, which categories are using more this? I know it’s very early, but which categories are using more this tool? And what’s the profile of the sellers that are using it? This is my first question. Osvaldo Giménez: This is Osvaldo. What we did initially with zero-interest [Foreign Language] in Brazil is limited to the power sellers. So, it’s mostly the larger sellers of MercadoLibre will use it and now we’re expanding that to some other centers. And category wise, basically the most of the use in higher ticket items, which are the ones that consumers willing to paying from it.

Marcelo Santos - JP Morgan

Analyst · JP Morgan. Your line is open.

And the second question is about the tax benefit in Argentina. You mentioned that -- now you’re not receiving it, and then there is a new law. Have you been admitted to receive the benefits under the new law? Or, what are the steps for that to happen?

Pedro Arnt

Management

So the answer is no. We have not received official notification of our entry into the new law. No one has that we’re aware of. So it’s still pending government implementation. To the best of our knowledge that is something that should not be an issue but until its official I think we need to maintain a wait and see position. Regardless of whether we enter or not, it increases our tax rate because the law, although it extends the tax holiday, it does so at a slightly higher rate or with less benefits than the old law.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our next question comes from Mark Miller with William Blair. Your line is open.

Mark Miller - William Blair

Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open.

I also have a question on the interest-free financing and wanted to get your sense for how quickly you think this can be introduced and drive penetration in Mexico? And Pedro, in your comments, I saw you also alluded to, as a market leader, viewing the Company as an opportunity to actually drive faster growth. So do you think that we could see an acceleration in Mexico? And then as you’ve been tracking this offer be implemented in Brazil, are you able to see whether effectively, sellers are not passing through the full amount of the value to the consumer with that interest-free financing; in other words, absorbing some of it to drive faster unit growth? Osvaldo Giménez: This is Osvaldo. Let me start with Mexico and then let’s move on to Brazil. In terms of Mexico, as we said we are in a process of rolling out zero-interest financing and that we’ve been doing this quarter before the end of the year. And we start again with a small segment of sellers and then see how we are willing to expand it to other sellers. And in terms of Brazil, while we’re seeing some users are obviously passing through part of the increasing price. But what we're seeing is that the percentage of transactions done with [Foreign Language] is significantly higher than the percentage of listings with that -- of that type of listing and therefore consumers are finding it more attractive than regular listings and it is driving volume.

Mark Miller - William Blair

Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open.

And then, can you, I guess, share what element of uniqueness or how sustainable you think this benefit is to you? Osvaldo Giménez: We believe this will be sustainable. We believe that is -- this is driving part of the volume. We’re doing it in a way that it is profitable for us, that it's increasing financial revenues and before we can -- we think that we’re able to sustain this in Brazil and to roll it out in Mexico.

Pedro Arnt

Management

I think Mark just to complement that, the interest rate purchase in Brazil is fairly standard among retailers. I think what’s interesting for us about this is that it actually allows us to address what was in the past somewhat of a non-competitive offer. So I wouldn’t say that this is something that we have and others don’t, but I think it is very relevant because in the past it was one of the few areas where we felt a lot of our retail competitors perhaps aggressively pursued this as a growth strategy and we couldn’t replicate, since we weren’t the retailer, it was our merchants. And with this new feature and listing type, we’re now able to allow our merchants to offer interest free financing. So that puts us on par and then we can allow all the other competitive advantages we have to sort of do their work and I think that’s what driving growth. So despite not being something unique, I think it’s something that’s very relevant, because it puts us back on equal footing on one of the few areas where we clearly weren’t in the past.

Mark Miller - William Blair

Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open.

Then, just one other, on the customer acquisition investment, so up 168 basis points as a percent of revenue, can you help frame what the rate of increase is in customer acquisition? And I'm gathering it's going up faster than what the number of new users are. So, to some extent, there is an investment in future periods. Ought we to see that new customer add number actually potentially accelerate in coming periods?

Pedro Arnt

Management

One second here. Let me give you an order magnitude of growth in customer acquisition. You’re accurate in that the investment increase is higher than the increase in the clip of new users. That’s by design one of the ways that we’re able to allocate more money, is by going after perhaps slightly lower ROI channels when measured the short term than we were in the past. But again we think we need to continue to push more people through the door. Long term that should be beneficial to us given where the platform is at and then the multiple services we have to drive improve the engagements. So roughly just to give you a sense, the increase in customer acquisition cost, and for us that’s not just marketing spend. It includes a couple of other things. But it was roughly 50% year-on-year.

Mark Miller - William Blair

Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open.

And Pedro, the other part of the question was since there is some lag in terms of the customer acquisition. It'd be reasonable to think, it seems, that that number might begin to grow faster in future periods?

Pedro Arnt

Management

I'd rather not enter into forward-looking statements. I think we’re saying is we’re willing to invest more behind customer acquisitions. Customer acquisition has many different flavors. There is mobile investment, desktop investment. There is other areas that might have different ROIs in different quarters. So let’s wait and see. I think the one thing we’re committed to given where the platform is at, is to be somewhat more aggressive in bringing users through the door and hopefully that will continue to drive positive growth, not just in users but obviously in transactions and financials.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Michel Morin with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Michel Morin - Morgan Stanley

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

So two questions. The first is, given in Brazil you talked about getting the World Cup behind you, so should we take from that that during the quarter you saw acceleration of the growth? And then secondly, regarding the financing, again in Brazil, can you help us understand the nature of that 70% growth rate? Is it the same if we were to break out the gross, because that 70% is net if I recall correctly? So I just wanted to see if there's anything that's driving that number, whether it's really gross financing or if it's a change in terms of the financial expenses? And how are you in financing today relative to the peak levels that you had achieved in the past? Thank you.

Pedro Arnt

Management

Yes, first part of the question, yes, implied in the World Cup impact was that obviously July still had some World Cup tailwinds. So July was lower. August and September were probably more in line with each other. So really the World Cup was a part of the drag that extended into the back end of the quarter. In terms of financing I don’t know Osvaldo, if you want to take initial stab at that one. Osvaldo Giménez: Yes, in terms of finance fees, the acceleration we saw in growth is related in the case of Brazil to the zero-interest financing and here what we see is a growth in volume, in the amount of items that get bought with the financing option. Even though we are losing a little bit of margin in those items, overall we have significantly higher revenues.

Michel Morin - Morgan Stanley

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Okay. So your gross financing is actually up more than 70%. Osvaldo Giménez: Gross financing, we’re higher in that yes, correct.

Michel Morin - Morgan Stanley

Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Okay. And then, as a percentage of your revenues in Brazil, are we are at a new record level in terms of net financing fees? Osvaldo Giménez: We’re trying to see here historical data for back when Selic was lower, because there has been some pressure. Looking over the last few quarters, we're definitely at some of the highest financing take rates and implicitly therefore revenue as well. So my intuition would be yes, I’d have to look at a longer historical sequence which I don’t have in front of me. But I would say by and large, pretty sure that yes.