Christopher G. Stavros
Analyst · Tudor, Pickering, Holt
Yes. I don't want to speak for the service guys very, very specifically. But I will tell you, it's obviously harder for them right now. I don't want to say that it's -- you're down to the bone, but there's certainly seeing bone as opposed to many fat or skin left on the bone. So it's harder for them. And but things have come off, and you've seen some ongoing deflation as activities has rolled over a bit and certainly, in the second quarter is product prices, certainly for liquids or oil rolled over. And I think that certainly spooked some operators where they've reduced -- either reduced activity or just played off rigs, et cetera. And so as you continue to see that which you very may well see into -- towards the end of the year, if you sort of sit around these prices, you do have a little bit of ability to nudge our push on it somewhat, but not a whole lot. I think what you're seeing is some improved benefits on OFS, i.e., to Q3? And then you get into Q4, where there's more in the way of steel inflation and OCGT items as a result of tariffs. So that may start to roll against it, if you will, and flatten it out. But I would tell you, what we've seen is probably several percent into Q3 a little bit more than what we saw in the first half of the year. And maybe all in, I would tell you, from the exit of '24, 6%, 7%, something like that, but then it sort of flattens out and may, in fact, depending on what happens with activity, you might see a little bit of a soup bowl or the bottom of the soup bowl and then you start to perhaps trickle higher with activity ramping as operators typically do into the beginning of next year. But we'll see. It's a hard one to call based on product prices and exact activity for operators right now.